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Poverty and NRM
       Nancy Johnson
           y
        CIAT/CPWF


BFP Poverty Mapping Workshop,
         Chiang Mai
     Oct 31-Nov 2, 2007
Q1 Whose uses the results?
1. CPWF for design, targeting and
  measuring impact
2. Other donors or NGOs for similar reasons
3. Governments – but they also care very much
                        y               y
  about growth.


  Since CPWF is a cross-sectoral program, we
  need to define poverty in a way that is also
                  p     y       y
  relevant to other sectors.

=> Water poor ≤       Poor
Q2 What are the measurable links
 between water and livelihoods?
              OR

Q2 What are the measurable links
between water and poverty?
Evolution of Poverty Measures

                                     Poor                       Non Poor
1st Generation
Static Income/
Expenditure Poverty


2nd Generation                                   Transitory
                        Chronic                                      Never poor
Dynamic Income/
Expenditure (panels)



3rd G
  d Generation
           i        Structural    Stochastic   Structural
                                               S        l     Stochastic
                                                              S h i
Static Asset
Poverty

4th Generation
Dynamic Asset          Persistently poor          Dynamically mobile (long term)
      y
Poverty

  Source: Carter and Barrett, 2006
Implications for NRM
• Many frameworks for linking NRM and
  livelihoods are 3rd generation approaches
  (SLF,
  (SLF IAD)
• But water could be in either (productive
  asset and consumption good)
        t d            ti      d)
Actors, action resources, collective action and outcomes in a
watershed unit
                                                                          Land use and water
             Context                          Action Arena                resource investments

   Water resources
   Financial resources
   Risk
                                   Actors             Collective action
   Local and customary                                                    Patterns of
                                   Rules                 Individual       interactions
   institutions
     st tut o s
                                                           action
                                                              i
   Secondary and tertiary nodes    Action
                                  resources


                                                                          Outcomes and effects on
                                                                          welfare & water transition
                                                                            lf        t t      iti




 Source Swallow et al 2006, adapted from Ostrom
Stages of Progress
Methodology f U d t di P
M th d l    for Understanding Poverty D
                                   t Dynamics
                                          i




1. Select communities (25-60 households)
                      (                )
  and obtain census of all families
2. Assemble representative g p
               p             group
Portrerillo, Coello
                                 N                             Etapa
       Rasgata Baja, Fuquene
          g      j , q            1   Mejoramiento de la alimentación
                                  2   Se compran animales pequeños
                                  3   Mejora vestido
N                        Etapa    4   Mejora vivienda (techo)
 1   Vestido                      5   Se realiza instalación del agua
 2   Arreglos casa                6   Invierte en educación (escuela)
 3   Primaria                     7   Energía eléctrica
                                      E      í lé t i
 4   Agua                         8   Instalación del servicio de sanitario
 5   Animales / Huerta            9   Mejora vivienda (piso)
                                 10   Electrodomésticos básicos
 6 Arriendo lote
                                 11   Ampliar vivienda ( 1 habitación)
 7 Vaca                          12   Pequeño negocio agrícola
 8 Bachillerato
                                 13   Vestido y educación (BACHILLERATO)
                                 14   Compra de animal grande
                                 15   Ampliar el negocio
                                 16   Comprar medio de transporte (moto)




      3. Define poverty, and stages of p g
                p     y,         g     progress
      4. Define period of study (25 years), and
        define each household’s status then
                     household s
        and now
5. Groups households into categories:
   – A – Poor then, poor now
              then
   – B – Poor then, not poor now
   – C – Not poor then, poor now
   – D – Not poor then, Not poor now
   – E – Didn’t live in community 25 y
                                y    years ago
                                            g
6. For a sample of households, ask for reasons
  behind the change
Comportamiento de la Pobreza

              1.0
                                                             Rasgata Baja
                                                                g      j
              0.9                                            Ladera Grande
                                                             Chapala
              0.8
                                                             Chipaquin
              0.7                                            Penas de Cajon
% de Pobres
          s




              0.6                                            Palacios
                                                             Apartadero
              0.5
                                                             La Isla
              0.4                                            La Puntica
                                                             Gacha
              0.3
                                                             Chinzaque
              0.2                                            Guata

              0.1                                            Nemogá
                                                             Pescadores
              0.0
                    Inicial                        Actual
Results of Stages of Progress:
          Frequency of elements appearing below poverty line

       Description                        Order        Frequency

       Food                                1              23

       Education                           2              20

       Clothing                            3              15

       Housing                             4              18

       Small Animals                       5              18

       Land                                6              8

       Services (water and electricity)    7              9


       Appliances                          8              10

       Health                              9              6

       Crops                               10             4

       Other                               11             2

       Transportation                      12             2

       Savings/investment                  13             2

       Recreation                          14             2



Water was mentioned by 23 of 25, but was only below the poverty line in 9
Change in Probability of Being Poor in 2005
                 if Cause is Excluded (n=359)
                    C     i E l d d ( 359)


    30%



    10%




                                            s
                                           lp
                                            n




