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National Income
Rich /
Developed
nations

World

Developing
Nations

Poor /
Least
Developed
Nations
How do we measure the performance
of an economy?
A country’s economic performance is measured by
indicators of National Income ( GDP or GNP).
Performance of an economy is the level of production
(of goods and services) or total economic activity.
It estimate’s the total value of production in an economy.
Definition of National Income
“National income is a measure of the total market value of the
goods and services (output) produced by an economy over a
period of time (normally a year)”.
1) It is a Monetary Measure
2) Goods and Services to be counted only once
( Final goods and not intermediate goods)
Need for the Study of National Income
A national income measure serves various purposes regarding
economy, production, trade, consumption, policy formulation, etc.
1. To measure the size of the economy and level of country’s
economic performance.
2. To trace the trend or speed of the economic growth in relation
to previous year(s) as well as to other countries.
3. To know the structure and composition of the national income
in terms of various sectors and the periodical variations in them.
4. To make projection about the future development trend of the
economy.
5. To help government formulate suitable development plans and
policies to increase growth rates.
6. To fix various development targets for different sectors of the
economy on the basis of the earlier performance.
7. To help business firms in forecasting future demand for their
products.
8. To make international comparison of people’s living standards.

However it has its own “Limitations”……….
3 Interpretation of National Income
National Income = National Product = National Expenditure



The sum of values of all goods and services produced
( Production).



The sum of all incomes, in cash and kind, accruing to factors of
productions in a year (Distribution).



The sum of consumers, investment and government expenditure
(Expenditure).
Circular Flow of Income


Modern Economy is a monetary economy



Money act a medium of Exchange



A circular flow of money or income exist



Each money flow is in opposite direction to real flow



Flow of money income will not always remain constant
Economy
Household Sector

Firms or Business Sector

Government Sector

Foreign Sector
Two Sector Model of Income
Distribution
Factor Payments
Rent, Wages, Interest, profits

Economic Resources
Land, Labour, Capital, Enterprise

Business Firms

Households
Goods and Services

Consumption Expenditure
Assumptions




No savings from household or business firms
Government has no role in the national economy
It’s a closed economy
Three Sector Model of Income
Distribution
What if household save?




The expenditure on goods and services decline
Savings reduces the flow of money expenditure to the business firms
Firms hire fewer workers / reduce factor payments
Causes a fall in Economy's Total Income.



Hence savings a “leakage” from the money expenditure flow
Savings = Investments



Investment is injection of money in circular flow of income
Three Sector Model of Income
Distribution

Factor Payments
Business Firms

Households
Consumption Expenditure

g
in ts
w en
rro stm
Bo nve
ri
fo

Financial Market

gs
n
vi
Sa
What if
Investment ≠ Savings?
Investment < Savings








Stocks of goods will Increase
Demand reduces
Production falls
Investment in capital goods will fall

Income , output and employment Falls
Flow of money contracts


Which leads to

Rate of interest falls

Leads to increase in investment

Hence
Savings = Investments
What if
Investment ≠ Savings?
Investment > Savings







Stocks of goods will falls
Demand rises
Production rises
Investment in capital goods will rise
Income , output and employment increases
Flow of money expand


Which leads to

Rate of interest rise

Leads to increase in savings

Hence
Savings = Investments
Why are poor countries poor?


Economic Wealth :
 Man-made resources (road, factories, machines, communication
system)
 Human Resources ( Hard and education)
 Technological Resources ( High tech machinery)



Poor countries should grow rich by investing money in physical resources
and developing human and technological resources.



Poor countries should grow faster as new investments have the biggest
rewards.



Rich countries don’t gain much from further investments:
“ law of diminishing returns”
Why are poor countries poor?


So what should they do?
 They should improve there education, technology and infrastructure.
 Since the Returns for investors are high, there should be no
shortage of Investment.
 Countries should take loan from banks for reconstruction and
development.
 Countries can take foreign aids from rich countries.



