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Presented by :
ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
B.B.A. -3rd Year
R.I.M.S. ,Rourkela-769015
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 The 1993 SEBI (Mutual Fund) Regulations were
substituted by a more comprehensive and
revised Mutual Fund Regulations in 1996. The
industry now functions under the SEBI (Mutual
Fund) Regulations 1996. The number of mutual
fund houses went on increasing, with many
foreign mutual funds setting up funds in India
and also the industry has witnessed several
mergers and acquisitions. As at the end of
January 2003, there were 33 mutual funds with
total assets of Rs. 1,21,805 crores. The Unit
Trust of India with Rs.44,541 crores of assets
under management was way ahead of other
mutual funds.
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 A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the
savings of a number of investors who
share a common financial goal. The
money thus collected is then invested in
capital market instruments such as
shares, debentures and other securities.
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 The income earned through these
investments and the capital appreciation
realised are shared by its unit holders in
proportion to the number of units owned by
them. Thus a Mutual Fund is the most
suitable investment for the common man as it
offers an opportunity to invest in a
diversified, professionally managed basket of
securities at a relatively low cost.
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CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Professional Management
 Diversification
 Convenient Administration
 Return Potential
 Low Costs
 Liquidity
 Transparency
 Flexibility
 Choice of schemes
 Tax benefits
 Well regulated
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CHAKRABORTY
 All investments whether in shares, debentures or
deposits involve risk.
 Companies may default in payment of
interest/principal on their debentures/bonds/
deposits.
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CHAKRABORTY
While risk cannot be eliminated, skillful
management can minimize risk. Mutual Funds
UNDERSTANDING AND MANAGING RISK
help to reduce risk through diversification and
professional management. The experience and
expertise of Mutual Fund managers in selecting
fundamentally sound securities and timing their
purchases and sales, help them to build a
diversified portfolio that minimizes risk and
maximizes returns.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
SEBI (Mutual Funds) Regulations, 1996
ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL FUNDS OF INDIA
(AMFI)
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CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
Mutual fund investors face a dilemma of persistency in the
performance of successful mutual fund managers to offset
the costs of chasing past good performance.
For the individual investor, there are at least two potential
drawbacks to chasing past performance.
1. If one sells a currently held fund to buy a winner, this will
accelerate the recognition of capital gains, thus imposing a tax
penalty when done in a taxable account.
2. Top performing funds tend to charge higher operating
expenses and to have higher turnover.
 Large number of small investors belonging to the
middle class households
 Has a very good financial infrastructure and access
to large volume of NRI funds
 Savings rate in Odisha is very high compared to
other states
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CHAKRABORTY
 Performance chasing pours more money into funds with
high expense ratios and high turnover.
 Grossman and Stiglitz (2010) show that in equilibrium
rational investors allocate money to active and passive
strategies in proportions that leads to equal risk-
adjusted expected returns to both strategies.
 Behavioral finance models that incorporate
overconfidence (e.g., Odean (2008)) provide an even
stronger prediction: active investment strategies will
underperform passive investment strategies.
 Chasing performance, investors create agency conflicts
with fund managers (and more generally fund
providers).
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CHAKRABORTY
 Huge literature available on predicting stock market returns has proved that
generally investors think high past stock market return predict high future return
(De Bondt, 1993) even though there is no support for such belief in the data
(Fama 1988).
 Further, evidence by Fisher and Statman (2000) have shown that individual
investor’s stock market return expectations are positive- ly correlated with past
returns.
 An attempt to relate stock expected returns and interrelated at- tributes can be
well traced from Asset pricing Model that explains an assets expected return is
positively related to its systematic market risk (Black 1972). The crux of these
models is that risky portfolio yields higher return.
 Although majority of investors who invest in mutual fund them- selves are not
clear with the objective and constraints of their in- vestment but in addition to
this most important critical gap that exist in this process is lack of awareness
about presence of risk ele- ments in mutual fund investment. The new marketing
philosophy and strategies place special emphasis on recognition of customer
needs in an effort to provide high level of quality services (Harri- son, 2000).
