Biocat held a workshop entitled Fostering internationalization (II): China on 25 January 2013 in Barcelona, featuring Gao Ronghui, a life sciences consultant with extensive experience in technology transfer, fund raising and access to the Chinese market.
More information at: http://www.biocat.cat/en/news/biotechnology-internationalization-china
8. Industry Overview
Pharmaceutical (5)
Output Breakdown (%) )
权重(%
化学药品原料制造
Chemical API manufacturing
API 19.9% 化学药品制剂制造
Chemical manufacturing
Biologics10.5%
中药饮片加工
TCM decoction pieces
processing
中成药制造
TCM manufacturing
生物生化药品制造
Biologics manufacturing
卫生材料及医药用品制造
Healthcare material
TCM 21.7% Chemicals 26.8%
医疗仪器设备及器械制造
Medical device &machinery
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 8
source: ims
9. Industry Overview
Pharmaceutical (6)
5,646 manufacturers, 13,000 distributors and 390,000 pharmacies in
China
Accounts for ¼ of international chemical API trading volume
Fast market growth, but a long way to go to catch up with leading
countries.
A big man, not a strong man
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 9
10. Industry Overview
Medical Device (1)
West:8-15% 1:1 72% 70% High
China:5% 1:3 7% 30% Low
Of GDP
Device:Pharma
Global Market Share
Mid/High-End Market
Market Concentration
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 10
11. Industry Overview
Medical Device (2)
China medical device market (2007-2014E)
RMB Billion
Comments
+13% • China medical device market
grew to RMB 120 bn (EUR
15bn) in 2009, taking over
Japan as the 2nd largest market
in the world
+20%
• High-end market will grow at
10% per year
• Mid to low end market will grow
at ~30% per year
• Every 8-12 years, large
equipment need to be replaced,
a significant driver for the
market
Source: National Statistics Bureau; China Mechanic and electrical data online
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 11
12. Industry Overview
Medical Device (3)
Pharma Distributors Hospitals Device
Class III:1,399 Distributors
13,000 Class II: 6,468
150,000
D:H <2:1 Total:7,867
D: H >20:1
Total purchase value: RMB 500bn (EUR 62bn) in 2011
Average sales: less than RMB 4M (EUR 50K ) / distributor
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 12
13. Industry Overview
Medical Device (4)
Imports vs. Domestically med devices
Domestic production Domestic
(more MNCs) (including MNCs)
• All large MNCs have at
least one JV with a local
Chinese firm
~45% Imports
• Need for a strong
distribution/sales
(slowing trend)
~55%
network compels MNC
companies to produce • Many MNCs are shifting
domestically manufacturing to China
Imports
• Hospital purchase • Local Chinese companies
contracts favor locally are investing more in
produced products R&D to compete with
MNCs; RMB 62 bn (EUR
800M) stimulus package
from Chinese
government
Source: China Market Research Group, Espicom China Medical Device Market Q42010
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 13
14. Industry Overview
Diagnostic (1)
IVD Market Trends in China ($mm)
2500
2073
2000
Million USD
1511
1500
1200
1000 800
600
400 450
500 300
0
1995 1997 2000 2002 2004 2006 2009 2011
Source: McEvoy & Farmer 14
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by
15. Industry Overview
Diagnostic (2)
Total IVD Sales ($mm)
2500
Segment not
covered:
2,073 microbiology,
2000 200,0
clinical pathology,
111,74 cytology
1,511
1500 100
Million USD
81,78
678,29 Molecular Testing:
Infection Disease
520,58 119,8 Florescent in situ
1000
67,9 317,75 hybridization,
244,25 88,7
microarrays,
500 67,94
81,08 oncology, etc.
