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Q2 2012 | RETAIL




GREATER COLUMBUS REGION

RETAIL TRENDS REPORT




                                                                     Methodical Growth
                                                                     COLUMBUS REGION OVERVIEW
                                                                     The Columbus retail market returned to positive growth with 110,000 square feet adding to the recent
                                                                     trend that eight of the last nine quarters that have seen positive absorption. The largest leases were
                                                                     Habitat For Humanity leasing 25,000 square feet at 166 Wilson Road in the Southwest submarket,
                                                                     and TJ Maxx leasing 25,000 at 911 Central Parkway in Licking County.

MARKET INDICATORS                                                    FORECASTS AND REFLECTIONS
                                                                     •	 The     only investment sale was The Shops at                                    Secur-it Personal Storage building downtown,
                                              Q2                Q3
                                                                           Avery Place in Dublin, which sold for $5                                      which will become a 70-unit apartment, and
                                              2012          2012*
                                                                           million.                                                                      the Fireproof Building in the Short North
                                                                     •	 Multifamily    construction is booming in the                                    which will house 58 units when completed.
                    VACANCY
                                                                           CBD and nearby portions of other submarkets.                                  These residential moves will certainly increase
    NET ABSORPTION                                                         The former Wonder Bread Factory is being                                      the need for retail in the CBD.
                                                                           converted into 56 apartments. The Aston                                     •	 Construction   at Cabela’s, a large outdoor
          CONSTRUCTION                                          —
                                                                           Place apartment complex at the corner of                                      retailer, is currently underway with an
           RENTAL RATES                       —                 —          West Third and Dennison Avenues began a                                       80,000-square-foot store that will employ 175
                                                                           59-unit project, and Kaufman Development                                      full- and part-time employees. It is expected to
          *Projected change to following quarter
                                                                           LLC will begin a five-story, 174-apartment                                    be completed by end of the year. Construction
                                                                           project on Goodale Street along the Olentangy                                 of the space comes on the back of the The
                                                                           River. Also under development is the former                                   Great Indoors closing at Polaris.

                                                                                                                                                                                             RENTAL RATES
BIG BOX SURGE                                                        VACANCY RATE OVER COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTIONS                                                                           The average asking rental
Asking Rates
                                                                                                     1,200,000                                                        14.0%                  rates     for    centers
 $16.00
                                                                                                     1,000,000                                                                               decreased.     Anchored
                                                                                                                                                                      12.0%
                                                                      Completions and Absorptions




 $14.00                                                                                               800,000                                                                                strip and neighborhood
                                                                                                      600,000                                                         10.0%                  spaces were flat, while
 $12.00
                                                                                                                                                                                             big box space has
                                                                                                                                                                              Vacancy Rate




                                                                                                      400,000                                                         8.0%
 $10.00
                                                                                                      200,000
                                                                                                                                                                                             continued to show rates
                                                                                                                                                                      6.0%                   increasing.
  $8.00                                                                                                     ‐
                                                                                                     (200,000)   Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2   4.0%
  $6.00                                                                                                          08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12
                                                                                                     (400,000)
                                                                                                                                                                      2.0%
  $4.00                                                                                              (600,000)
          Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
          08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12                                      (800,000)                                                        0.0%
              Anchored Strip   Neighborhood    Community   Big Box                                                    Completions     Absorption    Vacancy Rate




www.colliers.com/columbus
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


                                                                              CONSTRUCTION                                                   exactly happened to the market behind the
                Delaware County
                                                                              A 30,000-square-foot community center at                       absorption number. The Market Activity Volume
  Union
  County                                                                      4020-4060 Powell Road, called Liberty Crossing,                was more than 475,000 square feet. This is
                               North /                                        is no longer under construction. This Northwest                slightly below the average level of migration,
                                                   Licking
            Northwest
                               Northeast
                                                   County                     project was recently completed.                                meaning that retailers generally held steady
                                                                                                                                             with few closings.
                                                                              Menards is opening their second location in
Madison                 CBD
                                                                              Columbus next month at 6810 East Broad                         The typical tenants currently in the market are
County
                               Southeast                                      Street in the Northeast submarket. The big box                 restaurants by a significant percentage. Fast
           Southwest
                                                                              retail will be 180,000 square feet when                        food or fast casual restaurants are being
                                              Fairfield
                                              County
                                                                              completed. Menards recently purchased 40                       aggressive. Other types in the market include
             Pickaway County                                                  acres along U.S. 23 in Lewis Center for planned                discount oriented tenants, auto parts, frozen
                                                                              future development.                                            yogurt, and fitness concepts