 Panda and Nalini (2001) evaluated the cause and effect relation- ship between
mutual fund investment decision mutual fund prod- ucts are core product,
investors expectation, service behaviour, persuasive promotion and investor
confidence. The buying intent of a mutual fund product by small investor can be
due to multiple reasons depending upon customers risk return trade off
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Patel et al., (2002) fund the most important factors loading to invest on mutual
fund is the customer use factors other than return and risk. The customer use
factors are the diversification, liquidity, transparency, performance,
management, fees, fund managers’efficiency and reputation, flexibility and
accessibility and switching possibilities.
 Kaul and Gupta (2006) analysed the investors’ perception on various reasons to
select the mutual fund scheme. These are risk capacity and tolerance, liquidity
needs, specific objectives, credibility of the sponsors, investment philosophy of
the fund, performance of the scheme, dividends, entry and exit loads, expenses
charged to the fund and services offered by the fund.
 Study by Laukkanen (2006) explains that varied attributes present in a product
or service facilitate customer’s achievement of desired end-state and the
indicative facts of study show that electronic services create value for
customers in service consumption.
 Return ambiguity and changes in risk perception of individual investor affect
action taken in risky financial market. In a more complex situation taking
rational decision is undoubtedly difficult but certainly not impossible.
Computational complexities are not only the reason why rationality assumption
is challenged rather challenges also come from cognitive reasoning (Anderson
1991) where question is how optima human beings are.
 A more realistic notion of rationality is bounded rationality de- fined by Simon
(Simon 1957) that property of an agent who be- haves in a manner that is
nearly as optimal with respect to its goals as resource will allow. Here resource
includes processing power, algorithm and time available to the agent.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Zeithaml, V (2003) expressed satisfaction of individual investor
comprise of a range of varied parameters and is not easy to define
but in general it means positive assessment. Where the growing
demand of investor’s expectation is following the way most of
researcher admit the fact that working of customer’s mind is a
mystery which is difficult to solve (Dash, 2006).
 Customer satisfaction is subjective and even difficult to measure. To
draft an accurate picture of customer satisfaction organizations
should diligently use information – collecting tools and market
research that will finally enable an organization to identify criti- cal
elements of customer satisfaction and further fine- tune their
operations to achieve incremental improvements. Significant gaps
that exist between service expectations and perceptions is right
from the first step where AMCs are not found capable enough to
translate investor’s expectation, reason being financial intermedi-
aries having inadequate knowledge and training are not able to
communicate the message to each player effectively.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Williams (2005) proposed that sense of unpredictability of actual results of an
action differing from possible predicted results in a given situation. Risk not only
includes uncertainty and loss elements but time factor cannot be excluded from
probability of risk. Doubt concerning the outcome in a given situation before the
event occurs implies that there is something about the present situation that will
be different in the future.
 Tolerance Zone depicts the minimum and maximum specifications as described
by investor for his willingness to assume risk represented by Upper Specification
Limit and Lower Specification Limit. Investors based on his knowledge about the
market volatility where he accepts the minimum risk, which he will have to bear
on his investment, design these specification limits and maximum level is
assumed depending upon his risk appetite and his willingness to maximize his
ROI.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 To examine whether the life cycle influences
the Risk Orientation of retail investors in the
state of Odisha.
 To study the perception of risk involved in
Mutual Fund by retail investors.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 The study is primarily based upon primary data collected
from a structured survey through questionnaire. The
survey was conducted on 524 respondents in person. All
the variables were measured by response on five point
Like rt scales, which rated 1 as least important and 5 as
most important.
 The collected data was analyzed through statistical tools
like mean, standard deviation, correlation, regression, Chi
square test. To measure internal consistency (reliability) of
the data Cronbach Alpha test has been employed. The
study further employs Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of
sampling adequacy, Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity and factor
analy- sis as a tool of dimension reduction
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Hypothesis 1: Risk orientation and life cycle are
independent attributes in mutual fund investment
 Hypothesis 2: Increase in age decrease the risk
tolerance
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
Investors’ Risk Orientation
 The risk orientation represents the risk bearing
capacity and interest of the investors.
 The risk orientation among the investors is highly
essential to invest on Mutual Funds and their
investment behavior.
 The risk orientation among them was measured
with the help of some related statements. The
investors were asked to rate these statements at
five point scale. With the help of the mean score
on the statements, their level of risk orientation
was confined to very high, high, moderate, low
and very low. The distribution of investors on the
basis of their risk orientation has been shown in
Table 1
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
INDEPENDENT SAMPLING TEST
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
The factors considered for selecting the Mutual Fund
scheme among the investors was derived from the
score of the variables considered to select the Mutual
Fund scheme. The factor analyses have been
administered to narrate the variables into factors.
