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DRAFT What would be the ideal solution? ,[object Object],[object Object],Forests in the new climate agreement
Who we are ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Deforestation is a significant source of CO 2  emissions Sources of global CO2 emissions, 1970-2004 Source:  adapted from Olivier et al, 2005 Essential
2  C target:  can’t be reached without forests: no longer a question of either/or Emissions reduction pathways to 2 degree C Source:  EDF, Getting REDD right, 2008 Essential
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Risk of action needs to be balanced against risk of no action  Essential
Criteria for an ideal solution ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Must be combined with dramatic cuts from industrialized countries  ,[object Object],GHG emissions by country, including LULUC Source:  WRI 2000 Effectiveness
Scope:  Needs to be broad enough for political feasibility Effectiveness Top forest-based emitters
[object Object],But narrow enough to enable action on priority areas ,[object Object],Source: Wetlands International and Delft Hydraulics Effectiveness
[object Object],Effectiveness Avoided emissions Feasibility (cost + accuracy) high high low low RED REDD+ REDD All terrestrial carbon
Volume of finance must be sufficient to overcome opportunity costs… Extensive  cattle Slash &  burn ag Intensive  cattle Intensive  perennials Precious  timbers Biomas s + - Soy Source: Wunder, 2008
[object Object],Effectiveness Expected evolution of funding needs Source: The Little REDD book, 2008
Agreement should minimize scope for political manipulation:  e.g. reference levels ,[object Object],Efficiency Source: Angelsen, 2008
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Performance-based incentives Efficiency
Efficiency and co-benefits ,[object Object],[object Object],Efficiency
Finance mechanisms ,[object Object],Equity Equity
Challenge remains matching funding sources to country needs, situations and forest types Equity Public funds Private funds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Safeguards Equity
Safeguards needed ,[object Object],Equity
[object Object],Expectations Appropriate expectations
Implies pluralistic, evolutionary approach ,[object Object],[object Object],Expectations
[object Object]

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Draft Seymour Kompr

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  • 5. 2  C target: can’t be reached without forests: no longer a question of either/or Emissions reduction pathways to 2 degree C Source: EDF, Getting REDD right, 2008 Essential
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  • 9. Scope: Needs to be broad enough for political feasibility Effectiveness Top forest-based emitters
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  • 12. Volume of finance must be sufficient to overcome opportunity costs… Extensive cattle Slash & burn ag Intensive cattle Intensive perennials Precious timbers Biomas s + - Soy Source: Wunder, 2008
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