69,05
CAGR 13% 475,63
359,64
0
2008 2010
Routine Chemistry Critical Chemistry
Clinical Chemistry Urine Chemistry Hemo,Flow
Coagulation IM Molecular Testing Segment not covered
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: McEvoy & Farmer 15
16. Industry Overview
Diagnostic (3)
Contribution of Each Market Segment
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: McEvoy & Farmer 16
17. Industry Overview
Medical Reform (1)
• Government spending over RMB 1240 bn (EUR 155bn),
• Four of the five tasks have developed rapidly
• Healthcare insurance
• Grass-roots medical service system
• Public health
• Essential drug
• Hospital reform has not been implemented
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 17
18. Industry Overview
Medical Reform (2)
Universal reimbursement coverage system
• New Rural Cooperative Medical System
• Medical Insurance System of Unemployed Urban Residents
•.Medical Insurance System of Employed Urban Residents
• Complementary Medical Insurance System
• Commercial Medical Insurance for Public Servants
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 18
19. Industry Overview
Medical Reform (3)
Government continues to increase investment
• By 2015, Government’s subsidies to rural residents’ medical insurance will
be further increased by 50% from the level in 2012
• Reimbursement rate will increase to 75%
• Reimbursement cap will increase up to RMB 80,000 (EUR 10,000) per
person p.a.
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 19
20. Fact Sheets (1)
• Population 1.35bn by 2010
• Chinese people aged 60 or above stood at 118.85 million in 2010, accounting
for 13.26 percent of the total population
• Life expectancy: 74.84 years, male: 72.82 years female: 77.11 years,2012E
(source NBS)
• 300M emerging middle class
• Urbanization 45% vs. 55% 2010
• New cancer patients 3.12M p.a.; 2.7M patients died of cancer p.a.
• 90m diabetics; 160m hypertensive population
• Obesity rate less than 5% country wide, but more than 20% in some cities
• 80% adults do not exercise regularly
• Lifestyle:
– Changing eating habits of Chinese population, more fast food and sweet
drinks
– 60% male adults smoke
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 20
21. Fact Sheets (2)
Six people are diagnosed with cancer
every single minute in China
High Low
Mortality
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 21
22. Cultural Difference
Break the Cultural Wall
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 22
23. Cultural Difference
Culture Matters
谦恭 个性
Modesty Personality
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 23
24. Cultural Difference
Face - Truth
Introvert - Extrovert
Follower - Creativity
Practical - Interest
Relationship - Credibility
Work - Life
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 24
26. Opportunities
Government continues to
increase investment
• China’s pharmaceutical market is expected to experience 24% of CAGR
during 2011-2015.
• Fast growth disease area: anti-oncology and anti-diabetes and
immunopotentiator
• Fast growth pharma sectors: bio-similar, modernized TCM
• Large scale primary care medicine
• Strong demand for high-end devices in large cities and hospitals; basic needs
increase for low end products
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 26
27. High income market for best-in-class products
Low income market for basic needs
2008 GDP per capita by province 2008 exp. per capita on healthcare (urban)
by province
Heilongjiang Heilongjiang
Jilin Jilin
Liaonin Beijin Liaonin
Inner Xinjiang Inner Beijing
Xinjiang g g
Mongolia g Mongolia
Tianji Gansu Tianji
Gansu n
Hebei n Hebei
Shanx
Ningxia Shanx Shandong Ningxi i Shandong
i a
Qinghai Qinghai
Hena Jiangsu Hena Jiangsu
Shaanxi Shaanxi
n n
Shangha Shangha
Tibet Anhui i Tibet Anhui i
Hubei Hubei
Chongqing SichuanChongqing
Sichuan Zhejiang Zhejiang
Jiangxi Jiangxi
Huna Huna
n Fujian Guizho n Fujian
Guizho
> RMB 50K / y u > RMB 1k / y u
Yunna Yunna Guangxi Guangdong
Guangxi Guangdong n
n
RMB 30K – 50K / y RMB 800 – 1k/ y
RMB 15K – 30K / y RMB 600 – 800 / y Hainan
Hainan
<RMB 15K / y <RMB 600 / y
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: National Statistics Bureau 27
28. Opportunities
Concentration of cities based on current city potential
Comments
• Tier 1 and 2 cities are already
being penetrated by large MNCs
for high-end to low-end
Tier 1 & 2 Cities
Current City Potential Index
products
(Shanghai, Beijing,
Nanjing, Xi’an, and • New government reform will
others) have the greatest influence in
smaller cities not heavily
penetrated by MNC players
• Current city potential index
reflects the current opportunity
NEXT STEP: Tier 3, 4 ad 5 that combines primary research
cities with available data to project
(Chaoyang, Yulin, Guilin, Zhuhai, the potential for a specific
etc) category
China Cities (from the highest potential to the lowest potential)
Source: IMS health analysis
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 28
29. Opportunities
Growth and current sales potential in Chinese cities
Smaller but high growth
cities: Longnan, Yulin,
Chaoyang, Ankang, Ji’an,
Shuozhou
Medium Size Cities:
Changchun, Dalian, Xi’an,
Urumqi etc.
