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This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
1
Thematic Report by
Preyash Shah, Research Analyst, Technology and Patent Research
AIRCRAFT SAFETY SYSTEMS
C o n t e n t s
1. Aircraft Safety Systems: In The Spotlight	1
2. Next Generation Safety Technologies: Focus On Reducing Human Error	2	
	 i. Technologies Addressing Weather Related Error	 2	
	 ii. Technologies Addressing Mechanical Error	 4
	 iii. Technologies Addressing Human Error	 5
3.	The Future Of Safe Flight 	6
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
1
Since the introduction of the first commercial aircraft in 1914, the aviation industry
has soared.
The world’s fastest mode of transport served 3.1 billion passengers in 2013, and is
expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% since then. Alas, a surge in air travel across the
globe spiked an increase in aircraft-related fatalities.
Number of Fatal Accidents
There are various reasons that have been identified, which include human error,
weather-related problems, mechanical failures, and sabotage, among others.
Over the years, pilot error has contributed to approximately 40% of aircraft
fatalities. The errors committed by the pilot can be attributed to two main reasons:
Thus, there is a rise in need for technologies that minimize human error. This need
has led to a shift of research focus toward developing technologies that aid pilots
in making informed decisions.
• Lack of attention
• Lack of information to make accurate decisions
Error Distribution
Unfavorable Weather And Weather-related Pilot Errors Are The Top
Factors That Pose A Major Challenge To Current Aircraft Safety Systems
Aircraft Safety Systems
In The Spotlight
Fatal Accidents Have Reduced By Over 60% In The Past Two Decades
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
2
Next Generation Safety Technologies
Focus On Reducing Human Error
JAXA’s Aircraft Safety Management Technology
Fervent research activity in the aircraft safety system domain has led to the development of many innovative technologies, some of which will be covered in this document.
Operating airplanes in winter can be very challenging.
Ice disrupts aircraft aerodynamics and increases drag.
As power is added to compensate for the additional
drag and the nose is lifted to maintain altitude,
additional area is exposed on the underside of the
wings and fuselage where ice gets accumulated.Icing
also causes antennas to vibrate so severely that they
break. Even in moderate icing conditions, it becomes
difficult to handle a light aircraft, as it may stall at
higher speeds and lower angles of attack than the
norm. Icing can also stop the engine by either freezing
up the carburetor orblocking the engine's air source.
This can prove to be fatal. There are technologies
that reduce the effects of icing on the aircraft’s body;
however, the problem still persists. There is a need
for a technology that can envisage the possibility of
icing. One such technology is developed by JAXA.
JAXA plans to develop aircraft safety management
technology for systems that can detect and
keep track of the aircraft, runway and weather
conditions, and enhancethe safety of each aircraft
to be managed.
The technology includes icing and lightning monitoring systems along with passive safety systems such as anti-icing
coating on the aircraft’s outer body. The active system detects the weather conditions and checks for the possibility
of icing, and accordingly decides the flight path that minimizes any icing incidents.
JAXA’s Aircraft Safety Management Technology						 Source: www.aero.jaxa.jp
Technology Addressing Weather Related Errors
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
3
NextGen Network Enabled Weather (NNEW)
NextGen Network Enabled Weather is an attempt to standardize and simplify
the access to weather data among aviation agencies. NNEW will be the FAA's
portion of an interagency data cube called the 4-Dimensional Weather Data
Cube. It is a collaborative effort involving the FAA, NOAA, DOD and commercial
weather organizations.
a. Turbulence
b. Icing
c. Convection
d. Ceiling and visibility
e. Winds (surface and aloft)
The 4-Dimensional Weather Data Cube will comprise of:
Real-time updates on weather conditions (surface to low earth
orbit, including space weather and ocean parameters)
Space and time analysis and forecast information based on
conventional weather parameters from numerical models
Aviation impact parameters necessary for Initial Operational
Capability (IOC) which would include:
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
4
Automatic Ground-Collision Avoidance System
(Auto-GCAS)
Jointly developed by NASA, the Air Force and Lockheed Martin, this technology is
currently in its testing phase. The Auto-GCAS entered military service in September
2014 and has already showcased its capability by saving at least two F-16s and
their crews. A similar automated GCAS system has also been developed by Saab
for the JAS-39 Gripen fighter.
The GCAS is designed to warn the pilot if there is an imminent risk ofground collision.