The Columbus retail market includes 11
suburban submarkets and the Central
                                                                                                                                             Tenants are finding TI allowance to be the
                                                                              Waggenbrenner Development Inc.’s Commons at
Business District. A total inventory of 55                                                                                                   biggest hurdle. Landlords are seeing
                                                                              Clark Hall has broken ground on their 22,000
million square feet of space with only 1                                                                                                     concessions to tenants as the biggest hurdle,
million of that space in the CBD.                                             square foot mixed-use, retail space. Chipotle
                                                                                                                                             because the retail leasing environment is so
                                                                              Mexican Grill, Panera Bread, Rusty Bucket
                                                                                                                                             competitive. Class A opportunities are
                                                                              Restaurant and AT&T Mobile have all signed to
                                                                                                                                             especially competitive. Another challenge is the
                                                                              lease space when it opens in October 2012.
                                                                                                                                             gap in asking rates and rates sought for lease
                                                                                                                                             opportunities in Class B and C shopping
                                                                              MARKET ACTIVITY                                                centers. Landlords are having difficultly finding
                                                                              Market Activity Volume is the sum of the
                                                                                                                                             good credit tenants in Class B and C centers.
                                                                              absolute value of each absorption change in the
                                                                              market and it tells us a little more about what


  UPDATE       New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Rates

  SALES ACTIVITY

                                       SALES

  PROPERTY ADDRESS                     DATE                  SALE PRICE       SIZE SF      GRANTOR                 GRANTEE                       PRICE / SF         TYPE                    SUBMARKET
  1500 Gemini Place                    4/27/2012             $10,150,000      151,000      Polaris CW LLC          Costco Wholesle Corp          $67.22           Big Box                 Northeast
  3700 High Street                     6/28/2012             $2,800,000       145,000      BEF Management, Inc.    Electronic Classroom of       $19.31           Other                   Southeast

                                                                                                                   Tomorrow
  2682 Westerville Road                4/30/2012             $650,000         22,084       James & Rebecca         786 R & N LLC                 $29.43           Conv/Strip Center       Northeast

                                                                                           Oberland
  303 Front Street                     6/11/2012             1,800,000        21,400       North Bay Real Estate   303 S Front Street LLC        $84.11           Restaurant              Central
  1756 Brice Road                      5/14/2012             $350,000         18,660       Century City LP         Impala Capital LLC            $18.76           Conv/Strip Center       Southeast
  4000 Sullivant Avenue                4/2/2012              $1,065,000       15,000       Frazier Development     First Impressions Collision   $71.00           Automotive              Southwest
  6695-6755 Avery Muirfield            5/12/2012             5,000,000        13,801       Daimler Group           Pmdm-Avery LLC                -                Strip                   Northwest

  Drive




  LEASE ACTIVITY

  PROPERTY ADDRESS                         LEASE SF                 TOTAL SIZE          LESSEE                           ASKING PRICE                TYPE                       SUBMARKET
  166 Wilson Road                          25,440                   633,013             Habitat for Humanity             $4.00                       Power Center               Southwest
  911 Central Parkway                      25,000                   322,369             TJ Maxx                          $8.00                       Power Center               Licking
  300 Hamilton Road                        9,981                    176,610             Affordable Uniforms              $14.00                      Anchored Strip Center      Northeast
  3703 Broad Street                        9,818                    511,575             Royal Garden Buffet              $10.00                      Power Center               Southeast
  1131 Columbus Pike                       8,250                    73,654              Aaron Rents                      $10.00                      Community Center           North Delaware
  8603 Sancus Boulevard                    7,500                    60,274              Tilted Kilt                      $17.00                      Neighborhood Center        Northeast
  16 Main Street                           7,000                    7,000               Coffee shop                      $2,000.00                   Restaurant                 Central



