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THE CLOUD:
Boosters, Critics, Winners ... and Losers
Presentation to
The friends of COBWEB
by
@JamesWoudhuysen
February 2015
George Favaloro: he coined ‘Cloud
Computing’, at Compaq in 1996
Eric Schmidt’s New Digital Age!
INTERNET: ‘an online world that is not truly bound by
terrestrial laws… a lawless space, ungoverned and
ungovernable by design…
CLOUD: ‘only reinforces the permanence of information,
adding another layer of remote protection for users and
their information...
In post-conflict situations, ‘Truth- and-reconciliation
committees will feature a trove of digital records
In Libya, ‘many of the militia fighters were integrated
into the newly created army...’
Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen, The New Digital Age, 2013
Cloudfinder general, USA: Gene L Dodaro
CLOUD COMPUTING
Additional
Opportunities and
Savings Need to Be
Pursued
September 2014
GAO-14-753
United States Government Accountability Office
Report to Congressional Requesters
Boosters: the cloud is...
• Something that just brings magic with it
• Seamless
•The solution to everything
•An irrevocable trend and one You Must Obey
Critics
‘It’s going to be horrendous’ – the Woz
‘With the cloud, you don’t own anything. You already
signed it away...
‘I want to feel that I own things. A lot of people feel,
“Oh, everything is really on my computer”‚ but the
more we transfer everything onto the web, onto the
cloud, the less we’re going to have control over
it...’
Steve Wozniak,Washington,August 2012
‘Your hard drive brims with capacity’ – Cory
Doctorow
‘It costs nothing to use (after you’ve paid for it
once, and leaving aside the electrical bill). It is
vastly faster than any wide-area network link.
Contrast with wireless bandwidth: there’s only
one RF spectrum, and you have to share it with
everyone within range of your device.
‘Increasing your demands on the wireless
spectrum comes at the expense of my use of
that same spectrum.’
Cory Doctorow, February 2013
Giacomo Balla, Numbers in Love, 1920
Just a little hyperbole from Marc
‘Our greatest challenge is making
sense of that data. And we need a new
generation of tools to be able to
organise and view the data...
‘We don’t need more cloud.We don’t
need more mobile.We don’t need more
social. We need more data science.’
Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff,
Fortune, 22 January 2015
Critics vs the Cloud
Who controls your data?
Cost and speed vs local
alternatives
Data interpretation and visualisation
Winners
Agility: sense + respond in real-time
It makes sense
to share
Author:
James Woudhuysen
Professor of Forecasting and Innovation
De Montfort University
October 2005
Author
James Woudhuysen
Professor of Forecasting and Innovation
De Montfort University
Spring 2012
Back on track
Supporting the development
of a 21st century rail network
A means of making yourself different
Winners
Firms that use the Cloud to be
•Agile
•A platform for the added value of human
brains and insight
A platform for differentiation
Losers
All those who fail to make a
balanced assessment of the
Cloud’s merits – and of what it
can’t do
One thing they’ll never automate
Thank you!
@JamesWoudhuysen
www.Woudhuysen.com

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James Woudhuysen, Futurologist - The cloud - boosters, critics, winners and losers

  • 1. THE CLOUD: Boosters, Critics, Winners ... and Losers Presentation to The friends of COBWEB by @JamesWoudhuysen February 2015
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  • 4. George Favaloro: he coined ‘Cloud Computing’, at Compaq in 1996
  • 5. Eric Schmidt’s New Digital Age! INTERNET: ‘an online world that is not truly bound by terrestrial laws… a lawless space, ungoverned and ungovernable by design… CLOUD: ‘only reinforces the permanence of information, adding another layer of remote protection for users and their information... In post-conflict situations, ‘Truth- and-reconciliation committees will feature a trove of digital records In Libya, ‘many of the militia fighters were integrated into the newly created army...’ Eric Schmidt and Jared Cohen, The New Digital Age, 2013
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  • 10. CLOUD COMPUTING Additional Opportunities and Savings Need to Be Pursued September 2014 GAO-14-753 United States Government Accountability Office Report to Congressional Requesters
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  • 12. Boosters: the cloud is... • Something that just brings magic with it • Seamless •The solution to everything •An irrevocable trend and one You Must Obey
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  • 17. ‘It’s going to be horrendous’ – the Woz ‘With the cloud, you don’t own anything. You already signed it away... ‘I want to feel that I own things. A lot of people feel, “Oh, everything is really on my computer”‚ but the more we transfer everything onto the web, onto the cloud, the less we’re going to have control over it...’ Steve Wozniak,Washington,August 2012
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  • 19. ‘Your hard drive brims with capacity’ – Cory Doctorow ‘It costs nothing to use (after you’ve paid for it once, and leaving aside the electrical bill). It is vastly faster than any wide-area network link. Contrast with wireless bandwidth: there’s only one RF spectrum, and you have to share it with everyone within range of your device. ‘Increasing your demands on the wireless spectrum comes at the expense of my use of that same spectrum.’ Cory Doctorow, February 2013
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  • 21. Giacomo Balla, Numbers in Love, 1920
  • 22. Just a little hyperbole from Marc ‘Our greatest challenge is making sense of that data. And we need a new generation of tools to be able to organise and view the data... ‘We don’t need more cloud.We don’t need more mobile.We don’t need more social. We need more data science.’ Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff, Fortune, 22 January 2015
  • 23. Critics vs the Cloud Who controls your data? Cost and speed vs local alternatives Data interpretation and visualisation
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  • 26. Agility: sense + respond in real-time
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  • 30. It makes sense to share Author: James Woudhuysen Professor of Forecasting and Innovation De Montfort University October 2005
  • 31. Author James Woudhuysen Professor of Forecasting and Innovation De Montfort University Spring 2012 Back on track Supporting the development of a 21st century rail network
  • 32. A means of making yourself different
  • 33. Winners Firms that use the Cloud to be •Agile •A platform for the added value of human brains and insight A platform for differentiation
  • 34. Losers All those who fail to make a balanced assessment of the Cloud’s merits – and of what it can’t do
  • 35. One thing they’ll never automate
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