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VENN DIAGRAMS: NATURAL HAZARD EVENTS AND VULNERABILITY


                                                  No disaster
             EXTREME                              Ex: Earthquake
                                     VULNERABLE
             NATURAL
              EVENT
                                     POPULATION   Ex: Tropical cyclone
                                                  Ex: Drought


                                                  Limited disaster
             EXTREME                              Ex: Earthquake
                            VULNERABLE
             NATURAL
              EVENT
                            POPULATION            Ex: Tropical cyclone
                                                  Ex: Drought


                                                  Major disaster
                                                  Ex: Earthquake
           EXTREME
                       VULNERABLE
           NATURAL
                       POPULATION
                                                  Ex: Tropical cyclone
           EVENT
                                                  Ex: Drought


Disaster = major hazard event increased by poor human preparedness and response
VULNERABILITY

1. Suggest factors which may explain why people live in hazardous areas
    • Earthquakes: San Francisco Bay
    • Tropical Cyclones: Irrawady or Mississippi Delta
    • Droughts: Sahel
    • Flooding: Delta of the Ganges
    • Volcanoes: Bali

2. Referring to named examples, explain how the following factors impact the vulnerability of
   a population to a hazardous event:
    • Population density
    • Understanding/knowledge of the area
    • Public education/awareness
    • Existence of an early warning system
    • Effective lines of communication
    • Availability and preparedness of emergency responders
    • Insurance coverage
    • Building codes
    • Efficiency/coordination of local/regional/national authorities
    • Cultural factors

3. Referring to named examples, explain why certain social groups of a population may be
   more vulnerable than others
VULNERABILITY: COSTA RICA
See also Haiti, p.215                                                       Droughts



Natural hazards in Costa Rica:                                                  Volcanoes
• Volcanoes (central mountain range)
• Earthquakes (West coast)                                                      Flooding
• Tropical cyclones (both coasts)                                               Earthquakes
• Droughts (North West)
                                                                                Hurricanes
• Floods (Caribbean floodplain)
Economic                             Social vulnerability                   Educational                               Environmental
vulnerability                                                               vulnerability                             vulnerability
Poverty:                             High hazard acceptance (survey):       •   Few emergency preparedness            •   Deforestation + Poor land
• 46% of pop makes less than local   • 27% believe hazards are “natural”        programs in schools, and usually          management = increase risk of
   minimum wage                      • 11% believe hazards are “wrath of        relate to seismic/volcanic activity       flooding, landslides
• 28% live in poverty                   God”                                    rather than flooding                  •   Urbanization of slopes and
Poor urban planning                  • 24% do not know the cause of         •   Hazard zoning are ignored and             hilltops = increased runoff and
• 63% of homes in Limon are not         hazards                                 high-risk areas are populated with        vulnerability of low-lying
   elevated                          • Most people believe that risk            help of government!                       populations (often poor)
• 99% of homes are not anti-            reduction is beyond their control   •   Warning systems are general
   seismic                                                                      (radio/TV), not targeted to
• Many public buildings also lack                                               specific communities
   preparedness
Three main needs for change in Costa Rica
1. Improve government organization: less centralization, more focus on local scale
2. Shift priorities: hazards should not be viewed as “inevitable” and “unpredictable” and “uncontrollable”
3. Increase local participation: all-inclusive disaster preparedness programs tailored to local needs,
     environmental management
A recent string of hurricanes in Central America since 1997 has led to improved collective awareness for disaster
prevention and strategic planning
VULNERABILITY: NEW ORLEANS (p.214)




                                     •   Median household income in Lower Ninth Ward:
                                         $32k ($10k less than national average)
                                     •   20% of households had no car (10% nationwide)
                                     •   25% of people in flooded areas below poverty
                                         level (twice national average)
                                     •   60% of people affected came from minorities
                                         (30% national average)
                                     •   Levees not designed to withstand 6m+ surge
                                     •   Pumping stations not designed to handle
                                         massive flood
                                     •   No mandatory evacuation until 24hrs earlier, no
                                         buses/alternate lodging provided for people
                                         with no cars
                                     •   Poor communication between city/state/federal
                                         authorities
                                     •   Poor organization of relief efforts
                                         (Superdome, looting)
VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE-RELATED HAZARDS IN AFRICA
(related to population density, development level, government, civil unrest)
PROGRESSION OF VULNERABILITY – CRUNCH MODEL