P. 2      | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


UPDATE      Market Comparisons

RETAIL MARKET
                                                                                 Net Absorption                        Construction                       Asking Rental Rates
SUBMARKET                        Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter     Year-to-date   Current              Completions         Neighborhood      Power
CBD                              1,105,385    51,399      4.6         -                    1,200         -                    -                   $12.00            -
FAIRFIELD                        4,144,963    441,739     10.7        (12,156)             54,664        -                    -                   $15.59             $11.81
LICKING                          4,000,073    342,074     8.6         37,226               35,031        -                    -                   $13.00             $11.84
MADISON                          214,406      25,112      11.7        1,358                (15,827)      -                    -                   -                 -
NORTH DELAWARE                   2,235,958    148,236     6.6         7,450                (1,852)       30,000               -                   -                  $13.61
NORTHEAST                        16,320,781   1,032,369   6.3         75,667               64,890        202,789              -                   $14.05             $11.57
NORTHWEST                        13,258,413   1,124,233   8.5         (18,984)             (36,822)      120,000              -                   $12.65             $18.78
PICKAWAY                         741,829      7,737       1.0         (1,587)              (1,587)       -                    -                   $8.50              $14.00
SOUTHEAST                        10,054,743   1,667,264   16.6        (11,716)             (104,816)     -                    -                   $9.03              $11.71
SOUTHWEST                        7,050,411    1,627,044   23.1        33,017               9,641         -                    -                   $10.15             $7.63
UNION                            1,161,503    54,939      4.7         -                    (9,000)       -                    -                   -                  $16.00
TOTALS                           60,288,465   6,522,146   10.8        110,275              (4,478)       352,789              -                   $12.35             $12.03

                                                                                 Net Absorption                        Construction                       Asking Rental Rates
PROPERTY TYPE                    Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter     Year-to-date   Current              Completions         (NNN)
ANCHORED STRIP                   11,912,558   1,618,470   13.6        26,325               51,229        -                    -                   $11.22
BIG BOX                          7,645,635    984,367     12.9        -                    (15,241)      260,000              -                   $6.81
CONV/STRIP CENTER                4,115,704    609,503     14.8        5,043                (62,283)      -                    -                   $10.33
FREESTANDING                     3,534,319    305,630     8.6         14,523               31,828        22,789               -                   $11.76
REGIONAL CENTER                  4,106,470    366,875     8.9         1,430                2,313         -                    -                   $10.22
STRIP                            5,480,508    679,041     12.4        62,537               28,230        70,000               -                   $12.35
SUPER REGIONAL CENTER            15,687,684   1,197,990   7.6         417                  (8,434)       -                    -                   $12.03
URBAN RETAIL                     663,236      136,200     20.5        -                    -             -                    -                   -
COMMUNITY                        133,012      33,320      25.1        -                    (33,320)      -                    -                   $6.00
NEIGHBORHOOD                     6,489,090    590,750     9.1         -                    -             -                    -                   -
POWER                            520,249      -           0.0         -                    1,200         -                    -                   -
GRAND TOTAL                      60,288,465   6,522,146   10.8        110,275              (4,478)       352,789              -                   $11.10



QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS
                                                                                 Net Absorption                        Construction                       Asking Rental Rates
QUARTER, YEAR                    Total SF     Vacant SF   Vacancy %   Current Quarter Year-to-date       Current                  Completions     Neighborhood          Power
Q1, 2012                         60,288,465   6,632,421   11.0         (112,378)           (112,378)         280,000              -               $10.80                $11.07
Q4, 2011                         60,288,465   6,523,775   10.8         187,621             489,194           70,000               27,000          $11.66                $12.93
Q3, 2011                         60,261,465   6,671,088   11.1         38,783              298,933           27,000               158,302         $11.80                $12.45
Q2, 2011                         60,127,163   6,729,871   11.4         59,572              260,790           185,302              495,647         $12.88                $13.58




                                                                                                                                      MINIMUM WAGE

                                                                                                                                      The minimum wage increased across
                                                                                                                                      Ohio by $.30 to $7.70, effective
                                                                                                                                      January 1, 2012. The minimum wage
                                                                                                                                      for tipped employees will climb 15
                                                                                                                                      cents to $3.85 an hour. The rise is a
                                                                                                                                      part of a scheduled increase, tied to
                                                                                                                                      consumer prices.




