SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 2
Descargar para leer sin conexión
Equity Research
PP11072/03/2010 (023549)



Sector Update                                                                                                                   5 May 2009


                                                        Maintain Overweight: The mega
Construction                                            projects are rolling in …
Overweight (unchanged)                                  More excitement ahead. The eventual award of the RM1.3b Pahang-
                                                        Selangor raw water transfer tunnel works on 28 Apr confirms that the
                                                        new administration sees the urgency for construction in stimulating the
                                                        economy. Langat 2 should be next in the limelight, together with the
                                                        massive Klang Valley LRT system. We expect more positive news flow
                                                        over the near-term. Continue to Overweight Construction.
Wong Chew Hann, CA
wchewh@maybank-ib.com
                                                        Langat 2 next. Langat 2, the downstream portion of the water transfer
(603) 2297 8686
                                                        project, comprises a 2,180 mld treatment plant and the distribution
                                                        pipelines. The estimated RM5b construction contract was awarded in
                                                        Feb ’08 to Kumpulan Darul Ehsan, which holds 60% of Kumpulan
                                                        Perangsang Selangor (KPS). As KPS does not have a major
                                                        construction arm, we think that potential beneficiaries are Gamuda, Loh
                                                        & Loh and Taliworks, which have had working experience with, and/or
                                                        are affiliated to KPS via shareholdings.

                                                        Klang Valley LRT to follow. Local companies have been invited to
                                                        submit “expressions of interest” for the LRT extension and upgrading
                                                        works, with the government keen to see construction works start within
                                                        the next 3-4 months, according to today’s Edge. The extension works
                                                        could cost RM7b, including RM1b to buy rolling stocks. Our view is that
                                                        the project may be parcelled out and experienced contractors like IJM,
                                                        Gamuda, UEM Builders and YTL Corp may bid as turnkey contractors.

                                                        Overweight Construction. We continue to expect mid-sized projects
                                                        to lead the momentum of construction sector recovery under the fiscal
                                                        stimulus. Meanwhile, the inter-state water transfer (including Langat 2)
                                                        and Klang Valley LRT extension are also two priority projects under the
                                                          th
                                                        9 Malaysia Plan with works expected to start before the decade turns.
                                                        IJM, WCT and HSL remain on our Buy list. Meanwhile, Gamuda is a
                                                        strong contender for the two mega water and LRT projects. Our Hold
                                                        call on the stock is under review, with upward revision potential.




   Sector comparison table
   Stock          Rec       Shr px   Mkt cap      TP      Basis     PER       PER     Gross yldGross yld      P/B         P/B    O/s Order
                                                                    CY09      CY10      FY09     FY10        FY09        FY10      Book
                             (RM)     (RMm)      (RM)                (x)       (x)       (%)      (%)         (x)         (x)     (RMm)
   Gamuda         Hold       2.48      4,976     2.50      RNAV     22.9      17.6       3.2      3.2         1.6         1.5      8,500
   IJM Corp       Buy        5.30      4,992     5.50      RNAV     14.7      12.3       4.7      3.8         1.0         0.9      4,800
   WCT Eng        Buy        1.59      1,227     1.70    10x PER     9.6       9.8       4.4      4.4         1.0         0.9      2,200
   Sunway #       Hold       0.86       469      0.90    0.8x P/B    5.5       4.9       5.3      3.5         0.6         0.5      2,780
   HSL *          Buy        0.72       420      0.97     8x PER     7.9       6.0       5.3      5.6         1.4         1.2      1,270
   Loh & Loh #    Hold       4.10       279      4.32    1.4x P/B   12.9      11.7       2.0      2.0         1.4         1.2       630
   * HSL’s TP upgraded from RM0.60 after the shift in valuation basis to 8x 2010 PER from 1.2x P/B.
   # TPs of Sunway and Loh & Loh are under review as we look to restore our earnings-based valuation from asset-based.
   Source: Company, Maybank-IB
Construction

 Definition of Ratings
  Maybank Investment Bank Research uses the following rating system:
   STRONG BUY Total return is expected to exceed 20% in the next 12 months; high conviction call
            BUY Total return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months
          HOLD Total return is expected to be between above 0% to 10% in the next 12 months
 FULLY VALUED Total return is expected to be between -10% and 0% in the next 12 months
           SELL Total return is expected to be below -10% in the next 12 months
  TRADING BUY Total return is expected to be between 10-20% in the next 6 months arising from positive newsflow e.g. mergers and
                  acquisition, corporate restructuring, and potential of obtaining new projects. However, the upside may or may not be
                  sustainable


 Applicability of Ratings
 The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are
 only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not
 carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.

