2. FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation
that address activities, events or developments that Antero Midstream Partners LP, and its subsidiaries (collectively, the “Partnership”) expect,
believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “intend,”
“estimate,” “project,” “foresee,” “should,” “would,” “could,” or other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
However, the absence of these words does not mean that the statements are not forward-looking. Without limiting the generality of the
foregoing, forward-looking statements contained in this presentation specifically include expectations of plans, strategies, objectives, and
anticipated financial and operating results of the Partnership and Antero Resources Corporation (“Antero Resources”). These statements are
based on certain assumptions made by the Partnership and Antero Resources based on management’s experience and perception of historical
trends, current conditions, anticipated future developments and other factors believed to be appropriate. Such statements are subject to a
number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of the Partnership, which may cause actual results to
differ materially from those implied or expressed by the forward-looking statements. These include the factors discussed or referenced under
the heading “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in the Partnership’s
subsequent filings with the SEC.
The Partnership cautions you that these forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause these statements to
be inaccurate, and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such statements. These risks include, but are not limited to, Antero
Resources’ expected future growth, Antero Resources’ ability to meet its drilling and development plan, commodity price volatility, inflation,
environmental risks, drilling and completion and other operating risks, regulatory changes, the uncertainty inherent in projecting future rates of
production, cash flow and access to capital, the timing of development expenditures, and the other risks discussed or referenced under the
heading “Item 1A. Risk Factors” in the Partnership’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 and in the
Partnership’s subsequent filings with the SEC.
Our ability to make future distributions is substantially dependent upon the development and drilling plan of Antero Resources, which itself is
substantially dependent upon the review and approval by the board of directors of Antero Resources of its capital budget on an annual
basis. In connection with the review and approval of the annual capital budget by the board of directors of Antero Resources, the board of
directors will take into consideration many factors, including expected commodity prices and the existing contractual obligations and capital
resources and liquidity of Antero Resources at the time.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made, and the Partnership undertakes no obligation to
correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by
applicable law.
1
Antero Midstream Partners LP is denoted as “AM” and Antero Resources Corporation is denoted as “AR” in
the presentation, which are their respective New York Stock Exchange ticker symbols.
3. ANTERO MIDSTREAM – 2015 GUIDANCE
Key Variable Initial Guidance(1) Updated Guidance(2)
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) $150 - $160 $180 - $190
Distributable Cash Flow ($MM) $135 - $145 $160 - $170
Year-over-Year Distribution Growth(3) 28% - 30% 28% - 30%
Low Pressure Pipelines Added (Miles) 44 27
High Pressure Pipelines Added (Miles) 20 15
Compression Capacity Added (MMcf/d) 545 545
Capital Expenditures ($MM)
Low Pressure Gathering $165 - $170 $90 - $95
High Pressure Gathering $85 - $90 $70 - $75
Compression $160 - $165 $165 - $170
Condensate Gathering $5 - $10 $5
Water Infrastructure(4) - $80 - $90
Maintenance Capital $10 - $15 $15
Total Capital Expenditures ($MM) $425 - $450 $425 - $450
1. Financial guidance per Partnership press release dated 1/20/2015.
2. Updated financial guidance per Partnership press release dated 10/13/2015.
3. Reflects the expected distribution growth associated with the fourth quarter 2015 over the fourth quarter 2014.
4. Includes fresh water delivery system plus waste water treatment capital expenditures.
Key Operating & Financial Assumptions
2
4. 3
0.9x
1.2x
1.3x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
$0.00
$0.05
$0.10
$0.15
$0.20
$0.25
$0.30
$0.35
$0.40
$0.45
$0.50
4Q14A 1Q15A 2Q15A 3Q15A 4Q15E 1Q16E 2Q16E 3Q16E 4Q16E 1Q17E 2Q17E 3Q17E 4Q17E
Distribution Per Unit (Left Axis) DCF Coverage - (Right Axis)
GROWTH – HIGH GROWTH MIDSTREAM THROUGHPUT
• Antero Midstream is targeting 28% to 30% annual distribution growth through 2017
Note: Future distributions subject to AM Board approval.
1. Assumes midpoint of target distribution growth range.
2. 3Q 2015 distribution per Partnership press release dated 10/13/2015.
$0.17
$0.18
$0.19
$0.205
(2)
5. Sustainable
Business
Model
High Growth Sponsor
Drives AM Throughput
and Distribution Growth
Largest Dedicated Core
Liquids-Rich Acreage
Position in Appalachia
$1.0+ Billion of
AM Liquidity
4
Premier E&P Operator
in Appalachia
100% Fixed Fee and
Largest Firm Transport
and Hedge Portfolio
Opportunity to Build Out
Northeast Value Chain
Growth Liquids-
Rich
Value
Chain
Opportunity
High
Visibility
Sponsor
Strength
LEADING UNCONVENTIONAL MIDSTREAM BUSINESS MODEL
“Just-in Time”
Non-Speculative
Capital Program
Strong
Financial
Position
Mitigated
Commodity
Risk
1
2 3
4
5
67
8
Premier Appalachian
Midstream Partnership
Run by Co-Founders
Consolidated Acreage
Position in Lowest
Unit Cost Basin
6. -
100
200
300
400
500
600 Core Net Acres - Dry Core Net Acres - Liquids-Rich
Largest Liquids-Rich
Core Position in
Appalachia
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Largest Proved
Reserve Base
in Appalachia
Top Producers in Appalachia (Net MMcfe/d) – 2Q 2015(1)(2) Top 12 U.S. Natural Gas Producers (Net MMcf/d) – 2Q 2015(1)
Appalachian Producers by Proved Reserves (Bcfe) – YE 2014(1)(2)Appalachian Producers by Core Net Acres (000’s) – August 2015(3)(4)
1. Based on company filings and presentations.
2. Appalachian only production and reserves where available. Excludes companies that do not break out Appalachian production including CHK, CVX, HES and XOM.
3. Based on Antero geologic interpretation supported by state well data, company presentations and public land data. Peer group includes AEP, CHK, CNX, COG, CVX, EQT, NBL, RICE, RRC, STO, SWN.
4. Southwestern leasehold and reserves include the impact from STO and WPX property acquisitions closed in January 2015.
5. Includes proved reserves categorized in “Northern Division” consisting of Utica Shale, Marcellus Shale and Powder River Basin.
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Appalachian Peers
11th Largest
U.S. Gas
Producer
5
3rd Largest
Appalachian
Producer
SPONSOR STRENGTH – LEADERSHIP IN APPALACHIAN BASIN
7. Note: 2014 SEC prices were $4.07/MMBtu for natural gas and $81.48/Bbl for oil on a weighted average Appalachian index basis.
1. All net acres allocated to the WV/PA Utica Shale Dry Gas and Upper Devonian Shale are included among the net acres allocated to the Marcellus Shale as they are stacked pay formations attributable
to the same leasehold.
