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Sandra	
  J.	
  Velarde	
  
ANU	
  Crawford	
  School	
  of	
  Public	
  Policy	
  and	
  
CSIRO	
  Energy	
  Transformed	
  Flagship	
  
Supervisory	
  Panel:	
  	
  
A/Professor	
  Luca	
  Tacconi	
  (ANU)	
  
Luis	
  Rodriguez	
  (CSIRO) 	
   	
   	
  	
  
Deborah	
  O’Connell	
  (CSIRO)	
  
27th	
  November	
  2012	
  
Growing	
  trees	
  as	
  bioenergy	
  crops	
  needs	
  
more	
  than	
  economic	
  incen4ves	
  
What	
  incenSves	
  could	
  moSvate	
  
landholders	
  to	
  set	
  up	
  the	
  criScal	
  mass	
  of	
  
tree	
  planSngs	
  required	
  for	
  developing	
  a	
  
bioenergy	
  industry?	
  
Tullamore
1.	
  What	
  factors	
  underlie	
  landholders’	
  
willingness	
  to	
  adopt	
  tree	
  bioenergy	
  crops?	
  
2.	
  What	
  are	
  landholders’	
  preferences	
  on	
  the	
  
incenSves	
  offered	
  to	
  moSvate	
  them	
  to	
  set	
  up	
  
new	
  tree	
  biomass	
  planSngs?	
  
3.	
  What	
  are	
  influencing	
  factors	
  for	
  building	
  a	
  
criScal	
  mass	
  of	
  producers	
  to	
  start	
  a	
  new	
  
biomass	
  for	
  energy	
  industry?	
  
1.  Preliminary	
  survey:	
  several	
  iteraSons	
  	
  12	
  
expert	
  interviews	
  and	
  group	
  feedback	
  while	
  
waiSng	
  for	
  ethics	
  clearance	
  
2.  Pilot	
  surveys:	
  +40	
  surveys	
  at	
  3	
  agricultural	
  
shows:	
  Canowindra,	
  Morongla	
  and	
  Bribaree	
  
3.  Final	
  survey:	
  	
  
-­‐  Stage	
  1:	
  NaSonal	
  Agricultural	
  Field	
  Days:	
  
16-­‐18th	
  October,	
  Orange:	
  162	
  surveys	
  
-­‐  Stage	
  2:	
  NaSonal	
  Cherry	
  FesSval,	
  30th	
  –	
  2nd	
  
December,	
  Young	
  	
  
1.	
  Farming	
  data	
  (5	
  q.)	
  
2.	
  Trees	
  in	
  your	
  property	
  (5-­‐8	
  q.)	
  
3.	
  Demographic	
  data	
  (6	
  q.)	
  
4.	
  Final	
  comments	
  or	
  quesSons	
  (1	
  q.)	
  
Total:	
  21	
  quesSons	
  
Typical	
  property:	
  588	
  acres	
  (238	
  has)	
  Orange,	
  	
  
1.	
  Farming	
  data	
  (5)	
  
2.	
  Trees	
  in	
  your	
  property	
  (5-­‐8)	
  
3.	
  Demographic	
  data	
  (6)	
  
4.	
  Final	
  comments	
  or	
  quesSons	
  (1)	
  
A	
   B	
   C	
  
Length	
  of	
  contract	
  
(years)	
  
25	
   15	
   Neither	
  A	
  nor	
  B	
  =	
  
No	
  addiSonal	
  
income	
  ($0)	
  
Annual	
  return	
  ($/acre)	
   76.00	
   53.00	
  
Flexibility	
  to	
  choose	
  
harvesSng	
  company	
  
No	
   Yes	
  
I	
  would	
  prefer	
  this	
  
opSon	
  
[	
  	
  	
  ]	
   [	
  	
  	
  ]	
   [	
  	
  	
  ]	
  
n=162	
  	
  survey	
  respondents	
  
49%	
  would	
  NOT	
  
plant	
  trees	
  as	
  
energy	
  crops	
  
51%	
  would	
  plant	
  
trees	
  as	
  energy	
  
crops	
  
48%	
  choose	
  
opSon	
  A	
  or	
  B	
  
(n=38)	
  
52%	
  choose	
  
opSon	
  C	
  
(n=41)	
  
n=41	
  those	
  who	
  chose	
  all	
  opSon	
  C	
  
26	
  other	
  
reason	
  
5	
  interested	
  but	
  
opSons	
  not	
  
alracSve	
  
3	
  need	
  real	
  life	
  
examples/market	
  
3	
  more	
  info	
  risk/
returns	
  
4	
  a	
  mix	
  of	
  the	
  
above	
  
n=39	
  those	
  who	
  chose	
  all	
  opSon	
  C	
  
12	
  nothing	
  
5	
  interested	
  if	
  I	
  
had	
  financial	
  
need	
  
4	
  -­‐	
  200%	
  higher	
  
financial	
  returns	
  
3	
  -­‐	
  100%	
  financial	
  
returns	
  
2	
  -­‐	
  50%	
  higher	
  
returns	
  
11	
  other	
  
n=162	
  	
  survey	
  respondents	
  
79	
  would	
  NOT	
  
plant	
  trees	
  as	
  
energy	
  crops	
  
83	
  would	
  plant	
  
trees	
  as	
  energy	
  
crops	
  
50	
  provided	
  
comments	
  
29	
  no	
  
comments	
  
IncenSve	
  design:	
  ImplicaSons	
  
• No	
  trust:	
  companies/government	
  (7)	
  
