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CRITICAL CHAIN

            ELIYAHU GOLDRATt



AZAD İRİZ
EMINE TAŞCI
MERVE ESRA AKKAN
SEVTAP SEVGİLİ
ŞERIFE ÖZGÖÇ
THE PURPOSE OF THE BOOK

   To   change    Goldratt   educational    systems   to   better
    accommodate the quickly changing world of business.

   The book starts by pointing out the problems with how time
    estimates are normally done on projects.

   To provide a primer on the Theory of Constraints and an
    example of its implementation in a steel mill.

   To proceed to show how the Theory of Constraints can be
    applied to schedule generation, resources constraints and
    multiple projects.
KEY IDEAS

   An information technology saying: "A project will run
    out of time but will never run out of excuses.“

   Top management blames externalities, while project
    participants more-honestly place direct blame on
    internal politics and management.

   The estimate is judged at an 80% confidence point.
    That is, the estimator believes there is an 80% chance
    that an activity will be completed within this time.
As a summary of book
The main story in the book is about an associate
professor named Rick Silver who is struggling to
make it in the academic world. young business
professor.
He and his Executive MBA class learn
together, using the Socratic method, as they
discover and apply radical new project
management concepts. The principal side
characters are a young task force charged with
dramatically reducing a modem manufacturer’s
time-to-market cycle. He is a very good teacher, but
he wants tenure and is in need of publications. His
area is project management and he wants the
articles to make a difference in this field. The fact is
that the theories applied to project management
are not effective and projects are running late at
   Think Tank:A group           Budget Overruns:
    or an institution             The amount by which
    organized for intensive
    research and solving of       the actual cost of a
    problems, especially in       project exceeds its
    the areas of                  budget. While this
    technology, social or         does not necessarily
    political strategy            guarantee that the
                                  project will fail, it does
                                  make it more difficult
                                  to succeed. This is
                                  also called cost
                                  overrun or budget
                                  overrun.
   Time Overruns:

    Time overruns occur
    when projects or tasks
    within a project is not
    completed by the time
    the project plan
    specifies. This can
    occur when materials
    to complete a project
    are back ordered and
    work cannot be
    completed until the
    materials arrive.
   Bell Curved:"Bell
    Curve" is the popular
    name for Normal
    Distribution (also
    called Gaussian
    distribution). It is
    often called the bell
    curve because the
    graph of its
    probability density
    resembles a bell. It
    can be used to
    measure anything.
   PERT and Gantt techniques

PERT is a statistical
    tool, used in project
    management, that is
    designed to analyze
    and represent the
    tasks involved in
    completing a given
    Project, especially
    the time needed to
    complete each
    task, and to identify
    the minimum time
    needed to complete
    the total Project.
   Critical Path
    is defined as the
    longest chain of
    dependent steps
    (longest in time)
    and it determines
    the time it will take
    to finish the
    Project.Any delay
    on the critical path
    will delay the
    completion of the
   Gantt Charts

    unlike PERT
    Diagrams, involve
    decisions,the
    decision of the
    planner when to start
    each path.Somebody
    of them chose the
    late start for picking
    the vendors while the
    other one has
    chosen the early
    start.
   THEORY OF CONSTRAINTs( TOC )


     At first,it was related to
    production scheduling.
    Then it became a banner to
    attack “product cost”
    methods,then marketing.
    Lately ,it seems TOC is
    more connected with
    methods to remove friction
    between people.
THEORY OF CONSTRAINTS( TOC )

                       TOC is a blend of three
                        different breakthroughs :
                        First one,as we all
                        suspected,is that TOC is
                        actually a new
                        management philosophy
                        like ,TQM,JIT,Re-
                        enginnering,the learning
                        organization.. Second
                        one;is the research
                        methods it introduces.
                        Third one, the one TOC is
                        known for the most,its
                        broad spectrum of robust
                        applications.
   Identify the system’s
    constraints as
    physical,like a
    bottleneck,type of
    resource that does not
    have enough capacity to
    meet the demand.In that
    case, strengthening the
    weakest link will mean to
    help the bottleneck to
    do more.There are two
    different ways to
    strenghten a bottleneck.
    One is simply add more
    capacity,by hiring more
    people or buying more
    machines
   Triggering the
    student
    syndrome in the
    resource assigned
    to the task - they
    have more than
    enough time to do
    the task, therefore
    they start the task
    late using up all the
    safety.
The Evaporating Cloud

 is suited to finding a
   solution to conflict
 between two parties or
 two points of view. The
   method requires the
participants to find 'win-
win' solutions because it
  emphasizes that both
   parties are trying to
reach the same ultimate
           goal.
W-W
When you win and
the other person
wins, instead of
one winning and
the other
losing, then
everybody is
happy and the
relationship gets
stronger as a
bonus.
BUFFERS