This didn’t happen? WHY?
 Except for countries like Taiwan, South Korea, China, India,
Singapore
Money Flows with Government
Sector







Government absorbs a good part of the incomes earned by
Households.
Government purchases goods and services from firms
Government spends on capital goods, infrastructure, defence,
education and health etc.
Household and firms pay taxes to Government.
Government also finance their expenditure by borrowing from the
financial market
Hence the Government
 Intervenes and take preventive and corrective action to
stabilise an Economy
Three Sector Model of Income
Distribution
Factor Payments

Business Firms

Households
Consumption Expenditure

Financial Market

Borrowing

Government


Total Expenditure (E) = C + I + G
Consumption Expenditure (C)
Investment Expenditure (I)
Government Expenditure (G)



Total Income (Y) = C + S + T
Consumption ( C)
Savings (S)
Taxes ( T )
E=Y
C+I+G= C+S+T
I+G=S+T
G – T= S – I
G> T (Budget deficit)
Government borrows from the financial market
Four Sector Model of Income Distribution
Foreign Sector
Factor Payments

Households

Business Firms
Consumption Expenditure

Financial Market

Borrowing

Government
Four Sector Model of Income
Distribution


Balance of Trade
 Export (X) = Import (M)



National Income = C + I+ G+ Xn ( X-M)
C + I + G + Xn = C + S+ T
India’ GDP growth rate

05-06
06-07

: 9.2%
: 9.4%

07-08

: 9%
Economic Development
Phase 1 : Pre-1991


Policy tended towards
 protectionism,
 with a strong emphasis on import substitution,
 industrialisation,
 state intervention in labour and financial markets,
 a large public sector,
 business regulation, and
 central planning.



Faced crises like
 Wars – China (61) & Pakistan (65, 71)
 Oil crisis (73, 79)
 Severe Draughts (65-67)
Economic Development
Phase 2 : Post-1991


Late 80’s
 Policy changes
 Eased restrictions on capacity expansion for incumbents,
 Removed price controls and
 Reduced corporate taxes.


This increased the rate of growth,
 But led to high fiscal deficits and a worsening current account.



Balance-of-payment crisis
 The collapse of the Soviet Union, which was India's major
trading partner.
 Gulf War, which caused a spike in oil prices.
Concepts of National
Income
The basic concepts…
 GNP

vs GDP
 Market Price Vs Factor costs
 Gross Vs Net
 Nominal Vs Real
 PI



( Personnel Income)

Disposable Income
Per capita
GDP vs GNP
 Gross

Domestic Product (GDP)

GDP = C + I + G + (X-M)

“sum total of values of goods & services
produced in the country, in a given year”
GDP vs GNP
 Gross

National Product (GNP)

GNP = GDP + net factor income from abroad

“sum total of values of goods & services produced
by the nationals of a country, in a given year”
Net factor income from abroad:
Is the difference between


income received from abroad by the normal residents
of India for rendering services in other countries and



the income paid to the foreign residents for the
services rendered by them in India.
GDP vs GNP
 Gross

National Product (GNP)

GNPMP = GDPMP + net factor income from abroad

GNP = C + I +G + (X-M) + (R-P)
R =
P =

Income receipts from abroad
Income paid abroad
Requirements for Calculating GNP







It measures the market value of annual output
It’s a Monetary measure
GNP accounts for goods that are traded through official market
i.e free of cost are not included
All good and services must be counted once
Income earned through illegal activities are not included
GDP Vs GNP


GDP


Used when the purpose is to measure the product generated in a
country.




i.e. whatever is produced in India, will go to constitute GDP, no
matter even if foreigners have contributed towards it

GNP


Used when the purpose is to measure the product that accrues
to the citizens of a country.


i.e. whatever is produced by Indian nationals whether inside or
outside the country will form GNP of India
Market Prices Vs Factor Costs


The GNP / GDP can be estimated at





Market Prices
Factor Cost

The Market Prices is a resultant of



Indirect Taxes; and
Subsidies



Factor Cost =

Market Price – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies



Hence Factor Cost estimates are more ‘real’.
Gross Vs Net


In the process of creating national product – there is erosion
of total productive assets



Net estimates account for this erosion (called Depreciation)



Net

=

Gross - Depreciation
Nominal Vs Real


The price trend does not remain constant, it can rise or fall.



Hence the estimates in terms of money value will increase as
price of commodities have risen even if their physical output
hasn’t.



Economic Growth implies increase in real or physical output
than the rise in money value of output.



Adjustment of the National Income figures for the change in
prices needs to be done. – Deflating the NI



‘Real’ estimates account for this increase in prices
Nominal Vs Real


Increase in Price



:

Is denoted by Price Index

Price Index


Selection of Base year



Price Index for Base year is taken to be 100



Price Index for the current year




: (Current base year 1999-2000)

Current Year Prices / Base Year Prices X 100

So if Price index is 145 – then prices as compared to Base year
have increased by 45%
Nominal Vs Real



Real estimates



Hence



Nominal
Real

=
=

=

Nominal Estimates
---------------------------- X 100
Price Index

Estimates at current prices
Estimates at fixed prices
The Estimates
Estimate

Definition

GDP

C + I + G + (X-M)

GNP

GDP + NFIA

GDPFC

GDPMP – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies

NDP

GDP - Depreciation

Real GDP

Nominal GDP/ Price Index * 100

GNI

GNP

NNP

GNP - Depreciation

NI

NNPFC
National income (NI) or National Income at
Factor Cost (NNPFC)
It refers to the sum of all incomes earned by factor owners for their
contribution of factor services namely land, labour, capital and
enterprises in the form of rent, wages, interest and profit.

