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Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
EXECUTIVE SYSTEMS
THINKING TRAINING
SEMINAR
3 March 2015
Robert	
  Steele	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  /	
  AtKisson	
  Group	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Premise of this Seminar
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
1.	
  A	
  systems	
  perspec>ve	
  helps	
  us	
  to	
  
understand	
  what	
  shapes	
  the	
  way	
  society	
  
thinks	
  and	
  acts.	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
2.	
  By	
  using	
  a	
  systems	
  approach,	
  we	
  can	
  
beFer	
  understand	
  what	
  lies	
  underneath	
  
various	
  social	
  issues	
  in	
  order	
  to	
  develop	
  
long-­‐term	
  solu>ons.	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Seminar Objectives
1.  Introduce	
  systems	
  thinking	
  as	
  an	
  effec>ve	
  
problem	
  analysis	
  and	
  solu>on	
  approach.	
  
2.  Share	
  some	
  prac>cal	
  systems	
  thinking	
  
tools,	
  methods,	
  and	
  techniques.	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Current	
  And	
  Past	
  Clients	
  Include:	
  
Levi	
  Strauss	
  &	
  Co.	
  •	
  Ernst	
  &	
  Young	
  •	
  	
  Nike	
  •	
  Bal>c	
  21	
  (the	
  11	
  na>ons	
  of	
  Northern	
  Europe)	
  •	
  European	
  Sustainable	
  
Development	
  Network	
  •	
  Brother,	
  Inc.	
  (Japan)	
  •	
  Earth	
  Charter	
  Interna>onal	
  •	
  Swedish	
  SIDA’s	
  Advanced	
  Interna>onal	
  
Training	
  Programs	
  •	
  United	
  Na>ons	
  Division	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Development	
  	
  Egyp>an	
  Na>onal	
  Compe>>veness	
  Council	
  
•	
  Government	
  of	
  Singapore	
  •	
  Greater	
  New	
  Orleans,	
  Inc.	
  •	
  SEIYU	
  (Japan)	
  •	
  SERDP	
  -­‐	
  Strategic	
  Environmental	
  Research	
  
&	
  Development	
  Program	
  (US	
  Government)	
  •	
  Seliger	
  Forum	
  2010	
  (Russia)	
  •	
  Sustainable	
  Fashion	
  Academy	
  •	
  States	
  of	
  
Queensland,	
  Victoria,	
  NSW,	
  and	
  South	
  Australia	
  •	
  Stockholm	
  County	
  •	
  Sustainable	
  SeaFle	
  •	
  Heinz	
  Endowments	
  •	
  
Toyota	
  •	
  UNEP	
  •	
  UNDP	
  •	
  Nile	
  Basin	
  Ini>a>ve	
  •	
  Bank	
  of	
  Indonesia	
  •	
  Volvo	
  Cars	
  	
  
Robert	
  Steel	
  –	
  Systainability	
  Asia	
  -­‐	
  Part	
  of	
  A	
  global	
  network	
  dedicated	
  to	
  sustainability	
  
strategy	
  learning,	
  and	
  inspira?on	
  	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  
Global	
  Affiliate	
  and	
  Associate	
  Network	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A little Thumb wrestling
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Part 1 - What is Systems
Thinking?
SYSTEMS	
  
THINKING	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Important idea: “Good	
  people	
  can	
  make	
  
bad	
  or	
  harmful	
  decisions	
  if	
  the	
  systems	
  within	
  
which	
  they	
  are	
  making	
  those	
  decisions	
  are	
  
poorly	
  designed.	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A	
  system	
  is	
  a	
  set	
  of	
  elements	
  whose	
  
interconnec>ons	
  determine	
  their	
  behavior.	
  
What Is A System?
Systems	
  are	
  bound	
  together	
  by	
  the	
  laws	
  of	
  cause	
  and	
  
effect,	
  and	
  governed	
  by	
  flows	
  of	
  informa>on,	
  energy	
  and	
  
materials.	
  
