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集団分極化現象と米国市民による政策投票の実
   験から学ぶリスクコミュニケーションの方法
     Forest Governance in Banyumas:
Preliminary Report of Social Capital Analysis


         Tatsuro Sakano & Farhan Helmy
         Department of Social Engineering
          Tokyo Institute of Technology


               December 4, 2006
Positive Effects of Social Capital: Some Evidences(1)




               Excerpted from Uslaner(2003)
Positive Effects of Social Capital: Some Evidences(2)




               Excerpted from Uslaner(2003)
Three generations of developmental strategy

►   1st 50s-60s Material Base (Physical Capital)
    modernization by external infusion of sufficient capitals and
    technology under the guidance of western experts.
     →does not create next cycle of production

►   2nd 70s-90s People Centered (Human Capital)
    Self-reliant, human development, empowerment
     “build people’s capacity to solve their problems”
     →created foreign educated, PhD holders, but poverty
    remained

►   3rd 2000s- Trust Base (Social Capital)
Definition of CPSETs

 “Common Property Socio Eco Tech system” is a system which has
   the following properties


     behaviors                               benefit
     input              commons              output

     •Indivisibility, mutual dependence of one’s benefits on others
     •Free ride-ability (defection is dominant strategy)
     •System collapsibility (if all take D then outcome is Parete ineff.

 rational individual choice → socially irrational outcome

      •CPR Problem by G.Hardin (negtive externality)
      •Public goods problem by M.Olsen (positive externality)
Public Goods Problem & Local Governance

 ► Market
    indivisible、free ride(social dilemma)
      ⇒necessity of collective action
 ► State
    high monitoring cost, exploitation,rent-seeking
    inflexibility to local commons
      ⇒necessity of the third approach
 ► Local governance (Local Property Regime)
   self-enforced collective choice mechanism
      ⇒transaction coast <CC-DD
      ⇒matter of social invention, diversity
      ⇒social capital (trust & network of civic engagement)
                                                              6
Definition of Social Capital

►   Alexis De Tocqueville
    “Propensity for individuals to join together to address
    mutual needs and pursue common interests.”
       community spirit, civic engagement,
       a sense of belongingness
       a sense of individual stewardship for common good

►    Coleman(1988) Putman(1993) : A Functional View
    “relationship, which facilitates solving collective action
     dilemmas by lowering transfer cost of right to control one’s
     action”
        norms of reciprocity     generalized collective action
        civic engagement             trust
Banyumas Survey: sampled villages


downstream(5)



     middle(9)



 upstream(20)


                 0   10   20   30   40   50   60   70



    Total Sample Size : 1005 households
Occupation by area



           upstream     middle   downstream   total

farmers      72.5        54.5       55.7      65.6

employed     12.8        24.8       29.5      18.2

others       14.8        20.7       14.8      16.2
Preliminary Findings: Focused Questions

   ►   Perception about deforestation
       Forest preservation
       Level of Deforestation
       Overexploitation in Upstream Areas
       Forest Management Responsibility


   ►   Social Structure for collective action
       Mutual Aid within community
       Cooperation inside/outside village
       Response to logging activity


   ►   Social Structure of Trust
forest preservation is important for your area?

     60

     50

     40

     30

     20

     10

      0
          disagree(4.7)   nutral(1.5)     agree         agree
                                        some(50.5)   strong(44.0)



              Mostly (94.5%) agrees
Level of deforestation
  40
  35
  30
  25
  20
  15
  10
   5
   0



                                        )
                           7)




                                                                      )
                                                      .9)
          )




                                        .4




                                                                     .5
         .6



                          .



                                        9



                                                     18
                       (9




                                                                      6
          3




                                     (1




                                                                   (1
       (3



                       m




                                                 ly(
                                   us




                                                                us
   er



                     le




                                               ht
                                  rio
    h



                   ob




                                                              io
 ot




                                                 g



                                                               r
                                se
               pr




                                             sli



                                                            se
              no



                              o
                         ts
                       no




No consensus on the seriousness of deforestation
Only 16% perceives deforestation is serious
over exploitation in upstream affect on downstream
                       region?

       60
       50
       40
       30
       20
       10
        0



                                             1)




                                                                 )
                              2)
                  .5)




                                                                .3
                                               .
                             5.




