Broadway & Oni Africa financial market predictions for 2016

1. A F R I C A F I N A N C I A L
I N T E L L I G E N C E
Predictions
2016
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2. MARKET OPPORTUNITIES
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3. be cautious of investing in saturated exchanges like nigeria & kenya stock exchanges
instead, consider smaller exchanges like bostwana & bvrm
Based on 2015 End­Of­Year Performance for B&O tracked exchangeswww.broadwayoni.com

4. HOWEVER, IF YOU WANT TO INVEST IN THE MAJOR MARKETS, YOUR BEST RETURNS ARE IN
AGRICULTURE STOCKS
Based on 2015 End­Of­Year Performance for B&O tracked exchanges
BROADWAY & ONI AGRICULTURE ONE INDEX
We're predicting heavier than normal food demand and very limited supply in 2016
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5. focus on industries that stand to gain from low oil prices
Based on industry performance predictions for B&O tracked markets
WITH CRUDE OIL PRICES LOOKING GRIM
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18%
13%
TRANSPORTATION
AUTO MANUFACTURING
& EQUIPMENT
We predict best returns from both markets even with overall low market returns

6. we estimate crude oil prices to peak at ~$48 per barrel and stabilize at ~$45 per barrel
Based on 2015 End­Of­Year Performance for B&O tracked exchanges
speaking of crude oil.....
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7. ELECTIONS WE'RE KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON
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GHANA NOV 2016
GAMBIA DEC 2016
ZAMBIA AUG 2016
BENIN FEB 2016
NIGER FEB 2016
Data courtesy of the National Democratic Institute

8. situations we're tracking
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9. nigeria president buhari fighting major battles
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Nigeria's newly elected president is running
out of time to instill some sense of stability in
Nigerians due to:
­ Decreased global crude oil prices which
makes up about 80% of the country's export
revenue and operating budget.
­ Dual FX Rates: Even though there are
rates set by the central bank, most
individuals and businesses are trading using
the much higher black market rates.
­ Boko Haram: The militant terrorist group
has shown no signs of stopping its deadly
attacks even though Buhari declared that he
had 'technically defeated' the group in
December.

10. as china turns, so does africa
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China has long overtaken all major
nations to become the biggest African
investor and while the investments were
welcomed by African governments, most
African nations which depend on Chinese
investment are beginning to show
concern.
The bigger the Chinese economy decline
continues to be, the more African
governments are focused on finding stop
gaps so as not to be dragged down with
it.

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