This is a sample presentation given in May of 2013 on the Future of Information. Some of the content is contained within a larger future trends presentation called Seven Revolutions (7revs.org).

1. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
Wednesday, August 7, 13

2. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
”Not everything
that counts can be
counted, and not
everything that
can be counted
counts.”
Information / Trends
Wednesday, August 7, 13

3. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
Big Data
Wednesday, August 7, 13

4. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
4.0 Zettabytes
2010 2011 2012
Gigabytes of Data
Terabytes of Data
Petabytes of Data
Exabytes of Data
2013
1.2
1.8
2.8
Information / DATA
Source: International Data Corporation (IDC), 2012
Wednesday, August 7, 13

5. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
2,513 Yearsfor
XX
Information / DATA
Wednesday, August 7, 13

6. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
33 Times
back and forth
to the moon
Information / DATA
Wednesday, August 7, 13

7. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA
Wednesday, August 7, 13

8. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA
EVERY School DAY
4.2EXAbytes
Wednesday, August 7, 13

9. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
HISTORY to 2003
5 Exabytes
Information / DATA
EVERY School DAY
4.2EXAbytes
54minutes
IN 2020 We create 5
exabytes every
Wednesday, August 7, 13

10. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Not Useful Useful Tagged
Source: International Data Corporation (IDC), 2012
74% 23%
Information / DATA
3%
In 2012
Wednesday, August 7, 13

11. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
74% 23%
Information / DATA
Short Term:
HAMR (Heat Assisted Magnetic
Recording) 60 TB per Desktop hd, 20
per laptop
MEDIUM Term:
Five-dimensional glass memory (360
TB per disk)
Long Term:
protein/dna/resistive ram/phase
change memory
Technologies to fix THE storage gap:
Wednesday, August 7, 13

12. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
Big Data
Access
Wednesday, August 7, 13

13. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / ACCESS
"For every person
online, there are
two who are not [....]
By the end of the
decade, everyone on
Earth will be
connected."
Wednesday, August 7, 13

14. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / ACCESS
1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
GOOGLE MODEL 2020
Wednesday, August 7, 13

15. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / ACCESS
1995 1999 2003 2007 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
UN/ITU MODEL 2029
AGE ASSUMPTION MODEL 2027
GOOGLE MODEL 2020
2.5B
Wednesday, August 7, 13

16. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
• Almost impossible to get to Google’s vision
• What role does energy poverty play in this
future?
• Do we need to connect more households?
Example: In India only 3% population has home
internet access. Yet 12% of the population is
online.
Information / ACCESS
Wednesday, August 7, 13

17. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
Big Data
Access
Security
Wednesday, August 7, 13

18. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
per
per
Information / SECURITY
Wednesday, August 7, 13

19. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
W32.Disttrack
Erase Hard Drives
(Randomly)
Gathered User
Credentials
Targeted Energy
Companies
(nicknamed, “Shamoon”)
Information / SECURITY
Wednesday, August 7, 13

20. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Future of
Anononimity?
Information / SECURITY
Wednesday, August 7, 13

21. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
Big Data
Access
Security
Knowledge
Wednesday, August 7, 13

22. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
we process MORE information in
ONE DAY then someone in the
1500s did in their LIFETIME
Information / KNOWLEDGE
Wednesday, August 7, 13

23. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / KNOWLEDGE
are we smarter?
Wednesday, August 7, 13

24. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / KNOWLEDGE
Wednesday, August 7, 13

25. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Innovation
Big Data
Access
Security
Information / Trends
Knowledge
Wednesday, August 7, 13

26. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / INNOVATION
Wednesday, August 7, 13

27. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
50 billion
by 2020
Internet of Things . . .
Information / INNOVATION
Wednesday, August 7, 13

28. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / INNOVATION
So What?
Wednesday, August 7, 13

29. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
Wednesday, August 7, 13

30. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
Wednesday, August 7, 13

31. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
–Artificial Intelligence 4x Moore’s Law
Wednesday, August 7, 13

32. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
–Artificial Intelligence 4x Moore’s Law
–IBM Watson (Refrigerator, Pizza Box)
Wednesday, August 7, 13

33. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
–Artificial Intelligence 4x Moore’s Law
–IBM Watson (Refrigerator, Pizza Box)
“The Cloud”
Wednesday, August 7, 13

34. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
Friona fell 10-8 to Boys Ranch in five innings
on Monday at Friona despite racking up seven
hits and eight runs. Friona was led by a
flawless day at the dish by Hunter Sundre,
who went 2-2 against Boys Ranch pitching.
Sundre singled in the third inning and tripled
in the fourth inning … Friona piled up the
steals, swiping eight bags in all …
Source: NARRATIVE SCIENCE
Wednesday, August 7, 13

35. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
Friona fell 10-8 to Boys Ranch in five innings
on Monday at Friona despite racking up seven
hits and eight runs. Friona was led by a
flawless day at the dish by Hunter Sundre,
who went 2-2 against Boys Ranch pitching.
Sundre singled in the third inning and tripled
in the fourth inning … Friona piled up the
steals, swiping eight bags in all …
Computer created!
Source: NARRATIVE SCIENCE
Wednesday, August 7, 13

36. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
Wednesday, August 7, 13

37. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
-Google Glasses & Situational Awareness
Wednesday, August 7, 13

38. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
-Google Glasses & Situational Awareness
-Biometrics
Wednesday, August 7, 13

39. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
-Google Glasses & Situational Awareness
-Biometrics
-Predictive Analytics (modeling, machine learning, ex. Kaggle)
Wednesday, August 7, 13

40. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
|Information / INNOVATION
So What?
-Google Glasses & Situational Awareness
-Biometrics
-Predictive Analytics (modeling, machine learning, ex. Kaggle)
-MapLarge and Minority Report
Wednesday, August 7, 13

41. SCOTT AUGHENBAUGH • FELLOW • CSIS
EXAMPlE • May 2013
Information / Trends
http://7revs.org
SAughenbaugh@csis.org
@SAUGHENBAUGH
Wednesday, August 7, 13