Note:	
  People	
  give	
  defini-on	
  to	
  systems	
  based	
  on	
  an	
  idea	
  
of	
  what	
  should	
  happen	
  at	
  a	
  given	
  point	
  in	
  -me.	
  Thus,	
  
systems	
  have	
  a	
  purpose.	
  
	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Not a System A System
v	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Bigger more Complex Systems
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
CEO’s individual
concern about
climate change
Shareholder
desire for
profitability
Likelihood a CEO
decides to open a
coal fired power
plant
Cost to meet
other
standards
Expected
profitability
of coal
Costs of other
energy sources
Price per ton
CO2
An example of system dynamics…
Source:	
  Climate	
  Interac>ve	
  –	
  Climate	
  Leader	
  Series;	
  
hFp://theclimateleader.org	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Would a new decision maker
placed in the same system
make a different decision?
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Some Insights
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A Systems Perspective
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A little background on System Thinking
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systems Thinking helps us to . . .
.	
  .	
  .	
  move	
  the	
  focus	
  away	
  from	
  events	
  and	
  pa5erns	
  
of	
  behavior	
  (which	
  are	
  symptoms	
  of	
  problems)	
  and	
  
toward	
  systemic	
  structure	
  and	
  the	
  underlying	
  
mental	
  models	
  
Adapted	
  from:	
  Senge,	
  Peter,	
  The	
  Fieh	
  Discipline,	
  1996.	
  
Car	
  Ownership	
  
Transporta>on	
  
Op>ons	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systems Thinking has a Special Language
•  Source	
  	
  
•  Stock	
  	
  
•  Flows	
  	
  
•  Sinks	
  
•  Feedback	
  	
  
•  Reinforcing	
  
•  Balancing	
  	
  
•  Leverage	
  Point	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systems Thinking includes a Set of Tools
Stock	
  &	
  Flow	
  Diagrams	
  
System	
  Iceberg	
   Behavior	
  Over	
  Time	
  
Graphs	
  
Causal	
  Loop	
  Diagrams	
  
Compass	
  
Ladder	
  of	
  
Inference	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A System Story
A System Story by BEE
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDxOyJxgJeA
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
C
O
F
F
E
E	
B
R
E
A
K
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Part 2 - The System Iceberg
The	
  “iceberg”	
  model	
  of	
  systemic	
  rela>onships	
  is	
  a	
  simple	
  tool	
  to	
  
begin	
  to	
  unravel	
  complexity	
  and	
  discover	
  root	
  cause	
  of	
  behavior.	
  	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The	
  Iceberg	
  brings	
  two	
  things	
  of	
  benefit	
  to	
  decision	
  
makers….	
  
First	
  –	
  It	
  helps	
  focus	
  our	
  
aFen>on	
  on	
  areas	
  of	
  
high	
  leverage.	
  
	
  
Second	
  –the	
  idea	
  that	
  
the	
  structure	
  of	
  a	
  system	
  
actually	
  determines	
  the	
  
long-­‐term	
  behaviour	
  of	
  
the	
  system.	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
   •  Headlines	
  in	
  the	
  
Newspapers	
  
•  Urgent	
  Emails	
  
•  Fires	
  to	
  Put	
  Out	
  
•  Proposals	
  
•  Disasters	
  to	
  deal	
  with!	
  
	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
  
React & Respond
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Past	
   Now	
  
Indicator	
  Trends	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Adapt & Anticipate
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Time
Past Today Future
Something
important
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Systemic	
  Structures	
  
Mindsets	
  &	
  Mental	
  Models	
  
Create & Re-Design
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Feedback – The Process Driving the
System Behavior
Confidence in
Government Policy
Positive Results
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Systemic	
  Structures	
  
Mindsets	
  &	
  Mental	
  Models	
   Transform
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Compass … A Sustainability
Thinking Frame
➤ N	
  =	
  Nature	
  =	
  	
  
	