2. Antero and industry rig locations as of 10/2/2015, and average rig count for 1H 2015, per RigData.
6
COMBINED TOTAL – 12/31/14 RESERVES
Assumes Ethane Rejection
Net Proved Reserves 12.7 Tcfe
Net 3P Reserves 40.7 Tcfe
Pre-Tax 3P PV-10 $22.8 Bn
Net 3P Reserves & Resource 53 to 57 Tcfe
Net 3P Liquids 1,026 MMBbls
% Liquids – Net 3P 15%
3Q 2015 Net Production 1,506 MMcfe/d
- 3Q 2015 Net Liquids 52,250 Bbl/d
Net Acres(1) 565,000
Undrilled 3P Locations 5,331
UTICA SHALE CORE
Net Proved Reserves 758 Bcfe
Net 3P Reserves 7.6 Tcfe
Pre-Tax 3P PV-10 $6.1 Bn
Net Acres 147,000
Undrilled 3P Locations 1,024
MARCELLUS SHALE CORE
Net Proved Reserves 11.9 Tcfe
Net 3P Reserves 28.4 Tcfe
Pre-Tax 3P PV-10 $16.8 Bn
Net Acres 418,000
Undrilled 3P Locations 3,191
UPPER DEVONIAN SHALE
Net Proved Reserves 8 Bcfe
Net 3P Reserves 4.6 Tcfe
Pre-Tax 3P PV-10 NM
Undrilled 3P Locations 1,116
WV/PA UTICA SHALE DRY GAS
Net Resource 12.5 to 16 Tcf
Net Acres 186,000
Undrilled Locations 1,889
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
RigCount
Operators
1H 2015 Avg SW Marcellus & Utica(2)
SPONSOR STRENGTH – MOST ACTIVE OPERATOR
IN APPALACHIA
8. 27.4%
26.3% 26.2%
22.8%
19.7%
15.2%
12.5% 11.7% 11.2%
8.7%
2.5%
(0.3%)
(1.2%) (1.5%)
(4.0%) (4.1%)
(13.6%)
(19.9%)
-25%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
40%+
7
Appalachian Peers
Source: Represents median of Wall Street research estimates for 2015E production growth vs. 2014 actual production.
1. Includes all North American E&P companies with a market capitalization greater than $4.5 billion.
2. Based on publicly announced 2015 production growth target of 40%+.
Antero’s 40%+ production growth guidance for 2015 leads the U.S. large cap E&P industry and drives AM growth(1)
GROWTH – HIGHEST GROWTH LARGE CAP E&P
(2)
10. 9
LIQUIDS-RICH – LARGEST CORE POSITION
Source: Core outlines and peer net acreage positions based on investor presentations, news releases and 10-K/10-Qs. Rig information per RigData as of 10/2/2015.
1. Based on company filings and presentations. Peer group includes AEP, CHK, CNX, CVX, ECR, EQT, GPOR, NBL, RRC, STO, SWN.
• Antero has the largest core liquids-
rich position in Appalachia with
≈371,000 net acres (> 1100 Btu)
• Represents over 21% of core liquids-
rich acreage in Marcellus and Utica
plays combined
• 2x its closest competitor
Antero has over 3,000 undeveloped rich gas locations with an average lateral length of 6,800’ in its 3P reserves
0
100
200
300
400
(000s)
Core Liquids-Rich Net Acres(1)
11. 248
139
94
254
289
15%
38%
47%
35%
40%
11%
29%
38%
28%
32%
0
100
200
300
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
Condensate Highly-Rich
Gas/
Condensate
Highly-Rich
Gas
Rich Gas Dry Gas
Total3PLocations
ROR
Total 3P Locations ROR @ 6/30/2015 Strip-Spot ROR @ 6/30/2015 Strip-Current
664
1,010
628
889
45%
31%
14% 16%
38%
26%
10%
13%
0
500
1,000
1,500
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
Highly-Rich
Gas/
Condensate
Highly-Rich
Gas
Rich Gas Dry Gas
Total3PLocations
ROR
Total 3P Locations ROR @ 6/30/2015 Strip-Spot ROR @ 6/30/2015 Strip-Current
MARCELLUS WELL ECONOMICS(1)
Marcellus Well Cost Improvement(2)
1. 6/30/2015 pre-tax well economics based on a 9,000’ lateral, 6/30/2015 natural gas and WTI strip pricing for 2015-2024, flat thereafter, NGLs at 32.5% of WTI for 2015–2016 and 50% of WTI thereafter,
and applicable firm transportation and operating costs . Well cost estimates include $1.2 million assumed for road, pad and production facilities. Current well costs include legacy contracts. Spot well
costs are adjusted for current market drilling and completion rates resulting in a $1.2 million cost saving vs. current well costs. Antero will begin to realize spot well costs as the company utilizes
incremental completion crews for deferred completions beginning at year end 2015 and as existing drilling rig contracts begin to roll off during 2016.
2. 2015E well costs based on $10.3 million for a 9,000’ lateral Marcellus well and $11.6 million for a 9,000’ lateral Utica well.
10
UTICA WELL ECONOMICS(1)
72% of Marcellus locations are processable (1100-plus Btu) 72% of Utica locations are processable (1100-plus Btu)
2015
Drilling
Plan
Antero has reduced average well costs for a 9,000’ lateral by 16% in the Marcellus and 18% in the Utica as compared to 2014 well costs,
through a combination of service cost reductions and drilling and completion efficiencies
− Well economics on some wells expected to improve further starting in early 2016 as the Company utilizes incremental market based
contracts for drilling and completion operations which is expected to reduce well costs by another 10 to 12% over time
Utica Well Cost Improvement(2)
$1.357
$1.144
$0.000
$0.500
$1.000
$1.500
$2.000
2014 2015E
$MM/1,000’Lateral
Well Cost ($MM/1,000')
16%
Decrease
vs. 2014 $1.571
$1.289
$0.000
$0.500
$1.000
$1.500
$2.000
2014 2015E
$MM/1,000’Lateral
Well Cost ($MM/1,000')
18%
Decrease
vs. 2014
SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS MODEL – AR MULTI-YEAR DRILLING
INVENTORY SUPPORTS LOW RISK, HIGH RETURN GROWTH PROFILE
16. $0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$MM
15
HEDGING – INTEGRAL TO BUSINESS MODEL
1. 4Q 2015 – 4Q 2021 hedge gains based on current mark-to-market hedge gains.