Such situations can for example arise due to g-induced loss of consciousness, target
fascination, or lack of concentration. Thesystem constantly monitors the altitude,
attitude, and speed. On the basis of these parameters, it determines the possibility of
a crash, and if a crash is imminent, it triggers an autopilot-commanded maneuver to
return to a safe flight path.
Aircraft Bird-strike Avoidance Radars
Bird strikes pose a significant safety hazard to aircraft, pilots, and passengers.It
costsboth military and commercial aviation over $2 billion each year due to aircraft
loss and damage, out-of-service delays,as well as lost lives.
To minimize fatalities related to bird strikes, DeTect has introduced anAircraft bird-
strike avoidance radar system.
The system uses solid-state S-band radar sensors with Doppler processing, providing
all weather detection and tracking of birds, even in conditions like fog, rain, and
snow. The solid-state radars have been engineered and manufactured specifically
for bird detection.They offer greater sensitivity than traditional magnetron-based bird
radar systems, which are susceptible to false positives from insect contamination,
and are also "blind" in wet fog or even light rain.
DiTect’s Aircraft Bird-strike Avoidance Radars 	 Source: www.detect-inc.com
Technology Addressing Mechanical Errors
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
5
Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast
(ADS-B)
Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) is
a surveillance technology in which an aircraft determines
its position via satellite navigation and periodically
broadcasts it, enabling it to be tracked. The information
can be received by air traffic control ground stations as a
replacement for secondary radar. It can also be received
by other aircraft to provide situational awareness and
allow self-separation.
ADS-B provides many benefits to both pilots and air traffic
control that improve both flight safety and efficiency.
1. Traffic: When using an ADS-B, a pilot is able to
view traffic information about surrounding aircraft. This
information includes altitude, heading, speed, and
distance to adjacent aircraft.
2. Terrain: ADS-B technology broadcasts a terrain overlay
for pilots to view in the cockpit.
3. Efficiency: ADS-B updates about once per second
while radar only updates every three to 13 seconds; it's
thus less likely that aircraft pilots will see a target of their
own aircraft when maneuvering.
4. Expense: ADS-B ground stations are significantly
cheaper to install and operate compared to primary and
secondary radar systems.
Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B)			 Source: www.propilotmag.com
Technology Addressing Human Errors
The Future of Safe Flight
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
6
Even though the odds of being involved in a fatal air-crash incident are one in 4.7 million, the aviation industry is still trying to
develop technologies that would make air travel foolproof. This is only possible through the collaboration of various administrations
across the world.
One such collaboration is FAA’s NextGen program. The program includes developing technologies that assist the pilot and
ground control staff by enabling effective communication and assisting techniques between them. More specifically, we believe
that the Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B)system could prove to be a breakthrough technology,witha
system capable of providing real-time GPS tracking of aircraft along with weather conditions that aid the pilot and control room
to efficientlymanage air traffic. In its current development and testing phase, ADS-B has helped reducing accidents by 40%,
emissions by 34%, and noise by 30%.
Another promising technology is Automatic Ground Collision Avoidance System (Auto-GCAS). Having already proved itself in the
defense industry, we believe that once implemented, this technology will play a key role in redefining aircraft safety systems in the
commercial aviation industry. Who knows, auto-GCAS could have saved Germanwings flight 9525!
This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
7
DISCLAIMER
This report is published by Aranca, a customized research and analytics services provider to global clients.
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom
it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole
or in part, for any purpose.
This document is based on data sources that are publicly available and are thought to be reliable. Aranca
may not have verified all of this information with third parties. Neither Aranca nor its advisors, directors or
employees can guarantee the accuracy, reasonableness or completeness of the information received from
any sources consulted for this publication, and neither Aranca nor its advisors, directors or employees
accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of
this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document.
Further, this document is not an offer to buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. This document
does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the
individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a
particular investment or currency will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The
investments referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. This document is not to be
relied upon and should not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment.
This document may contain certain statements, estimates, and projections with respect to the anticipated
future performance of securities, commodities or currencies suggested. Such statements, estimates, and
projections are based on information that we consider reliable and may reflect various assumptions made
concerning anticipated economic developments, which have not been independently verified and may
or may not prove correct. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy of such statements,
estimates, and projections or as to its fitness for the purpose intended and it should not be relied upon as
such. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only and may
change without notice.