NI = NNPFC = NNP MP - Indirect Taxes + Subsidies
 Personal

Income (PI)

It is the sum of all incomes received by all individual or households
during a given year.
PI = National Income + Transfer payments – (Social security +
Corporate Income tax + Undistributed Profits)
Transfer Payments = Incomes which are not earned but received
( Old- age pensions, unemployment compensation, relief payments)
 Disposable

Income (DI)

DI= Personal Income – Personal Taxes
Or
Disposable income can either be consumed or saved
DI= Consumption ( C) + Savings (S)
DI includes Transfer payments
It is the total income earned and unearned of individuals minus
direct taxes.
 Per

Capita Income (PCI)

Per capita income (or) output per person is an indicator to show
the living standards of people in a country.
If real PCI increases, it is considered to be an improvement in the
overall living standard of people.
National Income
PCI = --------------------------Population
The Estimates
Estimate

Definition

GDP

C + I + G + (X-M)

GNP

GDP + FIFA

GDPFC

GDPMP – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies

NDP

GDP - Depreciation

Real GDP

Nominal GDP/ Price Index * 100

GNI

GNP

NNP

GNP - Depreciation

NI

NNPFC

PI

NI + Transfer Payments – (Social Security +
Corporate Income Tax + Undistributed profits)

DI

C + S or PI – Personal Taxes

PCI

NI/ Population
Examples…
GNP

500 ( Rs Cr)

Capital Consumption Allowance

- 50

Net National Product (NNP)

450

Indirect Taxes

- 60

Subsidies

10

National Income ( NI )

400

Corporate Profits

- 70

Dividends

15

Government Transfer payments

25

Personal Income

370

Personal Indirect Taxes

- 70

Disposable Personal Income (DPI)

300

Personal Consumption expenditure

- 275

Personal Savings

25
Exercise
Q1. Find the Personal Disposable Income (PDI)
Rs. Trillion
National Income
Undistributed Profits
Corporate Taxes
Personal Taxes
Ans.

=
=
=
=

20
1.00
2.00
1.50
Exercise
Q2. Find the NIFA
Rs. crores
GDPFC
NNPFC
Depreciation
Subsidies
Indirect Taxes
Ans.

=
=
=
=
=

7,00,000
8,00,000
7,000
1,000
1,00,000
Exercise
Q3. Find the GNPMP and NNPMP
Rs. crores
GDPFC
NFIA
Indirect Taxes
Subsidies
Depreciation
Ans.

=
=
=
=
=

10,000
500
1,000
500
1,000
Exercise
Q4. Find the GNPMP , NNPFC and PDI
Rs. Lakh crore
GNPFC
Indirect Taxes
Subsidies
Depreciation
Undistributed Profits
Corporate Taxes
Personal Taxes
Ans.

=
=
=
=
=
=
=

15.00
2.00
1.00
1.2
0.5
3.00
1.50
Exercise
Q5. Find the GNPMP , GDPMP, NNIMP, NDPMP and PDI
Rs. crore
GDPFC
= 30,000
Indirect Taxes
= 4,000
Subsidies
= 2,000
Depreciation
= 2,000
Undistributed Profits
= 1,250
Corporate Taxes
= 6,000
Personal Taxes
= 4,000
Factor Income received from abroad = 7,500
Factor income paid abroad
= 9,000
Ans.
Q6. A) Find the real national income or national income at
constant price.
B) Find the real annual growth in NI for various years
Year

NI AT
Current Prices (Rs
000’ crores)

Wholesale Price
Index Number
(Base 1993-94=100)

1994-95 854.1

112.6

1995-96 941.8

121.6

1996-97 1093.9

127.2

1997-98 1376.8

132.8

1998-99 1583.1

140.7

1999-00 1740.2

145.3

2000-01 1878.4

155.7

2001-02 2060.6

161.3
Methods of Estimating
National Income
A quick recap…
 NI

=

NNPFC

 NNPFC

=

NDPFC

 NDPFC

=

GDPMP – D + S – T

+

NFIFA

We will now estimate NDPFC by the 3 methods
3 Interpretation of NI
National Income = National Product = National Expenditure

Y= O=E


The sum of values of all goods and services produced
( Production).