The identification and insertion of buffers:

 project buffer
 feeding buffers

 resource buffers
PROJECT BUFFER


   It is inserted at the end of the project
    network between the last task and the
    completion date.
PROJECT BUFFER

  • Any delays on the longest chain of
    dependant tasks will consume some
    of the buffer but will leave the
    completion date unchanged and so
    protect the project.

  •    The project buffer is typically
      recommended to be half the size of
      the safety time taken out, resulting in
      a project that is planned to be 75% of
      a “traditional” project network.
FEEDING BUFFERS



   • The safety time on the end of the
     critical chain is called the project
     buffer.
FEEDING BUFFERS

•   Delays on paths of tasks feeding into the longest
    chain   can   impact   the   project   by   delaying   a
    subsequent task on the Critical Chain.

•   To protect against this, feeding buffers are inserted
    between the last task on a feeding path and the
    Critical Chain. The feeding buffer is typically
    recommended to be half the size of the safety time
    taken out of the feeding path.
RESOURCE BUFFERS




   Resource buffers can be set alongside of
    the Critical Chain to ensure that the
    appropriate people and skills are available
    to work on the Critical Chain tasks as
    soon as needed.

   The safety time should be large enough to
    insure the resource has at least a 50%
    chance of finishing the specific tasks on
    time.This safety time is called a resource
    buffer.
VENDOR MANAGEMENT




   The abstractions of project
    management are instantiated by having
    portions of the project supplied by
    other firms. That is, the simple metrics
    of "minimize cost," and "deliver by this
    date" may be implicit for internal
    teams, but they have to be explicit for
    vendors, and there is less opportunity
    for fine tuning, and more motivation
    for protection.
VENDOR MANAGEMENT

      The importance of schedule, and ways to improve
       it, can be explored by negotiating tradeoffs
       between it and cost.
             • What cost incentives for early delivery
             will they respond to?
• What cost penalties for late delivery will they
  accept? More importantly, what penalties
  should we be seeking to imposeto capture our
  own opportunity costs and the expenses of a
        • slip?
  schedule Small delays can create big impacts on
           profitability, improvements in delivery
           schedule will often be worth a premium.
           But focus this effort where it matters - in
           the critical path, and the critical chain
           dependencies within it.

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Critical chain - Eliyahu goldratt

