Presentation on Tree Diversity Day, 11 October 2012, at the 11th CBD Conference of Parties in Hyderabad, India

1. Using
vegeta+on
maps
to
infer
the
suitability
domain
of
useful
tree
species
Roeland
KINDT,
ecologist
World
Agroforestry
Centre
(ICRAF)
(h>p://www.worldagroforestry.org/
)

2. World
Agroforestry
Centre
(h>p://www.worldagroforestry.org/
)
Collaborative programmes
in different ecoregions
Trees in forests and on
farms
Agroforestry
is
a
dynamic,
ecologically-­‐based,
natural
resource
management
pracHce
that,
through
the
integraHon
of
trees
on
farms
and
in
the
agricultural
landscape,
diversifies
and
sustains
producHon
for
increased
social,
economic
and
environmental
benefits.

3. Some
of
the
most
fundamental
contribuHons
of
trees
in
fields,
farming
landscapes
and
forests
are
as
direct
inputs
to
the
livelihoods
of
resource-­‐poor
rural
people.
Appropriately
managed
trees
help
diversify
rural
livelihoods
and
contribute
to
the
sustainability
of
agricultural
producHon
through
Hghter
nutrient
and
water
cycling
h>p://www.cifor.org/crp6
(and
references
within)

4.
The
Right
Trees
for
the
Right
Place
A.
Trees
for
Products
fruit
firewood
medicine
income
Sawn
wood
fodder
B.
Trees
for
Services
Soil
fer+lity
Carbon
erosion
watershed
shade
biodiversity
C.
Trees
for
right
place…
Simple
as
ABC
!?

5. The
right
trees
(A
+
B)
for
Africa

6. Useful
Trees
for
Africa
• Agroforestry
database
• Useful
trees
(Ethiopia,
Eritrea,
Rwanda,
Tanzania,
Uganda)
• Trees,
shrubs,
and
lianas
of
West
African
dry
zones
985
species

7. Occurrences
per
species
h>p://data.gbif.org/occurrences/
Occurrences Species Percentage Cum. Percentage
300+ 1 0.1% 0.1%
200-299 3 0.3% 0.4%
100-199 31 3.1% 3.6%
50-99 63 6.4% 9.9%
30-49 107 10.9% 20.8%
10-29 184 18.7% 39.5%
1-9 220 22.3% 61.8%
0 376 38.2% 100.0%
All 985 100.0% 100.0%

8. LocaHons
of
985
useful
tree
species

9. LocaHons
of
985
useful
tree
species

10. VegetaHon
maps
as
decision-­‐support
tools
for
species
selecHon
• The
Useful
Tree
Species
for
Africa
map
for
the
whole
of
Africa
– h>p://www.worldagroforestrycentre.org/
our_products/databases
• The
Vegeta4on
and
Climate
change
in
Eastern
Africa
map
for
7
countries
– h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

11. Decision-­‐support
tools
for
species
selecHon
http://www.worldagroforestrycentre.org/our_products/databases
“ICRAF
have
a
ni@y
new
tool
out
called
Useful
Tree
Species
for
Africa.
I’ve
been
playing
around
with
it
and
I
have
to
say
it’s
impressive.”
Luigi
Guarino
h>p://
agro.biodiver.se/)

12. Suggested
method
for
using
the
tool
...
Please
try
it
yourself

13. Suggested
method
for
using
the
tool
...
Please
try
it
yourself

14. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

15. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org
A
collabora+ve
effort
by:
Ethiopia:
Demissew
Sebsebe
and
Ib
Friis
(based
on
their
atlas)
Kenya:
Francis
Gachathi
Malawi:
Cornell
Dudley
Rwanda:
Christopher
Ruffa
and
Minani
Védaste
Tanzania:
Frank
Mbago
and
Heriel
Moshi
Uganda:
James
Kalema,
John
Mulumba
and
Mary
Namaganda
Zambia:
Mike
Bingham
F&L
Denmark:
Jens-­‐Peter
Lillesø
and
Lars
Graudal
ICRAF:
Roeland
Kindt,
Paulo
van
Breugel
and
Ramni
Jamnadass
We
are
very
grateful
for
the
sugges+ons
and
comments
from
Paul
Smith
and
Jonathan
Timberlake
(Kew)
New
website
(launch
August
2012):
hbp://www.vegeta+onmap4africa.org/

16. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org
Total:
7
volumes

17. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org
Ethiopia
–
zooming
in

18. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

19. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

20. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

21. VECEA:
A
higher
resolu+on
map
for
7
countries
in
eastern
Africa
(Ethiopia,
Kenya,
Malawi,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
Tanzania
and
Zambia)
h>p://www.vegetaHonmap4africa.org

22. Habitat
suitability
mapping
for
useful
tree
species
Ensemble
methods
–
present
and
possible
futures
(see
also
Eike
Luedeling,
today
at
15:50)
bio5 bio5 bio5 bio5
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.6
0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20
0.6
0.4
MAXENT
GBM
GLM
RF
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.0
100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300
bio5 bio5 bio5 bio5
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0.8
0.6
GAMSTEP
GLMSTEP
MGCV
GAM
0.4
0.2
0.0
100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300
bio5 bio5 bio5 bio5
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
0.4
0.30
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8
0.3
0.20
EARTH
RPART
NNET
FDA
0.2
0.10
0.1
0.00
0.0
100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300
bio5 bio5 bio5
0.15
0.6
0.6
ENSEMBLE
0.10
BIOCLIM
0.4
DOMAIN
0.4
0.05
0.2
0.2
0.00
0.0
0.0
100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300 100 150 200 250 300
agreement
between
14
models
on
the
predicted
presence
of
a
species
For
species
with
sufficient
point
data

23. Tree
diversity
analysis
• A
free
manual
and
soeware
for
biodiversity
analysis,
applied
(among
other
research
domains)
for
on-­‐farm
diversity
analysis
• Ensemble
suitability
mapping
methods
will
be
expanded
h>p://
www.worldagroforestrycent
re.org/our_products/
databases
h>p://cran.r-­‐project.org/
web/packages/
BiodiversityR/

24. Using
vegeta+on
maps
to
infer
the
suitability
domain
of
useful
tree
species
Roeland
KINDT,
ecologist,
World
Agroforestry
Centre
Thank
you
very
much
for
this
opportunity