The sum of all incomes, in cash and kind, accruing to factors of
productions in a year (Distribution).



The sum of consumers, investment and government expenditure
(Expenditure).
Sectors used for Estimates
3 Methods of estimating NI
1.

Value Added Method

2.

Income Method

3.

Expenditure Method
1. Value Added Method


Called as Output or Production method



Value added is the difference between a firm’s sales and its
purchase of raw materials and services from other firms.



The economy is divided into different industrial sectors:

Agriculture, fishing, mining, manufacturing, construction,
trade, transport, communication ..............


Contribution of each enterprise to the generation of flow is
measured
1. Value Added Method
Objective

Method of
Estimation

Value Add

Source of
Data

Estimate
Total Output/
Production

Value Add

Output
Price

Enterprises

Input
Cost
The Process
Classification into industrial sectors
Calculate Net Output
for each enterprise

Total units produced X MRP

Subtract – Input cost

O - I = P (production)

Subtract – Depreciation & Indirect Tax

P–D+S–T

= Value Add of each enterprise
Collate for all enterprises in a sector

Sector contribution

Collate for all sectors

NDPFC
Precautions
To be Included in NI

Not to be included in NI

1. Rent of self- occupied

1.

houses
2. Value of production for self
consumption

2.
3.

Sale and purchase of second
hand goods
Value of intermediate goods
Value of services of Housewives
2. Income Method


It approaches NI from distribution side



To produce goods and services we require the factors of production



The owners of these factors participate in the production for which
they receive INCOME – Wages, rent, interest and profit.



It identifies the productive enterprises and classify them into various
sectors



It’s the sum of incomes of all individuals of a country
2. Income Method
Objective

Income
Difficulties in
differentiating
earnings

Estimate
Total Income
Wages,
Rents,
Interests,
Profits.
land vs capital
labour vs entrepreneurial
function

Income
Classification

Labour
Capital
Mixed

Source of
Data

Enterprises
The Process
Classification into industrial sectors
Classify factor payments

Labour, Capital, Fixed

Measure Labour Payments

Wages & Salaries

Why have we not accounted for

Measure Capital Payouts
1. Depreciation

Dividends, Undistributed Profits
Indirect Interest, Royalties, Rent
Taxes

&
2. Rent/ Interest income received by Individuals
Measure Mixed Income
Self-employed
(Salaries cum Profits)3. Exports/ Imports

Collate for all enterprises in a sector

Sector contribution

Collate for all sectors

NDPFC
Precautions

To be Included in NI

Not to be included in NI

1.Imputed rent of self- occupied

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

houses
2. Value of production for self
consumption

Transfer Payments
Illegal Money
Windfall gains- prizes, lotteries
Corporate profit Tax
Sale of second- hand goods
3. Expenditure Method
Estimate
Total
Expenditure

Objective

Individuals or
Households

Nature of
Expenditure
Government

Enterprises

Expenditure by foreigners
on Exports – Expenditure
on buying Imports
The Process
Final private consumption expenditure

C (individuals/ households)

Government’s final consumption
expenditure

G

Gross domestic capital formation
(Fixed capital + Addition to stocks)

I (enterprises)

Net Exports

X-M

Summation = Total Expenditure

C + G + I + (X-M) = GDPMP

Subtract : Depreciation

GDPMP – D = NDPMP

Subtract : Indirect taxes

NDPMP – (S-T) = NDPFC
Precautions
Not to be included in NI
1.

Sale and purchase of second hand goods

2.

Expenditure on intermediate goods

3.

Expenditure on Transfer Payments

4.

Purchase of shares and Bonds as they do not
add to NI.
In Sum
 Value


Added

NI = (P-D) + (S-T) + (X-M) + (R-P)

 Income


NI = (w + r + i + n) + (X-M) + (R-P)

 Expenditure


NI = (C + I + G) + (X-M) + (R-P)
Choice of Method


Choice of Method depends upon
i) The purpose of national income analysis
ii) Availability of necessary data



The task of estimating NI in India is with CSO ( Central statistical
organization)



CSO uses output and Income method
 Output Method – Agriculture and Manufacturing
 Income Method - Services
Difficulties in calculating NI
1.

Non- Monetized Transactions

2.

Black Money

3.

Double Counting

4.

Transfer Incomes

5.

Growing Service Sector

6.

Household Services

7.