© 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved.
INVESTMENT RESEARCH | BUSINESS RESEARCH | IP RESEARCH | BUSINESS VALUATION

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Aircraft safety-systems-in-the-spotlight-thematic-report

  • 1. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 1 Thematic Report by Preyash Shah, Research Analyst, Technology and Patent Research AIRCRAFT SAFETY SYSTEMS
  • 2. C o n t e n t s 1. Aircraft Safety Systems: In The Spotlight 1 2. Next Generation Safety Technologies: Focus On Reducing Human Error 2 i. Technologies Addressing Weather Related Error 2 ii. Technologies Addressing Mechanical Error 4 iii. Technologies Addressing Human Error 5 3. The Future Of Safe Flight 6
  • 3. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 1 Since the introduction of the first commercial aircraft in 1914, the aviation industry has soared. The world’s fastest mode of transport served 3.1 billion passengers in 2013, and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7% since then. Alas, a surge in air travel across the globe spiked an increase in aircraft-related fatalities. Number of Fatal Accidents There are various reasons that have been identified, which include human error, weather-related problems, mechanical failures, and sabotage, among others. Over the years, pilot error has contributed to approximately 40% of aircraft fatalities. The errors committed by the pilot can be attributed to two main reasons: Thus, there is a rise in need for technologies that minimize human error. This need has led to a shift of research focus toward developing technologies that aid pilots in making informed decisions. • Lack of attention • Lack of information to make accurate decisions Error Distribution Unfavorable Weather And Weather-related Pilot Errors Are The Top Factors That Pose A Major Challenge To Current Aircraft Safety Systems Aircraft Safety Systems In The Spotlight Fatal Accidents Have Reduced By Over 60% In The Past Two Decades
  • 4. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 2 Next Generation Safety Technologies Focus On Reducing Human Error JAXA’s Aircraft Safety Management Technology Fervent research activity in the aircraft safety system domain has led to the development of many innovative technologies, some of which will be covered in this document. Operating airplanes in winter can be very challenging. Ice disrupts aircraft aerodynamics and increases drag. As power is added to compensate for the additional drag and the nose is lifted to maintain altitude, additional area is exposed on the underside of the wings and fuselage where ice gets accumulated.Icing also causes antennas to vibrate so severely that they break. Even in moderate icing conditions, it becomes difficult to handle a light aircraft, as it may stall at higher speeds and lower angles of attack than the norm. Icing can also stop the engine by either freezing up the carburetor orblocking the engine's air source. This can prove to be fatal. There are technologies that reduce the effects of icing on the aircraft’s body; however, the problem still persists. There is a need for a technology that can envisage the possibility of icing. One such technology is developed by JAXA. JAXA plans to develop aircraft safety management technology for systems that can detect and keep track of the aircraft, runway and weather conditions, and enhancethe safety of each aircraft to be managed. The technology includes icing and lightning monitoring systems along with passive safety systems such as anti-icing coating on the aircraft’s outer body. The active system detects the weather conditions and checks for the possibility of icing, and accordingly decides the flight path that minimizes any icing incidents. JAXA’s Aircraft Safety Management Technology Source: www.aero.jaxa.jp Technology Addressing Weather Related Errors
  • 5. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 3 NextGen Network Enabled Weather (NNEW) NextGen Network Enabled Weather is an attempt to standardize and simplify the access to weather data among aviation agencies. NNEW will be the FAA's portion of an interagency data cube called the 4-Dimensional Weather Data Cube. It is a collaborative effort involving the FAA, NOAA, DOD and commercial weather organizations. a. Turbulence b. Icing c. Convection d. Ceiling and visibility e. Winds (surface and aloft) The 4-Dimensional Weather Data Cube will comprise of: Real-time updates on weather conditions (surface to low earth orbit, including space weather and ocean parameters) Space and time analysis and forecast information based on conventional weather parameters from numerical models Aviation impact parameters necessary for Initial Operational Capability (IOC) which would include:
  • 6. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 4 Automatic Ground-Collision Avoidance System (Auto-GCAS) Jointly developed by NASA, the Air Force and Lockheed Martin, this technology is currently in its testing phase. The Auto-GCAS entered military service in September 2014 and has already showcased its capability by saving at least two F-16s and their crews. A similar automated GCAS system has also been developed by Saab for the JAS-39 Gripen fighter. The GCAS is designed to warn the pilot if there is an imminent risk ofground collision. Such situations can for example arise due to g-induced loss of consciousness, target fascination, or lack of concentration. Thesystem constantly monitors the altitude, attitude, and speed. On the basis of these parameters, it determines the possibility of a crash, and if a crash is imminent, it triggers an autopilot-commanded maneuver to return to a safe flight