2. Based on NYMEX strip as of 9/30/2015.
Hedging is a key component of Antero’s business model which includes development of a large, repeatable drilling inventory
Antero has realized almost $1.5 billion of gains on commodity hedges since 2009
– Gains realized in 26 of last 27 quarters, or 96% of the quarters since 2009
● Based on Antero’s hedge position and assuming strip pricing as of 9/30/2015(2), a further $3.1 billion in hedge gains are
projected to be realized through the end of 2021
● Significant additional hedge capacity remains under the credit facility hedging covenant for the 2017 – 2021 period
Quarterly Realized Hedge Gains / (Losses)(1)
Realized Hedge Gains
Projected Hedge Gains(2)
NYMEX Natural Gas
Historical Spot Prices
($/Mcf)
NYMEX Natural Gas
Futures Prices(2)
3.1 Tcfe Hedged at
average index price
of $3.93/Mcfe
through 2021
$3.1 Billion in
Projected Hedge
Gains Through
2021(1)
Average Hedge Prices
($/Mcfe)
$3.94 $3.83
$4.06
$3.94
$3.75
$3.67
$4.51
Realized $1.5
Billion in Hedge
Gains Since 2009
17. Regional Gas Pipelines
Miles Capacity In-Service
Regional Gathering
Pipeline(2)
50 1.4 Bcf/d 4Q 2015
161. Acquired by AM from AR for a $1.05 billion upfront payment and a $125 million earn out in each of 2019 and 2020.
2. AM holds option to purchase 15% of regional gathering pipeline at cost plus cost of carry.
End
Users
End
Users
Gas Processing
Y-Grade Pipeline
Long-Haul Interstate
Pipeline
Inter
Connect
NGL Product
Pipelines
Fractionation
Compression
Low Pressure Gathering
Well Pad
Terminals
and
Storage
(Miles) YE 2014 YE 2015E
Marcellus 91 108
Utica 45 56
Total 136 164
AM has option to participate
in processing, fractionation,
terminaling and storage
projects offered to AR
(Miles) YE 2014 YE 2015E
Marcellus 62 76
Utica 35 36
Total 97 112
(MMcf/d) YE 2014 YE 2015E
Marcellus 375 800
Utica 0 120
Total 375 920
AM Owned Assets
Condensate Gathering
Stabilization
(Miles) YE 2014 YE 2015E
Utica 16 19
End
Users
AM Option Assets
(Ethane, Propane,
Butane, etc.)
VALUE CHAIN OPPORTUNITY – FULL MIDSTREAM VALUE CHAIN
Water Drop Down
Completed
18. Liquidity
STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION – STRONG BALANCE SHEET
AND FLEXIBILITY
Antero Resources (NYSE:AR) Antero Midstream (NYSE:AM)(4)
6/30/15 Debt Liquid Non-E&P Assets 6/30/15 Debt Liquid Assets
Debt Type $MM
PF Credit facility(1) $324
6.00% senior notes due 2020 525
5.375% senior notes due 2021 1,000
5.125% senior notes due 2022 1,100
5.625% senior notes due 2023 750
Total $3,699
Asset Type $MM
Commodity derivatives $3,096
PF AM equity ownership(3) 2,790
Cash 30
Total $5,916
Liquid non-E&P assets of $5.9 Bn pro forma for water drop
down significantly exceed total pro forma debt of $3.7 Bn
Asset Type $MM
Cash (including from water drop down) $30
Credit facility – borrowing base capacity 4,000
Credit facility – drawn (324)
Credit facility – letters of credit (475)
Total $3,231
Debt Type $MM
PF Credit facility(4) $439
Total $439
Asset Type $MM
PF Cash $0
Total $0
Liquidity
Asset Type $MM
Cash $-
Credit facility – capacity(5) 1,500
Credit facility – drawn (439)
Credit facility – letters of credit -
Total $1,061
Over $6.0 billion of liquidity at AR
including $2.8 billion of liquid AM units
Over $1 billion of liquidity at AM
Note: All balance sheet data as of 6/30/2015, except where pro forma.
1. Pro forma credit facility outstanding reduced by $794 million of net proceeds from $1.05 billion water drop down to Antero Midstream; additional consideration of 11.0 million AM units also received.
2. Mark-to-market as of 9/30/2015.
3. Based on AR ownership of AM units (105.9 million common and subordinated units) plus 11.0 million AM units received in AR water drop down. AM price as of 10/9/2015.
4. Pro forma for $1.05 billion water drop down funded with $113 million of cash, $439 million of debt and net proceeds from 11.0 million units to AR and 12.9 million units from PIPE transaction.
5. Credit facility increased to $1.5 billion upon water drop down – 3 new banks added to existing bank group of 17 banks.
17
Only 29% of AM credit facility capacity drawn
(2)
19. 0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8
TotalDebt/LQAEBITDA
(4)
• $1.5 billion revolver in place to fund future growth capital
(5x Debt/EBITDA Cap)
• Pro forma liquidity of $1,061 million at 6/30/2015
• Sponsor (NYSE: AR) has Ba2/BB corporate ratings
AM Liquidity (6/30/2015)(1)
AM Peer Leverage Comparison(3)
($ in millions)
Revolver Capacity(2) $1,500
Less: Borrowings 439
Plus: Cash -
Liquidity $1,061
Financial Flexibility
STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL
FLEXIBILITY
18
1. Pro forma for $1.05 billion water drop down funded with $113 million of cash, $439 million of debt and net proceeds from 11.0 million units to AR and 12.9 million units from PIPE transaction.
2. Revolver capacity increased to $1.5 billion at water drop down.
3. As of 6/30/2015. Peers include TEP, EQM, MWE, WES, RMP, SHLX, DM, and CNNX.
4. AM pro forma for water drop down; LQA EBITDA for water based on 2016E midpoint of 8.5x – 9.0x purchase price multiple announced.
20. TOP TIER DISTRIBUTION GROWTH & HEALTHY COVERAGE
19
26% 26%
24%
25%
24% 25%
18%
15%
10%
12%
6%
1.6x 1.5x
1.2x
1.8x
1.2x
1.2x
1.6x
1.3x
1.2x 1.3x
1.0x
0.00x
0.20x
0.40x
0.60x
0.80x
1.00x
1.20x
1.40x
1.60x
1.80x
2.00x
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
AM SHLX PSXP VLP DM MPLX EQM TEP CNNX WES MWE
3–Year Expected Distribution Growth Rate and DCF Coverage(1)
1. Based on Bloomberg 2015-2017 consensus distribution and DCF coverage estimates data as of 10/9/2015.
21. MWE
WES
CNNX
TEP
EQM
MPLX
VLP
PSXP
DM
SHLX
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
3% 8% 13% 18% 23% 28% 33%
Yield(%)
2015-2018 Distribution Growth CAGR
Bubble Size Reflects Market Capitalization
R-squared = .83
Note: Based on Bloomberg consensus estimates and market prices as of 10/9/2015.
ATTRACTIVE VALUE PROPOSITION
20
AM - Current
Yield: 3.18%
Price: $23.87
AM - Implied
Yield: 2.53%
Price: $30.05
• Attractive appreciation potential on a relative basis
23. 1. Represents inception to date actuals as of 12/31/2014 and 2015 midpoint guidance.
