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Ana Maria Oviedo
Human Development, Latin America and the Caribbean
The World Bank
Did you know that…
It is estimated that in
the U.S. today’s
students will have 10
to 14 jobs…
By age 38…
Today, 1 in 4 workers
have been with their
employer for less
than one year…
Over 1/2 have been
with their employer
for less than 5
years….
The top 10 jobs that
will be in demand in
2020 do not exist
yet…
How can we prepare
students for jobs that
don’t yet exist?
Using technologies
that haven’t been
invented?
To solve problems
that we know nothing
about?
We live in exponential
times…
Did you know?
There are over 88
billion searches made
in Google each
month….
More than 1.8 zettabytes
(1.8 trillion gigabytes) of
information were created
and stored in 2011 (enough
to fill 57.5 billion 32GB
Apple iPads) …
The amount of
information is
doubling every 2
years….
For students
starting a technical
or college degree
this means that…
Half of what they
learn in their first
year will be
rd
outdated by their 3
year…
What does it all
mean?
We live in a fast-changing
world, how well are we
preparing our young
people to face it?
Caribbean countries have
made impressive progress in
providing education to their
people…
10

Education trends
9
9
9

8

8

6

6

0

2

4

4

1960

1970

1980

Barbados
Dominican Rep.
Haiti
Trinidad and Tobago

Source: Barro and Lee (2010)

1990

2000
Belize
Guyana
Jamaica

2010
Today young people have close to
complete secondary school in most
of the Caribbean …
Schooling of youth 15-24
12

50

10

40
Percentage

60

8

30

6

20

4

10

2

0

0

Dominican Rep.

Barbados

Haiti

Secondary complete (%)

Source: Barro and Lee (2010)

Belize

Trinidad and
Tobago

Tertiary (%)

Guyana

Avg. yrs. (r. axis)

Jamaica
But…is the system working?
The majority of youth have low
academic performance

Source: CXC (2012)
Pass rates, CSEC, 2008
English A

70%
0.62
60%

0.48

Pass rate

50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%

0.60

0.39

Math

0.63
0.59

0.45

0.49
0.47

0.48
0.40

0.47
0.44

0.46

0.45
0.41

0.44
0.34

0.44

0.37

0.35
0.33

0.31
0.28
Do students make the best
choices?

V.S.
Do they have the skills they
need?
 Secondary education is academically




oriented
Many secondary graduates do not master
basic skills
Few labor market-oriented courses
Little career counseling
Little help to transition to work
Is the education system in a
bubble?
IS EDUCATION PAYING OFF
IN THE CARIBBEAN?
Most workers are still employed
in traditional sectors
DR, Jamaica, St. Lucia

Agriculture
15%

Other services (incl.
Education, Real estate)
25%

Public administration
5%

Wholesale & retail
22%

Construction &
utilities
7%

Hotels & restaurants
6%

Manufacturing
10%

Transport, storage &
communications
7%

Mining
1%

Financial & insurance
services
2%
More education brings better
pay, but few opportunities

Distribution

St. Lucia monthly income (ECD)

St. Lucia occupations

50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%

100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
<200

[201 399]

[400 799]

[800 1,199]

[1,200 - [2,000 - [4,000 - > 6,000
1,999] 3,999] 5,999]

Primary or less Secondary incl.
incomplete

More than
secondary

Public employee

Private Employee

Primary or less

Secondary incl. incomplete

Apprentice

Self-employed

More than secondary

Total

Unpaid Family Worker

Total

Other

For many educated workers there are few options
outside the public sector and education…
Source: World Development Indicators (2012)

om
R

.L

St
uc
ia

ep
ub
lic
Ja
m
ai
ca
D
om
in
ic
a
G
uy
an
a
G
re
na
da
Su
ri n
am
e

in
ic
an

An
tig
Be
ua
liz
an
e
Tr
d
in
Ba
id
La
rb
ad
tin
ud
an
a
Am
d
er
To
ic
ba
Tu
a
go
&
rk
s
C
an
ar
ib
d
be
C
ai
an
co
s
St
Is
.K
la
nd
itt
s
s
an
d
N
ev
is

D

0

5

10

15

20

And workers still face high
unemployment…
Unemployment rates, Caribbean & LAC
Especially youth…
St. Lucia

Jamaica
60

60%

50

50%

40
Percent

70%

40%
30%

30
20

20%

10

10%
0
0%
15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 Total

Primary or less

Secondary

More than secondary

14 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 and TOTAL
over

Total

Male

Female
Do their job opportunities
match their aspirations?
 High reservation wages

and career goals
 Migration prospects
 Family/social support
system might delay
independence
 Too few jobs!
What skills do employers
value?
Honesty/integrity

86%

Work ethic

86%

Problem solving / efficiency

82%

Communication skills

79%

The ability to work well on teams

77%

Taking individual responsibility

68%

Dependability

47%

Computer skills

45%
0%

Source: CKLN (2005)

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%
Do firms invest in them?
Percentage of firms that offer training
60%

50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Small

Medium
Caribbean
Rest LAC

Source: Enterprise Surveys (2010)

Large
So…what do we need to ask?
 How do we build comprehensive skills at all
levels of schooling?
 How do we make sure children are not “left
behind”?
 How do we give more value (social and

economic) to technical skills/professions?
 How do we take advantage of the global
economy (also a global labor market)?
 [Migration vs. brain drain]

 How do we create more jobs domestically?
Ana maria oviedo skills for the future in the caribbean

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Ana maria oviedo skills for the future in the caribbean