  Environmental	
  impact,	
  resource	
  use,	
  waste,	
  
ecosystems	
  and	
  habitat,	
  water,	
  	
  energy,	
  climate	
  
change	
  
➤ E	
  =	
  Economy	
  =	
  
	
  Produc>on,	
  consump>on,	
  employment	
  and	
  work,	
  
money,	
  investment,	
  debt,	
  business,	
  innova>on	
  	
  
	
  
➤ S	
  =	
  Society	
  =	
  
	
  Governance,	
  equity,	
  transparency,	
  security,	
  
culture,	
  ins>tu>onal	
  management,	
  levels	
  of	
  trust	
  
➤ W	
  =	
  Wellbeing	
  =	
  
	
  Health,	
  educa>on,	
  self-­‐expression,	
  happiness,	
  
rela>onships,	
  family,	
  crea>vity,	
  quality	
  of	
  life	
  
It helps us think about issues from many different perspectives
©	
  AtKisson,	
  Inc.,	
  2014	
  www.atkisson.com	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Compass as a Tool for Systems Thinking

Environmental	
  
Impacts	
  
Resource	
  Use	
  
&	
  Waste	
  
Ecosystem	
  
Integrity	
  
Efficiency	
  &	
  
ProducOvity	
  
Financial	
  
Aspects	
  
Work,	
  Jobs,	
  
IncenOves	
  
Rights,	
  	
  
Laws	
  &	
  JusOce	
  
Culture	
  &	
  
InsOtuOons	
  
Social	
  Trust	
  &	
  
Public	
  Safety	
  
Personal	
  Health	
  
&	
  Happiness	
  
Self-­‐Development	
  
OpportuniOes	
  
Families	
  &	
  
RelaOonships	
  
It helps us think about issues from many different perspectives
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Example – Traffic Problem in Bangkok
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Systemic	
  Structures	
  
Mindsets	
  &	
  Mental	
  Models	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Iceberg Exercise Part 1
For	
  Problem	
  Analysis	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Exercise Instructions
1.  Form	
  groups	
  of	
  4	
  –	
  5	
  
2.  Select	
  a	
  Topic	
  that	
  is	
  prominent	
  in	
  the	
  newspapers	
  or	
  on	
  TV	
  news	
  right	
  
now.	
  	
  
3.  Use	
  the	
  Iceberg	
  template	
  (handout)	
  to	
  analyze	
  the	
  Topic	
  from	
  a	
  systems	
  
perspec>ve.	
  
a.  What	
  are	
  the	
  significant	
  events	
  in	
  the	
  past	
  and	
  now	
  that	
  we	
  see,	
  hear	
  
about,	
  etc.	
  linked	
  to	
  this	
  topic?	
  	
  
b.  What	
  are	
  the	
  paFerns	
  of	
  behavior	
  and	
  trends	
  we	
  can	
  iden>fy	
  that	
  
link	
  to	
  this	
  event.	
  
c.  What	
  are	
  some	
  systemic	
  structures	
  that	
  exist	
  that	
  generate	
  these	
  
behaviors	
  
d.  What	
  are	
  the	
  dominant	
  mental	
  models,	
  beliefs,	
  values,	
  assump>ons?	
  
	
  
4.	
  Also,	
  as	
  you	
  brainstorm	
  the	
  elements	
  at	
  the	
  various	
  levels,	
  use	
  the	
  
Compass	
  to	
  help	
  you	
  be	
  more	
  holis>c	
  (i.e.	
  think	
  about	
  all	
  four	
  points	
  of	
  the	
  
Compass)	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Some example Events to use
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Sharing Icebergs
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Iceberg Exercise Part 2
Leverage	
  Points	
  and	
  solu>ons	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Small Actions can yield large results
A	
  “leverage	
  point” is	
  a	
  place	
  
in	
  a	
  system	
  where	
  a	
  large	
  
change	
  towards	
  desired	
  
behavior	
  or	
  results	
  can	
  be	
  
accomplished	
  by	
  applying	
  
rela>vely	
  few	
  resources.	
  