2. Pro forma for water drop down. Includes $15.0 million of maintenance capex at 2015 midpoint guidance.
22
Utica
Shale
Marcellus
Shale
Projected Midstream Infrastructure(1)
Marcellus
Shale
Utica
Shale Total
YE 2014 Cumulative Gathering/
Compression Capex ($MM) $836 $345 $1,181
Gathering Pipelines
(Miles) 153 80 233
Compression Capacity
(MMcf/d) 375 - 375
Condensate Gathering Pipelines
(Miles) - 16 16
2015E Capex Budget ($MM)(2) $256 $182 $438
Gathering Pipelines
(Miles) 31 12 43
Compression Capacity
(MMcf/d) 425 120 545
Condensate Gathering Pipelines
(Miles) - 3 3
Midstream Assets
ANTERO MIDSTREAM ASSET OVERVIEW
• Gathering and compression assets in core of rapidly
growing Marcellus and Utica Shale plays
– Acreage dedication of ~434,000 net leasehold
acres for gathering and compression services
– Additional stacked pay potential with dedication on
186,000 acres of Utica deep rights underlying the
Marcellus in WV and PA
– 100% fixed fee long term contracts
• AR owns 67% of AM units (NYSE: AM) pro forma
24. ANTERO MIDSTREAM ASSETS – RICH GAS MARCELLUS
23
• Provides Marcellus gathering and compression services
− Liquids-rich gas is delivered to MWE’s 1.2 Bcf/d
Sherwood processing complex
• Significant growth projected over the next twelve months as
set out below:
• Antero plans to operate an average of nine drilling rigs in the
Marcellus Shale during 2015, including intermediate rigs
− 100% of rigs targeting the highly-rich gas/condensate
and highly-rich gas regimes
• Of the 80 gross wells targeted to be completed in 2015, 90%
(72 gross wells) are forecast to be completed in the AM
dedicated area
− AM dedicated acreage contains 2,165 gross
undeveloped Marcellus locations and 313 Upper
Devonian locations
• Antero will defer 50 completions originally scheduled to
occur in the second and third quarters of 2015 into 2016 in
order to limit natural gas volumes sold into unfavorable
pricing markets
− 28 of the deferred completions are in the AM dedicated
area
Marcellus Gathering & Compression
Note: Antero acreage position reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are owned.
YE 2014 YE 2015E
Low Pressure Gathering
Pipelines (Miles)
91 108
High Pressure Gathering
Pipelines (Miles)
62 76
Compression Capacity (MMcf/d) 375 800
25. 24
• Provides Utica gathering and compression services
− Liquids-rich gas delivered into MWE’s 800 MMcf/d
Seneca processing complex
− Condensate delivered to centralized stabilization
and truck loading facilities
• Significant growth projected over the next twelve
months as set out below:
• Antero plans to operate an average of five drilling rigs
in the Utica Shale during 2015, including intermediate
rigs
− 100% of rigs targeting the highly-rich
gas/condensate and highly-rich gas regimes
• All of the 50 gross wells targeted to be completed in
2015 are on Antero Midstream’s footprint
Utica Gathering & Compression
Note: Antero acreage position reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are owned.
ANTERO MIDSTREAM ASSETS – RICH & DRY GAS UTICA
YE 2014 YE 2015E
Low Pressure Gathering
Pipelines (Miles)
45 56
High Pressure Gathering
Pipelines (Miles)
35 36
Condensate Pipelines (Miles) 16 19
Compression Capacity (MMcf/d) 0 120
26. ANTERO INTEGRATED WATER BUSINESS
25
Marcellus Fresh Water System(2)
• Provides fresh water to support Marcellus well completions
• Year-round water supply sources: Ohio River and local rivers
• Ozone Water treatment facility to be in-service by 3Q 2015
• Significant asset growth in 2015 as summarized below:
Note: Antero acreage position reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are owned.
1. Represents inception to date actuals as of 06/30/2015 and 2015 guidance.
2. All Antero water withdrawal sites are fully permitted under long-term state regulatory permits both in WV and OH.
3. Assumes fee of $3.685 per barrel subject to annual inflation and 250,000 barrels of water per well that utilize the fresh water delivery system based on 9,000 foot lateral. Operating margin excludes G&A.
4. Assumes fee of $3.635 per barrel subject to annual inflation and 275,000 barrels of water per well that utilize the fresh water delivery system based on 9,000 foot lateral. Operating margin excludes G&A.
Utica Fresh Water System(2)
• Provides fresh water to support Utica well completions
• Year-round water supply sources: local reservoirs and rivers
• Significant asset growth in 2015 as summarized below:
Marcellus Water System YE 2014 YE 2015E
Water Pipeline (Miles) 177 226
Fresh Water Storage Impoundments 22 24
Cash Operating Margin per Well ($)(3) $700K -
$750K
Utica Water System YE 2014 YE 2015E
Water Pipeline (Miles) 61 90
Fresh Water Storage Impoundments 8 14
Cash Operating Margin per Well ($)(4) $775K -
$825K
Projected Fresh Water Delivery Infrastructure(1)
Marcellus
Shale
Utica
Shale Total
YE 2015E Cumulative
Water System Capex ($MM) $340 $113 $453
Water Pipelines (Miles) 226 90 316
Water Storage Facilities 24 14 38
AM has acquired AR’s integrated water business for $1.05 billion plus earn out payments of $125 million at year-end in each of 2019 and 2020
− The acquired business includes Antero’s Marcellus and Utica freshwater delivery business, the fully-contracted future advanced wastewater
treatment complex and all fluid handling and disposal services for Antero
Antero advanced wastewater treatment facility
to be constructed – connects to Antero
freshwater delivery system
27. 0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Antero Clearwater Advanced Wastewater Treatment Capacity (Bbl/d)
Produced/Flowback Volumes (Bbl/d)
ADVANCED WASTEWATER TREATMENT
Illustrative Produced & Flowback Water VolumesAdvanced Wastewater Treatment
Antero Produced Water Services and Freshwater Delivery Business
Antero Advanced
Wastewater Treatment
3rd Party Recycling
and Well Disposal
(Bbl/d)
Advanced Wastewater Treatment Complex
Estimated capital expenditures ($ million)(1) ~$275
Standalone EBITDA at 100% utilization(2) ~$55 – $65
Implied investment to standalone EBITDA build-out multiple ~4x – 5x
Estimated per well savings to Antero Resources ~$150,000
Estimated in-service date Late 2017
Operating capacity (Bbl/d) 60,000
Operating agreement
•Antero has contracted with Veolia to integrate an advanced wastewater treatment complex into its water business
• Veolia will build and operate, and Antero will own largest
advanced wastewater treatment complex in Appalachia
− Will treat and recycle AR produced and flowback water
− Creates additional year-round water source for completions
− Will have capacity for third party business over first two years
1. Includes capital to construct pipeline to connect facility to freshwater delivery system. Includes $10 million that AR agreed to fund in the drop down transaction.
2. Standalone EBITDA projection assumes inter-company fixed fee for recycling of $4.00 per barrel and 60,000 barrels per day of capacity. Does not include potential sales of marketable byproducts.
20 Years, Extendable
26Integrated Water Business
28. ORGANIC GROWTH STRATEGY: “BUILD VS. BUY”
27
• Organic growth strategy provides attractive
returns and project economics, while
avoiding the competitive acquisition market
• Industry leading organic growth story
– ~$1.06 billion in capital spent through
9/30/2014
– $425 million in additional growth capital
forecast for the twelve-month period
ending 12/31/15 (excludes $12.5 million of
maintenance capital)
Note: Precedent data per IHS Herold’s research and public filings.
1. Antero organic multiple calculated as estimated gathering and compression capital expended through Q3 2014 divided by 2015 projected gathering and compression EBITDA, assuming 12-15 month
lag between capital incurred and full system utilization.