                                            48
               21




                                                                 6
                                                              (2
                         al(




                                          e(
            e(




                                                            ng
                         tr




                                         m
             e




                                                          ro
                        nu
          gr




                                       so




                                                      st
       sa




                                       e
      di




                                     re




                                                     e
                                                     re
                                   ag




                                                   ag


                 Considerable portion disagrees
Problem of deforestation

         water shortage    55.9

         land slide         0.7

         erosion            0.7

         flodding            0

         wikd pigs          9.2

         lainnya            4.6


Water shortage is the most common problem
responsibility to manage forest


 gov (national/district)      15.7

 gnv (village)                 2.3

 local coommunity             18.3

 gvn & LC                     37.9

 mandor                         17

 KPH                           0.4

 SFC & LC                      0.6


 Community is expected to take responsibility
Summary of Perception about Forest Preservation

►   Almost all agrees on the importance of forest to their area
►   However, awareness of deforestation is not high
►   There are some perception gaps on
         (1) seriousness of deforestation
         (2) the interdependency of up & down stream area
►   Water shortage is most distinctive damage
►   Community is expected to play primary role in responding
    to deforestation
most people in this village/neighborhood will help
                 you if you need


            disagree                   9.5

            nutral                    11.5


            agree some                62.3

            agree strong              15.2



          Mostly expect mutual help
community help (when unfortunate happen such as
land slide/flood, the community get together to help?


             very unlikely           0.4

             somewhat unlikely       0.9

             somewhat likely        13.1

             very likely            71.2



         Mostly expect mutual help in emergency
how likely will be criticized or sanctioned when not
         participate in community activity?


            very unlikely            2.1


            somewhat unlikely         11


            somewhat likely         22.5


            very likely             50.3



   Monitoring & control is effective in community
Work/interact with other groups with similar group in



  no                  18.5       no                 27.5


  occasionally        26.6       occasionally       22.2


  frequently          13.4       frequently          8.6


In the village & neighborhood     Outside the village &
                                  neighborhood

   Contact with outside the neighbor hood is less
if you find logging activity    what community will do if they
  what do you do ? Ask/inform to    find logging?


neighbourhood                25.1   check to the location        16.8

community leader             12.1   no action                    42.5

                                    get organized to meet
village gvt                  18.2                                19.5
                                       community leader

SFC                          21.7   inform to the police         13.4


police                        4.2

others                        6.1
Summary of Potentiality of Collective Action

►   Mutual aid within communities are perceived high for both
    of daily life necessity and in case of emergency
►   There are effective control and monitoring mechanism to
     suppress free riding (keep members contribution to
    community activities)
►   However, overall expectation to community to monitor
    illegal logging is not high (about 40%)
►   Among several actors, community/neighborhood is the
    highest to be reported about illegal logging
smaller         small           great           greater
 
                     extent          extent          extent          extent
own ethnic/tribe               1.7             5.6            10.8             82
other ethnic/tribe              6             27.5            24.4             42
religious leader               0.5             2.1              7          90.3
shopkeeper                     1.1             7.7            12.8         75.7
local gvt                       2              8.4            14.8         74.5
police                         4.6            17.7             17          58.5
international NGO              5.2            15.3            29.9         30.7
national NGO                   3.4            13.8            27.6         37.8
RPH                            4.4            14.6            20.7         58.5
KPH                            3.8            14.2            23.2         56.8
community leader               0.7             2.5              7          89.5
researcher                     1.3             5.7            11.8         80.7
stranger                   13.1                31             26.7             23
military                       3.1             7.5            13.6         69.3
advice & expertise



from whithin the members            32.3

other sources in the community      11.1

sources outside the community       10.6
Summary of Social Structure of Trust

►   There are three groups according to the level of trust
     (1)high trust group
        own ethnic/tribe, community leader
        religious leader
        researcher
     (2)low trust group
        stranger, NGO, other ethnic group
     (3)middle trust group
        local government, military
        police, RPH, KPH
►   The basis of social trust resides in community
►   The further from the community, the less trust
►   The government agency lie in the middle
Tentative conclusion and further analysis