• bad	
  past	
  experiences	
  (4)	
  
• Not	
  suitable	
  land	
  (6)	
  
• NegaSve	
  views	
  about	
  trees:	
  no	
  value,	
  
unproducSve	
  land,	
  fire	
  hazard	
  (4)	
  
• PercepSons	
  about	
  landholders	
  
themselves:	
  resistance	
  to	
  change	
  (2)	
  
• PosiSve	
  percepSons	
  about	
  trees:	
  
Providers	
  of	
  environmental	
  services	
  but	
  
not	
  to	
  be	
  harvested	
  (5)	
  
• Insufficient	
  financial	
  incenSve	
  (8)	
  
• Species:	
  Not	
  pine,	
  yes	
  naSves	
  (7)	
  
• Control	
  over	
  land	
  (5)	
  
Thank	
  you	
  
Research	
  supported	
  by:	
  	
  
CSIRO	
  Energy	
  Transformed	
  Flagship	
  
Scholarship	
  
Crawford	
  School	
  	
  
Tui<on	
  Scholarship

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Sandra PhD Conference 2012

  • 1. Sandra  J.  Velarde   ANU  Crawford  School  of  Public  Policy  and   CSIRO  Energy  Transformed  Flagship   Supervisory  Panel:     A/Professor  Luca  Tacconi  (ANU)   Luis  Rodriguez  (CSIRO)         Deborah  O’Connell  (CSIRO)   27th  November  2012   Growing  trees  as  bioenergy  crops  needs   more  than  economic  incen4ves  
  • 2. What  incenSves  could  moSvate   landholders  to  set  up  the  criScal  mass  of   tree  planSngs  required  for  developing  a   bioenergy  industry?  
  • 4. 1.  What  factors  underlie  landholders’   willingness  to  adopt  tree  bioenergy  crops?   2.  What  are  landholders’  preferences  on  the   incenSves  offered  to  moSvate  them  to  set  up   new  tree  biomass  planSngs?   3.  What  are  influencing  factors  for  building  a   criScal  mass  of  producers  to  start  a  new   biomass  for  energy  industry?  
  • 5. 1.  Preliminary  survey:  several  iteraSons    12   expert  interviews  and  group  feedback  while   waiSng  for  ethics  clearance   2.  Pilot  surveys:  +40  surveys  at  3  agricultural   shows:  Canowindra,  Morongla  and  Bribaree   3.  Final  survey:     -­‐  Stage  1:  NaSonal  Agricultural  Field  Days:   16-­‐18th  October,  Orange:  162  surveys   -­‐  Stage  2:  NaSonal  Cherry  FesSval,  30th  –  2nd   December,  Young    
  • 6. 1.  Farming  data  (5  q.)   2.  Trees  in  your  property  (5-­‐8  q.)   3.  Demographic  data  (6  q.)   4.  Final  comments  or  quesSons  (1  q.)   Total:  21  quesSons  
  • 7.
  • 8. Typical  property:  588  acres  (238  has)  Orange,    
  • 9.
  • 10. 1.  Farming  data  (5)   2.  Trees  in  your  property  (5-­‐8)   3.  Demographic  data  (6)   4.  Final  comments  or  quesSons  (1)  
  • 11. A   B   C   Length  of  contract   (years)   25   15   Neither  A  nor  B  =   No  addiSonal   income  ($0)   Annual  return  ($/acre)   76.00   53.00   Flexibility  to  choose   harvesSng  company   No   Yes   I  would  prefer  this   opSon   [      ]   [      ]   [      ]  
  • 12.
  • 13. n=162    survey  respondents   49%  would  NOT   plant  trees  as   energy  crops   51%  would  plant   trees  as  energy   crops   48%  choose   opSon  A  or  B   (n=38)   52%  choose   opSon  C   (n=41)  
  • 14. n=41  those  who  chose  all  opSon  C   26  other   reason   5  interested  but   opSons  not   alracSve   3  need  real  life   examples/market   3  more  info  risk/ returns   4  a  mix  of  the   above  
  • 15. n=39  those  who  chose  all  opSon  C   12  nothing   5  interested  if  I   had  financial   need   4  -­‐  200%  higher   financial  returns   3  -­‐  100%  financial   returns   2  -­‐  50%  higher   returns   11  other  
  • 16. n=162    survey  respondents   79  would  NOT   plant  trees  as   energy  crops   83  would  plant   trees  as  energy   crops   50  provided   comments   29  no   comments  
  • 17.
  • 18. IncenSve  design:  ImplicaSons   • No  trust:  companies/government  (7)   • bad  past  experiences  (4)   • Not  suitable  land  (6)   • NegaSve  views  about  trees:  no  value,   unproducSve  land,  fire  hazard  (4)   • PercepSons  about  landholders   themselves:  resistance  to  change  (2)   • PosiSve  percepSons  about  trees:   Providers  of  environmental  services  but   not  to  be  harvested  (5)   • Insufficient  financial  incenSve  (8)   • Species:  Not  pine,  yes  naSves  (7)   • Control  over  land  (5)  
  • 19. Thank  you   Research  supported  by:     CSIRO  Energy  Transformed  Flagship   Scholarship   Crawford  School     Tui<on  Scholarship