  • 1. Ana Maria Oviedo Human Development, Latin America and the Caribbean The World Bank
  • 2. Did you know that…
  • 3. It is estimated that in the U.S. today’s students will have 10 to 14 jobs…
  • 5. Today, 1 in 4 workers have been with their employer for less than one year…
  • 6. Over 1/2 have been with their employer for less than 5 years….
  • 7. The top 10 jobs that will be in demand in 2020 do not exist yet…
  • 8. How can we prepare students for jobs that don’t yet exist?
  • 10. To solve problems that we know nothing about?
  • 11. We live in exponential times…
  • 13. There are over 88 billion searches made in Google each month….
  • 14. More than 1.8 zettabytes (1.8 trillion gigabytes) of information were created and stored in 2011 (enough to fill 57.5 billion 32GB Apple iPads) …
  • 15. The amount of information is doubling every 2 years….
  • 16. For students starting a technical or college degree this means that…
  • 17. Half of what they learn in their first year will be rd outdated by their 3 year…
  • 18. What does it all mean?
  • 19. We live in a fast-changing world, how well are we preparing our young people to face it?
  • 20. Caribbean countries have made impressive progress in providing education to their people…
  • 21. 10 Education trends 9 9 9 8 8 6 6 0 2 4 4 1960 1970 1980 Barbados Dominican Rep. Haiti Trinidad and Tobago Source: Barro and Lee (2010) 1990 2000 Belize Guyana Jamaica 2010
  • 22. Today young people have close to complete secondary school in most of the Caribbean … Schooling of youth 15-24 12 50 10 40 Percentage 60 8 30 6 20 4 10 2 0 0 Dominican Rep. Barbados Haiti Secondary complete (%) Source: Barro and Lee (2010) Belize Trinidad and Tobago Tertiary (%) Guyana Avg. yrs. (r. axis) Jamaica
  • 24.
  • 25. The majority of youth have low academic performance Source: CXC (2012)
  • 26. Pass rates, CSEC, 2008 English A 70% 0.62 60% 0.48 Pass rate 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0.60 0.39 Math 0.63 0.59 0.45 0.49 0.47 0.48 0.40 0.47 0.44 0.46 0.45 0.41 0.44 0.34 0.44 0.37 0.35 0.33 0.31 0.28
  • 27. Do students make the best choices? V.S.
  • 28. Do they have the skills they need?  Secondary education is academically    oriented Many secondary graduates do not master basic skills Few labor market-oriented courses Little career counseling Little help to transition to work
  • 29. Is the education system in a bubble?
  • 30. IS EDUCATION PAYING OFF IN THE CARIBBEAN?
  • 31. Most workers are still employed in traditional sectors DR, Jamaica, St. Lucia Agriculture 15% Other services (incl. Education, Real estate) 25% Public administration 5% Wholesale & retail 22% Construction & utilities 7% Hotels & restaurants 6% Manufacturing 10% Transport, storage & communications 7% Mining 1% Financial & insurance services 2%
  • 32. More education brings better pay, but few opportunities Distribution St. Lucia monthly income (ECD) St. Lucia occupations 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% <200 [201 399] [400 799] [800 1,199] [1,200 - [2,000 - [4,000 - > 6,000 1,999] 3,999] 5,999] Primary or less Secondary incl. incomplete More than secondary Public employee Private Employee Primary or less Secondary incl. incomplete Apprentice Self-employed More than secondary Total Unpaid Family Worker Total Other For many educated workers there are few options outside the public sector and education…
  • 33. Source: World Development Indicators (2012) om R .L St uc ia ep ub lic Ja m ai ca D om in ic a G uy an a G re na da Su ri n am e in ic an An tig Be ua liz an e Tr d in Ba id La rb ad tin ud an a Am d er To ic ba Tu a go & rk s C an ar ib d be C ai an co s St Is .K la nd itt s s an d N ev is D 0 5 10 15 20 And workers still face high unemployment… Unemployment rates, Caribbean & LAC
  • 34. Especially youth… St. Lucia Jamaica 60 60% 50 50% 40 Percent 70% 40% 30% 30 20 20% 10 10% 0 0% 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 Total Primary or less Secondary More than secondary 14 - 19 20 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 55 - 64 65 and TOTAL over Total Male Female
  • 35. Do their job opportunities match their aspirations?  High reservation wages and career goals  Migration prospects  Family/social support system might delay independence  Too few jobs!
  • 36. What skills do employers value? Honesty/integrity 86% Work ethic 86% Problem solving / efficiency 82% Communication skills 79% The ability to work well on teams 77% Taking individual responsibility 68% Dependability 47% Computer skills 45% 0% Source: CKLN (2005) 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
  • 37. Do firms invest in them? Percentage of firms that offer training 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Small Medium Caribbean Rest LAC Source: Enterprise Surveys (2010) Large
  • 38. So…what do we need to ask?  How do we build comprehensive skills at all levels of schooling?  How do we make sure children are not “left behind”?  How do we give more value (social and economic) to technical skills/professions?  How do we take advantage of the global economy (also a global labor market)?  [Migration vs. brain drain]  How do we create more jobs domestically?

Notas del editor

  1. Historically, the expansion of primary education to the population in the Caribbean Look up % with complete secondary.
  2. At least 60% of secondary graduates enter the labor market, with no technical skills and little generic (num &amp; lit) skills – low relevance of secondary ed for the labor market.People value internships but they are not mandatory and there are too few of them. Education institutions are disconnected from employers
  3. 66% are firms with less than 20 employeesReasons for little trainingLack of emphasis and systemic approachPoaching and small size of firmsLow recognition and value of trainingIncipient market for private training
  4. Some things are happening already…HFLE, etc.Children are being left behind by trackingTechnical professions need to have more value, there is a shortage of skilled technicians