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Indian Power Scenario:
Increasing importance of
renewables
A Knowledgefaber Article focusing on Solar
Power in India

Written by Vipul Vohra and Sushil Rajpurohit, Engagement
Manager and Consulting Partner at Knowledgefaber
respectively. Knowledgefaber can help you at every step of
building and growing successful power generation,
transmission or distribution business


11/14/2011
Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables




In this article the main objective is to understand the renewable energy scenario in India:

1.   What is the current power situation in India?

2.   What is the current renewable power portfolio in India?

3.   What factors are responsible for attractiveness of renewable energy and solar energy generation sectors in
     India?

4.   Solar energy policies and incentives offered by Central and State governments in India

Research Methodology

Knowledgefaber researchers have been tracking Indian Power sector on an ongoing basis

Extensive secondary research including but not limited to company websites, journals, magazines, literature
shared by participants, web search, etc. Numerous Interviews (primary research) with key participants from
existing industry players, investors and industry experts

Indian Power situation:

Power deficits are common in India and to some extent is one of key constraint to achieve high GDP growth.
Supply is much less than demand. Power cuts are common in most parts of country and power supply is erratic and
unreliable to be least

The GDP growth of 7-9% in last 7-8 years has fueled a rapid rise in demand which has outpaced the capacity
                                                          st
addition/renovation of the power plants in India. As of 31 march, 2011 the Installed power capacity is 176 GW
with energy mix of 65% thermal, 21% hydro, 3% nuclear and 11% from renewables as also indicated in fig.1.
Capacity addition has grown at 7% CAGR from 2007-2011 but still there remains high power and peak power
deficit ranging from 9-11%.

     Figure 1: India’s segment-wise installed power generation capacity 2008-2011 (GW)




                                                                                                          2
Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables


Renewable portfolio

One of the interesting aspects of India’s energy mix is the relatively high penetration of renewables and this
segment has witnesses the highest growth at about 20-22% in last four years.

As of 31st March, 2011 the installed renewable energy capacity in India is ~ 21 GW. As reflected in Fig. 2 wind has
69% share, small hydro with 15% followed by Cogen at 8% at Biomass at 6%. Solar is at nascent stage with <1%. So
we can see that in India the renewable energy is heavily skewed in favour of wind although enough potential exists
for biomass and bagasse. The biggest potential we believe lies in Solar. Solar has present capacity of ~45 MW with
87% as grid connected and 13% as off grid.




             Figure 2: Segment-wise break up of installed renewable power generation capacity (GW)




Attractiveness of Renewable in India

1)   India has limited coal availability for power as well the quality of coal has 30-35% ash content which makes it
     highly undesirable. Also, coal policies are controlled by government and establishing sufficient coal linkages is
     a challenge for the power generators
2)   In a bid to secure supplies to high grade coals, many Indian power generating players have to make coal mine
     acquisitions abroad resulting in added costs. These players should look at investing in renewable energy
     generation to diversify their operations and reduce dependence upon thermal energy alone.
3)   Limited domestic production of oil and gas in India restricts its use in power plant
4)   Increasing thrust from Indian top leaders on sustainable growth and clean technology
5)   Large thermal plants require huge tracts of land adjacent to a water source. Availability of such land and land
     acquisition are the major challenges.

The above mentioned issues does indicate the importance of renewable energy and particularly solar to meet the
rising demand of power and also to provide the energy security to India.

Potential and attractiveness of Solar in India

    India receives solar energy equivalent to - 5,000 trillion kWh/year

                                                                                                              3
Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables


    Daily average solar energy incident varies from 4 -7 kWh per sqm with about 2,500–3,000 sunshine hrs/year

    High solar yield

    Attractive Feed in tariffs and solar policies(National solar mission and various state solar policies)

    Tremendous opportunity for offgrid solution in India

    Solar In India has potential to reach 20-30 GW by 2020

                Figure 3: India’s segment-wise installed power generation capacity 2008-2011 (GW)




Solar policies/incentives

Indian solar policies can easily be divided into two main categories

A)   Central level
B)   State level

At central level National solar mission(NSM) is the most attractive solar policy with target of adding 20 GW of Solar
by 2022.The intent of this policy is to create a environment for a self-sustaining business models for utility scale
solar power plants and rapid diffusion of solar technologies in India. In long term, promote India as a leader in solar
industry through indigenous R&D, local manufacturing hub and innovative solar solutions

Highly attractive feed in tariff of INR 18-19 Kwh of PV and INR 12-14 kWh for solar thermal has been announced
and also a solar Renewable purchase obligation of 0.25% to start with is also mandated.

NSM has created lot of excitement among domestic and international solar community to look at India as one of
the potential solar hub. Already plants of ~ 300-400 MW are under various stages of construction/approval


                                                                                                              4
Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables


At state level the two states of Rajasthan and Gujarat have taken the initiatives to launch state specific solar
polices with attractive tariffs and incentives. Both the states are attracting tremendous investor interest. 500+ MW
of solar projects are under various stages of approval/construction as per state policies

                             Figure 4: Central and state level solar energy policies in India




With fast rising fuel costs and depleting resources, solar energy will play a vital role in ensuring energy security for
the country. Huge potential of solar energy in India along with investor friendly policies present an attractive
opportunity for investors to enter this largely untapped space and achieve high rate of growth

Solar application in India

India provides varied opportunities for the application of solar technology. Application ranges from power
generation in grid and off grid way to non power application of lighting, water heating and cooking food, irrigation
pumps etc.