2. Selected gathering and compression drop down acquisitions since 1/1/2011. Drop down multiples are based on NTM EBITDA. Source: Barclays.
6.8x
11.9x
10.7x
10.0x
9.3x
9.0x 9.0x 9.0x 8.9x 8.9x 8.8x
8.6x
8.0x 7.9x
7.0x 6.9x
5.5x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
8.0x
9.0x
10.0x
11.0x
12.0x
Drop Down Multiple(2)
Organic EBITDA Multiple vs. Precedent Drop Down Multiples
Median: 8.9x
Value creation for the AM unit holder =
Build at 4x to 7x EBITDA
vs.
Drop Down / Buy at 8x to 12x EBITDA
29. LP
Gathering
HP
Gathering Compression
Condensate
Gathering
Water
Business
Regional
Pipeline
Processing/
Fractionation
Unlevered IRR Range: 25% - 35% 15% - 25% 10% - 20% 25% - 35% 30% - 40% 15% - 25% 15% - 20%
Payout (Years): 2.5 - 4.0 3.5 - 4.5 4.0 - 6.5 2.0 - 3.5 2.0 – 3.0 3.5 - 7.0 5.0 - 6.0
Minimum Volume Commitments: N/A 75% 70% N/A Yes 80% 80%
2015 Capex(2) Total
Marcellus $298 $49 $62 $105 - $82
Utica 125 44 11 63 5 3
Growth Capex $423 $93 $73 $168 $5 $85
% of Capex 100% 22% 17% 40% 1% 20%
Included in 2015 Budget: Marcellus &
Utica
Marcellus &
Utica
Marcellus &
Utica
Utica Marcellus &
Utica
Not Included Not Included
Additional In-hand
Opportunities:
Dry Utica Dry Utica Dry Utica Utica
Stabilization
Dry Utica Regional
Gathering
Pipeline
Marcellus
Processing/
Fractionation
25%
15%
10%
25%
30%
15% 15%
35%
25%
20%
35%
25%
20%
40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
InternalRateofReturn
28
Project Economics by Segment(1)
ESTIMATED PROJECT ECONOMICS BY SEGMENT
1. Based on management capex, operating cost and throughput assumptions by project. Capex guidance updated per 9/18/2015 Partnership press release.
2. Excludes $15.0 million of maintenance capex.
Wtd. Avg. 24% IRR
AM Option Opportunities
30. AM UPSIDE OPPORTUNITY SET
29
ACTIVITY CURRENTLY DEDICATED TO AM
Third Party Business
Processing, Fractionation,
Transportation and Marketing
Regional Pipeline Project
• Option to participate for up to 15% in regional gathering
pipeline project in West Virginia expected to go in-service
in 4Q 2015
• Additive to full value chain model
• Opportunity to expand fresh water, waste water and
gathering/compression services to third parties in Marcellus
and Utica to enhance asset utilization
• AR must request a bid from AM and can only reject if third
party service fees are lower. AM has right to match
lower fee offer.
WV/PA Utica Dry Gas
• 186,000 net acres of AR Utica dry gas acreage underlying
the Marcellus in West Virginia and Pennsylvania dedicated
to AM
• AR drilling its first WV Utica well
Active AR Leasing
• Future acreage acquisitions by AR are dedicated to AM
• Added 92,000 net acres in 2014 and have added 20,000
net acres in 2015
31. REGIONAL PIPELINE PROJECT
•Option to Acquire Up To 15% Non-Op Equity
Interest
●Enables Antero Resources to move up to 1.1
Bcf/d of gas on a firm basis to more
favorably priced markets including TCO,
NYMEX and Gulf Coast markets
●Once the Regional Pipeline is placed into
service, Antero Resources plans to complete
the previously deferred 50 Marcellus wells,
resulting in approximately 350 MMcf/d of
incremental gross gas production at its peak
Regional Gathering Pipeline
Throughput Capacity: 1.4 Bcf/d
Pipeline
Specifications:
50 miles of 36 inch pipeline
Project Capital: ≈ $400 Million
In-Service Date: 4Q 2015
AR Firm Commitment: 900 MMcf/d
30
32. PROCESSING – VALUE CHAIN POTENTIAL
FOR UNDEDICATED ACREAGE
Sherwood
Processing
Complex
AR acreage position on map reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are held.
1. Antero gross 3P C3+ NGL volumes and 3P Gross Wellhead Gas reserves as of 12/31/2014.
Processing Area Of
Dedication for AM
MarkWest
Processing AOD
– 194,500 Gross
Acres
Tyler County
70,000 Gross Acres
Ritchie County
46,500 Gross Acres
Antero Resources has 11.6 Tcf of processable gross 3P gas reserves and 616 Million Bbls of gross 3P NGL
reserves across 128,500 gross processable Marcellus acres that are dedicated to Antero Midstream for processing
31
Gilmer County
12,000 Gross Acres
AR Gross Gross 3P NGL AR 3P Gross
Processable Reserves Wellhead Gas
Acres (MMBbls) (1)
(Tcf)
Potential Processing AOD for AM
Tyler 70,000 382.2 6.6
Ritchie 46,500 196.6 4.0
Gilmer 12,000 37.1 1.0
Total 128,500 615.9 11.6
33. LARGE UTICA SHALE DRY GAS POSITION
32
Antero has the right to build gathering and compression
infrastructure to move Antero’s future dry gas Utica
production
− AM pro forma water business would also serve Antero’s
dry gas Utica development
Antero drilled and cased its first dry gas Utica well in 3Q
2015
Antero has 226,000 net acres of exposure to Utica dry gas
play
Other operators have reported strong Utica Shale dry gas
results including the following wells:
Chesapeake
Hubbard BRK #3H
3,550’ Lateral
IP 11.1 MMcf/d
Hess
Porterfield 1H-17
5,000’ Lateral
IP 17.2 MMcf/d
Gulfport
Irons #1-4H
5,714’ Lateral
IP 30.3 MMcf/d
Eclipse
Tippens #6H
5,858’ Lateral
IP 23.2 MMcf/d
Magnum Hunter
Stalder #3UH
5,050’ Lateral
IP 32.5 MMcf/d
Antero
Utica Well
Drilling
Well Operator
24-hr IP
(MMcf/d)
Lateral
Length
(Ft)
IP/1,000’
Lateral
(MMcf/d)
