Studio X analyzed factors that predict Oscar nominations to help them produce more nominated films. Previous awards from organizations like the New York Film Critics Circle and Golden Globes strongly predict Oscar nominations. Certain genres, ratings, source materials, release times, directors, and budgets made films more likely to be nominated over irrelevant factors like producers or theater count. The analysis found dramas released later from previously nominated directors with R or PG-13 ratings and based on novels had the best chance at Oscar nominations.

1. Deloitte Data Blitz
Team 11
Nicole Abba, John MacLaughlin, Aakash Shah,
David Shore, Arthur Wu

2. Roadmap
● Predicting Nominations: How can Studio X predict
which of its movies are likely to be nominated?
● Producing Nominees: In the future, how can Studio X
produce more films that will get nominated?
● Limitations of the Analysis
● Takeaways of the Analysis

3. Oscar nominations are preceded by other
prestigious awards and nominations
Early December - New York Film Critics Circle Awards
Mid December- Golden Globe Nominations
Early January- Producer Guild of America Nomination
Mid January- Academy Award Nomination

4. Oscar nominations can be predicted
by other film nominations
77% of the variation in whether
a movie is nominated can be
attributed to these variables:
● PGA nomination
● Golden Globe
Nomination
○ Comedy
○ Drama

5. The NYFC Circle Award for Best Film
predict Oscar nominations well
14 out of 15 past NYFC winners have been nominated.

6. Drama is the most
effective genre

7. Over 50% go to R &
PG-13 movies
R-rated movies are nominated most often
(34.05%), followed by PG-13 rated movies
(22.56%).
The Chi-Squared distribution is significant
at p = 0.0012.

8. The producer is not a significant
variable in determining nomination.

9. No studio has had more
than 3 nominated films -
most never get
nominated

10. Previously successful directors
are much more likely to win
more nominations

11. Movies based on books win nominations more often
than others

12. The later the
release
month, the
more likely
the film will
be nominated

13. A previously nominated director is
more likely to get a nomination for
another film

14. The number of theatres with the
film release is indeterminant

15. Takeaway 1:
Other film awards are good predictors of Oscar
nominations

16. Takeaway 2:
Most effective qualities:
● Drama
● R or PG-13
● Based on a novel
● Later release month
● Previously nominated
director
● Larger movie budget
Irrelevant Factors:
● Producer
● Widest release to
theatres