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Vicious Cycle (US and Eurozone)
       Both economies are still suffering from the Great Recession, but
       US: Modest recovery driven by rebound in housing market
       EZ: Double-dip recession (esp. peripheral states such as Spain, in which u_rate is 25%)      Much Worse




                     d
                                                  Real Economy
                 shol    e
             Thre n U_rat
                 o                                                                                   Political deadlock
    FRB
Helicopter Ben        Loans decrease                                                                 US: Fiscal cliff
                                                           Fiscal austerity
                                                                                                     EZ: Brinkmanship
         Q
             E                                                                                          among members
                                                                                                        (Germany vs South etc.)
                                 Loans default                                      Taxes decrease
                                                                                                       Much complicated

                                                       Bailout costs

                                                                                Government Fiscal
                  Financial Sectors
                                                                                   Condition
                                              Losses on Gov Bonds
                         L
                         T
                         R                                  Both US and EZ have suffered from sluggish recovery, fiscal
                                      O




                         O
                                                            austerity and political deadlocks. And central banks have solely
                                    M
                                  T




                       ECB                                  prevented economies from collapsing.
                   Super Mario                              However, the economic and political condition in EZ is much
                                                            worse than those in the US.

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Vicious circle (Dec 2012)

  • 1. Vicious Cycle (US and Eurozone) Both economies are still suffering from the Great Recession, but US: Modest recovery driven by rebound in housing market EZ: Double-dip recession (esp. peripheral states such as Spain, in which u_rate is 25%)   Much Worse d Real Economy shol e Thre n U_rat o Political deadlock FRB Helicopter Ben Loans decrease US: Fiscal cliff Fiscal austerity EZ: Brinkmanship Q E    among members    (Germany vs South etc.) Loans default Taxes decrease Much complicated Bailout costs Government Fiscal Financial Sectors Condition Losses on Gov Bonds L T R Both US and EZ have suffered from sluggish recovery, fiscal O O austerity and political deadlocks. And central banks have solely M T ECB prevented economies from collapsing. Super Mario However, the economic and political condition in EZ is much worse than those in the US.