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Capital Budgeting
Decision Criteria
What is Capital Expenditure?
 Capital expenditure involves a current
 outlay of funds in the expectation of a
 stream of benefits extending far into
 future.
    Long-term decisions
    Involve large expenditures
Mutually exclusive vs.
Independent projects

• Mutually exclusive projects are those
  projects for which the selection of one
  requires the rejection of the others.
• Independent projects are those for
  which the acceptance of one does not
  preclude the acceptance of the other
  projects.
Project Classifications
 Replacement
     Maintenance of Business
     Cost Reduction
 Expansion
     Existing Products/Markets
     New Products/Markets
 Research and Development
 Other
     Safety/Environmental Projects
Capital budgeting: stages
     Identification of Potential Investment
                   Opportunities
                        
            Capital budget proposal
                        
 Selection, Budget approval and Authorization
                        
                 Project tracking
                        
              Post-completion audit
Capital budgeting: the basics

 • Estimate incremental cash flows
   associated with a project.
 • Evaluate the risk of the project.
 • Evaluate the cash flows by applying
   one or more of the capital budgeting
   techniques.
Example


 Year Project S Project L
                            Assumptions
    0     -1000     -1000
    1       600       400      Equally Risky
    2       300       400      They have same cost
    3       300       500      They have same life
    4       200       400
Capital Budgeting Techniques

   Payback Period
   Discounted payback Period
   Net Present Value (NPV)
   Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
   Benefit Cost Ratio
   Accounting Rate of Return
Payback Period
  Expected number of years required to
  recover the original investment

  Decision Rules:
    PP = payback period

    MDPP = maximum desired payback period

  Independent Projects:
    PP   MDPP - Accept
    PP > MDPP - Reject

  Mutually Exclusive Projects:
    Select the project with the fastest payback,
     assuming PP MDPP.
Payback Period

      How long will it take for the
      project to generate enough cash to
      pay for itself?

(500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150     150

 0      1   2    3   4   5    6   7    8
Payback Period

      How long will it take for the
      project to generate enough cash to
      pay for itself?

(500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150     150

 0      1   2    3   4   5    6   7    8
       Payback period = 3.33 years.
Payback Period
 Is a 3.33 year payback period good?
 Is it acceptable?
 Firms that use this method will
 compare the payback calculation to
 some standard set by the firm.
 If our senior management had set a
 cut-off of 5 years for projects like
 ours, what would be our decision?
 Accept the project.
Payback Period (Continued)

  Advantages:
    Easy to calculate and understand

    Provides an indication of a project’s liquidity



  Drawbacks:
   Ignores time value of money

   Ignores all cash flows received after the payback
    period
Consider this cash flow stream

(500) 150 150 150 150 150 (400) 100   0

 0    1   2    3   4    5   6    7    8
Drawbacks of Payback Period:
Does not consider all of the project’s cash flows.



(500) 150 150 150 150 150 (400) 100                  0

  0      1     2     3     4     5     6     7       8
This project is clearly unprofitable, but we would
accept it based on a 4-year payback criterion!
Discounted Payback Period
 Expected Cash Flows are discounted

 Advantages:
     Improves over regular payback period method by
      taking into account the time value of money.
 Drawbacks
     Still ignores all cash flows received after the
      payback period
Discounted Payback Period:

 (500)   250    250   250   250 250

    0     1      2      3   4    5
                            Discounted
Year           Cash Flow CF (14%)
0                -500       -500.00
1                250         219.30
Discounted Payback

    (500)    250   250   250    250 250

       0      1      2    3      4    5

                               Discounted
Year        Cash Flow          CF (14%)
0             -500             -500.00
1              250              219.30      1 year
                               280.70
Discounted Payback

     (500)    250   250   250   250 250

       0       1    2      3    4    5


                           Discounted
Year       Cash Flow      CF (14%)
 0            -500        -500.00
 1             250         219.30   1 year
                           280.70
 2            250          192.38
Discounted Payback

     (500)    250   250    250   250 250

       0       1       2    3    4      5
                           Discounted
Year       Cash Flow       CF (14%)
 0           -500          -500.00
 1            250           219.30   1 year
                            280.70
 2            250           192.38   2 years
                             88.32
Discounted Payback
     (500)    250   250   250   250 250

