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Marketers as speculators NXNEi June 18, 2011 V2.1_
Scott Suthren @cuthbertsteel Director, Digital Strategy at Publicis Modem Toronto_
It is the arrogance of every age to believe that yesterday was calm. Tom Peters, 1997_
Pepsi Refresh Fiesta Movement
Financial action that does not promise safety of the investment_ Source: Wikipedia Flickr: respres
Speculation can also cause prices to deviate from their intrinsic value if speculators trade on misinformation, or if they are just plain wrong. This creates a positive feedback loop in which prices rise dramatically above the underlying value or worth of the items. This is known as an economic bubble_ Source: Wikipedia
Cost is greater than value_
Let’s establish what value is_ Flickr: iriskh
Two types of value: financial and functional   Flickr: boklm
1. Understanding_ Flickr: MrB-MMX
2. Effectiveness_ Flickr: marfis75
3. Integration_ Flickr: temari 09
What happened?_ Flickr: Veronique Debord
Faced with many new touchpoints_ Flickr: niezwyciezony
Faced with many new consumer behaviours_ Flickr: hanspoldoja
Tools and tech without the language to properly describe it  We were without the language to describe it_ Flickr: sammy0716
In our rush to get there we focused on the wrong value_ Flickr: RageshVasudevan
Forrester and others adding simplified directives_  Flickr: Guerrilla Futures
Statements that made claims rather than clarify_ Flickr: Tim & Selena Middleton
“How can you squander even one more day not taking advantage of the greatest shifts of our generation? How dare you settle for less when the world has made it so easy for you to be remarkable?” Seth Godin_
“A brand is no longer what we tell the consumer it is – it is what consumers tell each other it is.” Scott Cook_
“The difference between PR and social media is that PR is about positioning, and social media is about becoming, being and improving.” Chris Brogan_
“CRM is dead, long live social CRM” Graham Hill_
Social Media marketing is about brands acting, well, social. Which means they need to show up to the party with a nice bottle of wine, if that’s what the party calls for. They need to come ready to have a dialog, and add value to the event. John Battelle_
“You can’t tiptoe into social media. You have to jump into the pool. People have a natural fear of it. But the scary part is not being there. Your customer is already there.” Dave Saunders_
“We’re living at a time when attention is the new currency. Those who insert themselves into as many channels as possible look set to capture the most value.” Pete Cashmore_
We were faced with something we could barely control_ Flickr: jutta @ flickr
We defaulted to old habits to backfill engagement_ Flickr: khawkins04
We created really good incentive distribution networks_ Flickr: urbanwoochuck
We created really good call center extensions_ Flickr: emma.maria
Not surprisingly, we created a market_ Flickr: Borya
Unfortunately, we created an expectation and comprehension gap_ Flickr: *pascal*
“I don’t know what to do, but I know I have to be there”_ Flickr: emdot
Value = functional
Cost is greater than value_
A bubble_ Flickr: rhettmaxwell
What have we wrought?_ Flickr: hans s
Where was the burden of proof? Where did the burden of proof lie?_ Flickr: bazylek100
Framing problem Framing problem_ Flickr: Leonski
Functional fixedness_ Flickr: hmboo
We now have real challenges as a result of the speculation_ Flickr: US Army Africa
1. Confusion around 1:1 and the bottom of the funnel_ Flickr: Ybidau
2. True engagement numbers are low in relative terms_ Flickr: B Rosen
3. Mainstream penetration numbers are unreliable_ Flickr: Shiny Things
4. No standard measurement makes it hard to quantify value_ Flickr: MarcinWichary
5. Commercialism turned community into ‘what’s in it for me?’_ Flickr: MiranRijavec
6. Genuine identities are difficult to identify_ Flickr: Rosemary
8. Not a dialog, but a negotiation_ Flickr: TheeErin
9. Relationships are asynchronous_ Flickr: Loop_oh
10. Challenges planning and representing a dynamic ecosystem_ Flickr: aaron13251
11. Erratic continuity of the individual consumer_ Flickr: flattop341
12. Source vs motivation disconnect_ Flickr: it290
13. Paid vs earned vs owned_ Flickr: it290
14. Timescale expectations_ Flickr: aaron13251
If you build it, they probably wont come. If you build it, they probably won’t come unless…_  Flickr: Joelk75
So now what?_ Flickr: Zemlinki!
Cost is greater than value To increase value, we need to close the comprehension gap_
1. Get out of the echo chamber_ Flickr: wetwebwork
Cut the cable, you are not a representative sample_  Flickr: Nick J Webb
Stop reading Forrester, eMarketer, etc_ Flickr: Paul (dex)
Read Confederacy of Dunces by John Kennedy Toole_ Flickr: ToddMurray
Read The Power of Myth by Joseph Campbell_ Flickr: ToddMurray
Reframe the situation yourself_ Flickr: Nate Steiner
2. Correct the functional fixedness_ Flickr: David Blaine
1. We build social marketplaces where the currency is attention_
2. We negotiate with consumers to find favourable terms_
3. We establish an asynchronous contract for that value exchange_
4. Social has an acquisition role in CRM_
5. This marketplace may not show a return on investment in the near term and may fail_
6. We hedge our engagement and penetration numbers conservatively_
7. Gen Y and millenials are misrepresented as tech savvy_
8. Planning it is a wicked problem; benchmarks, stats and best practices have limited value_
9. Social is light touch_
10. For most brands true communities are out of reach, for now_
Terms for FB: .4% - post engagement  1:1 - post impressions to like count ratio 80% - wall views 20% - promotion entrants 2.5% - promotion entrants who share 135 – avg number of fans 1 – amplification rings in network 3% - organic unlike rate_
Thank you.  @cuthbertsteel blog.cuthbertsteel.com_