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II. Hazard vulnerability

  • 1. VENN DIAGRAMS: NATURAL HAZARD EVENTS AND VULNERABILITY No disaster EXTREME Ex: Earthquake VULNERABLE NATURAL EVENT POPULATION Ex: Tropical cyclone Ex: Drought Limited disaster EXTREME Ex: Earthquake VULNERABLE NATURAL EVENT POPULATION Ex: Tropical cyclone Ex: Drought Major disaster Ex: Earthquake EXTREME VULNERABLE NATURAL POPULATION Ex: Tropical cyclone EVENT Ex: Drought Disaster = major hazard event increased by poor human preparedness and response
  • 2. VULNERABILITY 1. Suggest factors which may explain why people live in hazardous areas • Earthquakes: San Francisco Bay • Tropical Cyclones: Irrawady or Mississippi Delta • Droughts: Sahel • Flooding: Delta of the Ganges • Volcanoes: Bali 2. Referring to named examples, explain how the following factors impact the vulnerability of a population to a hazardous event: • Population density • Understanding/knowledge of the area • Public education/awareness • Existence of an early warning system • Effective lines of communication • Availability and preparedness of emergency responders • Insurance coverage • Building codes • Efficiency/coordination of local/regional/national authorities • Cultural factors 3. Referring to named examples, explain why certain social groups of a population may be more vulnerable than others
  • 3. VULNERABILITY: COSTA RICA See also Haiti, p.215 Droughts Natural hazards in Costa Rica: Volcanoes • Volcanoes (central mountain range) • Earthquakes (West coast) Flooding • Tropical cyclones (both coasts) Earthquakes • Droughts (North West) Hurricanes • Floods (Caribbean floodplain) Economic Social vulnerability Educational Environmental vulnerability vulnerability vulnerability Poverty: High hazard acceptance (survey): • Few emergency preparedness • Deforestation + Poor land • 46% of pop makes less than local • 27% believe hazards are “natural” programs in schools, and usually management = increase risk of minimum wage • 11% believe hazards are “wrath of relate to seismic/volcanic activity flooding, landslides • 28% live in poverty God” rather than flooding • Urbanization of slopes and Poor urban planning • 24% do not know the cause of • Hazard zoning are ignored and hilltops = increased runoff and • 63% of homes in Limon are not hazards high-risk areas are populated with vulnerability of low-lying elevated • Most people believe that risk help of government! populations (often poor) • 99% of homes are not anti- reduction is beyond their control • Warning systems are general seismic (radio/TV), not targeted to • Many public buildings also lack specific communities preparedness Three main needs for change in Costa Rica 1. Improve government organization: less centralization, more focus on local scale 2. Shift priorities: hazards should not be viewed as “inevitable” and “unpredictable” and “uncontrollable” 3. Increase local participation: all-inclusive disaster preparedness programs tailored to local needs, environmental management A recent string of hurricanes in Central America since 1997 has led to improved collective awareness for disaster prevention and strategic planning
  • 4. VULNERABILITY: NEW ORLEANS (p.214) • Median household income in Lower Ninth Ward: $32k ($10k less than national average) • 20% of households had no car (10% nationwide) • 25% of people in flooded areas below poverty level (twice national average) • 60% of people affected came from minorities (30% national average) • Levees not designed to withstand 6m+ surge • Pumping stations not designed to handle massive flood • No mandatory evacuation until 24hrs earlier, no buses/alternate lodging provided for people with no cars • Poor communication between city/state/federal authorities • Poor organization of relief efforts (Superdome, looting)
  • 5. VULNERABILITY TO CLIMATE-RELATED HAZARDS IN AFRICA (related to population density, development level, government, civil unrest)
  • 6. PROGRESSION OF VULNERABILITY – CRUNCH MODEL