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From Proprietas to Usus: Toward a Genuine European Way of Life
1. From Proprietas to Usus
Towards a genuine European way
of life
Crowdsourcing week Summit
Brussels, 5 June 2014
Domenico ROSSETTI
European Commission DG RTD*
Domenico.Rossetti-di-Valdalbero@ec.europa.eu
* Personally speaking
3. EU binomial rethinking
Professional and personal life
Public and private sectors
Manufacturing and services
Science and Society
Multinationals and small businesses
Proprietas and Usus
Source: D. Rossetti
3
4. Economics and Geopolitics
North-South? East-West? Developed-developing?
Multipolar world, G2, G3, "The end of the West"?
Neo-Keynesian, neo-liberal, State capitalism?
Mega-regional agreements as a basis for world
governance or as a tool fragmenting the world
economy?
Source: D. Rossetti 4
7. Health, Energy and Transport
Obesity is a leading cause of premature death
More than 40% of the world electricity is generated from
coal with its CC impacts (1400 coal power plants in China)
In 2013, EU energy bill amounted to € 400 Billion
World transport will be multiplied by three between 2000
and 2050 (passenger/km and ton/km)
A car is parked 92% of its life cycle
The average speed of an international freight train in the
EU is 18km/h
Source: D. Rossetti selection from European Commission Communications
7
8. Global resource extraction
Source: OECD; Behrens; WMM, Global Insight, Ellen Mac Arthur Foundation – Circular economy team
Today: 70
billion
tonnes
extracted
8
9. Wealth and poverty
27,000 people world-wide with more than € 400 M
More than 5 billion people with less than € 10/day
Source: WSJ report on Crédit Suisse statistics
UN 2011 Report and UN-Habitat
~80 M€
~ 60% of urban population in Africa
and ~ 40% Southern Asia live in slums
9
10. Close but… different neighbourhood
Source: São Paulo, picture from D. Bounds blog
10
12. Population (Million)
Source: UN, World Population Prospects
1950 2011 2050 Factor
India 372 1 241 1 692 ~X 4 / 5
Brazil 54 197 223 ~X 4
USA 158 313 403 ~X 2 / 3
China 551 1 347 1 296 ~X 2 /3
EU 28 381 510 520 ~X 1 / 1.5
12
13. The EU GDP in % of global output
37% in 1970
28% in 2010
20% in 2030
17% in 2050
Source: UNCTAD and EC – Global Europe 2050
13
14. CO2 emissions – Old and new actors
2000 2050
USA & Canada 23% 12%
Enlarged EU 14% 8%
Russia & CIS 8% 5%
Japan 4% 2%
S-E Asia - China 20% 27%
South Asia - India 7% 13%
Africa 7% 15%
Latin America 7% 9%
Others 10% 9%
49%
51%
27%
73%
Source: EC, DG ENV/CLIMA
14
15. Gonzales Report "Europe 2030"
Source: http://www.flagslist.com/maps/Asia/asia-map.gif
15
"Europe is at a
crossroads: either
we keep and
strengthen the role
as one of the main
global actors, or we
become an
“increasingly
irrelevant
outgrowth on the
Asian continent"
16. Youth unemployment in the EU (in %)
Source: Eurostat, Eurofound - Statista, 2013
16
And …15 M of NEETS
Young Europeans Not in
Employment, Education
or Training
17. Ageing EU population (000 people)
Source: EC, DG ECFIN, Ageing Report (H. Bogaert)
The number of people
over 65 will double in
50 years (up to 150 M in
2060)
The "oldest old" (85
and over) will almost
triple
The share of health
expenditures in the EU
is expected to increase
from 8% of GDP today
to 13% in 2060
17
20. Right policy messages but wrong
anticipation of technological
progress
Malthus "Essay on the principle of population"
Meadows Report "The Limits to Growth"
Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas
20
Source: D. Rossetti
22. From Proprietas to Usus
New economy and younger generation:
Less ownership (purchasing)
More access (renting and sharing)
Use of ICT (easy, cheap, fast) & Data
22
23. Collaborative and shared economy
On the positive side
Social exchanges, community life and new services
Individual empowerment and social responsibility
Paulo "humaniora" canamus
On the negative side
Precarity of work (cf. "eBay of work", small jobs)
From local/community platforms to world platforms
From shared values to quasi-monopolies
Source: D. Rossetti
23
24. Role of research and innovation
(“3% GDP target”)
Source: EC, DG RTD, DEMETER (P. Zagamé)
24
25. Promoting innovation
Product innovation
Process innovation
Marketing innovation
Organisational innovation
… And Social innovation
Source: Oslo Manual and EC
See the European
Innovation Convention 2014
26. Turning the eyes
Most of the efforts these last 50 years in R&D were directly
linked to industrial policies. In Europe:
In the eighties, the eyes were turned towards Japan
and “technology push”
In 2000 (Lisbon), the eyes were turned towards
USA: Competitiveness, innovation and flexibility
Today: Europe 2020 strategy – Smart, sustainable
and inclusive growth –– Horizon 2020
Source: D. Rossetti
26
31. Tradition is not leaving ashes,
its is passing the flame
Thomas More
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32. Towards "intangible"
Food and information (2000-2100)
Source: EC, DG RTD, WETO-T
(Chateau and Rossetti)
Hours/day/pers
Information index
32
33. Title
Subtitle
CLOUD COMPUTING
Cloud computing allows you to do
what you want to do, without need
for large amounts of capital for
computers, servers and software.
It is expected that more and more
software will be delivered in future
through the cloud
Your dishwasher talking to your
fridge talking to your car talking to
your smart phone. Data about
everything you do, before you do it.
All connected to smart grids and
smart meters at the level of the
smart city
COLLABORATIVE
SYSTEMS
New collaboration
technologies and services are
making it possible for citizens to
engage in societal activities
in many new ways – from citizen
science to crowdfunding and
crowd-deciding
Present and future eco / socio / techno
INTERNET OF THINGS
34. Conclusions: Sobriety vs. Excess
Lagom
Negawatt
Genuine Progress Indicator
No planned or wished
obsolescence
Novelty to meet social needs
Socio-ecological transition 34
35. Conclusions: Change of paradigm
Redefining success and experiencing well-being
New narrative about growth and jobs
Learning (what) but also how to learn
From a consumption-waste society to a circular
economy: sobriety, shared consumption and
preservation of resources
From consumers to "innosumers"
Beyond tangibles & Beyond GDP
Source: D. Rossetti
35