                                            s
                                            t
                                           b




                                           n
    -10%




                                            t
                                           e
                                          ce
                                           n


                                          lp




                                           n

                                         en




                                        en


                                          m
                                         io




                                      i lie
                                        jo




                                        io




                                      en
                                      he
                                       io




                                     tio
                                     he




                                    an




                                     le
                                   ns




                                    m
                                    at




                                    id
                                    at
                                   le




                                 qu


                                   m
                                ca




                               ob
                                i ly
                              uc




                                st


                               ri t




                               cc
                                 't
                              fic
                             ab




                             Pe




                            Fa
                            ov




                            Fú
                            i fi
                            m




                           ve




                            pr
                           he




                           /A
                         Ed
                           si
                         St




                         rs
                       Fa
                         G




                     ew
                        In
                        er




                      l th
                       In




                      i ly
                     ve


                    s/
                   iv




                   m
                  ea
                   N
                  di


                 ng
                .D




    -30%




               Fa
                H
                k


              vi
            ri c




           oc

          Sa
        Ag




         st
       ve
    Li




    -50%



    -70%

                                 Cause


Diversification of rural livelihoods Doesn’t mean that poor
                         livelihoods. Doesn t
aren’t interested in NRM since many jobs are resource-based
but the links are indirect.
Q3 What are the modifiable factors that could
(influence the ability of water to) alleviate poverty?

• Direct – water for domestic consumption
   – Where is this really an element of poverty?
   – Wh t can th CPWF actually d about it?
     What      the            t ll do b t
• Indirect via agriculture and NRM
   – CPWF will work on agriculture and catchment
                        g
     management, but will this alleviate poverty?
• Indirect via labor, service and product market
  linkages
   – Critical to keep in mind to avoid doing harm
A proposal:
     Look t P
     L k at Poverty Impacts by Topic
                 t I      t b T i
• Global and national policies
• Benefit sharing
• R i f d agriculture and catchment
  Rain-fed     i lt       d t h   t
  management
• MUS (including irrigation)

Topics x Type of impact x Basin
• Equity – distribution of benefits also
  matters
BFP poverty presentation
•   Level of impact – just affect poor people or get them out of poverty? Poverty
    trap theory and why it i good. Th
    t    th        d h      is     d There are ththose who are against it as t
                                                         h         i t       too
    idealistic and unrealistic, but if we only want to have a marginal impact on
    the poor, then they probably won’t be very interested either and they will
    need to co-invest
•   Causality issue. You can find relationships that say the poor have less
    access to resources, poor have more insecure tenure, but are these causes
    or consequences?


•   Alleviating poverty versus preventing the non-poor from slipping
    backwards?
     – Implications look at indirect impacts especially via labor, service and product
       markets.
     – Look at opportunities for new investments in water rather than re-allocation of
       existing, at least at community scale?
•   For example, how can we upgrade existing irrigation systems and services to support non-
    irrigation livelihoods ( g livestock, home g
        g                  (e.g.         ,      gardens, and water dependent small scale enterprises)
                                                          ,             p                          p      )
    and domestic uses? Upgrades could include a range of physical infrastructure add-ons (at system
    and household levels) and changes in management (such as releases of water for domestic uses
    rather than for irrigation scheduling, reservoir storage regulation for fisheries, water access rights
    for non-irrigation users).

•   Mary Renwick quote – i thi efficiency/productivity or poverty impact?
    M    R   i k    t    is this ffi i   / d ti it             t i     t?

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Poverty and Natural Resource Management