Scotts Run EQT 72.9 3,221 22.633
Gaut 4IH CNX 61.0 5,840 11.131
CSC #11H RRC 59.0 5,420 10.886
Stewart-Win 1300U MHR 46.5 5,289 8.792
Bigfoot 9H RICE 41.7 6,957 5.994
Blank U-7H GST 36.8 6,617 5.561
Stalder #3UH MHR 32.5 5,050 6.436
Irons #1-4H GPOR 30.3 5,714 5.303
Pribble 6HU SGY 30.0 3,605 8.322
Simms U-5H GST 29.4 4,447 6.611
Conner 6H CVX 25.0 6,451 3.875
Messenger 3H SWN 25.0 5,889 4.245
Tippens #6H ECR 23.2 5,858 3.960
Porterfield 1H-17 HESS 17.2 5,000 3.440
1. Antero acreage position reflects tax districts in which greater than 3,000 net acres are held in OH, WV and PA.
Magnum Hunter
Stewart Winland 1300U
5,289’ Lateral
IP 46.5 MMcf/d
Range
Claysville SC #11H
5,420’ Lateral
IP 59.0 MMcf/d
Chevron
Conner 6H
6,451’ Lateral
IP 25.0 MMcf/d
Gastar
Simms U-5H
4,447’ Lateral
IP 29.4 MMcf/d
Utica Shale Dry Gas Acreage in OH/WV/PA(1)
Rice
Bigfoot 9H
6,957’ Lateral
IP 41.7 MMcf/d
AR Utica Shale Dry Gas
WV/PA
Net Resource
12.5 to 16 Tcf
1,889 Gross Locations
186,000 Net Acres
AR Utica Shale Dry Gas
Ohio
3P Reserves
2.4 Tcf
289 Gross Locations
40,000 Net Acres
AR Utica Shale Dry Gas
Total OH/WV/PA
Net Resource
14.9 to 18.4 Tcf
2,178 Gross Locations
226,000 Net Acres
Stone Energy
Pribble 6HU
3,605’ Lateral
IP 30.0 MMcf/d
Southwestern
Messenger 3H
5,889’ Lateral
IP 25.0 MMcf/d
Rice
Blue Thunder
10H, 12H
≈9,000’ Lateral
Gastar
Blake U-7H
6,617’ Lateral
IP 36.8 MMcf/d
EQT
Scotts Run
3,221’ Lateral
IP 72.9 MMcf/d
CNX
Gaut 4IH
5,840’ Lateral
IP 61.0 MMcf/d
34. Low Cost
Marcellus/Utica Focus
“Best-in-Class”
Distribution Growth
33
CATALYSTS
28% to 30% per year from 2015 to 2017 targeted based on Sponsor
planned development; additional third party business expansion
opportunities
AM Sponsor is the most active operator in Appalachia; 40%+ production
growth targeted for 2015 supported by $1.8 billion capital budget, firm
processing and takeaway, long-term natural gas hedges and $3.2 billion
of liquidity; targeting 25% to 30% production growth in 2016
Sponsor operations target two of the lowest cost shale plays in North
America; attractive well economics support continued drilling at current
prices
Multiple opportunities exist for additional gathering and compression,
processing and pipeline assets for Sponsor and third party use
Appalachian Basin
Midstream Growth
High Growth Sponsor
Production Profile
1
2
3
4
5
6
Acquisition of integrated water business from Antero expected to result
in distributable cash flow per unit accretion in 2016
Stacked Pay Basin
Upside
Development of Utica Shale Dry Gas and Upper Devonian resources
provide further midstream infrastructure expansion opportunities
Integrated Water
Business Drop Down
36. Transaction Specifics
ASSETS:
• Antero’s Marcellus and Utica freshwater delivery business, the fully contracted future
advanced wastewater treatment complex and 20-year agreement to cover all fluid
handling and disposal services for Antero
PURCHASE PRICE:
• $1.05 billion initial payment at closing and earn out payments at year-end 2019 and 2020
of $125 million each if 3-year volume threshold is met
MINIMUM VOLUME
COMMITMENTS:
• 90,000 Bbl/d in 2016, 100,000 Bbl/d in 2017 and 120,000 Bbl/d in 2018 and 2019
FINANCING:
• $243 million of units issued via PIPE, $257 million of units issued to Antero Resources and
$552 million from existing cash and revolving credit facility; 23.9 million partnership units
issued in total
CLOSING: • Expected to close concurrently with AM PIPE unit offering on September 23, 2015
Transaction Rationale
SCALE/GROWTH:
• Accretive to AM growth story and adds largest Appalachian integrated water business to
high growth gathering and compressions assets to create one of the highest growth
midstream MLPs in the U.S.
• PIPE cash proceeds to be used by AR to repay debt and fund future development plan
VALUATION: • Accretive purchase price at 8.5x to 9.0x projected 2016 EBITDA
MIDSTREAM
INTEGRATION:
• Integrates water delivery, water services and waste water treatment business with existing
gas gathering and compression business
THIRD PARTY BUSINESS:
• Enhances AM’s ability to attract third party business – fresh water supply to completions
and treatment of produced and flowback water
PRO FORMA LEVERAGE: • Net Debt/LTM EBITDAX 1.7x; over $1 billion of AM liquidity post transaction
WATER DROP DOWN COMPLETED
35
37. MVCS SUPPORT AND EARN OUTS DRIVE RETURNS
361. The 2019 earn out is based on a trailing 36 month fresh water delivery volume average at the end of 2019 of 161,000 Bbl/d while the 2020 earn out is based on a trailing 36 month fresh water delivery
volume average at the end of 2020 of 200,000 Bbl/d.
Minimum volume commitments (MVCs) on fresh water delivery volumes, at $3.68 and $3.63 per barrel for the Marcellus and
Utica respectively (with CPI adjustments), support revenues and rates of return for the water business acquisition
Earn out payments at year-end 2019 and 2020 provide incentives for the sponsor to perform long-term
0
40
80
120
160
200
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
MBbl/d
Actual Volumes Estimated Volumes MVCs
Fresh Water Delivery MVCs and Earn Out Payments(1)
177Completions
≈130Completions
≈125-135Completions
2020 Earn Out – 200 MBbl/d Avg
2019 Earn Out – 161 MBbl/d Avg
MVC
90K
MVC
100K
MVC
120K
MVC
120K
125K
80K - 85K
50 Deferred
Completions
Transaction Metrics
2016E EBITDA: $115MM - $125MM
Estimated Volume: 115K - 125K Bbl/d
2016E Completions: 160 - 170
2016E Volume
Midpoint 120K
38. IMPACT OF DROP DOWN TRANSACTION ON
ANTERO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
37
Metrics
Pre-Drop Down
Antero Resources
(Consolidated)
Pro Forma Drop Down
Antero Resources
(Consolidated)
Antero Midstream
Partners
Fresh Water Distribution Fees
N/A - Eliminated Upon
Consolidation
N/A - Eliminated Upon
Consolidation
Revenue
Fresh Water Operating Expenses ("Opex")
Drilling & Completion
Capital
Drilling & Completion
Capital
Operating
Expenses
Fresh Water Infrastructure Capital Water Capital Water Capital Water Capital
Advanced Wastewater Treatment Fees
(Upon 4Q ‘17 Expected In-Service)
N/A
N/A - Eliminated Upon
Consolidation
Revenue
Advanced Wastewater Treatment Opex
(Upon 4Q ‘17 Expected In-Service)
N/A
Drilling & Completion
Capital and LOE
Operating
Expenses
Advanced Wastewater Treatment Capital
(Upon 4Q ‘17 Expected In-Service)
Water Capital Water Capital Water Capital
2016E EBITDA Multiple of Drop Down N/A
N/A - Water Fees are
Eliminated and Opex is
Capitalized
8.5x - 9.0x
Implied 2016 EBITDA of Water Business N/A
N/A - Water Fees are
Eliminated and Opex is
Capitalized
~ $115 - $125
Million
39. LARGEST FIRM TRANSPORTATION AND PROCESSING
PORTFOLIO IN APPALACHIA
Antero Long Term Firm Processing & Takeaway Position (YE 2018) – Accessing Favorable Markets
Mariner East 2
62 MBbl/d Commitment
Marcus Hook Export
Shell
20 MBbl/d Commitment
Beaver County Cracker
(Pending FID YE‘15)
Sabine Pass (Trains 1-4)
50 MMcf/d per Train
Freeport LNG
70 MMcf/d
1. November 2015 and full year 2016 futures basis, respectively, provided by Wells Fargo dated 9/30/2015. Favorable markets shaded in green.