                                                                                                                                            COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |             P. 3
RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION


CBD
The Central Business District (CBD) was flat in       FUNDAMENTALS
absorption, but activity is sure to increase in the   Three sources are helpful when gauging retail           522 offices in
coming quarters as more multi-family
construction projects begin and are completed.
                                                      consumer activity: the consumer confidence
                                                      index; a weekly poll conducted by Gallup; the
                                                                                                              62 countries on
Projects that were announced or began in June         Beige Book produced by the Federal Reserve              6 continents
and July 2012, total 409 new units near the           Bank semi-quarterly.
CBD.                                                                                                          United States: 147
                                                                                                              Canada: 37
                                                      The consumer confidence index is produced by
                                                                                                              Latin America: 19
NORTH                                                 The Conference Board and is a survey of how             Asia Pacific: 201
The north submarkets include Northwest,               confident consumers are in the current economic         EMEA: 118
Northeast, and North Delaware.                        conditions by their spending and saving habits.
                                                                                                             •	$1.8   billion in annual revenue
                                                      In June, the index was 62.0, decreasing 240
                                                                                                             •	1.25 billion square feet under
The Northwest submarket saw 18,000 square             basis points from 64.4 in May 2012. In January,
                                                                                                              management
feet of negative absorption from a large vacancy      the index was at 61.1. As a guide, the index was
                                                                                                             •	Over 12,300 professionals
by Bed, Bath and Beyond from 3610 Dublin              112.5 in July 2007, six months before beginning
Granville Road. The Easton Town Center co-            of the recession.
developers Steiner + Associates and The                                                                       GREATER COLUMBUS REGION
Georgetown Co. have announced that they will          Gallup’s consumer spending measure tracks the           Richard B. Schuen SIOR CCIM
be adding more than 50,000 square feet of new         average dollar amount Americans report                  CEO | Principal | Columbus
                                                                                                              Two Miranova Place
tenants this year and renovating more than            spending or charging on a daily basis, not
                                                                                                              Suite 900
150,000 square feet of existing space. Easton         counting the purchase of a home, motor vehicle,         Columbus, Ohio, 43215
will also see an expansion in parking space with      or normal household bills. Over the three month         TEL +1 614 410 5612
an increase of 600 spaces, which will be              period between April and June, the 14-day
completed in 2013.                                    rolling average rose slightly from $76 to $65
                                                      with a high of $77 June.                                Leslie Hobbs
                                                                                                              Director of Marketing Ohio
North-Delaware saw 7,500 square feet of
                                                                                                              Two Miranova Place
positive absorption with Aaron Rents and Hertz        The Cleveland Federal Reserve reports on                Suite 900
Rent A Car combining for more than 8,000              consumer spending twice a quarter in the Beige          Columbus, Ohio, 43215
square feet of absorption at 1131 Columbus Pike.      Book. The data for these reports comes from             TEL +1 614 410 5640
                                                      qualitative surveys of retailers in the fourth
The Northeast submarket saw more than 75,000          district, which includes Columbus. In June,
square feet of positive absorption. Leases at 300     retailers reported that sales held steady on a          Jonathan Schuen
                                                                                                              Research Analyst
Hamilton Road, 8589 Columbus Pike and 8603            month-over-month basis, but increased by mid-
                                                                                                              Two Miranova Place
Sancus Boulevard combined for nearly 60,000           single digits relative to year-ago levels. Retailers    Suite 900
square feet of the Northeast’s absorption.            then anticipated that revenues during their next        Columbus, Ohio, 43215
                                                      fiscal quarter would be above prior-year levels,        TEL +1 614 437 4495
SOUTH                                                 mainly in the mid-single digits. Retailers cited
The southern submarkets are Southeast and             upward pressure on vendor costs, but were
Southwest. In the Southeast, Habitat for              reluctant to pass through rising costs to
Humanity leased 25,000 square feet at 166             consumers. Capital spending for the year
Wilson Road.                                          remained on target and monies would be used
                                                      largely for technology enhancements, distribution       This document/email has been prepared by Colliers
                                                                                                              International for advertising purposes. Colliers
EAST                                                  facilities, and store remodeling.                       International statistics and data are audited annually and
                                                                                                              may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly
The eastern submarkets are Licking and Fairfield      In July, the reserve bank reported that retailers
                                                                                                              and final year-end figures. Sources include Columbus
                                                                                                              Dispatch, Business First, Xceligent, CoStar, Chain Store
Counties. Fairfield lost 12,000 square feet of        reported little change in sales during May on a         Age, Wall Street Journal, Bureau of Labor Statistics,
space from numerous leases. The Licking               month-over-month basis, but the sales were
                                                                                                              Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gallup and the Cleveland
                                                                                                              Federal Reserve.
submarket gained 37,000 square feet from TJ           higher relative to year-ago levels. Increases in
Maxx and Site Tech leases at 911 Central              vendor prices were attributed to higher costs for
Parkway, the Cross Creek Shopping Center.             off-shore labor. Inventories continued to rise
                                                      modestly, but they were described as
WEST                                                  manageable. Capital spending for the year
The western submarkets include Union and              remains on target. No hiring is anticipated,
Madison counties. The Madison and Union               except at new stores, and wage pressures are
submarkets showed marginal change.                    contained.
                                                                                                                        Accelerating success.