Large Cities: Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Tianjin etc.
Potential Growth Index
Current City Potential Index
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by Source: IMS health analysis 29
30. Opportunities
Evolution of the healthcare provision system
Current situation Future situation
Tertiary care providers
• Treat all types of patients with all levels of severity,
large number of operations and outpatients
Tertiary
Disproportionate number of Care
patients Providers
Secondary care providers • Specialized
hospital
• Include out and inpatients • Focus on sophisticated
and emergency treatment treatment & research
Secondary care providers
Not fully utilized
• Large regional hospital
Primary care providers
• Provide emergency and general
• Tier 1/Community hospital services
hospitals
Primary Care providers
• Outpatients
Low utilization • Through CHCs in urban areas and a 3 tier system in
rural areas with village clinics, township centers
and county hospitals
• Treat mostly outpatients with small/common ailments
• Prevention
Source: IMS
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 30
31. Opportunities
Sector 1. BioPharmaceuticals
BioPharmaceutical sector is a strategic focus in 12th Five Year Plan for the Chinese
central government, 15/25 funded projects are biopharm projects (including
vaccines).
• Key players:
• Bio-similar: CP Guojian, Biomab, Simcere, and Sansheng etc.
• CMO: BI, CP Guojian, Genor AutekBio
• Development: T-Mab, CP Guojian, BioMab etc.
• Potential collaboration areas:
• Product development (clinical stage)
• Process development (productivity and cost)
• Quality and engineering process
• TA: onco, autoimmune, diabetes, liver disease
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 31
32. Opportunities
Sector 2. Vaccine
The current Chinese vaccine market is about 1.2bn US dollar, with 25% growth
rate. More than 40 manufacturers produce over 30 products.
• Class I: HBV, BCG, polio, DPT, MMR,DPT, HAV, meningitis, Japanese
encephalitis, areas of focus groups hemorrhagic fever vaccine, anthrax vaccine
and leptospirosis vaccine.(covered by national immunization program)
• Class II: Influenza, chickenpox, influenza B, haemophilus, oral rotavirus,
pneumonia, rabies (self paid)
• Key local players: China National Biotech Group, Sinovac, Bio Tech Pharma,
Walvax, Innovax and Cansino
• Potential collaboration areas:
• R&D capability improvement (tech platform)
• Product development on new products
• Manufacturing process upgrade
• Capacity
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 32
33. Opportunities
Sector 2. Vaccine
Vaccine engineer center in CMC, 46,000M2,including R&D labs:
Pre-clinical, clinical trial, Lab BL2+ for bac. and virus,
Information system in large, sera and strains pool for trials
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 33
34. Industry Overview
Sector 3. Diagnostic
• National 12th Five-Year Plan
• Improve R&D capability and encourage development of innovative
instruments and reagents
• Enhance international footprint
• Support transformation of leading local companies
• Market continues to grow at 15-20% annually.
• Cost $1.5/person VS $25 to $30/person in developed countries
• Independent Clinical Labs becomes part of IVD market.
Key players: KingMed, Da An, Adicon, D. A. Diagnostics and Lawke (Local
IVD manufacturing is booming, 87 in 2004, 137 in 2010).