Social Services

8.

Environmental Cost

9.

Government Incomes

10.

Capital Gains
Difficulties in India
1.

Reliable data is not available

2.

Large regional diversity

3.

Illiteracy

4.

Lack of differentiation of economic functions

5.

Presence of unorganized sectors

6.

Presence of large non- monetized transactions

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National income

  • 3. How do we measure the performance of an economy? A country’s economic performance is measured by indicators of National Income ( GDP or GNP). Performance of an economy is the level of production (of goods and services) or total economic activity. It estimate’s the total value of production in an economy.
  • 4. Definition of National Income “National income is a measure of the total market value of the goods and services (output) produced by an economy over a period of time (normally a year)”. 1) It is a Monetary Measure 2) Goods and Services to be counted only once ( Final goods and not intermediate goods)
  • 5. Need for the Study of National Income A national income measure serves various purposes regarding economy, production, trade, consumption, policy formulation, etc. 1. To measure the size of the economy and level of country’s economic performance. 2. To trace the trend or speed of the economic growth in relation to previous year(s) as well as to other countries. 3. To know the structure and composition of the national income in terms of various sectors and the periodical variations in them. 4. To make projection about the future development trend of the economy.
  • 6. 5. To help government formulate suitable development plans and policies to increase growth rates. 6. To fix various development targets for different sectors of the economy on the basis of the earlier performance. 7. To help business firms in forecasting future demand for their products. 8. To make international comparison of people’s living standards. However it has its own “Limitations”……….
  • 7. 3 Interpretation of National Income National Income = National Product = National Expenditure  The sum of values of all goods and services produced ( Production).  The sum of all incomes, in cash and kind, accruing to factors of productions in a year (Distribution).  The sum of consumers, investment and government expenditure (Expenditure).
  • 8. Circular Flow of Income  Modern Economy is a monetary economy  Money act a medium of Exchange  A circular flow of money or income exist  Each money flow is in opposite direction to real flow  Flow of money income will not always remain constant
  • 9. Economy Household Sector Firms or Business Sector Government Sector Foreign Sector
  • 10. Two Sector Model of Income Distribution Factor Payments Rent, Wages, Interest, profits Economic Resources Land, Labour, Capital, Enterprise Business Firms Households Goods and Services Consumption Expenditure
  • 11. Assumptions    No savings from household or business firms Government has no role in the national economy It’s a closed economy
  • 12. Three Sector Model of Income Distribution What if household save?    The expenditure on goods and services decline Savings reduces the flow of money expenditure to the business firms Firms hire fewer workers / reduce factor payments Causes a fall in Economy's Total Income.  Hence savings a “leakage” from the money expenditure flow Savings = Investments  Investment is injection of money in circular flow of income
  • 13. Three Sector Model of Income Distribution Factor Payments Business Firms Households Consumption Expenditure g in ts w en rro stm Bo nve ri fo Financial Market gs n vi Sa
  • 14. What if Investment ≠ Savings? Investment < Savings       Stocks of goods will Increase Demand reduces Production falls Investment in capital goods will fall Income , output and employment Falls Flow of money contracts  Which leads to  Rate of interest falls  Leads to increase in investment Hence Savings = Investments
  • 15. What if Investment ≠ Savings? Investment > Savings       Stocks of goods will falls Demand rises Production rises Investment in capital goods will rise Income , output and employment increases Flow of money expand  Which leads to  Rate of interest rise  Leads to increase in savings Hence Savings = Investments
  • 16. Why are poor countries poor?  Economic Wealth :  Man-made resources (road, factories, machines, communication system)  Human Resources ( Hard and education)  Technological Resources ( High tech machinery)  Poor countries should grow rich by investing money in physical resources and developing human and technological resources.  Poor countries should grow faster as new investments have the biggest rewards.  Rich countries don’t gain much from further investments: “ law of diminishing returns”