Initially, the tests of validity of data for factor analysis
have been conducted with the help of KMO measure
of sampling adequacy and Bartlett's test of sphericity.
The resulted KMO measure of 0.701 and zero per
cent level of significance of chi-square value satisfy
the validity of data for factor analysis. The factor
analysis results in five important factors. The factors,
its Eigen value and the per cent of variance explained
by the factor have been illustrated in Table 5
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
Cronbach’s Alpha Cronbach’s Alpha
Based on
Standardized
Items
N of Items
.826 .825 23
Factors Considered for Selecting the Mutual Fund Scheme The factors
considered for selecting the Mutual Fund scheme among the investors
was derived from the score of the variables considered to select the
Mutual Fund scheme. The factor analyses have been admin- istered to
narrate the variables into factors. Initially, the tests of validity of data
for factor analysis have been conducted with the help of KMO measure
of sampling adequacy and Bartletts test of sphericity. The re- sulted
KMO measure of 0.701 and zero per cent level of significance of chi-
square value satisfy the validity of data for factor analysis. The factor
analysis results in five important factors. The factors, its eigen value
and the per cent of variance explained by the factor have been
illustrated in Table 5
Figure 2
The screen plot shows that after variable 2
there is a point of inflexion on the curve.
Thus we can probably justify retaining 2
factors Given the large sample, it is probably
safe to assume Kaiser’s criterion; how- ever,
we can analysis specifying that SPSS extract
only two factors and compare the results
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
 Table:
The risk orientation represents the risk bearing
capacity and interest of the investors. Even though,
the Mutual Fund is a risk less investment avenues in
the capital market, it is also involved with market
risks. The risk orientation among the investors is
highly essential to invest on Mutual Funds and their
investment behavior. The most important factors
were Risk capacity, Company name, Credibility of
sponsors, Peer group, Tolerance, Risk adjusted
return, Fund objectives, Type of portfolio. It was thus
proved that there is a significance relationship
between the age and the risk behaviour and on this
bases we can sum up by saying that as people grow
their risk appitite becomes low and instead of be- ing
risk takers they are more prone to avoid risk.
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY
COMPILED BY ANURAG
CHAKRABORTY

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A Study of Risk Orientation of Retail investors in Indian Mutual fund Industry with special Reference to Odisha, India

  • 1. Presented by : ANURAG CHAKRABORTY B.B.A. -3rd Year R.I.M.S. ,Rourkela-769015 COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 2.  The 1993 SEBI (Mutual Fund) Regulations were substituted by a more comprehensive and revised Mutual Fund Regulations in 1996. The industry now functions under the SEBI (Mutual Fund) Regulations 1996. The number of mutual fund houses went on increasing, with many foreign mutual funds setting up funds in India and also the industry has witnessed several mergers and acquisitions. As at the end of January 2003, there were 33 mutual funds with total assets of Rs. 1,21,805 crores. The Unit Trust of India with Rs.44,541 crores of assets under management was way ahead of other mutual funds. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 3.  A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a common financial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares, debentures and other securities. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 4.  The income earned through these investments and the capital appreciation realised are shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned by them. Thus a Mutual Fund is the most suitable investment for the common man as it offers an opportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a relatively low cost. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 8.  Professional Management  Diversification  Convenient Administration  Return Potential  Low Costs  Liquidity  Transparency  Flexibility  Choice of schemes  Tax benefits  Well regulated COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 9.  All investments whether in shares, debentures or deposits involve risk.  Companies may default in payment of interest/principal on their debentures/bonds/ deposits. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 10. While risk cannot be eliminated, skillful management can minimize risk. Mutual Funds UNDERSTANDING AND MANAGING RISK help to reduce risk through diversification and professional management. The experience and expertise of Mutual Fund managers in selecting fundamentally sound securities and timing their purchases and sales, help them to build a diversified portfolio that minimizes risk and maximizes returns. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 14. SEBI (Mutual Funds) Regulations, 1996 ASSOCIATION OF MUTUAL FUNDS OF INDIA (AMFI) COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 15. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY Mutual fund investors face a dilemma of persistency in the performance of successful mutual fund managers to offset the costs of chasing past good performance. For the individual investor, there are at least two potential drawbacks to chasing past performance. 1. If one sells a currently held fund to buy a winner, this will accelerate the recognition of capital gains, thus imposing a tax penalty when done in a taxable account. 2. Top performing funds tend to charge higher operating expenses and to have higher turnover.
