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Assessing Cost-Effectiveness (ACE) of interventions to reduce burden of harm from alcohol misuse:  ACE Alcohol Associate Professor Chris Doran National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales
Alcohol in Australia ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
Alcohol consequences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Aim of ACE-Alcohol ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Examples from Australia: Assessing Cost-Effectiveness (ACE) studies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],University of Queensland School of Population Health
Assessing Cost-Effectiveness studies: methods ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ACE-Alcohol interventions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ACE-Alcohol interventions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ACE-Alcohol interventions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ACE-Alcohol interventions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
ACE-Alcohol model ACE-Alcohol model Epidemiological data Intervention data –   costs – effects Disease & injury treatment costs Health gain (DALYs) Costs (AUS$) Cost-effectiveness ratio ($/DALY) Cost-effectiveness planes Acceptability curves Uncertainty analysis
Intervention target group TARGET GROUP ,[object Object],Population (drivers), 18+ yrs ,[object Object],Population (drivers), 18-20 yrs ,[object Object],Population (drivers), 18+ yrs ,[object Object],Alcohol dependants, 18-79 yrs ,[object Object],Hazardous/harmful drinkers, 18-79 yrs ,[object Object],Population, 18+ yrs ,[object Object],Population, 18+ yrs ,[object Object],Population, 18+ yrs ,[object Object]
Intervention effect %  RTA %  RTA %  RTA  g/day  remission,   relapse  g/day %  g/day %  g/day %  g/day MEASURE EFFECT ,[object Object],YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],Incidence; YLD, Mortality Remission, relapse ,[object Object],Incidence; YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],Incidence; YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],Incidence; YLD, Mortality ,[object Object],Incidence; YLD, Mortality ,[object Object]
Results for each intervention against partial null $14,000 $28 $39 -$11 1,500 Drink driving mass media Dominant -$0.16 $0.64 -$0.8 150 Min. legal drink age to 21 $24,000 $54 $71 -$17 2,300 Random breath testing $120,000 $55 $59 -$4.4 460 Res. treat. + naltrexone $190,000 $35 $37 -$1.7 190 Res. treat. $10,000 $3.5 $6.1 -$2.6 340 Brief int. + tele. + support $6,800 $1.1 $2.3 -$1.2 160 Brief int. $3,300 $8.7 $20 -$11 2,700 Licensing controls Dominant -$12 $20 -$31 7,800 Advertising bans Dominant -$56 $0.58 -$57 11,000 Taxation Median CER ($/DALY) Net Cost ($million) Intervention Cost ($million) Cost Offsets ($million) DALYs averted Intervention
Brief intervention
Residential treatment
 
Acceptability of intervention against partial null 0% 0% Res. treat. + naltrexone 90% 0% Random breath testing 81% 0% Drink driving mass media 100% 5% Licensing controls 100% 0% Brief int. 100% 61% Min. legal drink age to 21 100% 85% Advertising bans 100% 100% Taxation Probability of being < $50,000/DALY Probability of being cost-saving Intervention
CEA results of optimal expansion path  0% 0% $120,000 Res. treat. + naltrexone 88% 0% $26,000 Random breath testing 80% 0% $14,000 Drink driving mass media 100% 4% $3,500 Licensing controls 100% 0% $7,000 Brief int. 100% 59% Dominant Min. legal drink age to 21 100% 85% Dominant Advertising bans 100% 100% Dominant Taxation Probability of being < $50,000/DALY Probability of being cost-saving Median ICER ($/DALY) Intervention
Intervention pathway
Key CEA results  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Second-stage filter criteria ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key project staff Linda Cobiac,  Angela Wallace, Shamesh Naidoo, Isaac Asamoah, Kathryn Arnett   Christopher Doran, Theo Vos, Wayne Hall,  Greg Fowler Investigators on ACE-Alcohol This project was funded by the Alcohol Education Rehabilitation Foundation (AERFDOCS/2005-MW/GF1069).

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17. chris doran ace alcohol vine presentation

  • 1. Assessing Cost-Effectiveness (ACE) of interventions to reduce burden of harm from alcohol misuse: ACE Alcohol Associate Professor Chris Doran National Drug and Alcohol Research Centre, University of New South Wales
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. ACE-Alcohol model ACE-Alcohol model Epidemiological data Intervention data – costs – effects Disease & injury treatment costs Health gain (DALYs) Costs (AUS$) Cost-effectiveness ratio ($/DALY) Cost-effectiveness planes Acceptability curves Uncertainty analysis
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Results for each intervention against partial null $14,000 $28 $39 -$11 1,500 Drink driving mass media Dominant -$0.16 $0.64 -$0.8 150 Min. legal drink age to 21 $24,000 $54 $71 -$17 2,300 Random breath testing $120,000 $55 $59 -$4.4 460 Res. treat. + naltrexone $190,000 $35 $37 -$1.7 190 Res. treat. $10,000 $3.5 $6.1 -$2.6 340 Brief int. + tele. + support $6,800 $1.1 $2.3 -$1.2 160 Brief int. $3,300 $8.7 $20 -$11 2,700 Licensing controls Dominant -$12 $20 -$31 7,800 Advertising bans Dominant -$56 $0.58 -$57 11,000 Taxation Median CER ($/DALY) Net Cost ($million) Intervention Cost ($million) Cost Offsets ($million) DALYs averted Intervention
  • 19.  
  • 20. Acceptability of intervention against partial null 0% 0% Res. treat. + naltrexone 90% 0% Random breath testing 81% 0% Drink driving mass media 100% 5% Licensing controls 100% 0% Brief int. 100% 61% Min. legal drink age to 21 100% 85% Advertising bans 100% 100% Taxation Probability of being < $50,000/DALY Probability of being cost-saving Intervention
  • 21. CEA results of optimal expansion path 0% 0% $120,000 Res. treat. + naltrexone 88% 0% $26,000 Random breath testing 80% 0% $14,000 Drink driving mass media 100% 4% $3,500 Licensing controls 100% 0% $7,000 Brief int. 100% 59% Dominant Min. legal drink age to 21 100% 85% Dominant Advertising bans 100% 100% Dominant Taxation Probability of being < $50,000/DALY Probability of being cost-saving Median ICER ($/DALY) Intervention
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Key project staff Linda Cobiac, Angela Wallace, Shamesh Naidoo, Isaac Asamoah, Kathryn Arnett Christopher Doran, Theo Vos, Wayne Hall, Greg Fowler Investigators on ACE-Alcohol This project was funded by the Alcohol Education Rehabilitation Foundation (AERFDOCS/2005-MW/GF1069).