  • 17. Why are poor countries poor?  So what should they do?  They should improve there education, technology and infrastructure.  Since the Returns for investors are high, there should be no shortage of Investment.  Countries should take loan from banks for reconstruction and development.  Countries can take foreign aids from rich countries.  This didn’t happen? WHY?  Except for countries like Taiwan, South Korea, China, India, Singapore
  • 18. Money Flows with Government Sector       Government absorbs a good part of the incomes earned by Households. Government purchases goods and services from firms Government spends on capital goods, infrastructure, defence, education and health etc. Household and firms pay taxes to Government. Government also finance their expenditure by borrowing from the financial market Hence the Government  Intervenes and take preventive and corrective action to stabilise an Economy
  • 19. Three Sector Model of Income Distribution Factor Payments Business Firms Households Consumption Expenditure Financial Market Borrowing Government
  • 20.  Total Expenditure (E) = C + I + G Consumption Expenditure (C) Investment Expenditure (I) Government Expenditure (G)  Total Income (Y) = C + S + T Consumption ( C) Savings (S) Taxes ( T ) E=Y C+I+G= C+S+T I+G=S+T G – T= S – I G> T (Budget deficit) Government borrows from the financial market
  • 21. Four Sector Model of Income Distribution Foreign Sector Factor Payments Households Business Firms Consumption Expenditure Financial Market Borrowing Government
  • 22. Four Sector Model of Income Distribution  Balance of Trade  Export (X) = Import (M)  National Income = C + I+ G+ Xn ( X-M) C + I + G + Xn = C + S+ T
  • 23. India’ GDP growth rate 05-06 06-07 : 9.2% : 9.4% 07-08 : 9%
  • 24. Economic Development Phase 1 : Pre-1991  Policy tended towards  protectionism,  with a strong emphasis on import substitution,  industrialisation,  state intervention in labour and financial markets,  a large public sector,  business regulation, and  central planning.  Faced crises like  Wars – China (61) & Pakistan (65, 71)  Oil crisis (73, 79)  Severe Draughts (65-67)
  • 25. Economic Development Phase 2 : Post-1991  Late 80’s  Policy changes  Eased restrictions on capacity expansion for incumbents,  Removed price controls and  Reduced corporate taxes.  This increased the rate of growth,  But led to high fiscal deficits and a worsening current account.  Balance-of-payment crisis  The collapse of the Soviet Union, which was India's major trading partner.  Gulf War, which caused a spike in oil prices.
  • 27. The basic concepts…  GNP vs GDP  Market Price Vs Factor costs  Gross Vs Net  Nominal Vs Real  PI   ( Personnel Income) Disposable Income Per capita
  • 28. GDP vs GNP  Gross Domestic Product (GDP) GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) “sum total of values of goods & services produced in the country, in a given year”
  • 29. GDP vs GNP  Gross National Product (GNP) GNP = GDP + net factor income from abroad “sum total of values of goods & services produced by the nationals of a country, in a given year”
  • 30. Net factor income from abroad: Is the difference between  income received from abroad by the normal residents of India for rendering services in other countries and  the income paid to the foreign residents for the services rendered by them in India.
  • 31. GDP vs GNP  Gross National Product (GNP) GNPMP = GDPMP + net factor income from abroad GNP = C + I +G + (X-M) + (R-P) R = P = Income receipts from abroad Income paid abroad
  • 32. Requirements for Calculating GNP      It measures the market value of annual output It’s a Monetary measure GNP accounts for goods that are traded through official market i.e free of cost are not included All good and services must be counted once Income earned through illegal activities are not included
  • 33. GDP Vs GNP  GDP  Used when the purpose is to measure the product generated in a country.   i.e. whatever is produced in India, will go to constitute GDP, no matter even if foreigners have contributed towards it GNP  Used when the purpose is to measure the product that accrues to the citizens of a country.  i.e. whatever is produced by Indian nationals whether inside or outside the country will form GNP of India
  • 34. Market Prices Vs Factor Costs  The GNP / GDP can be estimated at    Market Prices Factor Cost The Market Prices is a resultant of   Indirect Taxes; and Subsidies  Factor Cost = Market Price – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies  Hence Factor Cost estimates are more ‘real’.
  • 35. Gross Vs Net  In the process of creating national product – there is erosion of total productive assets  Net estimates account for this erosion (called Depreciation)  Net = Gross - Depreciation