 Some common terms abbreviated in this report (where they appear):
   Adex = Advertising Expenditure                          FCF = Free Cashflow                       PE = Price Earnings
   BV = Book Value                                         FV = Fair Value                           PEG = PE Ratio To Growth
   CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate                    FY = Financial Year                       PER = PE Ratio
   Capex = Capital Expenditure                             FYE = Financial Year End                  QoQ = Quarter-On-Quarter
   CY = Calendar Year                                      MoM = Month-On-Month                      ROA = Return On Asset
   DCF = Discounted Cashflow                               NAV = Net Asset Value                     ROE = Return On Equity
   DPS = Dividend Per Share                                NTA = Net Tangible Asset                  ROSF = Return On Shareholders’ Funds
   EBIT = Earnings Before Interest And Tax                 P = Price                                 WACC = Weighted Average Cost Of Capital
   EBITDA = EBIT, Depreciation And Amortisation            P.A. = Per Annum                          YoY = Year-On-Year
   EPS = Earnings Per Share                                PAT = Profit After Tax                    YTD = Year-To-Date
   EV = Enterprise Value                                   PBT = Profit Before Tax

 Disclaimer
 This report is for information purposes only and under no circumstances is it to be considered or intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation
 of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each
 security’s price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental
 ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on
 price and volume-related information extracted from Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors may
 receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to
 provide personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the
 particular needs of persons who may receive or read this report. Investors should therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding
 the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report.
 The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently
 verified by Maybank Investment Bank Bhd and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this report by
 Maybank Investment Bank Bhd and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, no liability can be accepted for any direct, indirect or
 consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this report. Maybank Investment Bank Bhd, its affiliates and
 related companies and their officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees may from time to time have positions or be
 materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further act as market maker or may have assumed an underwriting
 commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services, advisory and other services
 for or relating to those companies. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time,
 without prior notice.
 This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”,
 “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “forecast”, “predict” and “project” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will”, “can”,
 “should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions
 made and information currently available to us and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ
 materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward-
 looking statements. Maybank Investment Bank Bhd expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forward looking
 statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated
 events.
 This report is prepared for the use of Maybank Investment Bank Bhd's clients and may not be reproduced, altered in any way, transmitted to,
 copied or distributed to any other party in whole or in part in any form or manner without the prior express written consent of Maybank
 Investment Bank Bhd and Maybank Investment Bank Bhd accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.
 This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any
 locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation.
                                                                 Published / Printed by



                                                          Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H)
                                                    (Formerly known as Aseambankers Malaysia Berhad)
                                              (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad)
                                           33rd Floor, Menara Maybank, 100 Jalan Tun Perak, 50050 Kuala Lumpur
                                                          Tel: (603) 2059 1888; Fax: (603) 2078 4194
                                                                     Stockbroking Business:
                                    Level 8, MaybanLife Tower, Dataran Maybank, No.1, Jalan Maarof 59000 Kuala Lumpur
                                                          Tel: (603) 2297 8888; Fax: (603) 2282 5136
                                                                  http://www.maybank-ib.com


5 May 2009                                                                                                                                  Page 2 of 2

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle Ford
PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle FordPacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle Ford
PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle FordPacWest Consulting Partners
 
Corporate presentation may 2011
Corporate presentation   may 2011Corporate presentation   may 2011
Corporate presentation may 2011mmxriweb
 
Morgan Stanley EEMEA Conference
Morgan Stanley EEMEA ConferenceMorgan Stanley EEMEA Conference
Morgan Stanley EEMEA ConferenceComputershare
 
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum MRSK Centre
 
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis Tool
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis ToolPacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis Tool
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis ToolAlexander Robart
 
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011PacWest Consulting Partners
 
