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The Potential Future Technical and Social Global Impact of GSN Building a zero carbon economy through ICT Bill St. Arnaud [email_address] Unless otherwise noted all material in this slide deck may be reproduced, modified or distributed without prior permission of the author
Climate Forecasts MIT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global Average Temperature
2008 second warmest year ever
Climate Change is not reversible ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],All we hope to achieve is to slow down the rapid rate of climate change Weaver et al., GRL (2007)
Climate tipping points ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Global ICT Carbon Footprint is Roughly the Same as the Aviation Industry Today www.smart2020.org But ICT Emissions are Growing at 6% Annually! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Global ICT Carbon Footprint  by Subsector www.smart2020.org The Number of PCs (Desktops and Laptops) Globally is Expected to Increase  from 592 Million in 2002  to More Than Four Billion in 2020  Data Centers Are Low Hanging Fruit Telecom & Internet fastest growing PCs Are Biggest Problem
Huge jump in carbon footprint from telecom and Internet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Evolving Internet & Impact on GHG ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Traditional Internet Backbone ISP1 Backbone ISP 3 Backbone ISP 2 IX IX Regional ISP Large Content Provider with multiple servers Small Content Provider  Last mile ISP Last mile ISP User’s Computer User’s Computer Thousands of miles Fiber Networks
Information Internet Backbone ISP1 Backbone ISP 3 Backbone ISP 2 IX IX Regional ISP Large Content Provider  Small Content Provider  Last mile ISP Last mile ISP User’s Computer User’s Computer Cloud CDN Content hosted in ACI  Nearby
New Internet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IT biggest power draw Heating, Cooling and Ventilation 40-50% Lighting 11% IT  Equipment 30-40% Other 6% Sources: BOMA 2006, EIA 2006, AIA 2006 Energy Consumption Typical Building Energy Consumption World Wide Transportation 25% Manufacturing 25% Buildings 50%
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Growth Projections Data Centers Source:  Gartner; Meeting the DC power and cooling challenge
Government and University CIOs have big responsibility ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],US Climate Legislation
State Climate Action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],SOURCE:  Pew Center on Global Climate Change, Climate101-State Actions, January 2009
Public Sector to be carbon neutral by 2010 in BC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],22
Obama orders 28% reduction in Government GHGs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GHG Regulation in British Columbia SOURCE:  “Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report 2007”, Ministry of Environment, Victoria, British Columbia, July 2009 Source: Jerry Sheehan UCSD
Carbon Costs for the  University of British Columbia SOURCE:  UBC Sustainability Office, August 2009 SOURCE:  http://climateaction.ubc.ca/category/emission-sources SOURCE:  UBC Climate Action Plan, GHG 2006 Inventory UBC Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 2010 2011 2012 Carbon Offset $1,602,750 $1,602,750 $1,602,750 Carbon Tax $1,179,940 $1,474,925 $1,769,910 Total $2,782,690 $3,077,675 $3,372,660
MIT to build zero carbon data center in Holyoke MA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Many examples already Hydro-electric powered data centers Data Islandia Digital Data Archive ASIO solar powered data centers Wind powered data centers Ecotricity in UK builds windmills at data center locations with no capital cost to user
Grand Challenge – Building robust ICT services using renewable energy only ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic benefits of follow the wind/sun architectures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
IEEE Standard GHG from Hydro and Wind Power Projects ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What are carbon offsets? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transferring Alberta’s Wealth to the rest of Canada ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],www.td.com/economics
Three approaches to a better planet ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Carbon Rewards rather carbon taxes – “gCommerce” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Final remarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Gsn Retreat Feb 8

  • 1. The Potential Future Technical and Social Global Impact of GSN Building a zero carbon economy through ICT Bill St. Arnaud [email_address] Unless otherwise noted all material in this slide deck may be reproduced, modified or distributed without prior permission of the author
  • 2.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. The Global ICT Carbon Footprint by Subsector www.smart2020.org The Number of PCs (Desktops and Laptops) Globally is Expected to Increase from 592 Million in 2002 to More Than Four Billion in 2020 Data Centers Are Low Hanging Fruit Telecom & Internet fastest growing PCs Are Biggest Problem
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Traditional Internet Backbone ISP1 Backbone ISP 3 Backbone ISP 2 IX IX Regional ISP Large Content Provider with multiple servers Small Content Provider Last mile ISP Last mile ISP User’s Computer User’s Computer Thousands of miles Fiber Networks
  • 12. Information Internet Backbone ISP1 Backbone ISP 3 Backbone ISP 2 IX IX Regional ISP Large Content Provider Small Content Provider Last mile ISP Last mile ISP User’s Computer User’s Computer Cloud CDN Content hosted in ACI Nearby
  • 13.
  • 14. IT biggest power draw Heating, Cooling and Ventilation 40-50% Lighting 11% IT Equipment 30-40% Other 6% Sources: BOMA 2006, EIA 2006, AIA 2006 Energy Consumption Typical Building Energy Consumption World Wide Transportation 25% Manufacturing 25% Buildings 50%
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Carbon Costs for the University of British Columbia SOURCE: UBC Sustainability Office, August 2009 SOURCE: http://climateaction.ubc.ca/category/emission-sources SOURCE: UBC Climate Action Plan, GHG 2006 Inventory UBC Greenhouse Gas Liability 2010-2012 2010 2011 2012 Carbon Offset $1,602,750 $1,602,750 $1,602,750 Carbon Tax $1,179,940 $1,474,925 $1,769,910 Total $2,782,690 $3,077,675 $3,372,660
  • 23.
  • 24. Many examples already Hydro-electric powered data centers Data Islandia Digital Data Archive ASIO solar powered data centers Wind powered data centers Ecotricity in UK builds windmills at data center locations with no capital cost to user
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.

Notas del editor

  1. USGS report finds that future climate shifts have been underestimated and warns of debilitating abrupt shift in climate that would be devastating. http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap3-4/final-report/default.htm http://climateprogress.org/2008/11/24/what-are-the-near-term-climate-pearl-harbors/ Tipping elements in the Earth's climate - National Academies of Science “ Society may be lulled into a false sense of security by smooth projections of global change. Our synthesis of present knowledge suggests that a variety of tipping elements could reach their critical point within this century under anthropogenic climate change. “ http://www.pnas.org/content/105/6/1786.abstract?maxtoshow=&HITS=10&hits=10&RESULTFORMAT=&fulltext=tipping+elements+lenton&searchid=1&FIRSTINDEX=0&resourcetype=HWCIT Arctic Climate Change may be at tipping point – Globe and Mail -Sept 2009 We thought by 2050, multi-year [sea] ice would be cut in half,” said Mr. Stewart from Ottawa. “Well, it happened in 2007.” http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/technology/science/arctic-climate-change-at-tipping-point/article1272939/ http://www.panda.org/wwf_news/news/?uNewsID=173262
  2. Future projections from Gartner
  3. Building a zero carbon ICT infrastructure Purchasing green power locally is expensive with significant transmission line losses Demand for green power within cities expected to grow dramatically ICT facilities DON’T NEED TO BE LOCATED IN CITIES -Cooling also a major problem in cities But most renewable energy sites are very remote and impractical to connect to electrical grid. Can be easily reached by an optical network Provide independence from electrical utility and high costs in wheeling power Savings in transmission line losses (up to 15%) alone, plus carbon offsets can pay for moving ICT facilities to renewable energy site ICT is only industry ideally suited to relocate to renewable energy sites Also ideal for business continuity in event of climate catastrophe