www.colliers.com/columbus

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Q2 Columbus Retail Market Trends

  • 1. Q2 2012 | RETAIL GREATER COLUMBUS REGION RETAIL TRENDS REPORT Methodical Growth COLUMBUS REGION OVERVIEW The Columbus retail market returned to positive growth with 110,000 square feet adding to the recent trend that eight of the last nine quarters that have seen positive absorption. The largest leases were Habitat For Humanity leasing 25,000 square feet at 166 Wilson Road in the Southwest submarket, and TJ Maxx leasing 25,000 at 911 Central Parkway in Licking County. MARKET INDICATORS FORECASTS AND REFLECTIONS • The only investment sale was The Shops at Secur-it Personal Storage building downtown, Q2 Q3 Avery Place in Dublin, which sold for $5 which will become a 70-unit apartment, and 2012 2012* million. the Fireproof Building in the Short North • Multifamily construction is booming in the which will house 58 units when completed. VACANCY CBD and nearby portions of other submarkets. These residential moves will certainly increase NET ABSORPTION The former Wonder Bread Factory is being the need for retail in the CBD. converted into 56 apartments. The Aston • Construction at Cabela’s, a large outdoor CONSTRUCTION — Place apartment complex at the corner of retailer, is currently underway with an RENTAL RATES — — West Third and Dennison Avenues began a 80,000-square-foot store that will employ 175 59-unit project, and Kaufman Development full- and part-time employees. It is expected to *Projected change to following quarter LLC will begin a five-story, 174-apartment be completed by end of the year. Construction project on Goodale Street along the Olentangy of the space comes on the back of the The River. Also under development is the former Great Indoors closing at Polaris. RENTAL RATES BIG BOX SURGE VACANCY RATE OVER COMPLETIONS AND ABSORPTIONS The average asking rental Asking Rates  1,200,000 14.0% rates for centers  $16.00  1,000,000 decreased. Anchored 12.0% Completions and Absorptions  $14.00  800,000 strip and neighborhood  600,000 10.0% spaces were flat, while  $12.00 big box space has Vacancy Rate  400,000 8.0%  $10.00  200,000 continued to show rates 6.0% increasing.  $8.00  ‐  (200,000) Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 4.0%  $6.00 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12  (400,000) 2.0%  $4.00  (600,000) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12  (800,000) 0.0% Anchored Strip Neighborhood Community Big Box Completions Absorption Vacancy Rate www.colliers.com/columbus
  • 2. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION CONSTRUCTION exactly happened to the market behind the Delaware County A 30,000-square-foot community center at absorption number. The Market Activity Volume Union County 4020-4060 Powell Road, called Liberty Crossing, was more than 475,000 square feet. This is North / is no longer under construction. This Northwest slightly below the average level of migration, Licking Northwest Northeast County project was recently completed. meaning that retailers generally held steady with few closings. Menards is opening their second location in Madison CBD Columbus next month at 6810 East Broad The typical tenants currently in the market are County Southeast Street in the Northeast submarket. The big box restaurants by a significant percentage. Fast Southwest retail will be 180,000 square feet when food or fast casual restaurants are being Fairfield County completed. Menards recently purchased 40 aggressive. Other