  • 16.  Large number of small investors belonging to the middle class households  Has a very good financial infrastructure and access to large volume of NRI funds  Savings rate in Odisha is very high compared to other states COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 17.  Performance chasing pours more money into funds with high expense ratios and high turnover.  Grossman and Stiglitz (2010) show that in equilibrium rational investors allocate money to active and passive strategies in proportions that leads to equal risk- adjusted expected returns to both strategies.  Behavioral finance models that incorporate overconfidence (e.g., Odean (2008)) provide an even stronger prediction: active investment strategies will underperform passive investment strategies.  Chasing performance, investors create agency conflicts with fund managers (and more generally fund providers). COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 18.  Huge literature available on predicting stock market returns has proved that generally investors think high past stock market return predict high future return (De Bondt, 1993) even though there is no support for such belief in the data (Fama 1988).  Further, evidence by Fisher and Statman (2000) have shown that individual investor’s stock market return expectations are positive- ly correlated with past returns.  An attempt to relate stock expected returns and interrelated at- tributes can be well traced from Asset pricing Model that explains an assets expected return is positively related to its systematic market risk (Black 1972). The crux of these models is that risky portfolio yields higher return.  Although majority of investors who invest in mutual fund them- selves are not clear with the objective and constraints of their in- vestment but in addition to this most important critical gap that exist in this process is lack of awareness about presence of risk ele- ments in mutual fund investment. The new marketing philosophy and strategies place special emphasis on recognition of customer needs in an effort to provide high level of quality services (Harri- son, 2000).  Panda and Nalini (2001) evaluated the cause and effect relation- ship between mutual fund investment decision mutual fund prod- ucts are core product, investors expectation, service behaviour, persuasive promotion and investor confidence. The buying intent of a mutual fund product by small investor can be due to multiple reasons depending upon customers risk return trade off COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 19.  Patel et al., (2002) fund the most important factors loading to invest on mutual fund is the customer use factors other than return and risk. The customer use factors are the diversification, liquidity, transparency, performance, management, fees, fund managers’efficiency and reputation, flexibility and accessibility and switching possibilities.  Kaul and Gupta (2006) analysed the investors’ perception on various reasons to select the mutual fund scheme. These are risk capacity and tolerance, liquidity needs, specific objectives, credibility of the sponsors, investment philosophy of the fund, performance of the scheme, dividends, entry and exit loads, expenses charged to the fund and services offered by the fund.  Study by Laukkanen (2006) explains that varied attributes present in a product or service facilitate customer’s achievement of desired end-state and the indicative facts of study show that electronic services create value for customers in service consumption.  Return ambiguity and changes in risk perception of individual investor affect action taken in risky financial market. In a more complex situation taking rational decision is undoubtedly difficult but certainly not impossible. Computational complexities are not only the reason why rationality assumption is challenged rather challenges also come from cognitive reasoning (Anderson 1991) where question is how optima human beings are.  A more realistic notion of rationality is bounded rationality de- fined by Simon (Simon 1957) that property of an agent who be- haves in a manner that is nearly as optimal with respect to its goals as resource will allow. Here resource includes processing power, algorithm and time available to the agent. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 20.  Zeithaml, V (2003) expressed satisfaction of individual investor comprise of a range of varied parameters and is not easy to define but in general it means positive assessment. Where the growing demand of investor’s expectation is following the way most of researcher admit the fact that working of customer’s mind is a mystery which is difficult to solve (Dash, 2006).  Customer satisfaction is subjective and even difficult to measure. To draft an accurate picture of customer satisfaction organizations should diligently use information – collecting tools and market research that will finally enable an organization to identify criti- cal elements of customer satisfaction and further fine- tune their operations to achieve incremental improvements. Significant gaps that exist between service expectations and perceptions is right from the first step where AMCs are not found capable enough to translate investor’s expectation, reason being financial intermedi- aries having inadequate knowledge and training are not able to communicate the message to each player effectively. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 21.  Williams (2005) proposed that sense of unpredictability of actual results of an action differing from possible predicted results in a given situation. Risk not only includes uncertainty and loss elements but time factor cannot be excluded from probability of risk. Doubt concerning the outcome in a given situation before the event occurs implies that there is something about the present situation that will be different in the future.  