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business Tiger
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business TigerChina's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business Tiger
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business TigerShantanu Basu
 
16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference
16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference
16th Renaissance Capital Investment ConferenceComputershare
 

La actualidad más candente (9)

PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle Ford
PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle FordPacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle Ford
PacWest Upstream Oil/Gas Supply Chain Update - Eagle Ford
 
Corporate presentation may 2011
Corporate presentation   may 2011Corporate presentation   may 2011
Corporate presentation may 2011
 
Morgan Stanley EEMEA Conference
Morgan Stanley EEMEA ConferenceMorgan Stanley EEMEA Conference
Morgan Stanley EEMEA Conference
 
Initiating coverage gmdc_ltd_buy_for_36_per_appreciation
Initiating coverage gmdc_ltd_buy_for_36_per_appreciationInitiating coverage gmdc_ltd_buy_for_36_per_appreciation
Initiating coverage gmdc_ltd_buy_for_36_per_appreciation
 
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum
HSBC’s 12th Annual CEEMEA Investor Forum
 
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis Tool
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis ToolPacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis Tool
PacWest FracDB Capabilities: A Sophisticated Market Analysis Tool
 
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011
PacWest E&P Vertical Integration Trends, Nov 2011
 
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business Tiger
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business TigerChina's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business Tiger
China's Business Model: Strategic Panda Astride a Business Tiger
 
16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference
16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference
16th Renaissance Capital Investment Conference
 

Destacado (6)

1
11
1
 
Sun-Room After Pictures
Sun-Room After PicturesSun-Room After Pictures
Sun-Room After Pictures
 
La Stecca
La SteccaLa Stecca
La Stecca
 
Bilgi Notu 1
Bilgi Notu 1Bilgi Notu 1
Bilgi Notu 1
 
Reggae
ReggaeReggae
Reggae
 
Doc1
Doc1Doc1
Doc1
 

Similar a The Mega Projects

Tunnelling Job Bores Through
Tunnelling Job Bores ThroughTunnelling Job Bores Through
Tunnelling Job Bores ThroughBoyboy cute
 
Jk Infra Mar 2010 from kspcg.research
Jk Infra   Mar 2010 from kspcg.researchJk Infra   Mar 2010 from kspcg.research
Jk Infra Mar 2010 from kspcg.researchguest96fa6181
 
半導體0719
半導體0719半導體0719
半導體0719yo9889
 
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment project
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment  projectCIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment  project
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment projectiProperty Malaysia
 
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxAdapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxSALU18
 
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxAdapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxdaniahendric
 
Adapted from ima ima educational case journal vol. 8, no
Adapted from ima   ima educational case journal vol. 8, noAdapted from ima   ima educational case journal vol. 8, no
Adapted from ima ima educational case journal vol. 8, noAASTHA76
 
Northland Power Investor Presentation
Northland Power Investor PresentationNorthland Power Investor Presentation
Northland Power Investor PresentationCompany Spotlight
 
Vant hof 2010
Vant hof 2010Vant hof 2010
Vant hof 2010Ngy Ea
 
Wind Force Newsletter January, Edition, 2012
Wind Force Newsletter   January, Edition, 2012Wind Force Newsletter   January, Edition, 2012
Wind Force Newsletter January, Edition, 2012rupeshsingh_1
 
Market outlook 26 10 10
Market outlook 26 10 10Market outlook 26 10 10
Market outlook 26 10 10Angel Broking
 
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016Ali Shah Jumani
 
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011Manish Kayal, CFA
 
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...LobnaQassem1
 
Ramky infra ipo note-200910
Ramky infra ipo note-200910Ramky infra ipo note-200910
Ramky infra ipo note-200910Angel Broking
 
Irb infrastructure developers ltd q2 fy12 result update
Irb infrastructure developers ltd   q2 fy12 result updateIrb infrastructure developers ltd   q2 fy12 result update
Irb infrastructure developers ltd q2 fy12 result updateKeynote Capitals Ltd.
 