  • 36. Nominal Vs Real  The price trend does not remain constant, it can rise or fall.  Hence the estimates in terms of money value will increase as price of commodities have risen even if their physical output hasn’t.  Economic Growth implies increase in real or physical output than the rise in money value of output.  Adjustment of the National Income figures for the change in prices needs to be done. – Deflating the NI  ‘Real’ estimates account for this increase in prices
  • 37. Nominal Vs Real  Increase in Price  : Is denoted by Price Index Price Index  Selection of Base year  Price Index for Base year is taken to be 100  Price Index for the current year   : (Current base year 1999-2000) Current Year Prices / Base Year Prices X 100 So if Price index is 145 – then prices as compared to Base year have increased by 45%
  • 38. Nominal Vs Real  Real estimates  Hence   Nominal Real = = = Nominal Estimates ---------------------------- X 100 Price Index Estimates at current prices Estimates at fixed prices
  • 39. The Estimates Estimate Definition GDP C + I + G + (X-M) GNP GDP + NFIA GDPFC GDPMP – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies NDP GDP - Depreciation Real GDP Nominal GDP/ Price Index * 100 GNI GNP NNP GNP - Depreciation NI NNPFC
  • 40. National income (NI) or National Income at Factor Cost (NNPFC) It refers to the sum of all incomes earned by factor owners for their contribution of factor services namely land, labour, capital and enterprises in the form of rent, wages, interest and profit. NI = NNPFC = NNP MP - Indirect Taxes + Subsidies
  • 41.  Personal Income (PI) It is the sum of all incomes received by all individual or households during a given year. PI = National Income + Transfer payments – (Social security + Corporate Income tax + Undistributed Profits) Transfer Payments = Incomes which are not earned but received ( Old- age pensions, unemployment compensation, relief payments)
  • 42.  Disposable Income (DI) DI= Personal Income – Personal Taxes Or Disposable income can either be consumed or saved DI= Consumption ( C) + Savings (S) DI includes Transfer payments It is the total income earned and unearned of individuals minus direct taxes.
  • 43.  Per Capita Income (PCI) Per capita income (or) output per person is an indicator to show the living standards of people in a country. If real PCI increases, it is considered to be an improvement in the overall living standard of people. National Income PCI = --------------------------Population
  • 44. The Estimates Estimate Definition GDP C + I + G + (X-M) GNP GDP + FIFA GDPFC GDPMP – Indirect Taxes + Subsidies NDP GDP - Depreciation Real GDP Nominal GDP/ Price Index * 100 GNI GNP NNP GNP - Depreciation NI NNPFC PI NI + Transfer Payments – (Social Security + Corporate Income Tax + Undistributed profits) DI C + S or PI – Personal Taxes PCI NI/ Population
  • 45. Examples… GNP 500 ( Rs Cr) Capital Consumption Allowance - 50 Net National Product (NNP) 450 Indirect Taxes - 60 Subsidies 10 National Income ( NI ) 400 Corporate Profits - 70 Dividends 15 Government Transfer payments 25 Personal Income 370 Personal Indirect Taxes - 70 Disposable Personal Income (DPI) 300 Personal Consumption expenditure - 275 Personal Savings 25
  • 46. Exercise Q1. Find the Personal Disposable Income (PDI) Rs. Trillion National Income Undistributed Profits Corporate Taxes Personal Taxes Ans. = = = = 20 1.00 2.00 1.50
  • 47. Exercise Q2. Find the NIFA Rs. crores GDPFC NNPFC Depreciation Subsidies Indirect Taxes Ans. = = = = = 7,00,000 8,00,000 7,000 1,000 1,00,000
  • 48. Exercise Q3. Find the GNPMP and NNPMP Rs. crores GDPFC NFIA Indirect Taxes Subsidies Depreciation Ans. = = = = = 10,000 500 1,000 500 1,000
  • 49. Exercise Q4. Find the GNPMP , NNPFC and PDI Rs. Lakh crore GNPFC Indirect Taxes Subsidies Depreciation Undistributed Profits Corporate Taxes Personal Taxes Ans. = = = = = = = 15.00 2.00 1.00 1.2 0.5 3.00 1.50
  • 50. Exercise Q5. Find the GNPMP , GDPMP, NNIMP, NDPMP and PDI Rs. crore GDPFC = 30,000 Indirect Taxes = 4,000 Subsidies = 2,000 Depreciation = 2,000 Undistributed Profits = 1,250 Corporate Taxes = 6,000 Personal Taxes = 4,000 Factor Income received from abroad = 7,500 Factor income paid abroad = 9,000 Ans.
  • 51. Q6. A) Find the real national income or national income at constant price. B) Find the real annual growth in NI for various years Year NI AT Current Prices (Rs 000’ crores) Wholesale Price Index Number (Base 1993-94=100) 1994-95 854.1 112.6 1995-96 941.8 121.6 1996-97 1093.9 127.2 1997-98 1376.8 132.8 1998-99 1583.1 140.7 1999-00 1740.2 145.3 2000-01 1878.4 155.7 2001-02 2060.6 161.3
  • 53. A quick recap…  NI = NNPFC  NNPFC = NDPFC  NDPFC = GDPMP – D + S – T + NFIFA We will now estimate NDPFC by the 3 methods