Tolerance Zone depicts the minimum and maximum specifications as described by investor for his willingness to assume risk represented by Upper Specification Limit and Lower Specification Limit. Investors based on his knowledge about the market volatility where he accepts the minimum risk, which he will have to bear on his investment, design these specification limits and maximum level is assumed depending upon his risk appetite and his willingness to maximize his ROI. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 22.  To examine whether the life cycle influences the Risk Orientation of retail investors in the state of Odisha.  To study the perception of risk involved in Mutual Fund by retail investors. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 23.  The study is primarily based upon primary data collected from a structured survey through questionnaire. The survey was conducted on 524 respondents in person. All the variables were measured by response on five point Like rt scales, which rated 1 as least important and 5 as most important.  The collected data was analyzed through statistical tools like mean, standard deviation, correlation, regression, Chi square test. To measure internal consistency (reliability) of the data Cronbach Alpha test has been employed. The study further employs Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of sampling adequacy, Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity and factor analy- sis as a tool of dimension reduction COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 24.  Hypothesis 1: Risk orientation and life cycle are independent attributes in mutual fund investment  Hypothesis 2: Increase in age decrease the risk tolerance COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 25. Investors’ Risk Orientation  The risk orientation represents the risk bearing capacity and interest of the investors.  The risk orientation among the investors is highly essential to invest on Mutual Funds and their investment behavior.  The risk orientation among them was measured with the help of some related statements. The investors were asked to rate these statements at five point scale. With the help of the mean score on the statements, their level of risk orientation was confined to very high, high, moderate, low and very low. The distribution of investors on the basis of their risk orientation has been shown in Table 1 COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 27. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY One-Sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov Test
  • 30. The factors considered for selecting the Mutual Fund scheme among the investors was derived from the score of the variables considered to select the Mutual Fund scheme. The factor analyses have been administered to narrate the variables into factors. Initially, the tests of validity of data for factor analysis have been conducted with the help of KMO measure of sampling adequacy and Bartlett's test of sphericity. The resulted KMO measure of 0.701 and zero per cent level of significance of chi-square value satisfy the validity of data for factor analysis. The factor analysis results in five important factors. The factors, its Eigen value and the per cent of variance explained by the factor have been illustrated in Table 5 COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 31. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY Cronbach’s Alpha Cronbach’s Alpha Based on Standardized Items N of Items .826 .825 23 Factors Considered for Selecting the Mutual Fund Scheme The factors considered for selecting the Mutual Fund scheme among the investors was derived from the score of the variables considered to select the Mutual Fund scheme. The factor analyses have been admin- istered to narrate the variables into factors. Initially, the tests of validity of data for factor analysis have been conducted with the help of KMO measure of sampling adequacy and Bartletts test of sphericity. The re- sulted KMO measure of 0.701 and zero per cent level of significance of chi- square value satisfy the validity of data for factor analysis. The factor analysis results in five important factors. The factors, its eigen value and the per cent of variance explained by the factor have been illustrated in Table 5
  • 32. Figure 2 The screen plot shows that after variable 2 there is a point of inflexion on the curve. Thus we can probably justify retaining 2 factors Given the large sample, it is probably safe to assume Kaiser’s criterion; how- ever, we can analysis specifying that SPSS extract only two factors and compare the results COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY
  • 34. The risk orientation represents the risk bearing capacity and interest of the investors. Even though, the Mutual Fund is a risk less investment avenues in the capital market, it is also involved with market risks. The risk orientation among the investors is highly essential to invest on Mutual Funds and their investment behavior. The most important factors were Risk capacity, Company name, Credibility of sponsors, Peer group, Tolerance, Risk adjusted return, Fund objectives, Type of portfolio. It was thus proved that there is a significance relationship between the age and the risk behaviour and on this bases we can sum up by saying that as people grow their risk appitite becomes low and instead of be- ing risk takers they are more prone to avoid risk. COMPILED BY ANURAG CHAKRABORTY