Similar a The Mega Projects (20)

Tunnelling Job Bores Through
Tunnelling Job Bores ThroughTunnelling Job Bores Through
Tunnelling Job Bores Through
 
Jk Infra Mar 2010 from kspcg.research
Jk Infra   Mar 2010 from kspcg.researchJk Infra   Mar 2010 from kspcg.research
Jk Infra Mar 2010 from kspcg.research
 
半導體0719
半導體0719半導體0719
半導體0719
 
Petronet lng
Petronet lngPetronet lng
Petronet lng
 
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment project
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment  projectCIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment  project
CIMB Research - Nailing an urban redevelopment project
 
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxAdapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
 
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docxAdapted from IMA   IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
Adapted from IMA IMA EDUCATIONAL CASE JOURNAL VOL. 8, NO.docx
 
Adapted from ima ima educational case journal vol. 8, no
Adapted from ima   ima educational case journal vol. 8, noAdapted from ima   ima educational case journal vol. 8, no
Adapted from ima ima educational case journal vol. 8, no
 
Northland Power Investor Presentation
Northland Power Investor PresentationNorthland Power Investor Presentation
Northland Power Investor Presentation
 
Vant hof 2010
Vant hof 2010Vant hof 2010
Vant hof 2010
 
Wind Force Newsletter January, Edition, 2012
Wind Force Newsletter   January, Edition, 2012Wind Force Newsletter   January, Edition, 2012
Wind Force Newsletter January, Edition, 2012
 
Market outlook 26 10 10
Market outlook 26 10 10Market outlook 26 10 10
Market outlook 26 10 10
 
Angel switch 170510
Angel switch 170510Angel switch 170510
Angel switch 170510
 
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016
Alt R - ACPL - Initiating Coverage - 15th Sept 2016
 
20120405 itri v0_final
20120405 itri v0_final20120405 itri v0_final
20120405 itri v0_final
 
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011
Roads & Highways Sector Initiation Centrum Research-16May2011
 
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...
Launch and closure of an Indian cement plant Decision making at Arco Ltd and ...
 
Ramky Infra IPO
Ramky Infra IPORamky Infra IPO
Ramky Infra IPO
 
Ramky infra ipo note-200910
Ramky infra ipo note-200910Ramky infra ipo note-200910
Ramky infra ipo note-200910
 
Irb infrastructure developers ltd q2 fy12 result update
Irb infrastructure developers ltd   q2 fy12 result updateIrb infrastructure developers ltd   q2 fy12 result update
Irb infrastructure developers ltd q2 fy12 result update
 

Más de Boyboy cute

Banking:Foreign banks share the pain
Banking:Foreign banks share the painBanking:Foreign banks share the pain
Banking:Foreign banks share the painBoyboy cute
 
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performance
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performanceOil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performance
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performanceBoyboy cute
 
Economic Current in April
Economic Current in AprilEconomic Current in April
Economic Current in AprilBoyboy cute
 
Bank NPLs yet to peak. Underweight
Bank NPLs yet to peak. UnderweightBank NPLs yet to peak. Underweight
Bank NPLs yet to peak. UnderweightBoyboy cute
 
Better bargains in 3Q?
Better bargains in 3Q?Better bargains in 3Q?
Better bargains in 3Q?Boyboy cute
 
The Wealth Report 2009
The Wealth Report 2009The Wealth Report 2009
The Wealth Report 2009Boyboy cute
 
Not as bad as feared, worst over?
Not as bad as feared, worst over?Not as bad as feared, worst over?
Not as bad as feared, worst over?Boyboy cute
 
A few big winners, many losers
A few big winners, many losersA few big winners, many losers
A few big winners, many losersBoyboy cute
 
Room To Run, But Value Vanishes
Room To Run, But Value VanishesRoom To Run, But Value Vanishes
Room To Run, But Value VanishesBoyboy cute
 
Cpo Price Assumption Raised
Cpo Price Assumption RaisedCpo Price Assumption Raised
Cpo Price Assumption RaisedBoyboy cute
 
Adex Data Point South
Adex Data Point SouthAdex Data Point South
Adex Data Point SouthBoyboy cute
 
Palm Oil Stocks Hit Bedrock
Palm Oil Stocks Hit BedrockPalm Oil Stocks Hit Bedrock
Palm Oil Stocks Hit BedrockBoyboy cute
 