       0       1    2      3    4    5
                           Discounted
Year       Cash Flow      CF (14%)
 0            -500        -500.00
 1             250         219.30   1 year
                           280.70
 2            250          192.38   2 years
                            88.32
 3            250          168.75
Discounted Payback
     (500)   250    250   250   250 250

       0      1     2     3     4    5
                           Discounted
Year       Cash Flow      CF (14%)
 0            -500        -500.00
 1             250         219.30   1 year
                           280.70
 2            250          192.38   2 years
                            88.32
 3            250          168.75   .52 years
Discounted Payback
 (500)   250    250   250   250 250

    0     1     2     3   4    5
                      Discounted
Year          Cash Flow CF (14%)
         The Discounted
0         -500       -500.00
             Payback
1          250        219.30     1 year
           is 2.52 years
                       280.70
2         250          192.38    2 years
                        88.32
3         250          168.75    .52 years
Problem
             Expected Net Cash Flow
    Year      Project L   Project S
     0          (100)      (100)
     1           10          70
     2           60          50
     3           80          20

    Discount rate : 10%
Payback

   Project L

               0        1            2   2.4   3

CFt        -100         10           60 100    80
Cumulative -100        -90          -30   0    50

PaybackL   = 2     +        30/80     = 2.375 years
Payback

 Project S
              0       1    1.6 2       3


CFt          -100     70 100 50        20

Cumulative -100      -30    0 20       40

PaybackS     = 1 + 30/50 = 1.6 years
Discounted Payback

  Project L

               0            1        2       3
                     10%

   CFt        -100         10       60       80
   PVCFt      -100          9.09    49.59    60.11
   Cumulative -100         -90.91   -41.32   18.79
   Discounted
   payback    = 2     + 41.32/60.11 = 2.7 yrs
Discounted Payback

  Project S
               0           1         2      3
                     10%

 CFt          -100         70       50      20
 PVCFt        -100          63.64   41.32   15.02
 Cumulative -100           -36.36   4.96    19.98

 Discounted
 payback    = 1       + 36.36/41.32 = 1.9 yrs
Net Present Value
      Find the present values of Cash Outflows and
      Cash Inflows and sum them up. If NPV is
      positive the project is worth taking on.

                                                N
                CF1             CFN                 CFt
NPV    CF0           1
                       ......
              (1 k )          (1 k ) 2      t   0 (1 k ) t
  Theoretically the best method
                     n
                          CFt
             NPV                t
                                    CF0 .
                    t 1   1 k
Notice that NPV of the project depends on the project’s
cost of capital
There is a cost of capital for which the NPV is zero (and
negative if cost is higher)
Net Present Value

  Rationale for NPV
     NPV= PV inflows – Cost = Net gain in
      wealth.
     For independent projects, accept project if
       NPV > 0.
     For mutually exclusive projects, choose the
      one with the highest NPV are selected.
      This adds the most value to the firm.
Problem
             Expected Net Cash Flow
    Year      Project L   Project S
     0          (100)      (100)
     1           10          70
     2           60          50
     3           80          20

    Discount rate : 10%
Net Present Value

  Project L
    0            1    2    3
           10%

 -100.00         10   60   80

    9.09
   49.59
   60.11
   18.79 = NPVL
Net Present Value

  Project S
     0            1    2    3
            10%

  -100.00         70   50   20

   63.64
   41.32
   15.03
   19.99 = NPVS
Net Present Value


     If Projects S and L are mutually exclusive,
      accept S because NPVS > NPVL .
     If S & L are independent, accept both since
      both NPVs > 0.
Advantages & Disadvantages

  Takes time value of money.
  Consider all the cash flows occurring
  over the life time.
  Consistent with the objective of
  maximizing the shareholder’s wealth

  Difficult to calculate and understand.
  Dependent on discount rates.
Problem

   Suppose we are considering a capital investment
   that costs Rs. 276,400 and provides annual net
   cash flows of Rs. 83,000 for four years and
   $116,000 at the end of the fifth year. The firm’s
   required rate of return is 15%.
         83,000 83,000 83,000 83,000 116,000
(276,400)

  0       1        2       3             4         5
                 NPV = 18,235.71
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

   IRR is simply the rate of return that
   the firm earns on its capital budgeting
   projects.