Chicago(1)
$.22 /
$0.04
CGTLA(1)
$(0.09) /
$(0.08)
Dom South(1)
$(1.55) /
$(1.05)
TCO(1)
$(0.18) /
$(0.22)
38
Cove Point
4.85 Bcf/d
Firm Gas
Takeaway
By YE 2018
4.85 Bcf/d natural gas FT portfolio by YE 2018 with 85% serving favorable markets and an average demand fee of $0.40/MMBtu
YE 2018 Gas Market Mix
AR 4.85 Bcf/d FT
43%
Gulf Coast
16%
Midwest
13%
Atlantic
Seaboard
12%
Dom S/TETCO
(PA)
15%
TCO
40. NORTHEAST NGLS ARE TRANSPORTATION CHALLENGED
1. As an anchor shipper on Mariner East 2, Antero has the right to expand its NGL commitment with notice to operator.
2. 2015 NGL production assumes ethane rejection.
Mariner East 2
61,500 Bbl/d AR
Commitment(1)
4Q 2016 In-Service
Not so much a supply problem but more of a logistics problem for NGLs in the northeast today
− The majority of northeast NGL production is being transported by expensive rail and trucking
− NGLs that are transported “to the water” are also faced with high shipping rates
Export
15%
Gulf
Coast
13%
Mid-
Atlantic
6%
Sarnia
3%
Northeast
43%
Midwest
10%
Edmonton
10%
2015 NGL Marketing by Region
39
41. NORTHEAST NGL GROWTH IS SUPPORTED BY INCREASING
TAKEAWAY OPTIONS
1. Chart 10 per BAML research dated 6/5/2015. Pipeline volumes are capacity estimates.
Industry NGL Pipelines – Actual (2015) and Projected(1)
40
Shell
Beaver County Cracker
(Pending FID YE’15)
Mariner East 2
62 MBbl/d Commitment
Marcus Hook Export
AR Has Doubling Rights
Gulf Coast
Critical to
NGL Pricing
Appalachia
NGL transportation rates are expected to decline $0.12 to $0.15 per gallon by 2017 as pipeline options to domestic markets and
export terminals go in-service (Mariner East 1 and 2, for example)
(MMBbl/d)
42. $0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$/Gallon
Baltic Exchange LPG Freight Futures
Baltic LPG Rate ($/gal) Marcus Hook to Europe ($/gal)
Marcus Hook to Far East ($/gal)
U.S. EXPORTS ARE SUPPORTED BY EXCESS
DOCK CAPACITY AND FLEET GROWTH
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
MBbl/d
Butane Exports Propane Exports Total Export Capacity
Excess LPG Export Terminal Capacity vs. Expected Export Volumes(1)
Excess dock capacity supports
growing LPG export volumes
through 2025
Fleet Growth Supports U.S. LPG Export Growth(2) LPG Freight Futures Show Declining Freight Costs(3)
Baltic LPG shipping cost declines from
$0.14/gal to $0.09-$0.10/gal in early 2017
on fleet supply growth numbers
Projected growth in VLGC
fleet supports increasing
LPG export volumes and
lower shipping costs
1. Source: Bentek.
2. Source: Poten & Partners, August 2015.
3. Baltic Rate based on 9/30/2015 Baltic Futures converted to cost per gallon of LPGs, assuming 75/25 propane/butane.
LPG transportation rates from northeast fractionation to Europe and Asia should improve by $0.05 to $0.15 per gallon by YE 2016,
driven both by pipelines replacing rail and by lower shipping costs
Excess Dock Capacity
Current Fleet 168
New builds +85
41
43. 2015 GLOBAL LPG DEMAND
Global LPG demand is 8.5 MMBbl/d and growing
42
44. POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR LONG-TERM NGL MARKETS
Steady Global LPG Demand Growth Through 2035(1)
1. Source: PIRA NGL Study, September 2015.
2. Source: IHS, Waterborne, SK Gas Analysis; Wood Mackenzie; Wood Mackenzie; PDH C3 capacity based on 25 MBbl/d = 650 Mt/y.
Multiple Factors Driving Global LPG Demand Growth Through 2020(2)
MMBbl/d
0.0
0.33
0.67
Forecast global LPG demand growth of 800 MBbl/d to 1 MMBbl/d by 2020 to be driven by petrochem projects in Asia and Middle East as well as
residential/commercial, alkylate and power generation demand
− Naphtha cracker conversion to LPG another potential demand driver that has not yet been factored into analyst estimates ≈1 MMBbl/d
China Korea
Haiwei (2016)
- 21 MBbl/d C3
SK Advanced (2016)
- 27 MBbl/d C3
Ningbo Fuji (2016)
- 29 MBbl/d C3
Fujian Meide (2016)
- 29 MBbl/d C3
Tianjin Bohua 2 (2018)
- 29 MBbl/d C3 United States
Fujian Meide 2 (2018)
- 29 MBbl/d C3
Enterprise (3Q 2016)
- 29 MBbl/d C3
Oriental Tangshan (2019)
- 25 MBbl/d C3
Formosa (2017)
- 25 MBbl/d C3
Firm and Likely PDH Underway
(By 2020)
Total - 243 MBbl/d C3
Million Tons, Global PDH Capacity
1990 2000 2010 2020
20
10
0
43
14.7
13.0
11.4
9.8
8.2
6.5
4.9
3.3
1.7
U.S. Driven Global LPG Supply Through 2035(1)
MMBbl/d MMBbl/d
1.3
1.0
0.7
0.3
-0.3
45. GLOBAL LPG DEMAND DRIVEN BY
PETCHEM AND RES/COMM
Largest end-use sectors for LPG are residential/commercial, which tends to grow with population and improvement in
living standards in the emerging markets
− PIRA forecasting >1.0 MMBbl/d over next 5 years and >4.5 MMBbl/d of global LPG demand growth over next 20 years
44
1. PIRA NGL Study, September 2015.
MMBbl/d
14.7
13.0
11.4
9.8
8.2
6.5
4.9
3.3
1.6
46. GLOBAL LPG TRADE DRIVEN BY U.S. SHALE
The U.S. is the largest single driver of the rapid expansion in LPG trade accounting for over 90% in trade growth
