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Public	
  Policy	
  and	
  Trust	
  	
  
Yann	
  Algan	
  	
  	
  	
  Sciences	
  Po	
  	
  
	
  
OECD	
  	
  October	
  14th	
  	
  
Introduc>on	
  
•  Large	
  evidence	
  of	
  a	
  rela>onship	
  between	
  
–  Ins>tu>ons	
  and	
  trust:	
  rule	
  of	
  law,	
  transparency	
  ….	
  
–  Inequality,	
  segmenta>on	
  …and	
  trust	
  
See	
  survey	
  Algan	
  and	
  Cahuc,	
  Handbook	
  of	
  Economic	
  Growth,	
  2013	
  
	
  

•  How	
  can	
  we	
  iden>fy	
  the	
  impact	
  of	
  policy	
  on	
  trust	
  ?	
  	
  
–  Regula>on	
  and	
  Distrust….	
  
–  School	
  and	
  Social	
  Capital	
  	
  
	
  
I	
  -­‐Regula>on	
  and	
  Distrust	
  
Distrust and regulation of product market
3

R ² = 0 .3 2
UGA
BRA

Regulation of entry
1.5
2

2.5

CH N

ID N

VEN
UKR RC
G
PH L
JOR
ARG
D ZA
EGY
RUS
TU R
TZA
VNM
HRV
J P N IN D
P AB G R
K
M A R P RT
E SK O R
P
P O LG A S V K
C ZE
N
ZW R
PEE
D EI U A
T
M E X C HZ S V N
LA F
A U T L T U BF R A
GD

N LD

BEL
U S AE B R
CH G

SG P
HU N

ROM

N OR D NK

LV A
IR L

1

S W EF I N

.5

AUCAN
S

.2

.4

.6
D is t r u s t

.8

Source:	
  Aghion,	
  Algan,	
  Cahuc,	
  Shleifer:	
  Regula>on	
  and	
  Distrust	
  QJE	
  2010	
  
9

1
80

Distrust and regulation of labor market
VEN

R ² = 0 .1 1

Rigidity of Employment Index
20
40
60

ROM

F IN
NOR
SW E

TZA
MAR
SVN
ESP
GF R A
RC
PER
P RT
D ZA
H RL V A
V
LT U X
ME
DEU RUS
ZA F
BRA
IN D
UKR ARG
VNM
I TPR K P O L
AA
TU RZW E
KO
SVK
PH L
A UT HU N
JOR BGD
BGR
EGY
BEL C ZE
CHL
CHE

ID N
N LD

CH N
AUS

JP N
IR L

NGA

D NK

0

CAN
US A

.2

.4

GBR

.6
D istr u s t

10

UGA
SG P

.8

1
Distrust, Civicness and Flexisecurity
.8

R²=0.36

Expenditure per unemployed
.2
.4
.6

Dk

Nth

Bg
Swd

Aut
Switz

Fra

Ire

Ger
Sp
Pt
Pol
Gre

Cd
Hg
Jp

Nw

Aus

Ita
Uk
Usa

Czr

0

Mx

-.6

-.4
-.2
Civic attitudes: marginal country effect

WVS and OECD databases 1980-2000

12

0
Demand	
  for	
  regula>on	
  
Distrust and Political support for Regulation: Micro evidence
Distrust
others

Distrust legal
system

Distrust civil
servants

Distrust
companies

.027***
(.010)
114722

.025***
(.007)
93406

.013**
(.006)
111113

.139**
(.006)
111113

(2) Government should
control firms

.097***
(.014)
26978

.022*
(.013)
26919

.020*
(.011)
26594

.023***
(.019)
13318

(3) Government should
take more responsibility
N

.039***
(.006)
129393

.018**
(.006)
123798

.015**
(.006)
123798

.088**
(.006)
120807

(3) In democracies the economic
system runs badly
N

.134***
(.009)
76061

.081***
(.010)
47542

.082***
(.008)
74288

.053***
(.009)
65011

(1) Competition is harmful
N

Source: WVS - Controls: country fixed e ects, gender, age, education, income, political a liation
Robust standard error with clustering at the country level. ***:1%, **: 5%, *: 10.
19
The	
  Side	
  effects	
  of	
  Deregula>on	
  in	
  Low	
  Social	
  capital	
  