   IRR is the rate of return that makes
   the PV of the cash flows equal to the
   initial outlay.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

             n
                     CFt
NPV =                           - IO
                    (1 + k) t
         t=1
        n
                    CFt
IRR:                       t    = IO
                 (1 + IRR)
       t=1
IRR (Continued)

    1. Guess a rate.
                   n       CFt
    2. Calculate:
                  t    1 (1 IRR ) t

    3. If the calculation = CF0 you guessed right
       If the calculation > CF0 try a higher rate
       If the calculation < CF0 try a lower rate


                      L+    PVBL - I     * (U – L)
Accurate IRR =
                           PVBL - PVBU
Calculate the IRR in the following project-

(10000) 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000

    0      1        2        3      4
At i= 10%
PV = 1818.2+2479.3+3005.2+3415.1
       = 10717.8
At i= 15%
PV= 1739.1+2268.4+2630.1+2858.8
       = 9496.4
Using interpolation-
IRR = 10 + 10717.8- 10000 x (15-10) = 12.94%
            10717.8 – 9496.4
Calculating IRR



         83,000 83,000 83,000 83,000 116,000
(276,400)

  0      1       2        3      4       5

             IRR = 17.63%
Decision Rule:

  If IRR is greater than the cost of capital (also
  called the hurdle rate) accept the project.

  IRR is independent of cost of capital(k)

  Mutually Exclusive Projects
      Accept the project with the highest IRR,
       assuming IRR > k.
Advantages & Disadvantages

  Takes time value of money.
  Consider all the cash flows occurring
  over the life time.
  Easier to understand.
  Consistent with the objective of
  maximizing the shareholder’s wealth

  Difficult to calculate
Problem
             Expected Net Cash Flow
    Year      Project L    Project S
     0          (100)        (100)
     1            10          70
     2            60          50
     3            80          20

    Discount rate : 10%. Find IRR
Project L


  0              1     2             3
       IRR = ?

-100.00          10   60         80
  PV1
 PV2
 PV3
 0 = NPV
Enter CFs in CFLO, then press IRR:
        IRRL = 18.13%
   IRRL = 18.13%.
Project S



     0             1     2             3
         IRR = ?

   -100.00         70   50         20
     PV1
    PV2
    PV3
   0 = NPV
  Enter CFs in CFLO, then press IRR:
          IRRL = 23.56%
   IRRS = 23.56%.
Problem
               Expected Net Cash Flow
      Year      Project L    Project S
       0          (100)        (100)
       1           10           70
       2           60           50
       3           80           20

  Discount rate : 10%. Draw NPV Profiles
NPV versus IRR

   NPV                                             k   NPV L   NPV S
  60
                                                   0     50      40
  50                                               5     33      29
  40
                L   Crossover                     10     19      20
                    Point = 8.7%                  15       7     12
  30                                                     (4)      5
                                                  20
            S
  20
                                  S
  10
                                           IRR S = 23.6%
                         L
    0                                             Discount Rate (%)
        0       5   10       15       20   23.6
  -10
                             IRR L = 18.1%
NPV versus IRR

 Independent Projects
     NPV and IRR will always result in the same
      accept/reject decision
NPV versus IRR
 Mutually Exclusive Projects having
 substantially different outlays

           Cash Flows       IRR% NPV
       0                1        k= 12%
 P Rs(10000)     20000
 Q Rs(50000)     75000
NPV versus IRR
  1. Mutually Exclusive Projects having
     substantially different outlays

              Cash Flows       IRR% NPV
          0                1        k= 12%
    P Rs(10000)     20000      100      7857
    Q Rs(50000)     75000       50     16964

•Both are acceptable, but Q contributes more to the
wealth
•IRR unsuitable for ranking projects of different
scales
Drawbacks of IRR
+ +)
2. If there are multiple sign changes in the
    cash flow stream, we could get multiple
    IRRs.
 + + - + +)
       1                2           3
(500) 200        100        (200)       400    300

 0         1       2           3         4      5
     We could find 3 different IRRs
Multiple IRRs



  0                  1        2
        k = 10%

 -800              5,000   -5,000

      NPV = -386.78
      IRR = ERROR. Why?
Multiple IRRs


      NPV                NPV Profile

                         IRR2 = 400%
    450
      0                                k
            100            400
            IRR1 = 25%
    -800
Multiple IRRs