                        Figure 5: Power and non-power applications of solar energy in India




                                                                                                                5

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Solar power in india

  • 1. Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables A Knowledgefaber Article focusing on Solar Power in India Written by Vipul Vohra and Sushil Rajpurohit, Engagement Manager and Consulting Partner at Knowledgefaber respectively. Knowledgefaber can help you at every step of building and growing successful power generation, transmission or distribution business 11/14/2011
  • 2. Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables In this article the main objective is to understand the renewable energy scenario in India: 1. What is the current power situation in India? 2. What is the current renewable power portfolio in India? 3. What factors are responsible for attractiveness of renewable energy and solar energy generation sectors in India? 4. Solar energy policies and incentives offered by Central and State governments in India Research Methodology Knowledgefaber researchers have been tracking Indian Power sector on an ongoing basis Extensive secondary research including but not limited to company websites, journals, magazines, literature shared by participants, web search, etc. Numerous Interviews (primary research) with key participants from existing industry players, investors and industry experts Indian Power situation: Power deficits are common in India and to some extent is one of key constraint to achieve high GDP growth. Supply is much less than demand. Power cuts are common in most parts of country and power supply is erratic and unreliable to be least The GDP growth of 7-9% in last 7-8 years has fueled a rapid rise in demand which has outpaced the capacity st addition/renovation of the power plants in India. As of 31 march, 2011 the Installed power capacity is 176 GW with energy mix of 65% thermal, 21% hydro, 3% nuclear and 11% from renewables as also indicated in fig.1. Capacity addition has grown at 7% CAGR from 2007-2011 but still there remains high power and peak power deficit ranging from 9-11%. Figure 1: India’s segment-wise installed power generation capacity 2008-2011 (GW) 2
  • 3. Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables Renewable portfolio One of the interesting aspects of India’s energy mix is the relatively high penetration of renewables and this segment has witnesses the highest growth at about 20-22% in last four years. As of 31st March, 2011 the installed renewable energy capacity in India is ~ 21 GW. As reflected in Fig. 2 wind has 69% share, small hydro with 15% followed by Cogen at 8% at Biomass at 6%. Solar is at nascent stage with <1%. So we can see that in India the renewable energy is heavily skewed in favour of wind although enough potential exists for biomass and bagasse. The biggest potential we believe lies in Solar. Solar has present capacity of ~45 MW with 87% as grid connected and 13% as off grid. Figure 2: Segment-wise break up of installed renewable power generation capacity (GW) Attractiveness of Renewable in India 1) India has limited coal availability for power as well the quality of coal has 30-35% ash content which makes it highly undesirable. Also, coal policies are controlled by government and establishing sufficient coal linkages is a challenge for the power generators 2) In a bid to secure supplies to high grade coals, many Indian power generating players have to make coal mine acquisitions abroad resulting in added costs. These players should look at investing in renewable energy generation to diversify their operations and reduce dependence upon thermal energy alone. 3) Limited domestic production of oil and gas in India restricts its use in power plant 4) Increasing thrust from Indian top leaders on sustainable growth and clean technology 5) Large thermal plants require huge tracts of land adjacent to a water source. Availability of such land and land acquisition are the major challenges. The above mentioned issues does indicate the importance of renewable energy and particularly solar to meet the rising demand of power and also to provide the energy security to India. Potential and attractiveness of Solar in India  India receives solar energy equivalent to - 5,000 trillion kWh/year 3
  • 4. Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables  Daily average solar energy incident varies from 4 -7 kWh per sqm with about 2,500–3,000 sunshine hrs/year  High solar yield  Attractive Feed in tariffs and solar policies(National solar mission and various state solar policies)  Tremendous opportunity for offgrid solution in India  Solar In India has potential to reach 20-30 GW by 2020 Figure 3: India’s segment-wise installed power generation capacity 2008-2011 (GW) Solar policies/incentives Indian solar policies can easily be divided into two main categories A) Central level B) State level At central level National solar mission(NSM) is the most attractive solar policy with target of adding 20 GW of Solar by 2022.The intent of this policy is to create a environment for a self-sustaining business models for utility scale solar power plants and rapid diffusion of solar technologies in India. In long term, promote India as a leader in solar industry through indigenous R&D, local manufacturing hub and innovative solar solutions Highly attractive feed in tariff of INR 18-19 Kwh of PV and INR 12-14 kWh for solar thermal has been announced and also a solar Renewable purchase obligation of 0.25% to start with is also mandated. NSM has created lot of excitement among domestic and international solar community to look at India as one of the potential solar hub. Already plants of ~ 300-400 MW are under various stages of construction/approval 4
  • 5. Indian Power Scenario: Increasing importance of renewables At state level the two states of Rajasthan and Gujarat have taken the initiatives to launch state specific solar polices with attractive tariffs and incentives. Both the states are attracting tremendous investor interest. 500+ MW of solar projects are under various stages of approval/construction as per state policies Figure 4: Central and state level solar energy policies in India With fast rising fuel costs and depleting resources, solar energy will play a vital role in ensuring energy security for the country. Huge potential of solar energy in India along with investor friendly policies present an attractive opportunity for investors to enter this largely untapped space and achieve high rate of growth Solar application in India India provides varied opportunities for the application of solar technology. Application ranges from power generation in grid and off grid way to non power application of lighting, water heating and cooking food, irrigation pumps etc. Figure 5: Power and non-power applications of solar energy in India 5