environment:	
  ex	
  of	
  Transi>on	
  Economies	
  
Changes in social capital between 1990 and 2000: WVS
0,14

0,12

Change in OECD countries
Change in Transition economies

0,1

0,08

0,06

0,04

0,02

0

Distrust in others

Distrust in civil servants

-0,02

-0,04

-0,06

29

Distrust in Business
Change in corruption: WVS 1990 and 2000
0,1

Change in OECD countries
Change in Transition economies
0,08

0,06

0,04

0,02

0

Justifiable to accept bribes

Justifiable to cheat on taxes

-0,02

-0,04

-0,06

30
Change in demand for regulation: WVS 1990 and 2000
1,2

Change in OECD countries
Change in Transition economies
1

0,8

0,6

0,4

0,2

0

Competition is harmful

Government should run business

31
Changes in civic education between 1990 and 2000
0,06

Change in OECD countries
Change in Transition economies

0,04

0,02

0

Education Respect and Tolerance

Education Unselfishness

-0,02

-0,04

-0,06

-0,08

35
State regulation and civil society: how to build a virtuous circle

Source,	
  Aghion,	
  Algan	
  and	
  Cahuc,	
  JEEA	
  2011	
  
Cha`er	
  

Lessons	
  from	
  	
  Private	
  Sector	
  
•  Trust	
  and	
  Horizontal	
  Organiza>on	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  Bloom	
  and	
  Van	
  Reenen	
  (2011)	
  &	
  	
  Algan,	
  Cahuc	
  et	
  Shleifer	
  (2013):	
  4,000	
  firms	
  
	
  
General	
  Index	
  of	
  Decentraliza>on	
  of	
  decisions	
  between	
  Central Head Quarter (CHQ) and plants:	
  	
  
«	
  How	
  are	
  decisions	
  taken	
  on	
  new	
  product	
  introduc>ons?	
  	
  At	
  the	
  plant	
  ?	
  CHQ?	
  Both	
  ?»	
  
«	
  How	
  much	
  of	
  sales	
  and	
  marke>ng	
  is	
  carried	
  out	
  at	
  the	
  plant	
  level	
  ?	
  »…	
  

14	
  
Cha`er	
  

Bloom	
  and	
  Van	
  Reenen	
  (2013):	
  Rela>onship	
  between	
  decentraliza>on,	
  produc>vity	
  
and	
  trust

	
  

Decentralization of decisions within firms
3
4
5
6

R-sq=0.37
Sweden
Denmark
Netherlands
Norway

Germany
Luxembourg
Belgium
Austria
Singapore
South Estonia
Africa
Puerto Rico
Brazil
Philippines

France

USA
Switzerland

Finland

Canada
Australia

UK Japan
Ireland
Egypt
India

Indonesia

Chile Jordan Spain
Israel
Nigeria
Tanzania
Peru
Zimbabwe Argentina
Poland
Portugal
Korea
Lesotho
Mexico
Vietnam
Romania
Botswana
Pakistan
Malawi
Zambia
Greece
Turkey
Venezuela
Morocco
Ukraine
Uganda
Hungary
Bulgaria
Italy
Mali
Banglades

China

Algeria

0

.25
.5
Generalized Trust, country average

.75

15	
  

!
Cha`er	
  

Decentraliza>on	
  and	
  Firm	
  Size	
  

16	
  
II-­‐	
  Educa>on	
  and	
  Trust	
  
	
  Show	
  the	
  rela>onship	
  between	
  teaching	
  prac>ces	
  and	
  social	
  
capital,	
  across	
  countries,	
  schools	
  and	
  within	
  classrooms	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  
	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  
	
  
	
  	
   	
  Ver%cal	
  versus	
  Horizontal	
  Teaching	
  Methods	
  
 	
  Varia>on	
  in	
  Teaching	
  prac>ces	
  
	
  	
  Country	
  level	
  (CES)	
  

3.5

Average	
  answers	
  for	
  “Lecture”	
  and	
  “Groups”	
  	
  

Teacher lectures - CES
2
2.5
3

ROM
RUS

ITA

CYP
BGR

GRC

PRT
CZE
HUN

NOR
EST LVA FIN

USA

SWE
AUS
LTU
SVK

DNK
SVN

GBR
BEL

1.5

DEU

2

2.2

CHE

2.4
2.6
Students works in groups - CES

2.8

3

!
 	
  Varia>on	
  in	
  Teaching	
  prac>ces	
  
	
  	
  Country	
  level	
  (TIMSS)	
  
JPN

3.5

TUR

Take notes from the board - TIMSS
2.5
3

FRA
GRC
IRL

SVN
AUT
BEL
RUS
HUN CZE
DEU
KOR
HKG

PRT
LVA
BGR
ROM

ISR

FIN

USA

AUS
ITA
ESP

GBR
LTU
SGP
SVK

CAN

CHE

DNK
ISL

SWE

2

NLD

NOR

1

1.5
2
Students works in groups - TIMSS

2.5

!
R=0.31

NW

.6

SWD

FIN

DNK
NLD

IDN
AUS

Generalized Trust
.2
.4

CD
USA
CHE
ISL
UK

JPN
IRE
SP DEU

ITA

BUL

LTU
ISR
SVK

KOR
AUT
BEL
RUS
HG
CZR
GRC

LVA
PRT

SVN
TUR

0

SGP
ROM

FRA

0

.5
1
1.5
Gap between Vertical and Horizontal Teaching

2
 	
  	
  	