   0                       1                        2
         k = 10%

 -800                   5,000                   -5,000
  Logic of Multiple IRRs
    At very low discount rates, the PV of CF2 is large &

     negative, so NPV < 0.
    At very high discount rates, the PV of both CF1
     and CF2 are low, so CF0 dominates and again NPV
     < 0.
    In between, the discount rate hits CF2 harder than

     CF1, so NPV > 0.
    Result: 2 IRRs.
NPV versus IRR

3. IRR cannot distinguish between lending
  and borrowing.

                  Cash Flows
                    0         1
           A     Rs.(400)    600
           B     Rs. 400   (700)

               IRR : A = 50%
                     B = 75%
               NPV: A = +VE
                     B = -VE
A company is considering the purchase of a delivery
van and is evaluating the following two choices:
(a) The company can buy a used van for Rs 20,000,
after 4 years sell the same for Rs 2,500 and replace it
with another used van which is expected to cost Rs
30,000 and last 6 years with no terminating value.
(b) The company can buy a new van for Rs 40,000.
the projected life of the van is 10 years and has an
expected salvage value of Rs 5,000 at the end of ten
years.

The services provided by the vans under both choices
are the same. Assuming the cost of capital 10 percent,
which choice is preferable?

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Capital budgeting

  • 2. What is Capital Expenditure? Capital expenditure involves a current outlay of funds in the expectation of a stream of benefits extending far into future. Long-term decisions Involve large expenditures
  • 3. Mutually exclusive vs. Independent projects • Mutually exclusive projects are those projects for which the selection of one requires the rejection of the others. • Independent projects are those for which the acceptance of one does not preclude the acceptance of the other projects.
  • 4. Project Classifications Replacement  Maintenance of Business  Cost Reduction Expansion  Existing Products/Markets  New Products/Markets Research and Development Other  Safety/Environmental Projects
  • 5. Capital budgeting: stages Identification of Potential Investment Opportunities  Capital budget proposal  Selection, Budget approval and Authorization  Project tracking  Post-completion audit
  • 6. Capital budgeting: the basics • Estimate incremental cash flows associated with a project. • Evaluate the risk of the project. • Evaluate the cash flows by applying one or more of the capital budgeting techniques.
  • 7. Example Year Project S Project L Assumptions 0 -1000 -1000 1 600 400  Equally Risky 2 300 400  They have same cost 3 300 500  They have same life 4 200 400
  • 8. Capital Budgeting Techniques Payback Period Discounted payback Period Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Benefit Cost Ratio Accounting Rate of Return
  • 9. Payback Period Expected number of years required to recover the original investment Decision Rules:  PP = payback period  MDPP = maximum desired payback period Independent Projects:  PP MDPP - Accept  PP > MDPP - Reject Mutually Exclusive Projects:  Select the project with the fastest payback, assuming PP MDPP.
  • 10. Payback Period How long will it take for the project to generate enough cash to pay for itself? (500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 11. Payback Period How long will it take for the project to generate enough cash to pay for itself? (500) 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 150 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Payback period = 3.33 years.
  • 12. Payback Period Is a 3.33 year payback period good? Is it acceptable? Firms that use this method will compare the payback calculation to some standard set by the firm. If our senior management had set a cut-off of 5 years for projects like ours, what would be our decision? Accept the project.
  • 13. Payback Period (Continued) Advantages:  Easy to calculate and understand  Provides an indication of a project’s liquidity Drawbacks:  Ignores time value of money  Ignores all cash flows received after the payback period
