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Benjamin Warr
Senior Research Fellow, Sustainability
benjamin.warr@insead.edu

INSEAD Social Innovation Centre
http://www.insead.fr/facultyresearch/centres/isic/


                                       Sustainable Agriculture
                                      Challenges for Business
                                                Athens January 26th 2010
Topics for Discussion

•Urgency – Options – Innovation
•Extension – Intensification – Efficiency ?
•Supply / Demand focus, or Systems of
 Production and Consumption?
  “Feeding a hungrier world gets harder, even
   with all the tools…the way we manage the
   global agriculture and food security system
   doesn’t work” (FAO, 2009)
What is the urgency: new imperatives for business?
Agricultural GHG emissions


                             32% of total GHG
                             emissions related
                               to land use and
                                    agriculture




Source: IPCC
The global population: feeding 9 billion by 2050


 From 6.80bn today reaching 9.1bn in
    2050 and over 10 bn by 2100
A changing diet will
   exacerbate pressures




Source: The Independent, Nov 1st 2009 from report by Robert Goodland, a former lead environmental
adviser to the World Bank, and Jeff Anhang, World Bank.
Potential
undesirable
impacts of
biofuels
need for land
deforestation
monoculture
biodiversity loss
price pressures
water use
Biofuels and forest cover loss in Borneo 1950-2020
Water requirements and regions of physical and
                      economic water scarcity
                       Source: IMWI, Insights from the
                       Comprehensive Assessment of Water
                       Management in Agriculture, 2006 and FAO.
The environmental food crisis: extension possibilities?
Projected cropland and yield losses
Feeding the planet – what are the options?

• Science (Another ‘more sustainable’ green revolution)
• Market-based solutions (example: reducing subsidies and
  trade barriers)
• Community-based solutions and sustainable agriculture
  (example: agriculture cooperatives)
• Supply chains (example: waste in food supply chains)
• Sustainable consumption (example: the Tesco SCI program)
• Self regulation (eco-labels, eco-brands) and Government
  regulation (license to produce)
Competitive Environmental Strategies
Competitive Advantage



                         Lower costs
                                                                             STRATEGY 4
                                                 STRATEGY 1                Environmental Cost
                                                  Eco-Efficiency
                                                                               Leadership




                        Differentiation           STRATEGY 2                 STRATEGY 3
                                                Beyond Compliance
                                                                              Eco-Branding
                                                    Leadership




                                          Organizational Processes        Products and Services

                                                              Competitive Focus

                                                                              R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
Example: Efficiency and productivity through site-
specific management and precision farming.

• Farmstar, a precision agriculture service for Europe by
  Infoterra and Arvalis.
Intrinsic (spatial) vs. Idiosyncratic (management)
Variability




                            Relative Performance of Agricultural Enterprises
                            (Source: James Moody, WANTFA Conference, Perth,
                            Australia, February 2005)
Example: Agricultures participation in carbon
markets via innovative eco-efficiency

• Eco-N, Eco-efficiency (Strategy 1) meets environmental cost
  leadership (Strategy 4)
Nitrate ions (NO3-) are not held by soil particles and can
         easily be leached when drainage occurs




       NH4+
      ----

   Cation exchange




                              NO3-


                                               R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
NH4+
      ----

   Cation exchange


   Nitrification
 inhibitor ‘eco-n’
 slows down the
  rate of nitrate
 production and
thus reduces the     NO3-
 nitrate leaching
       loss
                            R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
Eco-n reduced nitrate Farm eco-n from below urine
                                   Lincoln University Dairy leaching lysimeter trial
                                  patches on season (data not published yet)
                                        2004/05 the Lincoln University Dairy Farm
                                                  (data unpublished yet)
                        100
                         90
                         80
NO3-N leached kg N/ha




                         70
                         60
                         50
                         40           81 %                                 79 %
                         30           reduction                            reduction

                         20
                         10
                          0
                              Paparua: Urine Paparua: Urine      Eyre: Urine +          Eyre: Urine
                                 + eco-n         only               eco-n                  only


                                                                                   R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
The extra nitrogen retained in the soil produces
                               more pasture.
                              Me an Annual Pasture Y ie ld: LUDF Drainage Plots
                                       Seasons: 2002/03, 2003/04, 2004/05

                             20000
                                           21 %           23 %
 Pasture Yield (kg DM ha )
-1




                             16000

                                                                            Non-Urine
                             12000                                          Non-Urine+eco-n
                                                                            Urine
                              8000                                          Urine+eco-n