types in the market include Pickaway County acres along U.S. 23 in Lewis Center for planned discount oriented tenants, auto parts, frozen future development. yogurt, and fitness concepts The Columbus retail market includes 11 suburban submarkets and the Central Tenants are finding TI allowance to be the Waggenbrenner Development Inc.’s Commons at Business District. A total inventory of 55 biggest hurdle. Landlords are seeing Clark Hall has broken ground on their 22,000 million square feet of space with only 1 concessions to tenants as the biggest hurdle, million of that space in the CBD. square foot mixed-use, retail space. Chipotle because the retail leasing environment is so Mexican Grill, Panera Bread, Rusty Bucket competitive. Class A opportunities are Restaurant and AT&T Mobile have all signed to especially competitive. Another challenge is the lease space when it opens in October 2012. gap in asking rates and rates sought for lease opportunities in Class B and C shopping MARKET ACTIVITY centers. Landlords are having difficultly finding Market Activity Volume is the sum of the good credit tenants in Class B and C centers. absolute value of each absorption change in the market and it tells us a little more about what UPDATE New Supply, Absorption and Vacancy Rates SALES ACTIVITY SALES PROPERTY ADDRESS DATE SALE PRICE SIZE SF GRANTOR GRANTEE PRICE / SF TYPE SUBMARKET 1500 Gemini Place 4/27/2012 $10,150,000 151,000 Polaris CW LLC Costco Wholesle Corp $67.22 Big Box Northeast 3700 High Street 6/28/2012 $2,800,000 145,000 BEF Management, Inc. Electronic Classroom of $19.31 Other Southeast Tomorrow 2682 Westerville Road 4/30/2012 $650,000 22,084 James & Rebecca 786 R & N LLC $29.43 Conv/Strip Center Northeast Oberland 303 Front Street 6/11/2012 1,800,000 21,400 North Bay Real Estate 303 S Front Street LLC $84.11 Restaurant Central 1756 Brice Road 5/14/2012 $350,000 18,660 Century City LP Impala Capital LLC $18.76 Conv/Strip Center Southeast 4000 Sullivant Avenue 4/2/2012 $1,065,000 15,000 Frazier Development First Impressions Collision $71.00 Automotive Southwest 6695-6755 Avery Muirfield 5/12/2012 5,000,000 13,801 Daimler Group Pmdm-Avery LLC - Strip Northwest Drive LEASE ACTIVITY PROPERTY ADDRESS LEASE SF TOTAL SIZE LESSEE ASKING PRICE TYPE SUBMARKET 166 Wilson Road 25,440 633,013 Habitat for Humanity $4.00 Power Center Southwest 911 Central Parkway 25,000 322,369 TJ Maxx $8.00 Power Center Licking 300 Hamilton Road 9,981 176,610 Affordable Uniforms $14.00 Anchored Strip Center Northeast 3703 Broad Street 9,818 511,575 Royal Garden Buffet $10.00 Power Center Southeast 1131 Columbus Pike 8,250 73,654 Aaron Rents $10.00 Community Center North Delaware 8603 Sancus Boulevard 7,500 60,274 Tilted Kilt $17.00 Neighborhood Center Northeast 16 Main Street 7,000 7,000 Coffee shop $2,000.00 Restaurant Central P. 2 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 3. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION UPDATE Market Comparisons RETAIL MARKET Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates SUBMARKET Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions Neighborhood Power CBD 1,105,385 51,399 4.6 - 1,200 - - $12.00 - FAIRFIELD 4,144,963 441,739 10.7 (12,156) 54,664 - - $15.59 $11.81 LICKING 4,000,073 342,074 8.6 37,226 35,031 - - $13.00 $11.84 MADISON 214,406 25,112 11.7 1,358 (15,827) - - - - NORTH DELAWARE 2,235,958 148,236 6.6 7,450 (1,852) 30,000 - - $13.61 NORTHEAST 16,320,781 1,032,369 6.3 75,667 64,890 202,789 - $14.05 $11.57 NORTHWEST 13,258,413 1,124,233 8.5 (18,984) (36,822) 120,000 - $12.65 $18.78 PICKAWAY 741,829 7,737 1.0 (1,587) (1,587) - - $8.50 $14.00 SOUTHEAST 10,054,743 1,667,264 16.6 (11,716) (104,816) - - $9.03 $11.71 SOUTHWEST 7,050,411 1,627,044 23.1 33,017 9,641 - - $10.15 $7.63 UNION 1,161,503 54,939 4.7 - (9,000) - - - $16.00 TOTALS 60,288,465 6,522,146 10.8 110,275 (4,478) 352,789 - $12.35 $12.03 Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates PROPERTY TYPE Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions (NNN) ANCHORED STRIP 11,912,558 1,618,470 13.6 26,325 51,229 - - $11.22 BIG BOX 7,645,635 984,367 12.9 - (15,241) 260,000 - $6.81 CONV/STRIP CENTER 4,115,704 609,503 14.8 5,043 (62,283) - - $10.33 FREESTANDING 3,534,319 305,630 8.6 14,523 31,828 22,789 - $11.76 REGIONAL CENTER 4,106,470 366,875 8.9 1,430 2,313 - - $10.22 STRIP 5,480,508 679,041 12.4 62,537 28,230 70,000 - $12.35 SUPER REGIONAL CENTER 15,687,684 1,197,990 7.6 417 (8,434) - - $12.03 URBAN RETAIL 663,236 136,200 20.5 - - - - - COMMUNITY 133,012 33,320 25.1 - (33,320) - - $6.00 NEIGHBORHOOD 6,489,090 590,750 9.1 - - - - - POWER 520,249 - 0.0 - 1,200 - - - GRAND TOTAL 60,288,465 6,522,146 10.8 110,275 (4,478) 352,789 - $11.10 QUARTERLY COMPARISON AND TOTALS Net Absorption Construction Asking Rental Rates QUARTER, YEAR Total SF Vacant SF Vacancy % Current Quarter Year-to-date Current Completions Neighborhood Power Q1, 2012 60,288,465 6,632,421 11.0 (112,378) (112,378) 280,000 - $10.80 $11.07 Q4, 2011 60,288,465 6,523,775 10.8 187,621 489,194 70,000 27,000 $11.66 $12.93 Q3, 2011 60,261,465 6,671,088 11.1 38,783 298,933 27,000 158,302 $11.80 $12.45 Q2, 2011 60,127,163 6,729,871 11.4 59,572 260,790 185,302 495,647 $12.88 $13.58 MINIMUM WAGE The minimum wage increased across Ohio by $.30 to $7.70, effective January 1, 2012. The minimum wage for tipped employees will climb 15 cents to $3.85 an hour. The rise is a part of a scheduled increase, tied to consumer prices. COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
  • 4. RESEARCH & FORECAST REPORT | Q2 2012 | RETAIL | GREATER COLUMBUS REGION CBD The Central Business District (CBD) was flat in FUNDAMENTALS absorption, but activity is sure to increase in the Three sources are helpful when gauging retail 522 offices in coming quarters as more multi-family construction projects begin and are completed. consumer activity: the consumer confidence index; a weekly poll conducted by Gallup; the 62 countries on Projects that were announced or began in June Beige Book produced by the Federal Reserve 6 continents and July 2012, total 409 new units near the Bank semi-quarterly. CBD. United States: 147 Canada: 37 The consumer confidence index is produced by Latin America: 19 NORTH The Conference Board and is a survey of how Asia Pacific: 201 The north submarkets include Northwest, confident consumers are in the current economic EMEA: 118 Northeast, and North Delaware. conditions by their spending and saving habits. • $1.8 billion in annual revenue In June, the index was 62.0, decreasing 240 • 1.25 billion square feet under The Northwest submarket saw 18,000 square basis points from 64.4 in May 2012. In January, management feet of negative absorption from a large vacancy the index was at 61.1. As a guide, the index was • Over 12,300 professionals by Bed, Bath and Beyond from 3610 Dublin 112.5 in July 2007, six months before beginning Granville Road. The Easton Town Center co- of the recession. developers Steiner + Associates and The GREATER COLUMBUS REGION Georgetown Co. have announced that they will Gallup’s consumer spending