  • 14. Consider this cash flow stream (500) 150 150 150 150 150 (400) 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
  • 15. Drawbacks of Payback Period: Does not consider all of the project’s cash flows. (500) 150 150 150 150 150 (400) 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 This project is clearly unprofitable, but we would accept it based on a 4-year payback criterion!
  • 16. Discounted Payback Period Expected Cash Flows are discounted Advantages:  Improves over regular payback period method by taking into account the time value of money. Drawbacks  Still ignores all cash flows received after the payback period
  • 17. Discounted Payback Period: (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30
  • 18. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30 1 year 280.70
  • 19. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30 1 year 280.70 2 250 192.38
  • 20. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30 1 year 280.70 2 250 192.38 2 years 88.32
  • 21. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30 1 year 280.70 2 250 192.38 2 years 88.32 3 250 168.75
  • 22. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) 0 -500 -500.00 1 250 219.30 1 year 280.70 2 250 192.38 2 years 88.32 3 250 168.75 .52 years
  • 23. Discounted Payback (500) 250 250 250 250 250 0 1 2 3 4 5 Discounted Year Cash Flow CF (14%) The Discounted 0 -500 -500.00 Payback 1 250 219.30 1 year is 2.52 years 280.70 2 250 192.38 2 years 88.32 3 250 168.75 .52 years
  • 24. Problem Expected Net Cash Flow Year Project L Project S 0 (100) (100) 1 10 70 2 60 50 3 80 20 Discount rate : 10%
  • 25. Payback Project L 0 1 2 2.4 3 CFt -100 10 60 100 80 Cumulative -100 -90 -30 0 50 PaybackL = 2 + 30/80 = 2.375 years
  • 26. Payback Project S 0 1 1.6 2 3 CFt -100 70 100 50 20 Cumulative -100 -30 0 20 40 PaybackS = 1 + 30/50 = 1.6 years
  • 27. Discounted Payback Project L 0 1 2 3 10% CFt -100 10 60 80 PVCFt -100 9.09 49.59 60.11 Cumulative -100 -90.91 -41.32 18.79 Discounted payback = 2 + 41.32/60.11 = 2.7 yrs
  • 28. Discounted Payback Project S 0 1 2 3 10% CFt -100 70 50 20 PVCFt -100 63.64 41.32 15.02 Cumulative -100 -36.36 4.96 19.98 Discounted payback = 1 + 36.36/41.32 = 1.9 yrs
  • 29. Net Present Value Find the present values of Cash Outflows and Cash Inflows and sum them up. If NPV is positive the project is worth taking on. N CF1 CFN CFt NPV CF0 1 ...... (1 k ) (1 k ) 2 t 0 (1 k ) t Theoretically the best method n CFt NPV t CF0 . t 1 1 k
  • 30. Notice that NPV of the project depends on the project’s cost of capital There is a cost of capital for which the NPV is zero (and negative if cost is higher)
  • 31. Net Present Value Rationale for NPV  NPV= PV inflows – Cost = Net gain in wealth.  For independent projects, accept project if NPV > 0.  For mutually exclusive projects, choose the one with the highest NPV are selected. This adds the most value to the firm.
  • 32. Problem Expected Net Cash Flow Year Project L Project S 0 (100) (100) 1 10 70 2 60 50 3 80 20 Discount rate : 10%
  • 33. Net Present Value Project L 0 1 2 3 10% -100.00 10 60 80 9.09 49.59 60.11 18.79 = NPVL
  • 34. Net Present Value Project S 0 1 2 3 10% -100.00 70 50 20 63.64 41.32 15.03 19.99 = NPVS
  • 35. Net Present Value  If Projects S and L are mutually exclusive, accept S because NPVS > NPVL .  If S & L are independent, accept both since both NPVs > 0.
  • 36. Advantages & Disadvantages Takes time value of money. Consider all the cash flows occurring over the life time. Consistent with the objective of maximizing the shareholder’s wealth Difficult to calculate and understand. Dependent on discount rates.
  • 37. Problem Suppose we are considering a capital investment that costs Rs. 276,400 and provides annual net cash flows of Rs. 83,000 for four years and $116,000 at the end of the fifth year. The firm’s required rate of return is 15%. 83,000 83,000 83,000 83,000 116,000 (276,400) 0 1 2 3 4 5 NPV = 18,235.71
  • 38. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) IRR is simply the rate of return that the firm earns on its capital budgeting projects. IRR is the rate of return that makes the PV of the cash flows equal to the initial outlay.
