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US Economy
Stay Positive!
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Problems and Solutions
US & Intl Economic Situation
2016 Outcome & Implications
Future Growth
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www.andrewbusch.com
51yrs old
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2.9%
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4.9%
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+161K
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Quiz Time!
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Productivity=Growth
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Fed solution summary
www.andrewbusch.com
Policy solutions for growth
Free Trade=lower tariffs
Reg. Relief=reduced costs
Tax reform=capital formation
w/incentives
Infrastructure=efficiency
Energy Production
www.andrewbusch.com
His econ & tax plan
Cut Corp Tax to 15%
Limit Pass Thru 15%
1x 10% Repat Tax
Ag TPP and NAFTA
Impose tariffs on
imported goods
Big Drop in Interest
Deductibility
New $500B infrastructure
Full expensing!
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
100 day energy & reg plan
Save coal industry, Pass Keystone,
Lift moratorium for energy on Fed. lands
Cancel Paris Climate Agreement
Rescind and Reform:
Dodd-Frank
Obama executive actions,
Climate Action Plan,
WOTUS, Obamacare,
www.andrewbusch.com
Trump plans help/hurt
Help: big tech & big pharma
Hurt: debt heavy balance sheets
Help: industrials & manufacturers
Hurt: free trade
Help: energy production
Help: Transportation/Engineering
Help: financial sector
www.andrewbusch.com
Trump 2017 Plans
biz tax cuts
reduce regs
full expensing
against free trade
big hydro carbon
big infra
enforce immigration
curtail CFPB
www.andrewbusch.com
What is the hope?
Trump is a “businessman”
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www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
Polling before
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www.andrewbusch.com
1,200 Advice & Consent jobs
SCOTUS
Cabinet
SEC
CFTC
CFPB
www.andrewbusch.com
“First thing out of the gate
is a budget that gets tax
reform, that gets this debt
and deficit under control
and gets our military what
they need. Then we've got
to go work on regulations. I
want to work on poverty
and welfare. I want to work
on the rest of this agenda
(Better Way), effectively.”
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
Policy solution summary
www.andrewbusch.com
Future Growth Solutions
AI, Big Data, Analytics
Tech: disruptive vs. collaborative
Millenials: visual, social, digital
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Big Data, Analytics, AI
www.andrewbusch.com
Big Data, Analytics, AI
www.andrewbusch.com
… tech startups don’t
care about regulations.
They want to get a group
of clients and then
figure it out later
www.andrewbusch.com
Tech challenges
Collaborative: TUG, Redweek,
Timeshare Marketplace
Disruptive: VRBO, airbnb, HomeAway
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
Big challenge, big opportunity
Digital natives, distrust of big,
community focused
Giving HOPE
www.andrewbusch.com
Final Thoughts…

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ARDA 2016 November slideshare