  Across	
  Schools	
  varia>on	
  

• 
-­‐ 
-­‐ 
	
  	
  
• 
-­‐	
  
-­‐	
  
	
  	
  

“	
  Coopera>on	
  among	
  students”	
  
Increase	
  by	
  1	
  point	
  in	
  “Students	
  work	
  in	
  group”:	
  	
  
	
  2.1	
  %	
  of	
  the	
  standard	
  devia>on	
  in	
  the	
  index	
  “Coopera>on	
  among	
  students”	
  
Increase	
  by	
  1	
  point	
  in	
  “Teacher	
  lectures”:	
  2.2%	
  of	
  the	
  standard	
  devia>on	
  
“Coopera>on	
  between	
  students	
  and	
  teachers”	
  
	
  Increase	
  by	
  1	
  point	
  in	
  “Students	
  work	
  in	
  group”:	
  3.6	
  %	
  of	
  the	
  standard	
  devia>on	
  in	
  the	
  index	
  “Coopera>on	
  between	
  students	
  and	
  teachers”	
  
	
  Increase	
  by	
  1	
  point	
  in	
  “Teacher	
  lectures”:	
  1.6%	
  of	
  the	
  standard	
  devia>on	
  
Within	
  school	
  varia>on	
  

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Public Policy and Trust

  • 1. Public  Policy  and  Trust     Yann  Algan        Sciences  Po       OECD    October  14th    
  • 2. Introduc>on   •  Large  evidence  of  a  rela>onship  between   –  Ins>tu>ons  and  trust:  rule  of  law,  transparency  ….   –  Inequality,  segmenta>on  …and  trust   See  survey  Algan  and  Cahuc,  Handbook  of  Economic  Growth,  2013     •  How  can  we  iden>fy  the  impact  of  policy  on  trust  ?     –  Regula>on  and  Distrust….   –  School  and  Social  Capital      
  • 3.
  • 4. I  -­‐Regula>on  and  Distrust   Distrust and regulation of product market 3 R ² = 0 .3 2 UGA BRA Regulation of entry 1.5 2 2.5 CH N ID N VEN UKR RC G PH L JOR ARG D ZA EGY RUS TU R TZA VNM HRV J P N IN D P AB G R K M A R P RT E SK O R P P O LG A S V K C ZE N ZW R PEE D EI U A T M E X C HZ S V N LA F A U T L T U BF R A GD N LD BEL U S AE B R CH G SG P HU N ROM N OR D NK LV A IR L 1 S W EF I N .5 AUCAN S .2 .4 .6 D is t r u s t .8 Source:  Aghion,  Algan,  Cahuc,  Shleifer:  Regula>on  and  Distrust  QJE  2010   9 1
  • 5. 80 Distrust and regulation of labor market VEN R ² = 0 .1 1 Rigidity of Employment Index 20 40 60 ROM F IN NOR SW E TZA MAR SVN ESP GF R A RC PER P RT D ZA H RL V A V LT U X ME DEU RUS ZA F BRA IN D UKR ARG VNM I TPR K P O L AA TU RZW E KO SVK PH L A UT HU N JOR BGD BGR EGY BEL C ZE CHL CHE ID N N LD CH N AUS JP N IR L NGA D NK 0 CAN US A .2 .4 GBR .6 D istr u s t 10 UGA SG P .8 1
  • 6. Distrust, Civicness and Flexisecurity .8 R²=0.36 Expenditure per unemployed .2 .4 .6 Dk Nth Bg Swd Aut Switz Fra Ire Ger Sp Pt Pol Gre Cd Hg Jp Nw Aus Ita Uk Usa Czr 0 Mx -.6 -.4 -.2 Civic attitudes: marginal country effect WVS and OECD databases 1980-2000 12 0
  • 7. Demand  for  regula>on   Distrust and Political support for Regulation: Micro evidence Distrust others Distrust legal system Distrust civil servants Distrust companies .027*** (.010) 114722 .025*** (.007) 93406 .013** (.006) 111113 .139** (.006) 111113 (2) Government should control firms .097*** (.014) 26978 .022* (.013) 26919 .020* (.011) 26594 .023*** (.019) 13318 (3) Government should take more responsibility N .039*** (.006) 129393 .018** (.006) 123798 .015** (.006) 123798 .088** (.006) 120807 (3) In democracies the economic system runs badly N .134*** (.009) 76061 .081*** (.010) 47542 .082*** (.008) 74288 .053*** (.009) 65011 (1) Competition is harmful N Source: WVS - Controls: country fixed e ects, gender, age, education, income, political a liation Robust standard error with clustering at the country level. ***:1%, **: 5%, *: 10. 19
  • 8. The  Side  effects  of  Deregula>on  in  Low  Social  capital   environment:  ex  of  Transi>on  Economies   Changes in social capital between 1990 and 2000: WVS 0,14 0,12 Change in OECD countries Change in Transition economies 0,1 0,08 0,06 0,04 0,02 0 Distrust in others Distrust in civil servants -0,02 -0,04 -0,06 29 Distrust in Business