  • 54. 3 Interpretation of NI National Income = National Product = National Expenditure Y= O=E  The sum of values of all goods and services produced ( Production).  The sum of all incomes, in cash and kind, accruing to factors of productions in a year (Distribution).  The sum of consumers, investment and government expenditure (Expenditure).
  • 55. Sectors used for Estimates
  • 56. 3 Methods of estimating NI 1. Value Added Method 2. Income Method 3. Expenditure Method
  • 57. 1. Value Added Method  Called as Output or Production method  Value added is the difference between a firm’s sales and its purchase of raw materials and services from other firms.  The economy is divided into different industrial sectors: Agriculture, fishing, mining, manufacturing, construction, trade, transport, communication ..............  Contribution of each enterprise to the generation of flow is measured
  • 58. 1. Value Added Method Objective Method of Estimation Value Add Source of Data Estimate Total Output/ Production Value Add Output Price Enterprises Input Cost
  • 59. The Process Classification into industrial sectors Calculate Net Output for each enterprise Total units produced X MRP Subtract – Input cost O - I = P (production) Subtract – Depreciation & Indirect Tax P–D+S–T = Value Add of each enterprise Collate for all enterprises in a sector Sector contribution Collate for all sectors NDPFC
  • 60. Precautions To be Included in NI Not to be included in NI 1. Rent of self- occupied 1. houses 2. Value of production for self consumption 2. 3. Sale and purchase of second hand goods Value of intermediate goods Value of services of Housewives
  • 61. 2. Income Method  It approaches NI from distribution side  To produce goods and services we require the factors of production  The owners of these factors participate in the production for which they receive INCOME – Wages, rent, interest and profit.  It identifies the productive enterprises and classify them into various sectors  It’s the sum of incomes of all individuals of a country
  • 62. 2. Income Method Objective Income Difficulties in differentiating earnings Estimate Total Income Wages, Rents, Interests, Profits. land vs capital labour vs entrepreneurial function Income Classification Labour Capital Mixed Source of Data Enterprises
  • 63. The Process Classification into industrial sectors Classify factor payments Labour, Capital, Fixed Measure Labour Payments Wages & Salaries Why have we not accounted for Measure Capital Payouts 1. Depreciation Dividends, Undistributed Profits Indirect Interest, Royalties, Rent Taxes & 2. Rent/ Interest income received by Individuals Measure Mixed Income Self-employed (Salaries cum Profits)3. Exports/ Imports Collate for all enterprises in a sector Sector contribution Collate for all sectors NDPFC
  • 64. Precautions To be Included in NI Not to be included in NI 1.Imputed rent of self- occupied 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. houses 2. Value of production for self consumption Transfer Payments Illegal Money Windfall gains- prizes, lotteries Corporate profit Tax Sale of second- hand goods
  • 65. 3. Expenditure Method Estimate Total Expenditure Objective Individuals or Households Nature of Expenditure Government Enterprises Expenditure by foreigners on Exports – Expenditure on buying Imports
  • 66. The Process Final private consumption expenditure C (individuals/ households) Government’s final consumption expenditure G Gross domestic capital formation (Fixed capital + Addition to stocks) I (enterprises) Net Exports X-M Summation = Total Expenditure C + G + I + (X-M) = GDPMP Subtract : Depreciation GDPMP – D = NDPMP Subtract : Indirect taxes NDPMP – (S-T) = NDPFC
  • 67. Precautions Not to be included in NI 1. Sale and purchase of second hand goods 2. Expenditure on intermediate goods 3. Expenditure on Transfer Payments 4. Purchase of shares and Bonds as they do not add to NI.
  • 68. In Sum  Value  Added NI = (P-D) + (S-T) + (X-M) + (R-P)  Income  NI = (w + r + i + n) + (X-M) + (R-P)  Expenditure  NI = (C + I + G) + (X-M) + (R-P)
  • 69. Choice of Method  Choice of Method depends upon i) The purpose of national income analysis ii) Availability of necessary data  The task of estimating NI in India is with CSO ( Central statistical organization)  CSO uses output and Income method  Output Method – Agriculture and Manufacturing  Income Method - Services
  • 70. Difficulties in calculating NI 1. Non- Monetized Transactions 2. Black Money 3. Double Counting 4. Transfer Incomes 5. Growing Service Sector 6. Household Services 7. Social Services 8. Environmental Cost 9. Government Incomes 10. Capital Gains
  • 71. Difficulties in India 1. Reliable data is not available 2. Large regional diversity 3. Illiteracy 4. Lack of differentiation of economic functions 5. Presence of unorganized sectors 6. Presence of large non- monetized transactions