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Social Security: An Overview
AARP Illinois
June 2011
Agenda
Social Security:

 • Basics
 • Eligibility
 • Funding
 • Benefits
 • Trust Funds
 • Solvency


                   AARP   2
Social Security Defined


 Social Security established in
 1935, motivated because of the
 Great Depression. Social
 Security provides guaranteed
 retirement, disability and
 survivor benefits to eligible
 workers.
                                  AARP   3
Benefits Received
 By Beneficiary Type

• Retired – 67.2%
• Disabled – 17.7%
• Survivors – 15.1%




                                                             AARP   4
                       Social Security Administration 2010
Earned Benefit

Social Security is an earned
benefit. A worker must pay
into the system for 40 quarters.
Requirements for disability
and survivor benefits depend
on age of disability and death.



                                   AARP   5
Full Retirement Age is
Increasing    Age for Full/Normal Retirement Benefits
                 If you were born                                  Retirement age
                        in:                                     Year           Months

                   1937 or earlier                                65                                  0
                        1938                                      65                                  2
                        1939                                      65                                  4
                        1940                                      65                                  6
                        1941                                      65                                  8
                        1942                                      65                                 10
                      1943 54                                     66                                  0
                        1955                                      66                                  2
                        1956                                      66                                  4
                        1957                                      66                                  6
                        1958                                      66                                  8
                        1959                                      66                                 10
                    1960 or later                                 67                                  0
                Source: Social Security Administration, Social Security Handbook (13th ed.), 1997.        AARP   6
                Prepared by AARP Public Policy Institute.
Near Universal Coverage


  • 94% of workers are covered under
   Social Security
  • In IL, some state and local govt.
   workers and teachers participate in
   alternative retirement system


                                         AARP   7
Social Security Funding

 Interest     Taxes on
earned on     benefits
Trust Fund      3%
  assets
   15%
                Payroll
                 Taxes
                  82%




                                                                AARP   8
                          Social Security Administration 2010
2010 Average Monthly
Social Security Benefit


  •Retired worker - $1,175
  •Disabled worker - $1,068
  •Survivors - $994




                        Social Security Administration 2010   AARP   9
Social Security Cost of
Living Adjustment (COLA)

• COLA’s based on consumer price
  index (CPI-W)
• No COLA in 2010 and 2011




                                   AARP   10
Older Americans Depend
on Social Security




             AARP Public Policy Institute tabulation of the 2010 U.S.   AARP   11
             Bureau of Census Current Population
Social Security Helps Keep
Older Americans out of
Poverty
  100%
   90%                                                                    Above poverty
   80%
                       47.3             51.6
   70%   54.9   55.7
                                                           63.2
   60%                                                                    Above poverty
   50%                                                                    because of
                                                                          Social Security
   40%
                       33.8             30.1                              Below poverty
   30%   36.2   37.7                                       20.8
   20%
   10%                 18.9             18.3                16
         8.9    6.6
    0%




                         AARP Public Policy Institute tabulation of the March 2010   AARP   12
                         U.S. Bureau of Census Current Population
Social Security is
Important for All Incomes

     Low Income                   Middle Income                            Upper Income
                                        3%                                         3%
          6%
     3%                            7%
5%
                                                                     26%                             37%
                            20%




                  87%                                70%               34%




          Social Security    Pensions        Assets           Other

                                                                                                            13
                                             Center for Retirement Research; US Bureau of Labor 2009 AARP
Worker to Beneficiary Ratio




                                                                  AARP   14
                 2010 Annual Report of Social Security Trustees
Social Security Trust Funds
 Who are the Trustees?
   •   Sec’y of Treasury
   •   Sec’y Labor
   •   Sec’y of Health and Human Services
   •   Commissioner of Social Security
   •   Presidential Appointees (2)


 What are the Trust Funds?
   • Accounts in the U. S Treasury to which FICA
       and SECA tax dollars are credited and
       benefit payments are debited.