  • 1. CRITICAL CHAIN ELIYAHU GOLDRATt AZAD İRİZ EMINE TAŞCI MERVE ESRA AKKAN SEVTAP SEVGİLİ ŞERIFE ÖZGÖÇ
  • 2. THE PURPOSE OF THE BOOK  To change Goldratt educational systems to better accommodate the quickly changing world of business.  The book starts by pointing out the problems with how time estimates are normally done on projects.  To provide a primer on the Theory of Constraints and an example of its implementation in a steel mill.  To proceed to show how the Theory of Constraints can be applied to schedule generation, resources constraints and multiple projects.
  • 3. KEY IDEAS  An information technology saying: "A project will run out of time but will never run out of excuses.“  Top management blames externalities, while project participants more-honestly place direct blame on internal politics and management.  The estimate is judged at an 80% confidence point. That is, the estimator believes there is an 80% chance that an activity will be completed within this time.
  • 4. As a summary of book The main story in the book is about an associate professor named Rick Silver who is struggling to make it in the academic world. young business professor. He and his Executive MBA class learn together, using the Socratic method, as they discover and apply radical new project management concepts. The principal side characters are a young task force charged with dramatically reducing a modem manufacturer’s time-to-market cycle. He is a very good teacher, but he wants tenure and is in need of publications. His area is project management and he wants the articles to make a difference in this field. The fact is that the theories applied to project management are not effective and projects are running late at
  • 5. Think Tank:A group  Budget Overruns: or an institution The amount by which organized for intensive research and solving of the actual cost of a problems, especially in project exceeds its the areas of budget. While this technology, social or does not necessarily political strategy guarantee that the project will fail, it does make it more difficult to succeed. This is also called cost overrun or budget overrun.
  • 6. Time Overruns: Time overruns occur when projects or tasks within a project is not completed by the time the project plan specifies. This can occur when materials to complete a project are back ordered and work cannot be completed until the materials arrive.
  • 7. Bell Curved:"Bell Curve" is the popular name for Normal Distribution (also called Gaussian distribution). It is often called the bell curve because the graph of its probability density resembles a bell. It can be used to measure anything.
  • 8. PERT and Gantt techniques PERT is a statistical tool, used in project management, that is designed to analyze and represent the tasks involved in completing a given Project, especially the time needed to complete each task, and to identify the minimum time needed to complete the total Project.
  • 9. Critical Path is defined as the longest chain of dependent steps (longest in time) and it determines the time it will take to finish the Project.Any delay on the critical path will delay the completion of the
  • 10. Gantt Charts unlike PERT Diagrams, involve decisions,the decision of the planner when to start each path.Somebody of them chose the late start for picking the vendors while the other one has chosen the early start.
  • 11. THEORY OF CONSTRAINTs( TOC ) At first,it was related to production scheduling. Then it became a banner to attack “product cost” methods,then marketing. Lately ,it seems TOC is more connected with methods to remove friction between people.
  • 12. THEORY OF CONSTRAINTS( TOC )  TOC is a blend of three different breakthroughs : First one,as we all suspected,is that TOC is actually a new management philosophy like ,TQM,JIT,Re- enginnering,the learning organization.. Second one;is the research methods it introduces. Third one, the one TOC is known for the most,its broad spectrum of robust applications.
  • 13. Identify the system’s constraints as physical,like a bottleneck,type of resource that does not have enough capacity to meet the demand.In that case, strengthening the weakest link will mean to help the bottleneck to do more.There are two different ways to strenghten a bottleneck. One is simply add more capacity,by hiring more people or buying more machines
  • 14. Triggering the student syndrome in the resource assigned to the task - they have more than enough time to do the task, therefore they start the task late using up all the safety.
  • 15. The Evaporating Cloud  is suited to finding a solution to conflict between two parties or two points of view. The method requires the participants to find 'win- win' solutions because it emphasizes that both parties are trying to reach the same ultimate goal.
  • 16. W-W When you win and the other person wins, instead of one winning and the other losing, then everybody is happy and the relationship gets stronger as a bonus.
  • 17. BUFFERS The identification and insertion of buffers:  project buffer  feeding buffers  resource buffers
  • 18. PROJECT BUFFER  It is inserted at the end of the project network between the last task and the completion date.
  • 19. PROJECT BUFFER • Any delays on the longest chain of dependant tasks will consume some of the buffer but will leave the completion date unchanged and so protect the project. • The project buffer is typically recommended to be half the size of the safety time taken out, resulting in a project that is planned to be 75% of a “traditional” project network.
  • 20. FEEDING BUFFERS • The safety time on the end of the critical chain is called the project buffer.
  • 21. FEEDING BUFFERS • Delays on paths of tasks feeding into the longest chain can impact the project by delaying a subsequent task on the Critical Chain. • To protect against this, feeding buffers are inserted between the last task on a feeding path and the Critical Chain. The feeding buffer is typically recommended to be half the size of the safety time taken out of the feeding path.
  • 22. RESOURCE BUFFERS  Resource buffers can be set alongside of the Critical Chain to ensure that the appropriate people and skills are available to work on the Critical Chain tasks as soon as needed.  The safety time should be large enough to insure the resource has at least a 50% chance of finishing the specific tasks on time.This safety time is called a resource buffer.
  • 23. VENDOR MANAGEMENT  The abstractions of project management are instantiated by having portions of the project supplied by other firms. That is, the simple metrics of "minimize cost," and "deliver by this date" may be implicit for internal teams, but they have to be explicit for vendors, and there is less opportunity for fine tuning, and more motivation for protection.
  • 24. VENDOR MANAGEMENT  The importance of schedule, and ways to improve it, can be explored by negotiating tradeoffs between it and cost. • What cost incentives for early delivery will they respond to? • What cost penalties for late delivery will they accept? More importantly, what penalties should we be seeking to imposeto capture our own opportunity costs and the expenses of a • slip? schedule Small delays can create big impacts on profitability, improvements in delivery schedule will often be worth a premium. But focus this effort where it matters - in the critical path, and the critical chain dependencies within it.

Notas del editor

  1. Iftheydepend on inputsfrom us, findthatout, andthenfindout how theirdelivery can be improvedbybetterinformation of whenwewillprovidethecrucialinputs.Since