Artist: Gary Larson
Picture	
  source:	
  hFp://thwink.org/sustain/glossary/LeveragePoint.gif	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
The Iceberg
Events	
   React and Respond
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Systemic	
  Structures	
  
Mindsets	
  &	
  Mental	
  Models	
  
Adapt, Anticipate, Plan
Creative & Design
Transform
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Exercise Instructions
1.  Use	
  the	
  Iceberg	
  template	
  (handout)	
  to	
  find	
  the	
  best	
  
leverage	
  points	
  for	
  whole	
  system	
  change	
  at	
  each	
  level.	
  
•  How	
  would	
  you	
  respond	
  &	
  react	
  to	
  events	
  (short	
  term	
  
solu>on)?	
  
•  What	
  will	
  you	
  do	
  to	
  be	
  proac>ve	
  on	
  the	
  paFerns	
  and	
  trends	
  
you	
  see	
  by	
  an>cipa>ng,	
  planning	
  and	
  adap>ng?	
  
•  What	
  will	
  you	
  do	
  to	
  create	
  and	
  design	
  different	
  system	
  
structures	
  and	
  interac>ons	
  (dynamics)?	
  	
  
•  How	
  to	
  transform	
  people’s	
  mental	
  models	
  and	
  mindsets	
  that	
  
lie	
  at	
  the	
  very	
  root	
  cause	
  of	
  these	
  issues	
  (by	
  designing	
  or	
  
keeping	
  in	
  place	
  these	
  systemic	
  structure	
  that	
  generate	
  the	
  
behavior	
  paFerns	
  and	
  trends	
  that	
  we	
  see)?	
  
2.  Finally,	
  circle	
  the	
  top	
  three	
  ideas	
  in	
  the	
  lower	
  sec>on	
  
that	
  has	
  the	
  highest	
  leverage	
  in	
  terms	
  of	
  changing	
  the	
  
system	
  and	
  avoiding	
  the	
  paFerns	
  of	
  behavior	
  that	
  you	
  
don’t	
  want	
  to	
  see.	
  	
  
Increasing	
  Leverage	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Example – Our Traffic Issue in Bangkok
Events	
  
Pa5erns	
  of	
  
Behavior	
  
Systemic	
  Structures	
  
Mindsets	
  &	
  Mental	
  Models	
  
React and Respond
Adapt, Anticipate, Plan
Creative & Design
Transform
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Part 3 – Causal Diagrams
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Causal Diagrams help in 3 ways…
1.  Test	
  and	
  clarify	
  your	
  thinking	
  
2.  Enroll	
  people	
  in	
  ac>on	
  towards	
  a	
  goal	
  
3.  Discover	
  new	
  allies	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Efforts	
  spent	
  on	
  
gepng	
  press	
  
coverage	
  
Visibility	
  of	
  
Projects	
   Number	
  of	
  
people	
  
interested	
  in	
  the	
  
NGO’s	
  projects	
  
Number	
  of	
  
people	
  /	
  
organiza>ons,	
  etc.	
  
suppor>ng	
  the	
  
NGO’s	
  projects	
  
Quality	
  of	
  people	
  
wan>ng	
  to	
  work	
  for	
  
the	
  NGO	
  
Cumula>ve	
  
Experience	
  of	
  
the	
  NGO	
  
Funds	
  available	
  
for	
  Projects	
  
Capacity	
  of	
  NGO	
  to	
  
implement	
  effec>ve	
  
projects	
  
Posi>ve	
  results	
  
of	
  the	
  projects	
  
Causal Diagram Example of NGO Success
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Causal Diagram Education Improvement Example
Overall	
  PISA	
  Test	
  Scores	
  
&	
  Country	
  Ranking	
  
Percep>on	
  of	
  Thailand’s	
  
Educa>on	
  System	
  by	
  
Public	
  
Ability	
  of	
  students	
  to	
  
successfully	
  take	
  the	
  
Test	
  
Students’	
  comprehension	
  
and	
  mastery	
  of	
  subject	
  
maFer	
  
Opportuni>es	
  for	
  students	
  to	
  
apply	
  theore>cal	
  learning	
  in	
  
relevant	
  life	
  situa>ons	
  
Effec>veness	
  of	
  
Government’s	
  Educa>on	
  
Policy	
  &	
  Implementa>on	
  
Capacity	
  of	
  Teachers	
  for	
  
transforma>ve	
  teaching	
  &	
  
learning	
  
Curriculum	
  
Extent	
  of	
  Transforma>onal	
  
Teaching	
  Pedagogy	
  applied	
  in	
  
schools	
  
Thailand’s	
  
Compe>>veness	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A	
  Causal	
  Diagram	
  Story	
  Example	
  