                              4000


                                 0
                                              Treatment                       R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
• Reduce nitrate leaching
  by 60%
• Reduce Nitrous Oxide
  emissions by 75%
• Reduce cation leaching
  by 50%
• Increase annual pasture
  production 15%




              R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
Eco-Efficiency And E-Cost Leadership
• Resource productivity based      • Eco-efficiency when:
  on ecological prerogatives       1.Supplying industrial markets
  can push the levels of           2.Relatively high levels of:
  efficiency beyond normal          • resource utilisation
  standards                         • processing costs
                                    • generation of by-products
• Multiple dividends from spin-    3.Under pressure to reduce both
  off effects of eco-efficient       environmental impacts and costs of
  practices                          processes

  • Within the firm: Lean          • E-cost leadership when:
    Thinking                       1.Required to present ever increasing
                                     environmental performance
  • Beyond the borders:
                                   2.Can only compete on the basis of cost
    Industrial Symbiosis
                                   3.Radical process redesign and
  • In the skies: Carbon Credits     dematerialization are possible without
                                     compromising performance.
Waste and inefficiency in the food supply chain
   Required above-ground phytomass exergy
                  (human)
      CROPS                               PASTURE
48 GJ GE /capita/year                19 GJ GE /capita/year




  Feed and                Product           Commodity
  Feedstock              generation          utilisation
  utilisation            efficiency          efficiency
  efficiency
   US: 0.64               US: 0.16            US: 0.55




 Food end-use per capita                  Non-eaten food
      (GJ/capita/year)                     (enduse-intake)
      ME1 (US) : 5.5                       (GJ/capita/year)
      GE1 (US) : 6.9                       ME (US) : 2.2
                                           GE (US) : 3.1

  Food intake per capita                 Faeces and urine
      (GJ/capita/year)                   (sum of intake GE2-
                                         sum of intake ME2)
      ME2 (US) : 3.3
                                        0.4 GJ/capita/year
      GE2 (US) : 3.7
Competitive Environmental Strategies
Competitive Advantage



                         Lower costs
                                                                             STRATEGY 4
                                                 STRATEGY 1                Environmental Cost
                                                  Eco-Efficiency
                                                                               Leadership




                        Differentiation           STRATEGY 2                 STRATEGY 3
                                                Beyond Compliance
                                                                              Eco-Branding
                                                    Leadership




                                          Organizational Processes        Products and Services

                                                              Competitive Focus

                                                                              R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
Beyond Compliance
                                                                                         Leadership
                                           Beyond Compliance
                                                                               Leader
  Non-Compliance                                         Average
                                               laggard



                                                   VEIs - Green Clubs
                     Negative                                                                      Positive

                                                  Reputation
                               From                                                          To


Beyond Compliance                                        Sustainability leader in the industry

Avoiding Negative Reputation                             Building Positive Reputation

Reactive and Defensive                                   Reflexive

Stakeholder opposition and confrontation                 Stakeholder criticism, negotiation and dialogue

Consumer boycotts                                        Consumer engagement
                                                                                                  R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
Business Responses: Linking sustainable consumption to
sustainable supply: Example: E.g. Walmart
Labels?
           Global Sourcing of Processed Foods Is Ubiquitous
          Making Tracing Country of Ingredient Labeling Difficult




       NutriGrain




Source: Roth, Tsay, Pullman, Gray, Journal of Supply Chain Management, 2008
When does Beyond Compliance Leadership and
Eco-Branding Pay?
•   Beyond Compliance Leadership        •   Eco-branding
1. Firms supplying industrial markets   1. are difficult to imitate by competitors
   under pressure to improve their      2. do not depend on sophisticated and
   environmental performance               controversial information about their
2. Exporting companies coping with         environmental performance
   non-tariff environmental trade
   barriers                             3. can obtain price-premium for their
                                           differentiation.
3. Firms dependent on loans from
   international banks environmental
   impact assessment
4. Multinationals susceptible to
   shareholder environmental pressure
   in their home country
Beyond Competition towards Sustainable Value
Innovation           Couts

                         Economic Costs       Environmental
                                                Impacts
 New Business Models

                                                               New Markets


      ENTREES                         STRATEGIE                RESULTATS
                                          5


                                                                New Clients
 New Value Proposition
                           Value to              Contibution
                            clients              to Society


                                       Valuer
Example: Stimulate productivity, the use of
fragmented unused land and new markets.
• The example of Vayugrid Inc. leveraging fragmented supply
  chains via business-to-community social entrepreneurship in
  India.
Thoughts for the Future
• A systems view is essential to understanding risk and
  sustainability (soil, water, energy, climate, industry, society…)
• Opportunities to extend are constrained
• Opportunities to intensify face scarcity of other resources
  (water, oil, phosphate, environmental resilience)
• Resource Use Efficiency is required
    • site specific land management
    • culture specific business models
• A way to do this is through agro-industrial symbiosis (energy-
  food-land-climate nexus)
• Collaborations are critical for risk avoidance and sharing
If this apple represents the
           Earth…
And of this apple…