Say Good Bye To Property Market
Say Good Bye To Property MarketSay Good Bye To Property Market
Say Good Bye To Property MarketBoyboy cute
 
Global Equity Technicals
Global Equity TechnicalsGlobal Equity Technicals
Global Equity TechnicalsBoyboy cute
 
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing Unsustainable
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing UnsustainableMEDIA Strong Mar Showing Unsustainable
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing UnsustainableBoyboy cute
 
BANKING A Picture Of Health
BANKING A Picture Of HealthBANKING A Picture Of Health
BANKING A Picture Of HealthBoyboy cute
 
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some Resilience
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some ResilienceBANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some Resilience
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some ResilienceBoyboy cute
 
Financial Services Liberalisation
Financial Services LiberalisationFinancial Services Liberalisation
Financial Services LiberalisationBoyboy cute
 
Financial sector opens up further
Financial sector opens up furtherFinancial sector opens up further
Financial sector opens up furtherBoyboy cute
 

Más de Boyboy cute (20)

Banking:Foreign banks share the pain
Banking:Foreign banks share the painBanking:Foreign banks share the pain
Banking:Foreign banks share the pain
 
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performance
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performanceOil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performance
Oil And Gas: A slick 1Q09 performance
 
Economic Current in April
Economic Current in AprilEconomic Current in April
Economic Current in April
 
Bank NPLs yet to peak. Underweight
Bank NPLs yet to peak. UnderweightBank NPLs yet to peak. Underweight
Bank NPLs yet to peak. Underweight
 
Better bargains in 3Q?
Better bargains in 3Q?Better bargains in 3Q?
Better bargains in 3Q?
 
The Wealth Report 2009
The Wealth Report 2009The Wealth Report 2009
The Wealth Report 2009
 
Not as bad as feared, worst over?
Not as bad as feared, worst over?Not as bad as feared, worst over?
Not as bad as feared, worst over?
 
A few big winners, many losers
A few big winners, many losersA few big winners, many losers
A few big winners, many losers
 
Room To Run, But Value Vanishes
Room To Run, But Value VanishesRoom To Run, But Value Vanishes
Room To Run, But Value Vanishes
 
Cpo Price Assumption Raised
Cpo Price Assumption RaisedCpo Price Assumption Raised
Cpo Price Assumption Raised
 
Adex Data Point South
Adex Data Point SouthAdex Data Point South
Adex Data Point South
 
Palm Oil Stocks Hit Bedrock
Palm Oil Stocks Hit BedrockPalm Oil Stocks Hit Bedrock
Palm Oil Stocks Hit Bedrock
 
Semiconductor
SemiconductorSemiconductor
Semiconductor
 
Say Good Bye To Property Market
Say Good Bye To Property MarketSay Good Bye To Property Market
Say Good Bye To Property Market
 
Global Equity Technicals
Global Equity TechnicalsGlobal Equity Technicals
Global Equity Technicals
 
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing Unsustainable
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing UnsustainableMEDIA Strong Mar Showing Unsustainable
MEDIA Strong Mar Showing Unsustainable
 
BANKING A Picture Of Health
BANKING A Picture Of HealthBANKING A Picture Of Health
BANKING A Picture Of Health
 
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some Resilience
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some ResilienceBANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some Resilience
BANKING Mar 09 Statistics Some Resilience
 
Financial Services Liberalisation
Financial Services LiberalisationFinancial Services Liberalisation
Financial Services Liberalisation
 
Financial sector opens up further
Financial sector opens up furtherFinancial sector opens up further
Financial sector opens up further
 

Último

06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdfFinTech Belgium
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfGale Pooley
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Call Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptxFinTech Belgium
 
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikHigh Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikCall Girls in Nagpur High Profile
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptxFinTech Belgium
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Delhi Call girls
 
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Pooja Nehwal
 
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure servicePooja Nehwal
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfGale Pooley
 
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...Suhani Kapoor
 
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...ranjana rawat
 
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...ssifa0344
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdfGale Pooley
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual serviceCALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual serviceanilsa9823
 
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsHigh Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escortsranjana rawat
 

Último (20)

(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
(Vedika) Low Rate Call Girls in Pune Call Now 8250077686 Pune Escorts 24x7
 