Biking	
  in	
  Bangkok	
  
Number	
  of	
  people	
  	
  
biking	
  to	
  work	
  
Number	
  of	
  bikers	
  
visible	
  on	
  the	
  streets	
  
Number	
  of	
  people	
  	
  
interested	
  in	
  biking	
  
Number	
  of	
  bikers	
  organized	
  
to	
  improve	
  biking	
  in	
  the	
  city	
  
Number	
  of	
  bike	
  
lanes	
  
Driver	
  awareness	
  
of	
  bikers	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Some youth examples
(Singapore Youth Environmental Envoys Program)
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Corporate example - Bang Negara Indonesia
(BNI) Sustainability Team
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Summary	
  &	
  Closing	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Remember…. The structure of the
systems determines its behavior!
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
A Systems approach provides us . . . 

Ø  Deeper	
  Insight:	
  	
  “Understand	
  components	
  and	
  their	
  
links	
  in	
  the	
  system,	
  you	
  will	
  understand	
  its	
  
behavior.”	
  
Ø  More	
  effec>ve	
  and	
  long-­‐term	
  Leverage:	
  	
  “Change	
  a	
  
component	
  or	
  link	
  in	
  the	
  system,	
  and	
  you	
  will	
  change	
  
the	
  system	
  behavior.”	
  
Ø  BeFer	
  Solu>ons:	
  “Solving	
  problems	
  almost	
  always	
  
involves	
  changing	
  systems	
  (iden-fy	
  and	
  change	
  the	
  
limi-ng	
  factor.”	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
13 Habits of a Systems Thinker
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Comments, Questions?
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
Systainability	
  Asia	
  /	
  AtKisson	
  Group	
  
ATKISSON	
  SUSTAINABILITY	
  SYSTEMS	
  ACCELERATOR	
  
Tools,	
  Methods	
  and	
  Processes	
  to	
  Support	
  Sustainable	
  Development	
  and	
  
Transforma-onal	
  Change.
Systainability	
  Asia	
  	
  -­‐	
  2015	
  	
  /	
  www.systainabilityasia.com	
  	
  
SYSTAINABILITY ASIA / ATKISSON GROUP
www.systainabilityasia.com
robert@atkisson.com
Thank you for your Attention &
Participation!

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Executive Systems Thinking Seminar - March 3 2015