path. Aircraft Bird-strike Avoidance Radars Bird strikes pose a significant safety hazard to aircraft, pilots, and passengers.It costsboth military and commercial aviation over $2 billion each year due to aircraft loss and damage, out-of-service delays,as well as lost lives. To minimize fatalities related to bird strikes, DeTect has introduced anAircraft bird- strike avoidance radar system. The system uses solid-state S-band radar sensors with Doppler processing, providing all weather detection and tracking of birds, even in conditions like fog, rain, and snow. The solid-state radars have been engineered and manufactured specifically for bird detection.They offer greater sensitivity than traditional magnetron-based bird radar systems, which are susceptible to false positives from insect contamination, and are also "blind" in wet fog or even light rain. DiTect’s Aircraft Bird-strike Avoidance Radars Source: www.detect-inc.com Technology Addressing Mechanical Errors
  • 7. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 5 Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) is a surveillance technology in which an aircraft determines its position via satellite navigation and periodically broadcasts it, enabling it to be tracked. The information can be received by air traffic control ground stations as a replacement for secondary radar. It can also be received by other aircraft to provide situational awareness and allow self-separation. ADS-B provides many benefits to both pilots and air traffic control that improve both flight safety and efficiency. 1. Traffic: When using an ADS-B, a pilot is able to view traffic information about surrounding aircraft. This information includes altitude, heading, speed, and distance to adjacent aircraft. 2. Terrain: ADS-B technology broadcasts a terrain overlay for pilots to view in the cockpit. 3. Efficiency: ADS-B updates about once per second while radar only updates every three to 13 seconds; it's thus less likely that aircraft pilots will see a target of their own aircraft when maneuvering. 4. Expense: ADS-B ground stations are significantly cheaper to install and operate compared to primary and secondary radar systems. Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) Source: www.propilotmag.com Technology Addressing Human Errors
  • 8. The Future of Safe Flight This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 6 Even though the odds of being involved in a fatal air-crash incident are one in 4.7 million, the aviation industry is still trying to develop technologies that would make air travel foolproof. This is only possible through the collaboration of various administrations across the world. One such collaboration is FAA’s NextGen program. The program includes developing technologies that assist the pilot and ground control staff by enabling effective communication and assisting techniques between them. More specifically, we believe that the Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B)system could prove to be a breakthrough technology,witha system capable of providing real-time GPS tracking of aircraft along with weather conditions that aid the pilot and control room to efficientlymanage air traffic. In its current development and testing phase, ADS-B has helped reducing accidents by 40%, emissions by 34%, and noise by 30%. Another promising technology is Automatic Ground Collision Avoidance System (Auto-GCAS). Having already proved itself in the defense industry, we believe that once implemented, this technology will play a key role in redefining aircraft safety systems in the commercial aviation industry. Who knows, auto-GCAS could have saved Germanwings flight 9525!
  • 9. This material is exclusive property of Aranca. No part of this presentation may be used, shared, modified and/or disseminated without written permission. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. 7 DISCLAIMER This report is published by Aranca, a customized research and analytics services provider to global clients. The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This document is based on data sources that are publicly available and are thought to be reliable. Aranca may not have verified all of this information with third parties. Neither Aranca nor its advisors, directors or employees can guarantee the accuracy, reasonableness or completeness of the information received from any sources consulted for this publication, and neither Aranca nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. Further, this document is not an offer to buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. This document does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment or currency will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. This document is not to be relied upon and should not be used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. This document may contain certain statements, estimates, and projections with respect to the anticipated future performance of securities, commodities or currencies suggested. Such statements, estimates, and projections are based on information that we consider reliable and may reflect various assumptions made concerning anticipated economic developments, which have not been independently verified and may or may not prove correct. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy of such statements, estimates, and projections or as to its fitness for the purpose intended and it should not be relied upon as such. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only and may change without notice. © 2015, Aranca. All rights reserved. INVESTMENT RESEARCH | BUSINESS RESEARCH | IP RESEARCH | BUSINESS VALUATION