        ¼ is land, of which…

          1/8 is productive

  But ¾ are sealed by roads, cities,
towns, parking or protected leaving
        3% for 6 billion souls
          Soils are Scarce!
And if this apple represented the Earth…




…only this much for 6 billion today and
           8 million in 2020.
Warr Athens 26 Jan 2010 Sustainable Agriculture

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Warr Athens 26 Jan 2010 Sustainable Agriculture

  • 1. Benjamin Warr Senior Research Fellow, Sustainability benjamin.warr@insead.edu INSEAD Social Innovation Centre http://www.insead.fr/facultyresearch/centres/isic/ Sustainable Agriculture Challenges for Business Athens January 26th 2010
  • 2. Topics for Discussion •Urgency – Options – Innovation •Extension – Intensification – Efficiency ? •Supply / Demand focus, or Systems of Production and Consumption? “Feeding a hungrier world gets harder, even with all the tools…the way we manage the global agriculture and food security system doesn’t work” (FAO, 2009)
  • 3. What is the urgency: new imperatives for business?
  • 4. Agricultural GHG emissions 32% of total GHG emissions related to land use and agriculture Source: IPCC
  • 5. The global population: feeding 9 billion by 2050 From 6.80bn today reaching 9.1bn in 2050 and over 10 bn by 2100
  • 6. A changing diet will exacerbate pressures Source: The Independent, Nov 1st 2009 from report by Robert Goodland, a former lead environmental adviser to the World Bank, and Jeff Anhang, World Bank.
  • 7. Potential undesirable impacts of biofuels need for land deforestation monoculture biodiversity loss price pressures water use
  • 8. Biofuels and forest cover loss in Borneo 1950-2020
  • 9. Water requirements and regions of physical and economic water scarcity Source: IMWI, Insights from the Comprehensive Assessment of Water Management in Agriculture, 2006 and FAO.
  • 10. The environmental food crisis: extension possibilities?
  • 11. Projected cropland and yield losses
  • 12. Feeding the planet – what are the options? • Science (Another ‘more sustainable’ green revolution) • Market-based solutions (example: reducing subsidies and trade barriers) • Community-based solutions and sustainable agriculture (example: agriculture cooperatives) • Supply chains (example: waste in food supply chains) • Sustainable consumption (example: the Tesco SCI program) • Self regulation (eco-labels, eco-brands) and Government regulation (license to produce)
  • 13. Competitive Environmental Strategies Competitive Advantage Lower costs STRATEGY 4 STRATEGY 1 Environmental Cost Eco-Efficiency Leadership Differentiation STRATEGY 2 STRATEGY 3 Beyond Compliance Eco-Branding Leadership Organizational Processes Products and Services Competitive Focus R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 14. Example: Efficiency and productivity through site- specific management and precision farming. • Farmstar, a precision agriculture service for Europe by Infoterra and Arvalis.
  • 15. Intrinsic (spatial) vs. Idiosyncratic (management) Variability Relative Performance of Agricultural Enterprises (Source: James Moody, WANTFA Conference, Perth, Australia, February 2005)
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Example: Agricultures participation in carbon markets via innovative eco-efficiency • Eco-N, Eco-efficiency (Strategy 1) meets environmental cost leadership (Strategy 4)
  • 19. Nitrate ions (NO3-) are not held by soil particles and can easily be leached when drainage occurs NH4+ ---- Cation exchange NO3- R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 20. NH4+ ---- Cation exchange Nitrification inhibitor ‘eco-n’ slows down the rate of nitrate production and thus reduces the NO3- nitrate leaching loss R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 21. Eco-n reduced nitrate Farm eco-n from below urine Lincoln University Dairy leaching lysimeter trial patches on season (data not published yet) 2004/05 the Lincoln University Dairy Farm (data unpublished yet) 100 90 80 NO3-N leached kg N/ha 70 60 50 40 81 % 79 % 30 reduction reduction 20 10 0 Paparua: Urine Paparua: Urine Eyre: Urine + Eyre: Urine + eco-n only eco-n only R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 22. The extra nitrogen retained in the soil produces more pasture. Me an Annual Pasture Y ie ld: LUDF Drainage Plots Seasons: 2002/03, 2003/04, 2004/05 20000 21 % 23 % Pasture Yield (kg DM ha ) -1 16000 Non-Urine 12000 Non-Urine+eco-n Urine 8000 Urine+eco-n 4000 0 Treatment R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 23. • Reduce nitrate leaching by 60% • Reduce Nitrous Oxide emissions by 75% • Reduce