  • 1. Poverty and NRM Nancy Johnson y CIAT/CPWF BFP Poverty Mapping Workshop, Chiang Mai Oct 31-Nov 2, 2007
  • 2. Q1 Whose uses the results? 1. CPWF for design, targeting and measuring impact 2. Other donors or NGOs for similar reasons 3. Governments – but they also care very much y y about growth. Since CPWF is a cross-sectoral program, we need to define poverty in a way that is also p y y relevant to other sectors. => Water poor ≤ Poor
  • 3. Q2 What are the measurable links between water and livelihoods? OR Q2 What are the measurable links between water and poverty?
  • 4. Evolution of Poverty Measures Poor Non Poor 1st Generation Static Income/ Expenditure Poverty 2nd Generation Transitory Chronic Never poor Dynamic Income/ Expenditure (panels) 3rd G d Generation i Structural Stochastic Structural S l Stochastic S h i Static Asset Poverty 4th Generation Dynamic Asset Persistently poor Dynamically mobile (long term) y Poverty Source: Carter and Barrett, 2006
  • 5. Implications for NRM • Many frameworks for linking NRM and livelihoods are 3rd generation approaches (SLF, (SLF IAD) • But water could be in either (productive asset and consumption good) t d ti d)
  • 6. Actors, action resources, collective action and outcomes in a watershed unit Land use and water Context Action Arena resource investments Water resources Financial resources Risk Actors Collective action Local and customary Patterns of Rules Individual interactions institutions st tut o s action i Secondary and tertiary nodes Action resources Outcomes and effects on welfare & water transition lf t t iti Source Swallow et al 2006, adapted from Ostrom
  • 7. Stages of Progress Methodology f U d t di P M th d l for Understanding Poverty D t Dynamics i 1. Select communities (25-60 households) ( ) and obtain census of all families 2. Assemble representative g p p group
  • 8. Portrerillo, Coello N Etapa Rasgata Baja, Fuquene g j , q 1 Mejoramiento de la alimentación 2 Se compran animales pequeños 3 Mejora vestido N Etapa 4 Mejora vivienda (techo) 1 Vestido 5 Se realiza instalación del agua 2 Arreglos casa 6 Invierte en educación (escuela) 3 Primaria 7 Energía eléctrica E í lé t i 4 Agua 8 Instalación del servicio de sanitario 5 Animales / Huerta 9 Mejora vivienda (piso) 10 Electrodomésticos básicos 6 Arriendo lote 11 Ampliar vivienda ( 1 habitación) 7 Vaca 12 Pequeño negocio agrícola 8 Bachillerato 13 Vestido y educación (BACHILLERATO) 14 Compra de animal grande 15 Ampliar el negocio 16 Comprar medio de transporte (moto) 3. Define poverty, and stages of p g p y, g progress 4. Define period of study (25 years), and define each household’s status then household s and now
  • 9. 5. Groups households into categories: – A – Poor then, poor now then – B – Poor then, not poor now – C – Not poor then, poor now – D – Not poor then, Not poor now – E – Didn’t live in community 25 y y years ago g 6. For a sample of households, ask for reasons behind the change
  • 10. Comportamiento de la Pobreza 1.0 Rasgata Baja g j 0.9 Ladera Grande Chapala 0.8 Chipaquin 0.7 Penas de Cajon % de Pobres s 0.6 Palacios Apartadero 0.5 La Isla 0.4 La Puntica Gacha 0.3 Chinzaque 0.2 Guata 0.1 Nemogá Pescadores 0.0 Inicial Actual
  • 11. Results of Stages of Progress: Frequency of elements appearing below poverty line Description Order Frequency Food 1 23 Education 2 20 Clothing 3 15 Housing 4 18 Small Animals 5 18 Land 6 8 Services (water and electricity) 7 9 Appliances 8 10 Health 9 6 Crops 10 4 Other 11 2 Transportation 12 2 Savings/investment 13 2 Recreation 14 2 Water was mentioned by 23 of 25, but was only below the poverty line in 9
  • 12. Change in Probability of Being Poor in 2005 if Cause is Excluded (n=359) C i E l d d ( 359) 30% 10% s lp n s t b n -10% t e ce n lp n en en m io i lie jo io en he io tio he an le ns m at id at le qu m ca ob i ly uc st ri t cc 't fic ab Pe Fa ov Fú i fi m ve pr he /A Ed si St rs Fa G ew In er l th In i ly ve s/ iv m ea N di ng .D -30% Fa H k vi ri c oc Sa Ag st ve Li -50% -70% Cause Diversification of rural livelihoods Doesn’t mean that poor livelihoods. Doesn t aren’t interested in NRM since many jobs are resource-based but the links are indirect.
  • 13. Q3 What are the modifiable factors that could (influence the ability of water to) alleviate poverty? • Direct – water for domestic consumption – Where is this really an element of poverty? – Wh t can th CPWF actually d about it? What the t ll do b t • Indirect via agriculture and NRM – CPWF will work on agriculture and catchment g management, but will this alleviate poverty? • Indirect via labor, service and product market linkages – Critical to keep in mind to avoid doing harm
  • 14. A proposal: Look t P L k at Poverty Impacts by Topic t I t b T i • Global and national policies • Benefit sharing • R i f d agriculture and catchment Rain-fed i lt d t h t management • MUS (including irrigation) Topics x Type of impact x Basin
  • 15. • Equity – distribution of benefits also matters
  • 16. BFP poverty presentation • Level of impact – just affect poor people or get them out of poverty? Poverty trap theory and why it i good. Th t th d h is d There are ththose who are against it as t h i t too idealistic and unrealistic, but if we only want to have a marginal impact on the poor, then they probably won’t be very interested either and they will need to co-invest • Causality issue. You can find relationships that say the poor have less access to resources, poor have more insecure tenure, but are these causes or consequences? • Alleviating poverty versus preventing the non-poor from slipping backwards? – Implications look at indirect impacts especially via labor, service and product markets. – Look at opportunities for new investments in water rather than re-allocation of existing, at least at community scale?
  • 17. For example, how can we upgrade existing irrigation systems and services to support non- irrigation livelihoods ( g livestock, home g g (e.g. , gardens, and water dependent small scale enterprises) , p p ) and domestic uses? Upgrades could include a range of physical infrastructure add-ons (at system and household levels) and changes in management (such as releases of water for domestic uses rather than for irrigation scheduling, reservoir storage regulation for fisheries, water access rights for non-irrigation users). • Mary Renwick quote – i thi efficiency/productivity or poverty impact? M R i k t is this ffi i / d ti it t i t?