  • 1. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     EXECUTIVE SYSTEMS THINKING TRAINING SEMINAR 3 March 2015 Robert  Steele   Systainability  Asia  /  AtKisson  Group  
  • 2. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Premise of this Seminar
  • 3. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     1.  A  systems  perspec>ve  helps  us  to   understand  what  shapes  the  way  society   thinks  and  acts.  
  • 4. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     2.  By  using  a  systems  approach,  we  can   beFer  understand  what  lies  underneath   various  social  issues  in  order  to  develop   long-­‐term  solu>ons.    
  • 5. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Seminar Objectives 1.  Introduce  systems  thinking  as  an  effec>ve   problem  analysis  and  solu>on  approach.   2.  Share  some  prac>cal  systems  thinking   tools,  methods,  and  techniques.  
  • 6. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Current  And  Past  Clients  Include:   Levi  Strauss  &  Co.  •  Ernst  &  Young  •    Nike  •  Bal>c  21  (the  11  na>ons  of  Northern  Europe)  •  European  Sustainable   Development  Network  •  Brother,  Inc.  (Japan)  •  Earth  Charter  Interna>onal  •  Swedish  SIDA’s  Advanced  Interna>onal   Training  Programs  •  United  Na>ons  Division  for  Sustainable  Development    Egyp>an  Na>onal  Compe>>veness  Council   •  Government  of  Singapore  •  Greater  New  Orleans,  Inc.  •  SEIYU  (Japan)  •  SERDP  -­‐  Strategic  Environmental  Research   &  Development  Program  (US  Government)  •  Seliger  Forum  2010  (Russia)  •  Sustainable  Fashion  Academy  •  States  of   Queensland,  Victoria,  NSW,  and  South  Australia  •  Stockholm  County  •  Sustainable  SeaFle  •  Heinz  Endowments  •   Toyota  •  UNEP  •  UNDP  •  Nile  Basin  Ini>a>ve  •  Bank  of  Indonesia  •  Volvo  Cars     Robert  Steel  –  Systainability  Asia  -­‐  Part  of  A  global  network  dedicated  to  sustainability   strategy  learning,  and  inspira?on               Global  Affiliate  and  Associate  Network  
  • 7. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A little Thumb wrestling
  • 8. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Part 1 - What is Systems Thinking? SYSTEMS   THINKING  
  • 9. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Important idea: “Good  people  can  make   bad  or  harmful  decisions  if  the  systems  within   which  they  are  making  those  decisions  are   poorly  designed.  
  • 10. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A  system  is  a  set  of  elements  whose   interconnec>ons  determine  their  behavior.   What Is A System? Systems  are  bound  together  by  the  laws  of  cause  and   effect,  and  governed  by  flows  of  informa>on,  energy  and   materials.   Note:  People  give  defini-on  to  systems  based  on  an  idea   of  what  should  happen  at  a  given  point  in  -me.  Thus,   systems  have  a  purpose.    
  • 11. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Not a System A System v  
  • 12. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Bigger more Complex Systems
  • 13. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     CEO’s individual concern about climate change Shareholder desire for profitability Likelihood a CEO decides to open a coal fired power plant Cost to meet other standards Expected profitability of coal Costs of other energy sources Price per ton CO2 An example of system dynamics… Source:  Climate  Interac>ve  –  Climate  Leader  Series;   hFp://theclimateleader.org    
  • 14. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Would a new decision maker placed in the same system make a different decision?
  • 15. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Some Insights
  • 16. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A Systems Perspective
  • 17. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com    
  • 18. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A little background on System Thinking
  • 19. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Systems Thinking helps us to . . . .  .  .  move  the  focus  away  from  events  and  pa5erns   of  behavior  (which  are  symptoms  of  problems)  and   toward  systemic  structure  and  the  underlying   mental  models   Adapted  from:  Senge,  Peter,  The  Fieh  Discipline,  1996.   Car  Ownership   Transporta>on   Op>ons  
  • 20. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Systems Thinking has a Special Language •  Source     •  Stock     •  Flows     •  Sinks   •  Feedback     •  Reinforcing   •  Balancing     •  Leverage  Point  
  • 21. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Systems Thinking includes a Set of Tools Stock  &  Flow  Diagrams   System  Iceberg   Behavior  Over  Time   Graphs   Causal  Loop  Diagrams   Compass   Ladder  of   Inference  
  • 22. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A System Story A System Story by BEE http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rDxOyJxgJeA
