We live in unprecedented times... technology is disrupting learning and work as we know it. Machines are taking over more and more jobs and we need to be preparing this generation for a very uncertain unpredictable rapidly changing world. Education needs to shift to a world of abundant knowledge, leveraged through networks, and knowledge engines. CIO's need to be futurists and guides for their organizations to lead them forward into the future.

1. Brian Kuhn
Director of Technology / CIO
Vancouver School Board
www.vsb.bc.ca
bkuhn@vsb.bc.ca / @bkuhn
My Coordinates…
http://www.shift2future.com
http://www.slideshare.net/bkuhn
http://prezi.com/user/bkuhn
http://www.linkedin.com/in/kuhnbrian
Shift to the Future: The Technological
Disruption of Learning and Work
istockphoto.com # 22796717
#evantaCIO

2. We live in
unprecedented
times!
istockphoto.com # 17723170

3. “Late in the 1800s, during the Industrial
Revolution, business leaders began complaining
about all these rural kids who were pouring
into the cities and going to work in our
factories. Business leaders said that these kids
were no good, and that what they needed was
an educational system that would produce
"industrial discipline.” (paraphrase: show up,
be on time, follow rules), Alvin Toffler

4. “How does that system fit into a world
where assembly lines have gone away?
It doesn't. The public school system is
designed to produce a workforce for an
economy that will not be there. And
therefore, with all the best intentions in
the world, we're stealing the kids'
future.”, Alvin Toffler

5. “If you make some very logical, and even
conservative, assumptions about where
technology is likely to lead in the coming
years, much of the conventional wisdom
about what the future will look like
becomes unsupportable” The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle
222)

6. History has proven time and again that, where
technology is concerned, something can be
impossible since the dawn of civilization and
then suddenly, in the blink of an eye, become
possible. The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle 2998)

8. © Designs by Shell

9. PRINTING PRESS (1440) the beginning of abundance and
elimination of scarcity…
The Pencil (1560)
two hundred years for the
device to be completed with
the invention of the eraser –
Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 2888)
Shift to digital - sign an invoice
for a furnace repair using your
finger on the repair guy’s iPhone
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Printing_Press
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pencil

10. MECHANICAL CALCULATOR (1645)
Shift to digital - it's an
app, a web page; early
electronic calculators were
$1000 - some schools had
a lab of them, now they’re
free!
TELEGRAPH (1838)
Shift to digital - e-mail,
texting, Facebook,
Twitter, etc.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pascal%27s_Calculator
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telegraphy

11. TYPEWRITER (1868)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typewriter
Shift to digital - touch, voice,
and hand motion

12. TELEPHONE (1876)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telephone
Shift to digital - personal
digital assistant, the
phone has disappeared
amongst a powerful
general purpose
computer in your hand
TELEVISION (1927)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Television
1958
TV, Movie, Radio,
Web, Video Phone,
Apps, …
http://www.samsung.com/us/video/tvs/UN55C8000XFXZA

13. INTERNET (1970--1975)
istockphoto.com # 15885386
“The Web provides a platform for networking human minds.
Printing allowed people to know. The Web enables people to
collaborate and to learn collectively.” Macrowikinomics (kindle 566)

14. “Most long-range forecasts of what is
technically feasible in future time periods
dramatically underestimate the power of
future developments because they are
based on what I call the ‘intuitive linear’
view of history rather than the ‘historical
exponential’ view.” The Singularity is Near (kindle 429)
istockphoto.com # 453710
“But because we’re doubling the rate
of progress every decade, we’ll see the
equivalent of a century of progress—at
today’s rate—in only twenty-five
calendar years.” The Singularity is Near (kindle 442)

15. istockphoto.com # 18436318

16. istockphoto.com # 95069
What is the most
profound
technological
change you've
experienced in
your lifetime?

17. Education
TechnologyFuture
istockphoto.com # 17156598

18. Becomes
Expensive “expert
only” knowledge has
evolved into free
collaboratively created
knowledge…
When I was a student…

19. http://www.flickr.com/photos/langwitches/4211065057/

21. Students need access to digital tools
Today’s Students can…
Create / use podcasts
Create / use video
Take digital pictures (every
cell phone is a digital
camera field trip data
collection device)
Tell digital stories
Students can do all of this
if we give them access to
the tools…
istockphoto.com # 4066060

22. istockphoto.com # 10030485
Needed: Freedom to Choose Learning Tools
“more flexible policy
around use of
personal technology
tools”, Lord Byng
student

23. http://www.hpmuseum.org/hp41.htm
Calculator Labs?

24. istockphoto.com # 23362991
http://www.flickr.com/photos/langwitches/6461718207/

25. http://usergeneratededucation.wordpress.com/2011/06/13/the-flipped-classroom-model-a-full-picture/

26. http://www.flickr.com/photos/langwitches/6298812068/
Tablets
for
Learning

28. istockphoto.com # 15033392
Google SketchUp Dream Rooms

29. Research Tools
• Distance
• Routes
• Geography
• Field trips
• International culture
• Planning

31. Earthquakes near Japan

32. What
happened?

33. At a time when content and teachers
were scarce, it made sense to want our
kids to be “learned.” If all they had was
limited access to a relatively small
stockpile of knowledge and information,
we’d need to cram all that stuff in, just in
case they might need it one day. Why School? (Kindle
465)