► The nature of CPSETs defines collective action problem:
  size/spatial, stakeholders, difficulty of collective action
► Sharing perception about interdependency is the necessary
  condition for collective action
► There are goods points and bad points
 (1) perception gap about inter dependency and
  seriousness
 (2) variation is high among community by community
 (3) necessity to explain this variation
     dependency on forest → awareness
     where they live, occupation difference
Tentative conclusion and further analysis

►   The structure of social trust shows:
     (1) The basis of social trust resides in community
     (2) The further from the community, the less trust
            → difficulty for inter community level cooperation
            → necessity of third trustful party
     (3) The government agency lie in the middle
         NGO s trust is low
            → local researcher/institution might be the key?
     (4) Good governance at community level is the basis for
         inter-community level cooperation not a barrier.
►   Participatory mapping is considered to be good start

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Preliminary Result Of Social Capital

  • 1. 集団分極化現象と米国市民による政策投票の実 験から学ぶリスクコミュニケーションの方法 Forest Governance in Banyumas: Preliminary Report of Social Capital Analysis Tatsuro Sakano & Farhan Helmy Department of Social Engineering Tokyo Institute of Technology December 4, 2006
  • 2. Positive Effects of Social Capital: Some Evidences(1) Excerpted from Uslaner(2003)
  • 3. Positive Effects of Social Capital: Some Evidences(2) Excerpted from Uslaner(2003)
  • 4. Three generations of developmental strategy ► 1st 50s-60s Material Base (Physical Capital) modernization by external infusion of sufficient capitals and technology under the guidance of western experts. →does not create next cycle of production ► 2nd 70s-90s People Centered (Human Capital) Self-reliant, human development, empowerment “build people’s capacity to solve their problems” →created foreign educated, PhD holders, but poverty remained ► 3rd 2000s- Trust Base (Social Capital)
  • 5. Definition of CPSETs  “Common Property Socio Eco Tech system” is a system which has the following properties behaviors benefit input commons output •Indivisibility, mutual dependence of one’s benefits on others •Free ride-ability (defection is dominant strategy) •System collapsibility (if all take D then outcome is Parete ineff.  rational individual choice → socially irrational outcome •CPR Problem by G.Hardin (negtive externality) •Public goods problem by M.Olsen (positive externality)
  • 6. Public Goods Problem & Local Governance ► Market    indivisible、free ride(social dilemma)      ⇒necessity of collective action ► State    high monitoring cost, exploitation,rent-seeking    inflexibility to local commons      ⇒necessity of the third approach ► Local governance (Local Property Regime)   self-enforced collective choice mechanism      ⇒transaction coast <CC-DD      ⇒matter of social invention, diversity      ⇒social capital (trust & network of civic engagement) 6
  • 7. Definition of Social Capital ► Alexis De Tocqueville “Propensity for individuals to join together to address mutual needs and pursue common interests.” community spirit, civic engagement, a sense of belongingness a sense of individual stewardship for common good ► Coleman(1988) Putman(1993) : A Functional View “relationship, which facilitates solving collective action dilemmas by lowering transfer cost of right to control one’s action” norms of reciprocity generalized collective action civic engagement trust
  • 8. Banyumas Survey: sampled villages downstream(5) middle(9) upstream(20) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Total Sample Size : 1005 households
  • 9.
  • 10. Occupation by area   upstream middle downstream total farmers 72.5 54.5 55.7 65.6 employed 12.8 24.8 29.5 18.2 others 14.8 20.7 14.8 16.2
  • 11. Preliminary Findings: Focused Questions ► Perception about deforestation Forest preservation Level of Deforestation Overexploitation in Upstream Areas Forest Management Responsibility ► Social Structure for collective action Mutual Aid within community Cooperation inside/outside village Response to logging activity ► Social Structure of Trust
  • 12. forest preservation is important for your area? 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 disagree(4.7) nutral(1.5) agree agree some(50.5) strong(44.0) Mostly (94.5%) agrees
  • 13. Level of deforestation 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 ) 7) ) .9) ) .4 .5 .6 . 9 18 (9 6 3 (1 (1 (3 m ly( us us er le ht rio h ob io ot g r se pr sli se no o ts no No consensus on the seriousness of deforestation Only 16% perceives deforestation is serious
