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Why an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is not necessary A brief summary compiled by Leon Ashby, President “The Climate Sceptics” Centenary Medal recipient for services to the environment www.climatesceptics.com.au [email_address] Ph 0887259561
What this debate is  NOT   about ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Climate Sceptics position in Brief ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Is CO2 a pollutant? -  NO! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Is CO2 Plant Food? Here is what happens with more CO2 385 ppm  535 ppm  685 ppm  835 ppm
Extra CO2 makes the earth greener with extra plant growth
If CO2 levels double in the next 100 years, this will be the Average Growth Enhancement we can expect Source:  Idso May 2007
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Now zooming in on that small red section of Human caused CO2 emissions
And how much will it cost you and me to reduce Greenhouse gases by one millionth? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],So what will it cost us to reduce all of Australia`s emissions – The green amount
And to put that amount of CO2 in context   Every few months China alone increases its CO2 emissions by as much as Australia`s total amount So we must add at least one more of these each few months  Are you getting the picture of the futility of an ETS?
So for Australia to reduce all its CO2 Emissions by 2060 the costs will look something like this. $91,000 per yr $4,550 per yr
[object Object],[object Object]
So lets check Al Gore`s facts that he says supports this wonderful idea (And just in case you haven`t heard, Al Gore will profit from all this because he has large share holdings in companies that trade in carbon)
Al Gore says the Science is settled and 2,500 IPCC scientists agree CO2 causes climate change.  Is this true? ,[object Object],[object Object]
Of that 308, only  62  reviewed the last chapter which looked at what to attribute the cause of Climate change to.  ,[object Object],[object Object]
So the major statement of the review saying what climate change can be attributed to was supported by just  5  independent scientists - a few less than 2,500   ,[object Object],31,000 Scientists saying CO2 does not cause  climate change 5 independent scientists saying CO2 could  be the cause
What is the Earth’s normal temperature? Historical Evidence – The last 1,000 yrs
Over the last 5,000 yrs there were  three  warm periods (green sections) where it was warmer than today and the Earth survived. Today’s  Temp
Conclusion : Climate change is natural, and warmer periods occur without human CO2 emissions being the cause
[object Object],From 1870 to 1915, fossil fuel use was fairly flat & temp went down From 1915 to 1940, Fossil fuel use was flat, & temp went up From 1940 to 1975, Fossil fuel use went up, & temp went down From 1975 to 1998, Fossil fuel use went up, & temp went up The first 3 of those periods contradict the idea CO2 emissions makes the climate warmer
Evidence of the last decade
Conclusion: ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
The Evidence of the Arctic Ice Cap Since 2007, the Arctic Ice Cap is increasing in area back towards the average. Again this is the opposite to predictions
Evidence of Sea Levels While Sea levels were rising slowly since 1850, They have remained stationary since 2006, again against the predictions.
Evidence of Ice Cores Al Gore used the Ice core data to say that because there was a correlation between CO2 levels and temperature, CO2 made the temperature rise. Close analysis shows the temperature rose before CO2 levels did.   A contradiction to Al Gore`s claims.
Evidence of the Computer Models Since 1990, IPCC computer modellers have worked on predicting where the Earths temperature is supposedly going. We can now see how accurate they are.
And looking at their Predictions on a bigger scale
The Evidence of Verifiable Scientific Research In 2007 a Hungarian scientist Dr Ferenc Miskolczi published a peer reviewed paper and it has not been refuted. He has also worked out new laws about the atmosphere. He has shown from both atmospheric recordings and by theory that the greenhouse effect is saturated and  extra CO2 will not effect the Earths temperature .  Fellow Hungarian Scientist and IPCC reviewer Dr Miklos Zagoni now champions his work.  Now for one really important piece of evidence...
 
Miskolczi found the greenhouse effect (g) is a constant  and equals 0.33 (of the available heat) ,[object Object],[object Object]
This figure of 0.33 for g (the Greenhouse effect) is backed up by two other scientists Kiehl and Ramanathan in their book
 
 
And just to give you the full story, on the next page is the list of Scientists who have found the opposite results to Miskolczi and can demonstrate CO2 is going to cause the Earth to overheat and make the sea levels rise 6 metres or more.
 