  • 23. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     C O F F E E B R E A K
  • 24. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Part 2 - The System Iceberg The  “iceberg”  model  of  systemic  rela>onships  is  a  simple  tool  to   begin  to  unravel  complexity  and  discover  root  cause  of  behavior.      
  • 25. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The  Iceberg  brings  two  things  of  benefit  to  decision   makers….   First  –  It  helps  focus  our   aFen>on  on  areas  of   high  leverage.     Second  –the  idea  that   the  structure  of  a  system   actually  determines  the   long-­‐term  behaviour  of   the  system.    
  • 26. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   •  Headlines  in  the   Newspapers   •  Urgent  Emails   •  Fires  to  Put  Out   •  Proposals   •  Disasters  to  deal  with!    
  • 27. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   React & Respond
  • 28. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Past   Now   Indicator  Trends  
  • 29. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Adapt & Anticipate
  • 30. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Time Past Today Future Something important
  • 31. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Systemic  Structures   Mindsets  &  Mental  Models   Create & Re-Design
  • 32. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Feedback – The Process Driving the System Behavior Confidence in Government Policy Positive Results
  • 33. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Systemic  Structures   Mindsets  &  Mental  Models   Transform
  • 34. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Compass … A Sustainability Thinking Frame ➤ N  =  Nature  =      Environmental  impact,  resource  use,  waste,   ecosystems  and  habitat,  water,    energy,  climate   change   ➤ E  =  Economy  =    Produc>on,  consump>on,  employment  and  work,   money,  investment,  debt,  business,  innova>on       ➤ S  =  Society  =    Governance,  equity,  transparency,  security,   culture,  ins>tu>onal  management,  levels  of  trust   ➤ W  =  Wellbeing  =    Health,  educa>on,  self-­‐expression,  happiness,   rela>onships,  family,  crea>vity,  quality  of  life   It helps us think about issues from many different perspectives ©  AtKisson,  Inc.,  2014  www.atkisson.com  
  • 35. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Compass as a Tool for Systems Thinking Environmental   Impacts   Resource  Use   &  Waste   Ecosystem   Integrity   Efficiency  &   ProducOvity   Financial   Aspects   Work,  Jobs,   IncenOves   Rights,     Laws  &  JusOce   Culture  &   InsOtuOons   Social  Trust  &   Public  Safety   Personal  Health   &  Happiness   Self-­‐Development   OpportuniOes   Families  &   RelaOonships   It helps us think about issues from many different perspectives
  • 36. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Example – Traffic Problem in Bangkok Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Systemic  Structures   Mindsets  &  Mental  Models  
  • 37. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Iceberg Exercise Part 1 For  Problem  Analysis  
  • 38. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Exercise Instructions 1.  Form  groups  of  4  –  5   2.  Select  a  Topic  that  is  prominent  in  the  newspapers  or  on  TV  news  right   now.     3.  Use  the  Iceberg  template  (handout)  to  analyze  the  Topic  from  a  systems   perspec>ve.   a.  What  are  the  significant  events  in  the  past  and  now  that  we  see,  hear   about,  etc.  linked  to  this  topic?     b.  What  are  the  paFerns  of  behavior  and  trends  we  can  iden>fy  that   link  to  this  event.   c.  What  are  some  systemic  structures  that  exist  that  generate  these   behaviors   d.  What  are  the  dominant  mental  models,  beliefs,  values,  assump>ons?     4.  Also,  as  you  brainstorm  the  elements  at  the  various  levels,  use  the   Compass  to  help  you  be  more  holis>c  (i.e.  think  about  all  four  points  of  the   Compass)  
  • 39. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Some example Events to use
  • 40. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com    
  • 41. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Sharing Icebergs
  • 42. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Iceberg Exercise Part 2 Leverage  Points  and  solu>ons  
  • 43. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com    
  • 44. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Small Actions can yield large results A  “leverage  point” is  a  place   in  a  system  where  a  large   change  towards  desired   behavior  or  results  can  be   accomplished  by  applying   rela>vely  few  resources.   Artist: Gary Larson Picture  source:  hFp://thwink.org/sustain/glossary/LeveragePoint.gif  