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
06_Joeri Van Speybroek_Dell_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pdf
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 17.pdf
 
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...Top Rated  Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
Top Rated Pune Call Girls Viman Nagar ⟟ 6297143586 ⟟ Call Me For Genuine Sex...
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - April 2024
 
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
00_Main ppt_MeetupDORA&CyberSecurity.pptx
 
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service NashikHigh Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
High Class Call Girls Nashik Maya 7001305949 Independent Escort Service Nashik
 
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
05_Annelore Lenoir_Docbyte_MeetupDora&Cybersecurity.pptx
 
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
Best VIP Call Girls Noida Sector 18 Call Me: 8448380779
 
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
Dharavi Russian callg Girls, { 09892124323 } || Call Girl In Mumbai ...
 
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
Veritas Interim Report 1 January–31 March 2024
 
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure serviceWhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323  ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
WhatsApp 📞 Call : 9892124323 ✅Call Girls In Chembur ( Mumbai ) secure service
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 26.pdf
 
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
VIP Call Girls LB Nagar ( Hyderabad ) Phone 8250192130 | ₹5k To 25k With Room...
 
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
(ANIKA) Budhwar Peth Call Girls Just Call 7001035870 [ Cash on Delivery ] Pun...
 
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
(INDIRA) Call Girl Mumbai Call Now 8250077686 Mumbai Escorts 24x7
 
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
Solution Manual for Financial Accounting, 11th Edition by Robert Libby, Patri...
 
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdfThe Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
The Economic History of the U.S. Lecture 30.pdf
 
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual serviceCALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual service
CALL ON ➥8923113531 🔝Call Girls Gomti Nagar Lucknow best sexual service
 
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur EscortsHigh Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
High Class Call Girls Nagpur Grishma Call 7001035870 Meet With Nagpur Escorts
 