measure tracks the Richard B. Schuen SIOR CCIM be adding more than 50,000 square feet of new average dollar amount Americans report CEO | Principal | Columbus Two Miranova Place tenants this year and renovating more than spending or charging on a daily basis, not Suite 900 150,000 square feet of existing space. Easton counting the purchase of a home, motor vehicle, Columbus, Ohio, 43215 will also see an expansion in parking space with or normal household bills. Over the three month TEL +1 614 410 5612 an increase of 600 spaces, which will be period between April and June, the 14-day completed in 2013. rolling average rose slightly from $76 to $65 with a high of $77 June. Leslie Hobbs Director of Marketing Ohio North-Delaware saw 7,500 square feet of Two Miranova Place positive absorption with Aaron Rents and Hertz The Cleveland Federal Reserve reports on Suite 900 Rent A Car combining for more than 8,000 consumer spending twice a quarter in the Beige Columbus, Ohio, 43215 square feet of absorption at 1131 Columbus Pike. Book. The data for these reports comes from TEL +1 614 410 5640 qualitative surveys of retailers in the fourth The Northeast submarket saw more than 75,000 district, which includes Columbus. In June, square feet of positive absorption. Leases at 300 retailers reported that sales held steady on a Jonathan Schuen Research Analyst Hamilton Road, 8589 Columbus Pike and 8603 month-over-month basis, but increased by mid- Two Miranova Place Sancus Boulevard combined for nearly 60,000 single digits relative to year-ago levels. Retailers Suite 900 square feet of the Northeast’s absorption. then anticipated that revenues during their next Columbus, Ohio, 43215 fiscal quarter would be above prior-year levels, TEL +1 614 437 4495 SOUTH mainly in the mid-single digits. Retailers cited The southern submarkets are Southeast and upward pressure on vendor costs, but were Southwest. In the Southeast, Habitat for reluctant to pass through rising costs to Humanity leased 25,000 square feet at 166 consumers. Capital spending for the year Wilson Road. remained on target and monies would be used largely for technology enhancements, distribution This document/email has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising purposes. Colliers EAST facilities, and store remodeling. International statistics and data are audited annually and may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly The eastern submarkets are Licking and Fairfield In July, the reserve bank reported that retailers and final year-end figures. Sources include Columbus Dispatch, Business First, Xceligent, CoStar, Chain Store Counties. Fairfield lost 12,000 square feet of reported little change in sales during May on a Age, Wall Street Journal, Bureau of Labor Statistics, space from numerous leases. The Licking month-over-month basis, but the sales were Bureau of Economic Analysis, Gallup and the Cleveland Federal Reserve. submarket gained 37,000 square feet from TJ higher relative to year-ago levels. Increases in Maxx and Site Tech leases at 911 Central vendor prices were attributed to higher costs for Parkway, the Cross Creek Shopping Center. off-shore labor. Inventories continued to rise modestly, but they were described as WEST manageable. Capital spending for the year The western submarkets include Union and remains on target. No hiring is anticipated, Madison counties. The Madison and Union except at new stores, and wage pressures are submarkets showed marginal change. contained. Accelerating success. www.colliers.com/columbus