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The Future of
Social Objects
Nov 10, 2010, London
<0> Warmup
<1> Nature Doesn’t Care
<2> Change
<3> Today
<4> Tomorrow
David Orban
Founder & Chief Evangelist
davidorban
Please connect, now!
<0>
Warmup
27 > 100
..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128
...
0.015625
0.03125
0.0625
0.125
0.5
1
...
Questions
Answers
Ignorance
Kevin Kelly - kk.org
</0>
<1>
Nature
Doesn’t Care
How it Used to Be
“Mother Nature
Is a Bitch!”
Edward A. Murphy, Jr. - 1949 ca.
</1>
<2>
Change
What Changed?
...Then Changed...
...And Changed Again
Technology Is
the Means
Barriers to Adoption
Social
Legal
...
...
Infrastructural
Economic
</2>
<3>
Today We Can Fail
"The formula for success?
Double your rate of failure."
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a
thousandfold our failure rate,
without increasing the
cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow
<Example>
<Yesterday>
Columbus
Water Hemisphere
<Today>
Web 2.0 Startups
</Example>
William Gibson
The future is already here. It is just not evenly
distributed yet
Fred Armitage
The Open
Internet Of Things
Evolving Devices
Spime = SPace + tIME
Bruce Sterling
Spime
memory
computation
communication
location
sensor
Social Object
a spime participating
in structured groups
with humans, or
other spimes
1
Ubiquitous
Connectedness
IPv4
IPv6
Atoms
≈ 109
≈ 1038
≈ 1080
A Granular World
IPv6 & Our Cells
IF we assign a unique address to
each cell in the human body
THEN we can handle a
septillion individuals (10^24)
WITHOUT resorting to NAT! :)
Drawing Fine Lines
Wonderlane
2
Tight Feedback Loop
Necessary Autonomy
Platform Orders of magnitude
PCs ≈ 108
Mobiles ~ Humans ≈ 109
Spimes > 1010
Around Us Already
Ryan Harvey
3
Constantly
Measuring
Interaction
Network Evolution
Generation Isotropy Access
Web data knowledge
Web 2.0 applications social
Spimes sensors world
Redundancy of spimes
NASA JPL
4
Realtime Data
Changing Dialogue
Generation Bandwidth M2M Index
Industrial apps Kb/s 1%
Realtime Web Mb/s 10%
Spime Networks Gb/s 99%+
M2M index: M2M/M2H, communications among machine in proportion to those with humans
Data deluge
µµ
5
New Classes
Of Useful Objects
Not Blind Anymore
Object # sensors
Mobile phone 10
Car 50-100
Awareness
Volvo
Awareness
NYTimes
6
Common Sense Understanding
privacy
relationships
needs
emotions
Empathy
Engaget
</3>
<4>
What Will Be Next?
What’s On Your Radar
Banksy / Robbiedangerous
Originality &
Inventiveness
Work
http://www.flickr.com/photos/jimfischer/248752580/
Food & Shelter
http://www.flickr.com/photos/hamed/1552383685/#/
Democracy
http://www.flickr.com/photos/latitudes/135745767/
New Social Contract
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gsfc/4866242774/
</4>
</end>
Thank You!
widetag.com
davidorban.com

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