  • 14. over exploitation in upstream affect on downstream region? 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1) ) 2) .5) .3 . 5. 48 21 6 (2 al( e( e( ng tr m e ro nu gr so st sa e di re e re ag ag Considerable portion disagrees
  • 15. Problem of deforestation water shortage 55.9 land slide 0.7 erosion 0.7 flodding 0 wikd pigs 9.2 lainnya 4.6 Water shortage is the most common problem
  • 16. responsibility to manage forest gov (national/district) 15.7 gnv (village) 2.3 local coommunity 18.3 gvn & LC 37.9 mandor 17 KPH 0.4 SFC & LC 0.6 Community is expected to take responsibility
  • 17. Summary of Perception about Forest Preservation ► Almost all agrees on the importance of forest to their area ► However, awareness of deforestation is not high ► There are some perception gaps on (1) seriousness of deforestation (2) the interdependency of up & down stream area ► Water shortage is most distinctive damage ► Community is expected to play primary role in responding to deforestation
  • 18. most people in this village/neighborhood will help you if you need disagree 9.5 nutral 11.5 agree some 62.3 agree strong 15.2 Mostly expect mutual help
  • 19. community help (when unfortunate happen such as land slide/flood, the community get together to help? very unlikely 0.4 somewhat unlikely 0.9 somewhat likely 13.1 very likely 71.2 Mostly expect mutual help in emergency
  • 20. how likely will be criticized or sanctioned when not participate in community activity? very unlikely 2.1 somewhat unlikely 11 somewhat likely 22.5 very likely 50.3 Monitoring & control is effective in community
  • 21. Work/interact with other groups with similar group in no 18.5 no 27.5 occasionally 26.6 occasionally 22.2 frequently 13.4 frequently 8.6 In the village & neighborhood Outside the village & neighborhood Contact with outside the neighbor hood is less
  • 22. if you find logging activity what community will do if they what do you do ? Ask/inform to find logging? neighbourhood 25.1 check to the location 16.8 community leader 12.1 no action 42.5 get organized to meet village gvt 18.2 19.5 community leader SFC 21.7 inform to the police 13.4 police 4.2 others 6.1
  • 23. Summary of Potentiality of Collective Action ► Mutual aid within communities are perceived high for both of daily life necessity and in case of emergency ► There are effective control and monitoring mechanism to suppress free riding (keep members contribution to community activities) ► However, overall expectation to community to monitor illegal logging is not high (about 40%) ► Among several actors, community/neighborhood is the highest to be reported about illegal logging
  • 24. smaller small great greater   extent extent extent extent own ethnic/tribe 1.7 5.6 10.8 82 other ethnic/tribe 6 27.5 24.4 42 religious leader 0.5 2.1 7 90.3 shopkeeper 1.1 7.7 12.8 75.7 local gvt 2 8.4 14.8 74.5 police 4.6 17.7 17 58.5 international NGO 5.2 15.3 29.9 30.7 national NGO 3.4 13.8 27.6 37.8 RPH 4.4 14.6 20.7 58.5 KPH 3.8 14.2 23.2 56.8 community leader 0.7 2.5 7 89.5 researcher 1.3 5.7 11.8 80.7 stranger 13.1 31 26.7 23 military 3.1 7.5 13.6 69.3
  • 25. advice & expertise from whithin the members 32.3 other sources in the community 11.1 sources outside the community 10.6
  • 26. Summary of Social Structure of Trust ► There are three groups according to the level of trust (1)high trust group own ethnic/tribe, community leader religious leader researcher (2)low trust group stranger, NGO, other ethnic group (3)middle trust group local government, military police, RPH, KPH ► The basis of social trust resides in community ► The further from the community, the less trust ► The government agency lie in the middle
  • 27. Tentative conclusion and further analysis ► The nature of CPSETs defines collective action problem: size/spatial, stakeholders, difficulty of collective action ► Sharing perception about interdependency is the necessary condition for collective action ► There are goods points and bad points (1) perception gap about inter dependency and seriousness (2) variation is high among community by community (3) necessity to explain this variation dependency on forest → awareness where they live, occupation difference
  • 28. Tentative conclusion and further analysis ► The structure of social trust shows: (1) The basis of social trust resides in community (2) The further from the community, the less trust → difficulty for inter community level cooperation → necessity of third trustful party (3) The government agency lie in the middle NGO s trust is low → local researcher/institution might be the key? (4) Good governance at community level is the basis for inter-community level cooperation not a barrier. ► Participatory mapping is considered to be good start