Potential Collaboration area: POCT
Source: McEvoy & Farmer
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 34
35. Opportunities
Sector 4. Stem Cell
Unit: 100M RMB (12.5M EUR)
Stem cell technology development in China
• Large population, can provide abundant
resources for stem cells. For example, more
than 17 newborns are born in China each
year
• The process of approval for clinical use of
stem cells is much shorter. For example, the
period from animal experiments to clinical
China Growth Rate phase I is less than 18months, whereas
USA needs about 6-8 years.
Data Source: The world stem cell market data issued by
SelectBiosciences
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 35
36. Opportunities
Sector 4. Stem Cell
Strategic Government Initiative to develop Stem Cell technology
China’s 7 Emerging
National New&Hi-Tech Plan:
Industries of Strategic Torch Project
Importance:
1.Energy Saving and
Stem Cell
Environmental Protection
2.New Energy •Stem Cell Clinical
•Stem Cell R&D National High Technology Research
3.New Energy Vehicles •Stem Cell Bank and Development Program 863 Project
•Stem Cell Cosm.
4.Biology •CRO
5.High-end Equipment
Manufacturing
6.Information Technology National Basic Research Program of China
973 Project
7.New Material
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 36
Source: Angecon
37. Opportunities
Sector 4. Stem Cell
Current Status of Stem Cell in China
• The industry develop into: stem cell repository, therapy, cell production, cell
bank and related services, etc.
• The clinical market for stem cells is still in the early stage, but lacks of industry
standard and quality control system. Some unqualified companies exploit
opportunity to make profit and have negative effect to the industry.
• China has huge medical needs,
- 240m CV patients, 92m diabetic, 40m Alzheimer's disease,14.6m
hematological cancer patients
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 37
38. Opportunities
Europe China
Lack of new tech &
Innovative tech & products
products “Bridging” Need Gaps Lack of leading
talents
Leading talents
Low R&D cost
High R&D cost • Technology Transfer Increase VC funds
Funding shortage • R&D collaboration
Fast market growth
Market growth • Outsource
Strong gov’t support
Strong competition • Commercialization
• Cross-border M&A
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 38
39. Opportunities
Align the portfolio
with high growth
opportunities 1 Excel on building the
right size, structure
and capabilities
Picking the
right portfolio
Build right sales & Match local demand
distribution model, with value
Getting the
the right balance of proposition and
right people,
depth and breadth 2 leadership 3 relationship
and executing
well
Setting the
Building the
right pricing
right
commercial 4 & market
access
model
strategies
Source: IMS
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 39
40. Opportunities
Government Incentives
State Level Provincial Level Municipal Level
• S&T Dev Program (€24B) • Talent scheme • Talent scheme
on new drug) 12th Five year
• Match fund • Start up fund
plan
• Innovative tech • Subsidy for leasing or
• Mega New Drug
industrialization grant purchasing premises/land
Development Program (€10B)
• Tax incentive on hi-tech • Tax incentives
• Thousand talent program
companies….
(€120) • Financing (seed/VC funds)
• Strategic project, P863,
P973
• Grant for platform
development
• Grant for central labs
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 40
41. Opportunities
Investment Approach (1)
• Wholly owned enterprises
• Site selection (location, infrastructure, labour cost, tax, incentives etc.)
• Recruiting and retaining talent
• Local partners
• Government relationship
• Joint Venture
• Control majority of equity
• D.D. on potential partner’s credibility, avoid state partner
• Manage IP
• Backup plan
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 41
42. Opportunities
Investment Approach (2)
• Distribution
• Select right distributors with good experience on regulatory, hospital
relationship
• Manage Key hospitals or KOL if possible
• Be aware of market dynamics and informal practice
• Licensing
• Select a capable and reliable licensee
• Protect your IP (consult attorney with local expertise)
• Be aware of the market trend
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 42
43. Opportunities
Investment Approach (3)
• Co-Development
• Select a partner with good track record with MNCs or western
clients
• Local partner in healthy financial condition and strong team
• IP protection
• Acquisition
• Select a range of target candidates
• Thorough D.D…
• Valuation is high
• Retain staff
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by 43
44. Thank you !
Contact:
Dr. Rong Hui Gao
Jan. 2013 Workshop organised by gaorh@g-med.com.cn 44