  • 39. Internal Rate of Return (IRR) n CFt NPV = - IO (1 + k) t t=1 n CFt IRR: t = IO (1 + IRR) t=1
  • 40. IRR (Continued) 1. Guess a rate. n CFt 2. Calculate: t 1 (1 IRR ) t 3. If the calculation = CF0 you guessed right If the calculation > CF0 try a higher rate If the calculation < CF0 try a lower rate L+ PVBL - I * (U – L) Accurate IRR = PVBL - PVBU
  • 41. Calculate the IRR in the following project- (10000) 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 0 1 2 3 4 At i= 10% PV = 1818.2+2479.3+3005.2+3415.1 = 10717.8 At i= 15% PV= 1739.1+2268.4+2630.1+2858.8 = 9496.4 Using interpolation- IRR = 10 + 10717.8- 10000 x (15-10) = 12.94% 10717.8 – 9496.4
  • 42. Calculating IRR 83,000 83,000 83,000 83,000 116,000 (276,400) 0 1 2 3 4 5 IRR = 17.63%
  • 43. Decision Rule: If IRR is greater than the cost of capital (also called the hurdle rate) accept the project. IRR is independent of cost of capital(k) Mutually Exclusive Projects  Accept the project with the highest IRR, assuming IRR > k.
  • 44. Advantages & Disadvantages Takes time value of money. Consider all the cash flows occurring over the life time. Easier to understand. Consistent with the objective of maximizing the shareholder’s wealth Difficult to calculate
  • 45. Problem Expected Net Cash Flow Year Project L Project S 0 (100) (100) 1 10 70 2 60 50 3 80 20 Discount rate : 10%. Find IRR
  • 46. Project L 0 1 2 3 IRR = ? -100.00 10 60 80 PV1 PV2 PV3 0 = NPV Enter CFs in CFLO, then press IRR: IRRL = 18.13% IRRL = 18.13%.
  • 47. Project S 0 1 2 3 IRR = ? -100.00 70 50 20 PV1 PV2 PV3 0 = NPV Enter CFs in CFLO, then press IRR: IRRL = 23.56% IRRS = 23.56%.
  • 48. Problem Expected Net Cash Flow Year Project L Project S 0 (100) (100) 1 10 70 2 60 50 3 80 20 Discount rate : 10%. Draw NPV Profiles
  • 49. NPV versus IRR NPV k NPV L NPV S 60 0 50 40 50 5 33 29 40 L Crossover 10 19 20 Point = 8.7% 15 7 12 30 (4) 5 20 S 20 S 10 IRR S = 23.6% L 0 Discount Rate (%) 0 5 10 15 20 23.6 -10 IRR L = 18.1%
  • 50. NPV versus IRR Independent Projects  NPV and IRR will always result in the same accept/reject decision
  • 51. NPV versus IRR Mutually Exclusive Projects having substantially different outlays Cash Flows IRR% NPV 0 1 k= 12% P Rs(10000) 20000 Q Rs(50000) 75000
  • 52. NPV versus IRR 1. Mutually Exclusive Projects having substantially different outlays Cash Flows IRR% NPV 0 1 k= 12% P Rs(10000) 20000 100 7857 Q Rs(50000) 75000 50 16964 •Both are acceptable, but Q contributes more to the wealth •IRR unsuitable for ranking projects of different scales
  • 53. Drawbacks of IRR + +) 2. If there are multiple sign changes in the cash flow stream, we could get multiple IRRs. + + - + +) 1 2 3 (500) 200 100 (200) 400 300 0 1 2 3 4 5 We could find 3 different IRRs
  • 54. Multiple IRRs 0 1 2 k = 10% -800 5,000 -5,000  NPV = -386.78  IRR = ERROR. Why?
  • 55. Multiple IRRs NPV NPV Profile IRR2 = 400% 450 0 k 100 400 IRR1 = 25% -800
  • 56. Multiple IRRs 0 1 2 k = 10% -800 5,000 -5,000 Logic of Multiple IRRs  At very low discount rates, the PV of CF2 is large & negative, so NPV < 0.  At very high discount rates, the PV of both CF1 and CF2 are low, so CF0 dominates and again NPV < 0.  In between, the discount rate hits CF2 harder than CF1, so NPV > 0.  Result: 2 IRRs.
  • 57. NPV versus IRR 3. IRR cannot distinguish between lending and borrowing. Cash Flows 0 1 A Rs.(400) 600 B Rs. 400 (700) IRR : A = 50% B = 75% NPV: A = +VE B = -VE
  • 58. A company is considering the purchase of a delivery van and is evaluating the following two choices: (a) The company can buy a used van for Rs 20,000, after 4 years sell the same for Rs 2,500 and replace it with another used van which is expected to cost Rs 30,000 and last 6 years with no terminating value. (b) The company can buy a new van for Rs 40,000. the projected life of the van is 10 years and has an expected salvage value of Rs 5,000 at the end of ten years. The services provided by the vans under both choices are the same. Assuming the cost of capital 10 percent, which choice is preferable?