45
1. PIRA NGL Study, September 2015.
MMBbl/d
5.2
4.6
3.9
3.3
2.6
2.0
1.3
0.7
United States
47. U.S. SHALE NGL EURS SUPPORT LPG TRADE GROWTH
46
1. PIRA NGL Study, September 2015.
• U.S. shale play NGL reserves are 50.8 billion barrels
• Eagle Ford, Marcellus, Utica, Bakken and Permian are the
work horses of U.S. shale production growth
• Marcellus/Utica NGL resource estimate by PIRA is 9.7 billion
barrels, in line with Antero estimate of ≈ 11.1 billion barrels
• The growth curve of each basin will ultimately be a function
of downstream solutions and investment
(1)
(1)
(1)
48. POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR LONG-TERM
ETHANE MARKETS AS WELL
U.S. Ethane Supply/Demand Balance Through 2020(1)
1. Source: Bentek, August 2015.
2. Source: Citi research dated 7/15/2015.
U.S. Ethane Exports Through 2020(2)
U.S. ethane demand is projected to increase at an annual 3.5% CAGR through 2020, primarily based on an ≈8% CAGR for U.S. petrochem
demand and a 30% growth in exports primarily to Europe
− The growth in shipping exports in 2016 and 2017 is driven by Enterprise Products’ 200 MBbl/d export facility on the Gulf Coast
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MMBb/d
Petchem Exports Rejection Total Supply (Net Stock Change)
U.S. Seaborne Ethane Exports Through 2020(2)
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MBbl/d
Ship Pipeline
250
200
150
100
50
MBbl/d
U.S. exports increase
significantly into 2016
and 2017 as EPD’s
Morgan Point Facility
comes in-service
U.S. Ethane Rejection by Region Through 2020(1)
Access to both
Marcus Hook and
the Gulf Coast is
critical to
optimizing ethane
netbacks
Rejection declines
significantly into 2018
Unlike LPG, 80% of
ethane will be
consumed in the U.S.
Petrochem demand increases at
≈8% CAGR through 2020
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
MBbl/d
Williston PADD 4 PADD 1 (East Coast) PADD 2 PADD 3
No Northeast
rejection after 2017
47
Northeast
Ethane
Rejection
Exports
U.S.
PetChem
49. Plan to defer 50 Marcellus well completions into 2016 to achieve higher gas price realizations, approximately half of which are
located on AM areas of dedication
− Regional gathering pipeline expected in-service late 2015 will connect incremental Marcellus production to CGTLA (Gulf
Coast) and TCO pricing
AR COMPLETION DEFERRALS – 2016 VOLUME IMPACT
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16
GrossWellheadProduction(MMcf/d)
Completion Deferral Impact on 2016 Production
Production From
50 Deferred
Completions
48
50. ANTERO RESOURCES – UPDATED 2015 GUIDANCE
Key Variable 2015 Guidance
Net Daily Production (MMcfe/d) 1,400
Net Residue Natural Gas Production (MMcf/d) 1,175
Net Liquids Production (Bbl/d) 33,000
Net Oil Production (Bbl/d) 4,000
Natural Gas Realized Price Differential to NYMEX Henry Hub Before Hedging ($/Mcf) $(0.20) - $(0.30)
Oil Realized Price Differential to NYMEX WTI Before Hedging ($/Bbl) $(12.00) - $(14.00)
NGL Realized Price (% of WTI)(1) 30% - 35%
Cash Production Expense ($/Mcfe)(2) $1.50 - $1.60
Marketing Expense, Net of Marketing Revenue ($/Mcfe) $0.20 - $0.30
G&A Expense ($/Mcfe) $0.23 - $0.27
Net Income Attributable to Non-Controlling Interest ($MM) $23 - $27
Operated Wells Completed 130
Average Operated Drilling Rigs 14
Capital Expenditures ($MM)
Drilling & Completion $1,600
Water Infrastructure $50
Land $150
Total Capital Expenditures ($MM) $1,800
1. Updated NGL pricing guidance for 2015; 1Q 2015 NGL prices before hedges were 50% of WTI per press release dated 4/29/2015.
2. Includes lease operating expenses, gathering, compression and transportation expenses and production taxes. Excludes net marketing expense.
Key Operating & Financial Assumptions
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51. LTM Production
NTM Production Forecast
Average LTM Production
MAINTENANCE CAPITAL METHODOLOGY
• Maintenance Capital Calculation Methodology
– Estimate the number of new well connections needed during the forecast period in order to offset the natural
production decline and maintain the average throughput volume on our system over the LTM period
– (1) Compare this number of well connections to the total number of well connections estimated to be made during
such period and
– (2) Designate an equal percentage of our estimated low pressure gathering capital expenditures as maintenance
capital expenditures
Maintenance capital expenditures are cash expenditures (including expenditures for the
construction or development of new capital assets or the replacement, improvement or expansion
of existing capital assets) made to maintain, over the long term, our operating capacity or revenue
• Illustrative Example
LTM Forecast Period
Decline of LTM
average throughput
to be replaced with
production volume
from new well
connections
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52. CAUTIONARY NOTE
The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserve estimates
(collectively, “3P”). Antero has provided internally generated estimates for proved, probable and possible reserves in this presentation in
accordance with SEC guidelines and definitions, which have been audited by Antero’s third-party engineers. Unless otherwise noted,
reserve estimates as of December 31, 2014 assume ethane rejection and strip pricing.
Actual quantities that may be ultimately recovered from Antero’s interests may differ substantially from the estimates in this presentation.
Factors affecting ultimate recovery include the scope of Antero’s ongoing drilling program, which will be directly affected by commodity
prices, the availability of capital, drilling and production costs, availability of drilling services and equipment, drilling results, lease
expirations, transportation constraints, regulatory approvals and other factors, and actual drilling results, including geological and
mechanical factors affecting recovery rates.
In this presentation:
• “3P reserves” refer to Antero’s estimated aggregate proved, probable and possible reserves as of December 31, 2014. The SEC
prohibits companies from aggregating proved, probable and possible reserves in filings with the SEC due to the different levels of
certainty associated with each reserve category.
• “EUR,” or “Estimated Ultimate Recovery,” refers to Antero’s internal estimates of per well hydrocarbon quantities that may be
potentially recovered from a hypothetical future well completed as a producer in the area. These quantities do not necessarily
constitute or represent reserves within the meaning of the Society of Petroleum Engineer’s Petroleum Resource Management
System or the SEC’s oil and natural gas disclosure rules.
• “Condensate” refers to gas having a heat content between 1250 BTU and 1300 BTU in the Utica Shale.
• “Highly-rich gas/condensate” refers to gas having a heat content between 1275 BTU and 1350 BTU in the Marcellus Shale and 1225
BTU and 1250 BTU in the Utica Shale.
• “Highly-rich gas” refers to gas having a heat content between 1200 BTU and 1275 BTU in the Marcellus Shale and 1200 BTU and
1225 BTU in the Utica Shale.
• “Rich gas” refers to gas having a heat content of between 1100 BTU and 1200 BTU.
• “Dry gas” refers to gas containing insufficient quantities of hydrocarbons heavier than methane to allow their commercial extraction or
to require their removal in order to render the gas suitable for fuel use.
Regarding Hydrocarbon Quantities
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