So has anyone priced what an ETS will cost our businesses? Yes the Business Council of Australia reported this survey
Has anyone found what sort of price rises will occur in the first few years of an ETS? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
So you have some choices ,[object Object],5 Years after the ETS begins
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  But you can get involved and make a small difference ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
For more information contact The Climate Sceptics PO Box 721,  Mt Gambier SA 5290 www.climatesceptics.com.au [email_address] ph 0887259561 or 0887235550 Thanks very much for viewing this presentation. We hope to get to meet you sometime. Cheers, Leon Ashby

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Modification Leons Agw Presentation

  • 1. Why an Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is not necessary A brief summary compiled by Leon Ashby, President “The Climate Sceptics” Centenary Medal recipient for services to the environment www.climatesceptics.com.au [email_address] Ph 0887259561
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Is CO2 Plant Food? Here is what happens with more CO2 385 ppm 535 ppm 685 ppm 835 ppm
  • 6. Extra CO2 makes the earth greener with extra plant growth
  • 7. If CO2 levels double in the next 100 years, this will be the Average Growth Enhancement we can expect Source: Idso May 2007
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. And to put that amount of CO2 in context Every few months China alone increases its CO2 emissions by as much as Australia`s total amount So we must add at least one more of these each few months Are you getting the picture of the futility of an ETS?
  • 13. So for Australia to reduce all its CO2 Emissions by 2060 the costs will look something like this. $91,000 per yr $4,550 per yr
  • 14.
  • 15. So lets check Al Gore`s facts that he says supports this wonderful idea (And just in case you haven`t heard, Al Gore will profit from all this because he has large share holdings in companies that trade in carbon)
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. What is the Earth’s normal temperature? Historical Evidence – The last 1,000 yrs
  • 20. Over the last 5,000 yrs there were three warm periods (green sections) where it was warmer than today and the Earth survived. Today’s Temp
  • 21. Conclusion : Climate change is natural, and warmer periods occur without human CO2 emissions being the cause
  • 22.
  • 23. Evidence of the last decade
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. The Evidence of the Arctic Ice Cap Since 2007, the Arctic Ice Cap is increasing in area back towards the average. Again this is the opposite to predictions
  • 27. Evidence of Sea Levels While Sea levels were rising slowly since 1850, They have remained stationary since 2006, again against the predictions.
  • 28. Evidence of Ice Cores Al Gore used the Ice core data to say that because there was a correlation between CO2 levels and temperature, CO2 made the temperature rise. Close analysis shows the temperature rose before CO2 levels did. A contradiction to Al Gore`s claims.
  • 29. Evidence of the Computer Models Since 1990, IPCC computer modellers have worked on predicting where the Earths temperature is supposedly going. We can now see how accurate they are.
  • 30. And looking at their Predictions on a bigger scale
  • 31. The Evidence of Verifiable Scientific Research In 2007 a Hungarian scientist Dr Ferenc Miskolczi published a peer reviewed paper and it has not been refuted. He has also worked out new laws about the atmosphere. He has shown from both atmospheric recordings and by theory that the greenhouse effect is saturated and extra CO2 will not effect the Earths temperature . Fellow Hungarian Scientist and IPCC reviewer Dr Miklos Zagoni now champions his work. Now for one really important piece of evidence...
  • 32.  
  • 33.
  • 34. This figure of 0.33 for g (the Greenhouse effect) is backed up by two other scientists Kiehl and Ramanathan in their book
  • 35.  
  • 36.  
  • 37. And just to give you the full story, on the next page is the list of Scientists who have found the opposite results to Miskolczi and can demonstrate CO2 is going to cause the Earth to overheat and make the sea levels rise 6 metres or more.
  • 38.  
  • 39. So has anyone priced what an ETS will cost our businesses? Yes the Business Council of Australia reported this survey
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. For more information contact The Climate Sceptics PO Box 721, Mt Gambier SA 5290 www.climatesceptics.com.au [email_address] ph 0887259561 or 0887235550 Thanks very much for viewing this presentation. We hope to get to meet you sometime. Cheers, Leon Ashby

Notas del editor

  1. Do we live in a special time in which the laws of physics and Nature are suspended? No, we do not. Can we expect relationships between the Sun’s activity and climate, that we can see in data going back several hundred years, to continue for at least another 20 years? With absolute certainty. In this presentation, I will demonstrate that the Sun drives climate, and use that demonstrated relationship to predict the Earth’s climate to 2030. It is a prediction that differs from most in the public domain. It is a prediction of imminent cooling. To put the solar – climate relationship in context, we will begin by looking at the recent temperature record. Then we will examine the role of the Sun in changing climate, and following that, the contribution of anthropogenic warming from carbon dioxide. I will show that increased atmospheric carbon dioxide is not even a little bit bad. It is wholly beneficial. The more carbon dioxide we can put into the atmosphere, the better the planet will be – for humans, and all other living things.