                                                   AARP   15
Social Security Trust Funds


  • Old Age and Survivors
   Insurance Trust Fund (OASI)
  • Disability Insurance Trust
   Fund (DI)



                                 AARP   16
Social Security Trust Funds
• Trust Funds track Social Security’s
 income and outflow of benefits
• Trust Funds credited with tax
 revenue and interest
• Trust Funds debited for benefit
 payments and administrative costs
• Trust Funds assets grow when
 credits exceed debits.
                                        AARP   17
Trust Funds Assets

 Trust Funds assets must be
 invested in interest bearing
 special issue Treasury bonds.




                                 AARP   18
Trust Funds Assets
• As of 2010, about $2.6 trillion of
 assets in Trust Funds
• Trust Funds assets are part of
 gross/total debt
• As Trust Funds redeemed to pay
 benefits they become publically held
 debt

                                        AARP   19
Trust Funds Assets
• Positive Social Security Cash Flow
     More Trust Funds debt; Less publically held
     debt
     Social Security historically had positive cash
     flow

• Negative Social Security Cash Flow
     Less Trust Funds debt; more publically held
     debt

• Costs can ONLY be covered if Trust
 Funds has assets                                  AARP   20
Social Security's Solvency
                                    FACT
                                     vs.
                                    MYTH

• Social Security is NOT in Crisis.


• Trust Funds invested in Treasuries
 and backed by the full faith and
 credit of the U.S. Government.

                                           AARP   21
Social Security's Solvency
        2010 Trustees’ Report
2015    Benefits exceed income
        revenue excluding interest
2025    Benefits exceed income
        revenue including interest
2036    Trust Funds assets are
        exhausted – Social Security
        must rely solely on tax
        revenue
After   Continued reduced benefits
2036    paid                          AARP   22
Key Features of Social
Security Program
• Earned benefit
• Guaranteed life-time benefit protected
  from inflation
• Higher the contribution, higher the
  benefit
• Progressive benefits



                                           AARP   23
Solvency Options:
Revenue Enhancements
• Increase level of earnings subject to
  the payroll tax
• Increase payroll tax rate
• Tax salary reduction plans in same
  manner as 401(K) plans




                                          AARP   24
Solvency Options:
Benefit Adjustments
• Increase the full retirement age
• Adjust benefit formula to decrease
  benefits for higher earners
• Change basis for annual COLA
• Means-test to eliminate benefit for
  highest incomes
• Longevity indexing of full
  retirement age
                                        AARP   25
Social Security Campaign




                           AARP 26
Social Security: Keep it Strong
You Earned It. Let’s Protect It.




                           27

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Social Security by AARP Illinois - June 2011