  • 45. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     The Iceberg Events   React and Respond Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Systemic  Structures   Mindsets  &  Mental  Models   Adapt, Anticipate, Plan Creative & Design Transform
  • 46. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com    
  • 47. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Exercise Instructions 1.  Use  the  Iceberg  template  (handout)  to  find  the  best   leverage  points  for  whole  system  change  at  each  level.   •  How  would  you  respond  &  react  to  events  (short  term   solu>on)?   •  What  will  you  do  to  be  proac>ve  on  the  paFerns  and  trends   you  see  by  an>cipa>ng,  planning  and  adap>ng?   •  What  will  you  do  to  create  and  design  different  system   structures  and  interac>ons  (dynamics)?     •  How  to  transform  people’s  mental  models  and  mindsets  that   lie  at  the  very  root  cause  of  these  issues  (by  designing  or   keeping  in  place  these  systemic  structure  that  generate  the   behavior  paFerns  and  trends  that  we  see)?   2.  Finally,  circle  the  top  three  ideas  in  the  lower  sec>on   that  has  the  highest  leverage  in  terms  of  changing  the   system  and  avoiding  the  paFerns  of  behavior  that  you   don’t  want  to  see.     Increasing  Leverage  
  • 48. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Example – Our Traffic Issue in Bangkok Events   Pa5erns  of   Behavior   Systemic  Structures   Mindsets  &  Mental  Models   React and Respond Adapt, Anticipate, Plan Creative & Design Transform
  • 49. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Part 3 – Causal Diagrams
  • 50. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Causal Diagrams help in 3 ways… 1.  Test  and  clarify  your  thinking   2.  Enroll  people  in  ac>on  towards  a  goal   3.  Discover  new  allies  
  • 51. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Efforts  spent  on   gepng  press   coverage   Visibility  of   Projects   Number  of   people   interested  in  the   NGO’s  projects   Number  of   people  /   organiza>ons,  etc.   suppor>ng  the   NGO’s  projects   Quality  of  people   wan>ng  to  work  for   the  NGO   Cumula>ve   Experience  of   the  NGO   Funds  available   for  Projects   Capacity  of  NGO  to   implement  effec>ve   projects   Posi>ve  results   of  the  projects   Causal Diagram Example of NGO Success
  • 52. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Causal Diagram Education Improvement Example Overall  PISA  Test  Scores   &  Country  Ranking   Percep>on  of  Thailand’s   Educa>on  System  by   Public   Ability  of  students  to   successfully  take  the   Test   Students’  comprehension   and  mastery  of  subject   maFer   Opportuni>es  for  students  to   apply  theore>cal  learning  in   relevant  life  situa>ons   Effec>veness  of   Government’s  Educa>on   Policy  &  Implementa>on   Capacity  of  Teachers  for   transforma>ve  teaching  &   learning   Curriculum   Extent  of  Transforma>onal   Teaching  Pedagogy  applied  in   schools   Thailand’s   Compe>>veness  
  • 53. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A  Causal  Diagram  Story  Example   Biking  in  Bangkok   Number  of  people     biking  to  work   Number  of  bikers   visible  on  the  streets   Number  of  people     interested  in  biking   Number  of  bikers  organized   to  improve  biking  in  the  city   Number  of  bike   lanes   Driver  awareness   of  bikers  
  • 54. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Some youth examples (Singapore Youth Environmental Envoys Program)
  • 55. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Corporate example - Bang Negara Indonesia (BNI) Sustainability Team
  • 56. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Summary  &  Closing  
  • 57. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Remember…. The structure of the systems determines its behavior!
  • 58. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     A Systems approach provides us . . . Ø  Deeper  Insight:    “Understand  components  and  their   links  in  the  system,  you  will  understand  its   behavior.”   Ø  More  effec>ve  and  long-­‐term  Leverage:    “Change  a   component  or  link  in  the  system,  and  you  will  change   the  system  behavior.”   Ø  BeFer  Solu>ons:  “Solving  problems  almost  always   involves  changing  systems  (iden-fy  and  change  the   limi-ng  factor.”  
  • 59. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     13 Habits of a Systems Thinker
  • 60. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Comments, Questions?
  • 61. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     Systainability  Asia  /  AtKisson  Group   ATKISSON  SUSTAINABILITY  SYSTEMS  ACCELERATOR   Tools,  Methods  and  Processes  to  Support  Sustainable  Development  and   Transforma-onal  Change.
  • 62. Systainability  Asia    -­‐  2015    /  www.systainabilityasia.com     SYSTAINABILITY ASIA / ATKISSON GROUP www.systainabilityasia.com robert@atkisson.com Thank you for your Attention & Participation!