34. Shift to the Future…
istockphoto.com # 14726231

35. “If you ask anyone who has been on
the Internet for at least a decade
what has changed, the answer will
probably be, ‘Everything.’”, A New Culture of Learning
istockphoto.com # 11038062

36. 3.6 B people on earth
First computer chess tournament
0 (yes zero) personal computers sold
0 e-mails sent
0 blog posts
0 Facebook users
BG (before Google)
1970
http://www.thepeoplehistory.com/1970
istockphoto.com # 1563122

37. 7.11 B people on the earth
127,183,835 personal computers sold this year
655,071 TVs sold today
4,840,432 cell phones sold today
2,533,834,102 internet users on earth
417,231,286,923 e-mail messages sent today
3,752,456 blog posts today
1,000,000,000 + Facebook users
3,982,823,201 Google searches today
273,595,223 Tweets sent today
May 12, 2013 around 10:08am
http://www.worldometers.info/
istockphoto.com # 7611212

38. Benedict XVI
Francis

39. istockphoto.com # 18713708

40. http://boingboing.net/2013/01/01/robots-are-taking-your-job-and.htm
Robotics and Automation…

41. In spite of the radiologist’s training requirement
of at least thirteen additional years beyond high
school, it is conceptually quite easy to envision
this job being automated. The primary focus of
the job is to analyze and evaluate visual images.
The Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle 998)
Automated Radiologist

42. The New Knowledge Worker?
Watson
understands
natural
language,
breaking down
the barrier
between people
and machines.
ww-03.ibm.com/innovation/us/watson/
The system then
generates
hypotheses -
recognizing that
there are
different
probabilities of
various
outcomes.

43. “The Makr Shakr can make any
drink you want--and even cut a
lemon. Put a tie and a vest on it,
and you won’t even be able to tell
the difference between it and your
local mixologist”http://www.fastcoexist.com/1681842/this-robot-will-be-your-perfectly-precise-bartender#1
flickr-com-photos-donsolo-168732784
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gdvfDTZcHQM

44. istockphoto.com # 1084313
Exponential Change is Happening
“technology is not just
advancing gradually: it
is accelerating” The Lights in the
Tunnel (kindle 227)
“If you make some very logical,
and even conservative,
assumptions about where
technology is likely to lead in the
coming years, much of the
conventional wisdom about what
the future will look like becomes
unsupportable” The Lights in the Tunnel (kindle 222)

45. If at some point, machines are likely to
permanently take over a great deal of
the work now performed by human
beings, then that will be a threat to the
very foundation of our economic
system. This is not something that will
just work itself out. This is something
that we need to begin thinking about, The
Lights in the Tunnel (Kindle 217)

46. istockphoto.com #5420109
The Lights in the Tunnel

47. Flickr.comphotos29160242QN083412459402
From factory learning…

48. "In times of change learners
inherit the earth, while the
learned find themselves
beautifully equipped to deal
with a world that no longer
exists." - Eric Hoffer

49. “There’s no competitive advantage
today in knowing more than the
person next to you. The world
doesn’t care what you know. What
the world cares about is what you
can do with what you know.”, Tony Wagner – Why
School? (Kindle 468)

50. istockphoto.com # 11819618
“Teaching young people how to
scrutinize, validate, and put things in
context will be among the toughest
tasks for educators.” Macrowikinomics (kindle 4390)
“the true test of rigor is for students to be able
to look at material they’ve never seen before
and know what to do with it.” 21st Century Skills (kindle 241)

51. Other skills have become worthless, and people who
hold the wrong ones now find that they have little to
offer employers. They’re losing the race against the
machine. Race Against the Machine (Kindle 158)
istockphoto.com # 15207641

52. Flickr – langwitches # 4211065001
“imagine, as a student, that you could not only read about
what it is like to be a scientist, an architect, an artist, an
entrepreneur, or an engineer, but also collaborate with fellow
students in a safe virtual environment to recreate that
experience for yourself.” Macrowikinomics (Kindle 2907)

53. Shift to a universe of virtual
worlds for exploring,
collaborating, creating, and
learning…
V
i
r
t
u
a
l
L
e
a
r
n
i
n
g

54. istockphoto.com # 7042359
What does this mean for us?

55. istockphoto.com # 18844759
the Internet has effectively
reduced the transmission
costs of sharing good ideas
to zero. Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 2676)

56. istockphoto.com # 18844759
This is not the wisdom of the crowd,
but the wisdom of someone in the
crowd. It’s not that the network itself
is smart; it’s that the individuals get
smarter because they’re connected
to the network. Where Good Ideas Come From (Kindle 678)

57. “The full-immersion visual-auditory virtual-reality
environments, which will be ubiquitous during the
second decade of this century, will hasten the trend
toward people living and working wherever they
wish.” The Singularity is Near (Kindle 1779)
istockphoto.com # 11562895

58. the world we live in now. It’s one where
computers improve so quickly that their
capabilities pass from the realm of science
fiction into the everyday world not over the
course of a human lifetime, or even within
the span of a professional’s career, but
instead in just a few years, Race Against the Machine (Kindle 232)

59. Professional Conversation and Learning
istockphoto.com #7755704
Work
Processes
Practices
Teams
Design and Implementation Teams
Learning Teams
Engage… …staff…
Focus Groups
Learning
Pilot
…vendors

60. © Designs by Shell
Expect and Enable…

61. istockphoto.com # 95069
How might future
innovations in
robotics and
automation impact
your employees
and your business?

62. istockphoto.com # 2030715
CIO as Futurist and Guide