Fuller presentation nvar economic summit
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Fuller presentation nvar economic summit
- 1. NVAR’s 14th Annual Economic Summit The Outlook for the Washington Area Economy Stephen S. Fuller, PhD Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy George Mason University September 16, 2010
- 2. Washington MSA Leading Economic Index Month-Over-Year Percent Change
- 3. 15 Largest Job MarketsJob Change July 09 – July 10 (000s) Washington + 41,800 Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 4. Annual Job ChangeWashington MSA 000s Annual Data Annual Month over Year 2008 2009 2010 Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 5. Annual Job ChangeNorthern Virginia 000s Annual Data Annual Month over Year 2008 2009 2010 Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 6. Job Change by SectorDec 2007 – Dec 2009Washington MSA Total - 79,300 (000s) Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 7. Job Change by SectorJuly 2009 – July 2010Washington MSA Total 41,200 (000s) Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 8. Job Change by SectorJuly 2009 – July 2010Northern Virginia Total 22,700 (000s) Source: BLS March 2010 Benchmark, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 9. Unemployment Rate % 9.7 6.3 5.2 U.S. Washington Northern Virginia Source: BLS, Not Seasonally Adjusted
- 10. 15 Largest Job MarketsRanked by Unemployment RateJuly 2010 % US 9.7 6.3 Source: BLS, NOT Seasonally Adjusted
- 12. Existing Home Sales Washington MSA Through August 2010 12-Month Moving Average Northern Virginia
- 13. Percent Change in Inventories of Existing HomesMonth-Over-the-Year-Change2000 – 2010, MSA % Jan-May, 2006 >100 % Aug = - 0.3% Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 14. Total Active Listings Per SaleAugust Each Year PG PW LDN DC MONT FFX ARL Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 15. Average Sales Price Percent ChangeWashington MSAAll Housing Types % Annual Change Annual Change by Month 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 16. Average Sales Price Percent ChangeNorthern VirginiaAll Housing Types % Annual Change Annual Change by Month 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: MRIS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 17. New Housing Contract Kick-Out Rate Washington Metro, All Housing Types % 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Hanley Wood
- 18. Housing Sales, Actual and Forecast to Sept. 2011Metro Area
- 19. Housing Sales, Actual and Forecast to Sept. 2011Northern Virginia
- 21. Economic Outlook (GRP) – 2015Washington Area and Sub-state Portions(Annual % Change) % NV MSA SM DC Source: GMU Center for Regional Analysis
- 22. Employment Change bySub-state Region (000s) Average Annual Change 1990-2008 = 37,000 Source: BLS, GMU Center for Regional Analysis, 2009-2014 based on 2010 Benchmark data from BLS
- 23. GDP/GRP 2000 - 2015 % Washington U.S. Source: Global Insight, GMU Center for Regional Analysis