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22 November 2016
All right reserved
Start-ups forum
Market Validation
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
64,2 % of Kickstarter
projects are not successfully
funded (since 2009)
46 % on KissKissBankBank
(since 2010)
35 % on Ulule (since 2012)
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
« Life is too short
to keep building something
nobody (or not enough people)
want »
Ash Maurya
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
To win in established markets, the
modern marketing model is
Product
Price
Place
Promotion
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
You must adopt a new lean approach
To open new markets with disruptive
products/services
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Ideas
Build
Product
Measure
Data
Learn
Lean Startup
Source: Eric Ries
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Understand
Problem
Define
Solution
Validate
Qualitatively
Verify
Quantitatively
Market Validation = Validated Learning
Problem / Solution Fit Product / Market Fit
Source: Ash Maurya
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
CONVERSATIONS OBSERVATIONS
In early stage, prefer qualitative learning
over quantitative tests
« Don’t ask what the customers want,
measure what they do »
Understand why
Rich Communication
Open to explore and discover
No group thinking bias
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Form a pair
Think about a challenge for
settling down in Luxembourg
Decompose it into 3 concrete problems
Let’s try it!
5 minutes
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Change peer (find someone else on customer side)
1. Welcome
2. Learn about your interviewee
3. Tell a story (set the problem context)
4. Rank the 3 problems
5. For each problem, explore existing
alternatives
6. Close
Talk to a potential customer
12 minutes
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
We want to learn about
• Customer segment
• Problem
• Existing alternatives
Problem Interviews
Source: Ash Maurya
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
We want to learn about
• Early adopters
• Solution demo
• Pricing fit
Solution Interviews
Source: Ash Maurya
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
DESIGN SPRINT in a week
Source: http://www.thesprintbook.com/
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
We want to learn about
• Unique Value Proposition
• Enough customers (channels)
• Revenue streams (pricing)
MVP Interviews
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Continue the conversation with beta users
…until launch
Refine your MVP
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Iterative & Incremental
1. Partial Rollout, usability interviews…
2. Full Rollout, usage metrics…
Agile Product Development
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Measuring Growth – AARRR
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Sample Techniques and Tools
Testing the problem
Customer interviews
Landing page
AdWords
Testing the solution
Explainer video
Mockups
Interviews
“Sell it before your
build it”
Crowdfunding
Testing the market
Wizard or Oz
Concierge
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
How would you feel if you could no longer use [product]?
1. Very disappointed
2. Somewhat disappointed
3. Not disappointed (it isn’t really that useful)
4. N/A – I no longer use [product]
If over 40% of users respond to the survey saying they'd be
"Very disappointed" to stop using your product, there's a great
chance your solution has found Product/Market Fit.
Product/Market Fit – the Sean Ellis Test
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Continuously identify and test
your riskiest assumptions
Market Validation
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
Sylvain CHERY – Director
• schery@agilepartner.net ; @sylchery ; +352 691 555 221
Follow us on:
Corporate Web Site : http://www.agilepartner.net
Blog: http://blog.agilepartner.net
Facebook Page : http://www.facebook.com/agilepartner
Twitter Account: http://twitter.com/agilepartner
Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/agilepartner
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/agile-partner-s.a.
Contacts
Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
25-27 November 2016
Technoport Esch Belval
More info and registration: http://www.up.co/communities/luxembourg/luxembourg/startup-weekend/10005

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Market validation (by Sylvain Chery)

  • 1. 22 November 2016 All right reserved Start-ups forum Market Validation
  • 2. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved 64,2 % of Kickstarter projects are not successfully funded (since 2009) 46 % on KissKissBankBank (since 2010) 35 % on Ulule (since 2012)
  • 3. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved « Life is too short to keep building something nobody (or not enough people) want » Ash Maurya
  • 4. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved To win in established markets, the modern marketing model is Product Price Place Promotion
  • 5. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved You must adopt a new lean approach To open new markets with disruptive products/services
  • 6. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Ideas Build Product Measure Data Learn Lean Startup Source: Eric Ries
  • 7. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
  • 8. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Understand Problem Define Solution Validate Qualitatively Verify Quantitatively Market Validation = Validated Learning Problem / Solution Fit Product / Market Fit Source: Ash Maurya
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  • 10. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved CONVERSATIONS OBSERVATIONS In early stage, prefer qualitative learning over quantitative tests « Don’t ask what the customers want, measure what they do » Understand why Rich Communication Open to explore and discover No group thinking bias
  • 11. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Form a pair Think about a challenge for settling down in Luxembourg Decompose it into 3 concrete problems Let’s try it! 5 minutes
  • 12. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Change peer (find someone else on customer side) 1. Welcome 2. Learn about your interviewee 3. Tell a story (set the problem context) 4. Rank the 3 problems 5. For each problem, explore existing alternatives 6. Close Talk to a potential customer 12 minutes
  • 13. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved We want to learn about • Customer segment • Problem • Existing alternatives Problem Interviews
  • 15. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved We want to learn about • Early adopters • Solution demo • Pricing fit Solution Interviews Source: Ash Maurya
  • 16. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved DESIGN SPRINT in a week Source: http://www.thesprintbook.com/
  • 17. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved We want to learn about • Unique Value Proposition • Enough customers (channels) • Revenue streams (pricing) MVP Interviews
  • 18. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Continue the conversation with beta users …until launch Refine your MVP
  • 19. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Iterative & Incremental 1. Partial Rollout, usability interviews… 2. Full Rollout, usage metrics… Agile Product Development
  • 20. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved
  • 21. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Measuring Growth – AARRR
  • 22. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Sample Techniques and Tools Testing the problem Customer interviews Landing page AdWords Testing the solution Explainer video Mockups Interviews “Sell it before your build it” Crowdfunding Testing the market Wizard or Oz Concierge
  • 23. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved How would you feel if you could no longer use [product]? 1. Very disappointed 2. Somewhat disappointed 3. Not disappointed (it isn’t really that useful) 4. N/A – I no longer use [product] If over 40% of users respond to the survey saying they'd be "Very disappointed" to stop using your product, there's a great chance your solution has found Product/Market Fit. Product/Market Fit – the Sean Ellis Test
  • 24. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Continuously identify and test your riskiest assumptions Market Validation
  • 25. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved Sylvain CHERY – Director • schery@agilepartner.net ; @sylchery ; +352 691 555 221 Follow us on: Corporate Web Site : http://www.agilepartner.net Blog: http://blog.agilepartner.net Facebook Page : http://www.facebook.com/agilepartner Twitter Account: http://twitter.com/agilepartner Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/agilepartner LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/agile-partner-s.a. Contacts
  • 26. Luxembourg Internet Days – 22 Nov. 2016 – All right reserved 25-27 November 2016 Technoport Esch Belval More info and registration: http://www.up.co/communities/luxembourg/luxembourg/startup-weekend/10005