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Marketers as speculators: Are we to blame for a social media bubble

Notas del editor

  1. speculation is a financial action that does not promise safety of the initial investment along with the return on the principal sumSpeculation can also cause prices to deviate from their intrinsic value if speculators trade on misinformation, or if they are just plain wrong. This creates a positive feedback loop in which prices rise dramatically above the underlying value or worth of the items. This is known as an economic bubble.
  2. Prices – Cost
  3. Prices – Cost
  4. Lets look at that value that was affected by the hype bubble
  5. Functional value assists in the breaking of functional fixedness, assists in helping to reframe a concept. This is the value of the investmentLets talk about valueTake a step behind the numbers, at the causal relationship between our activity and the state of mind for most clients Two types of value to a client Financial value – ROIExecutional value I want to focus on executional value
  6. So why did that happen
  7. An explosion of touchpoints
  8. An explosion of new touchpoints and tactics, new consumer behaviour
  9. The value of getting into it, being awesome.
  10. Forrester and eMarketer don’t helpA little bit of information is very dangerous
  11. Drastic claims that far outreached the truth and were far too extreme
  12. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  13. Comments that didn’t help in the process
  14. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  15. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  16. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  17. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  18. Quotes that confuse more than clarify
  19. Suddenly we were scrambling
  20. So what did we do? Default to old habits- media, incentives….
  21. Just bigger call centers
  22. But foremost we created an expectation and comprehension gap
  23. However we see lines like this
  24. Prices – Cost
  25. Prices – Cost
  26. Bubble
  27. Taking stock and doing a quick survey. What are we left with?
  28. Where was the burden of proof?
  29. Created a structure of meaning that was at odds with how we wanted people to think of the challenges
  30. Functional fixedness – we did not provide the new functional value to change the fixedness
  31. Real challenges
  32. Never be at the bottom of the funnel
  33. True engagement levels are low
  34. Penetration into the mainstream is misleading
  35. No standard in measurement makes it hard to quantify value
  36. Commercialism transformed community into ‘what’s in it for me’
  37. Genuine identities are difficult to identify
  38. Facebook monopoly, is that all that exists
  39. Clients see it Not as a dialog, but a negotiation
  40. Continuity vs asynchronous
  41. Planning and display for a mutable ecosystem
  42. Continuity of an individual
  43. Source vs motivation disconnectFraming a consumer based on entry as opposed to motivation
  44. Earned vs paid vs owned
  45. Time scale
  46. If you build it, they probably wont come
  47. Prices – Cost
  48. Echo chamber is the self feeding cycle of a bubble
  49. Get off Twitter and Facebook as a professional activity