The Mega Projects

  • 1. Equity Research PP11072/03/2010 (023549) Sector Update 5 May 2009 Maintain Overweight: The mega Construction projects are rolling in … Overweight (unchanged) More excitement ahead. The eventual award of the RM1.3b Pahang- Selangor raw water transfer tunnel works on 28 Apr confirms that the new administration sees the urgency for construction in stimulating the economy. Langat 2 should be next in the limelight, together with the massive Klang Valley LRT system. We expect more positive news flow over the near-term. Continue to Overweight Construction. Wong Chew Hann, CA wchewh@maybank-ib.com Langat 2 next. Langat 2, the downstream portion of the water transfer (603) 2297 8686 project, comprises a 2,180 mld treatment plant and the distribution pipelines. The estimated RM5b construction contract was awarded in Feb ’08 to Kumpulan Darul Ehsan, which holds 60% of Kumpulan Perangsang Selangor (KPS). As KPS does not have a major construction arm, we think that potential beneficiaries are Gamuda, Loh & Loh and Taliworks, which have had working experience with, and/or are affiliated to KPS via shareholdings. Klang Valley LRT to follow. Local companies have been invited to submit “expressions of interest” for the LRT extension and upgrading works, with the government keen to see construction works start within the next 3-4 months, according to today’s Edge. The extension works could cost RM7b, including RM1b to buy rolling stocks. Our view is that the project may be parcelled out and experienced contractors like IJM, Gamuda, UEM Builders and YTL Corp may bid as turnkey contractors. Overweight Construction. We continue to expect mid-sized projects to lead the momentum of construction sector recovery under the fiscal stimulus. Meanwhile, the inter-state water transfer (including Langat 2) and Klang Valley LRT extension are also two priority projects under the th 9 Malaysia Plan with works expected to start before the decade turns. IJM, WCT and HSL remain on our Buy list. Meanwhile, Gamuda is a strong contender for the two mega water and LRT projects. Our Hold call on the stock is under review, with upward revision potential. Sector comparison table Stock Rec Shr px Mkt cap TP Basis PER PER Gross yldGross yld P/B P/B O/s Order CY09 CY10 FY09 FY10 FY09 FY10 Book (RM) (RMm) (RM) (x) (x) (%) (%) (x) (x) (RMm) Gamuda Hold 2.48 4,976 2.50 RNAV 22.9 17.6 3.2 3.2 1.6 1.5 8,500 IJM Corp Buy 5.30 4,992 5.50 RNAV 14.7 12.3 4.7 3.8 1.0 0.9 4,800 WCT Eng Buy 1.59 1,227 1.70 10x PER 9.6 9.8 4.4 4.4 1.0 0.9 2,200 Sunway # Hold 0.86 469 0.90 0.8x P/B 5.5 4.9 5.3 3.5 0.6 0.5 2,780 HSL * Buy 0.72 420 0.97 8x PER 7.9 6.0 5.3 5.6 1.4 1.2 1,270 Loh & Loh # Hold 4.10 279 4.32 1.4x P/B 12.9 11.7 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.2 630 * HSL’s TP upgraded from RM0.60 after the shift in valuation basis to 8x 2010 PER from 1.2x P/B. # TPs of Sunway and Loh & Loh are under review as we look to restore our earnings-based valuation from asset-based. Source: Company, Maybank-IB
  • 2. Construction Definition of Ratings Maybank Investment Bank Research uses the following rating system: STRONG BUY Total return is expected to exceed 20% in the next 12 months; high conviction call BUY Total return is expected to be above 10% in the next 12 months HOLD Total return is expected to be between above 0% to 10% in the next 12 months FULLY VALUED Total return is expected to be between -10% and 0% in the next 12 months SELL Total return is expected to be below -10% in the next 12 months TRADING BUY Total return is expected to be between 10-20% in the next 6 months arising from positive newsflow e.g. mergers and acquisition, corporate restructuring, and potential of obtaining new projects. However, the upside may or may not be sustainable Applicability of Ratings The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are only applicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment ratings as we do not actively follow developments in these companies. Some common terms abbreviated in this report (where they appear): Adex = Advertising Expenditure FCF = Free Cashflow PE = Price Earnings BV = Book Value FV = Fair Value PEG = PE Ratio To Growth CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate FY = Financial Year PER = PE Ratio Capex = Capital Expenditure FYE = Financial Year End QoQ = Quarter-On-Quarter CY = Calendar Year MoM = Month-On-Month ROA = Return On Asset DCF = Discounted Cashflow NAV = Net Asset Value ROE = Return On Equity DPS = Dividend Per Share NTA = Net Tangible Asset ROSF = Return On Shareholders’ Funds EBIT = Earnings Before Interest And Tax P = Price WACC = Weighted Average Cost Of Capital EBITDA = EBIT, Depreciation And Amortisation P.A. = Per Annum YoY = Year-On-Year EPS = Earnings Per Share PAT = Profit After Tax YTD = Year-To-Date EV = Enterprise Value PBT = Profit Before Tax Disclaimer This report is for information purposes only and under no circumstances is it to be considered or intended as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that income from such securities, if any, may fluctuate and that each security’s price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors may receive back less than originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs of persons who may receive or read this report. Investors should therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed or recommended in this report. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by Maybank Investment Bank Bhd and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this report by Maybank Investment Bank Bhd and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, no liability can be accepted for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of this report. Maybank Investment Bank Bhd, its affiliates and related companies and their officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further act as market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking services, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice. This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “forecast”, “predict” and “project” and statements that an event or result “may”, “will”, “can”, “should”, “could” or “might” occur or be achieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward- looking statements. Maybank Investment Bank Bhd expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any such forward looking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. This report is prepared for the use of Maybank Investment Bank Bhd's clients and may not be reproduced, altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party in whole or in part in any form or manner without the prior express written consent of Maybank Investment Bank Bhd and Maybank Investment Bank Bhd accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect. This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. Published / Printed by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H) (Formerly known as Aseambankers Malaysia Berhad) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) 33rd Floor, Menara Maybank, 100 Jalan Tun Perak, 50050 Kuala Lumpur Tel: (603) 2059 1888; Fax: (603) 2078 4194 Stockbroking Business: Level 8, MaybanLife Tower, Dataran Maybank, No.1, Jalan Maarof 59000 Kuala Lumpur Tel: (603) 2297 8888; Fax: (603) 2282 5136 http://www.maybank-ib.com 5 May 2009 Page 2 of 2