cation leaching by 50% • Increase annual pasture production 15% R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 24. Eco-Efficiency And E-Cost Leadership • Resource productivity based • Eco-efficiency when: on ecological prerogatives 1.Supplying industrial markets can push the levels of 2.Relatively high levels of: efficiency beyond normal • resource utilisation standards • processing costs • generation of by-products • Multiple dividends from spin- 3.Under pressure to reduce both off effects of eco-efficient environmental impacts and costs of practices processes • Within the firm: Lean • E-cost leadership when: Thinking 1.Required to present ever increasing environmental performance • Beyond the borders: 2.Can only compete on the basis of cost Industrial Symbiosis 3.Radical process redesign and • In the skies: Carbon Credits dematerialization are possible without compromising performance.
  • 25. Waste and inefficiency in the food supply chain Required above-ground phytomass exergy (human) CROPS PASTURE 48 GJ GE /capita/year 19 GJ GE /capita/year Feed and Product Commodity Feedstock generation utilisation utilisation efficiency efficiency efficiency US: 0.64 US: 0.16 US: 0.55 Food end-use per capita Non-eaten food (GJ/capita/year) (enduse-intake) ME1 (US) : 5.5 (GJ/capita/year) GE1 (US) : 6.9 ME (US) : 2.2 GE (US) : 3.1 Food intake per capita Faeces and urine (GJ/capita/year) (sum of intake GE2- sum of intake ME2) ME2 (US) : 3.3 0.4 GJ/capita/year GE2 (US) : 3.7
  • 26. Competitive Environmental Strategies Competitive Advantage Lower costs STRATEGY 4 STRATEGY 1 Environmental Cost Eco-Efficiency Leadership Differentiation STRATEGY 2 STRATEGY 3 Beyond Compliance Eco-Branding Leadership Organizational Processes Products and Services Competitive Focus R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 27. Beyond Compliance Leadership Beyond Compliance Leader Non-Compliance Average laggard VEIs - Green Clubs Negative Positive Reputation From To Beyond Compliance Sustainability leader in the industry Avoiding Negative Reputation Building Positive Reputation Reactive and Defensive Reflexive Stakeholder opposition and confrontation Stakeholder criticism, negotiation and dialogue Consumer boycotts Consumer engagement R.J. ORSATO (2006) ©
  • 28. Business Responses: Linking sustainable consumption to sustainable supply: Example: E.g. Walmart
  • 29. Labels? Global Sourcing of Processed Foods Is Ubiquitous Making Tracing Country of Ingredient Labeling Difficult NutriGrain Source: Roth, Tsay, Pullman, Gray, Journal of Supply Chain Management, 2008
  • 30. When does Beyond Compliance Leadership and Eco-Branding Pay? • Beyond Compliance Leadership • Eco-branding 1. Firms supplying industrial markets 1. are difficult to imitate by competitors under pressure to improve their 2. do not depend on sophisticated and environmental performance controversial information about their 2. Exporting companies coping with environmental performance non-tariff environmental trade barriers 3. can obtain price-premium for their differentiation. 3. Firms dependent on loans from international banks environmental impact assessment 4. Multinationals susceptible to shareholder environmental pressure in their home country
  • 31. Beyond Competition towards Sustainable Value Innovation Couts Economic Costs Environmental Impacts New Business Models New Markets ENTREES STRATEGIE RESULTATS 5 New Clients New Value Proposition Value to Contibution clients to Society Valuer
  • 32. Example: Stimulate productivity, the use of fragmented unused land and new markets. • The example of Vayugrid Inc. leveraging fragmented supply chains via business-to-community social entrepreneurship in India.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Thoughts for the Future • A systems view is essential to understanding risk and sustainability (soil, water, energy, climate, industry, society…) • Opportunities to extend are constrained • Opportunities to intensify face scarcity of other resources (water, oil, phosphate, environmental resilience) • Resource Use Efficiency is required • site specific land management • culture specific business models • A way to do this is through agro-industrial symbiosis (energy- food-land-climate nexus) • Collaborations are critical for risk avoidance and sharing
  • 36. If this apple represents the Earth…
  • 37. And of this apple… ¼ is land, of which… 1/8 is productive But ¾ are sealed by roads, cities, towns, parking or protected leaving 3% for 6 billion souls Soils are Scarce!
  • 38. And if this apple represented the Earth… …only this much for 6 billion today and 8 million in 2020.