  • 1. Social Security: An Overview AARP Illinois June 2011
  • 2. Agenda Social Security: • Basics • Eligibility • Funding • Benefits • Trust Funds • Solvency AARP 2
  • 3. Social Security Defined Social Security established in 1935, motivated because of the Great Depression. Social Security provides guaranteed retirement, disability and survivor benefits to eligible workers. AARP 3
  • 4. Benefits Received By Beneficiary Type • Retired – 67.2% • Disabled – 17.7% • Survivors – 15.1% AARP 4 Social Security Administration 2010
  • 5. Earned Benefit Social Security is an earned benefit. A worker must pay into the system for 40 quarters. Requirements for disability and survivor benefits depend on age of disability and death. AARP 5
  • 6. Full Retirement Age is Increasing Age for Full/Normal Retirement Benefits If you were born Retirement age in: Year Months 1937 or earlier 65 0 1938 65 2 1939 65 4 1940 65 6 1941 65 8 1942 65 10 1943 54 66 0 1955 66 2 1956 66 4 1957 66 6 1958 66 8 1959 66 10 1960 or later 67 0 Source: Social Security Administration, Social Security Handbook (13th ed.), 1997. AARP 6 Prepared by AARP Public Policy Institute.
  • 7. Near Universal Coverage • 94% of workers are covered under Social Security • In IL, some state and local govt. workers and teachers participate in alternative retirement system AARP 7
  • 8. Social Security Funding Interest Taxes on earned on benefits Trust Fund 3% assets 15% Payroll Taxes 82% AARP 8 Social Security Administration 2010
  • 9. 2010 Average Monthly Social Security Benefit •Retired worker - $1,175 •Disabled worker - $1,068 •Survivors - $994 Social Security Administration 2010 AARP 9
  • 10. Social Security Cost of Living Adjustment (COLA) • COLA’s based on consumer price index (CPI-W) • No COLA in 2010 and 2011 AARP 10
  • 11. Older Americans Depend on Social Security AARP Public Policy Institute tabulation of the 2010 U.S. AARP 11 Bureau of Census Current Population
  • 12. Social Security Helps Keep Older Americans out of Poverty 100% 90% Above poverty 80% 47.3 51.6 70% 54.9 55.7 63.2 60% Above poverty 50% because of Social Security 40% 33.8 30.1 Below poverty 30% 36.2 37.7 20.8 20% 10% 18.9 18.3 16 8.9 6.6 0% AARP Public Policy Institute tabulation of the March 2010 AARP 12 U.S. Bureau of Census Current Population
  • 13. Social Security is Important for All Incomes Low Income Middle Income Upper Income 3% 3% 6% 3% 7% 5% 26% 37% 20% 87% 70% 34% Social Security Pensions Assets Other 13 Center for Retirement Research; US Bureau of Labor 2009 AARP
  • 14. Worker to Beneficiary Ratio AARP 14 2010 Annual Report of Social Security Trustees
  • 15. Social Security Trust Funds Who are the Trustees? • Sec’y of Treasury • Sec’y Labor • Sec’y of Health and Human Services • Commissioner of Social Security • Presidential Appointees (2) What are the Trust Funds? • Accounts in the U. S Treasury to which FICA and SECA tax dollars are credited and benefit payments are debited. AARP 15
  • 16. Social Security Trust Funds • Old Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund (OASI) • Disability Insurance Trust Fund (DI) AARP 16
  • 17. Social Security Trust Funds • Trust Funds track Social Security’s income and outflow of benefits • Trust Funds credited with tax revenue and interest • Trust Funds debited for benefit payments and administrative costs • Trust Funds assets grow when credits exceed debits. AARP 17
  • 18. Trust Funds Assets Trust Funds assets must be invested in interest bearing special issue Treasury bonds. AARP 18
  • 19. Trust Funds Assets • As of 2010, about $2.6 trillion of assets in Trust Funds • Trust Funds assets are part of gross/total debt • As Trust Funds redeemed to pay benefits they become publically held debt AARP 19
  • 20. Trust Funds Assets • Positive Social Security Cash Flow More Trust Funds debt; Less publically held debt Social Security historically had positive cash flow • Negative Social Security Cash Flow Less Trust Funds debt; more publically held debt • Costs can ONLY be covered if Trust Funds has assets AARP 20
  • 21. Social Security's Solvency FACT vs. MYTH • Social Security is NOT in Crisis. • Trust Funds invested in Treasuries and backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Government. AARP 21
  • 22. Social Security's Solvency 2010 Trustees’ Report 2015 Benefits exceed income revenue excluding interest 2025 Benefits exceed income revenue including interest 2036 Trust Funds assets are exhausted – Social Security must rely solely on tax revenue After Continued reduced benefits 2036 paid AARP 22
  • 23. Key Features of Social Security Program • Earned benefit • Guaranteed life-time benefit protected from inflation • Higher the contribution, higher the benefit • Progressive benefits AARP 23
  • 24. Solvency Options: Revenue Enhancements • Increase level of earnings subject to the payroll tax • Increase payroll tax rate • Tax salary reduction plans in same manner as 401(K) plans AARP 24
  • 25. Solvency Options: Benefit Adjustments • Increase the full retirement age • Adjust benefit formula to decrease benefits for higher earners • Change basis for annual COLA • Means-test to eliminate benefit for highest incomes • Longevity indexing of full retirement age AARP 25
  • 27. Social Security: Keep it Strong You Earned It. Let’s Protect It. 27