  • 9. Change in corruption: WVS 1990 and 2000 0,1 Change in OECD countries Change in Transition economies 0,08 0,06 0,04 0,02 0 Justifiable to accept bribes Justifiable to cheat on taxes -0,02 -0,04 -0,06 30
  • 10. Change in demand for regulation: WVS 1990 and 2000 1,2 Change in OECD countries Change in Transition economies 1 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0 Competition is harmful Government should run business 31
  • 11. Changes in civic education between 1990 and 2000 0,06 Change in OECD countries Change in Transition economies 0,04 0,02 0 Education Respect and Tolerance Education Unselfishness -0,02 -0,04 -0,06 -0,08 35
  • 12. State regulation and civil society: how to build a virtuous circle Source,  Aghion,  Algan  and  Cahuc,  JEEA  2011  
  • 13.
  • 14. Cha`er   Lessons  from    Private  Sector   •  Trust  and  Horizontal  Organiza>on          Bloom  and  Van  Reenen  (2011)  &    Algan,  Cahuc  et  Shleifer  (2013):  4,000  firms     General  Index  of  Decentraliza>on  of  decisions  between  Central Head Quarter (CHQ) and plants:     «  How  are  decisions  taken  on  new  product  introduc>ons?    At  the  plant  ?  CHQ?  Both  ?»   «  How  much  of  sales  and  marke>ng  is  carried  out  at  the  plant  level  ?  »…   14  
  • 15. Cha`er   Bloom  and  Van  Reenen  (2013):  Rela>onship  between  decentraliza>on,  produc>vity   and  trust   Decentralization of decisions within firms 3 4 5 6 R-sq=0.37 Sweden Denmark Netherlands Norway Germany Luxembourg Belgium Austria Singapore South Estonia Africa Puerto Rico Brazil Philippines France USA Switzerland Finland Canada Australia UK Japan Ireland Egypt India Indonesia Chile Jordan Spain Israel Nigeria Tanzania Peru Zimbabwe Argentina Poland Portugal Korea Lesotho Mexico Vietnam Romania Botswana Pakistan Malawi Zambia Greece Turkey Venezuela Morocco Ukraine Uganda Hungary Bulgaria Italy Mali Banglades China Algeria 0 .25 .5 Generalized Trust, country average .75 15   !
  • 16. Cha`er   Decentraliza>on  and  Firm  Size   16  
  • 17. II-­‐  Educa>on  and  Trust    Show  the  rela>onship  between  teaching  prac>ces  and  social   capital,  across  countries,  schools  and  within  classrooms                                        Ver%cal  versus  Horizontal  Teaching  Methods  
  • 18.    Varia>on  in  Teaching  prac>ces      Country  level  (CES)   3.5 Average  answers  for  “Lecture”  and  “Groups”     Teacher lectures - CES 2 2.5 3 ROM RUS ITA CYP BGR GRC PRT CZE HUN NOR EST LVA FIN USA SWE AUS LTU SVK DNK SVN GBR BEL 1.5 DEU 2 2.2 CHE 2.4 2.6 Students works in groups - CES 2.8 3 !
  • 19.    Varia>on  in  Teaching  prac>ces      Country  level  (TIMSS)   JPN 3.5 TUR Take notes from the board - TIMSS 2.5 3 FRA GRC IRL SVN AUT BEL RUS HUN CZE DEU KOR HKG PRT LVA BGR ROM ISR FIN USA AUS ITA ESP GBR LTU SGP SVK CAN CHE DNK ISL SWE 2 NLD NOR 1 1.5 2 Students works in groups - TIMSS 2.5 !
  • 21.        Across  Schools  varia>on   •  -­‐  -­‐      •  -­‐   -­‐       “  Coopera>on  among  students”   Increase  by  1  point  in  “Students  work  in  group”:      2.1  %  of  the  standard  devia>on  in  the  index  “Coopera>on  among  students”   Increase  by  1  point  in  “Teacher  lectures”:  2.2%  of  the  standard  devia>on   “Coopera>on  between  students  and  teachers”    Increase  by  1  point  in  “Students  work  in  group”:  3.6  %  of  the  standard  devia>on  in  the  index  “Coopera>on  between  students  and  teachers”    Increase  by  1  point  in  “Teacher  lectures”:  1.6%  of  the  standard  devia>on