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CONSUMER CREDIT:
A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
September 2012
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




    Contents
    Preface..........................................................................................................................3

    Executive summary. ........................................................................................................4
                     .

    Chapter 1: trends, threats and opportunities on the consumer credit market...........................5
                                                                              .

    	       I. Regulatory changes in Europe. .............................................................................5
                                           .

    	       II. Changing consumer expectations.........................................................................6

    	       III. Market changes and the impact on consumer credit...............................................7

    	       IV. The threats to the consumer credit business model.
                                                                 ...............................................12

    	       V.  The opportunities of the consumer credit business model......................................12
                                                                       .

    Chapter 2: changes to the business model of specialist consumer finance companies............13

    	       I. The strategic levers for emerging from the crisis. ...................................................13
                                                                .

    	       II. Actions to optimise business models....................................................................13

    	       III. Actions implemented as part of a change strategy...............................................19

    	       IV. Renewed governance. .....................................................................................22
                                  .

    Chapter 3: increasing customer value. ............................................................................24
                                        .

    	       I. Innovation and development of new offerings for retailers......................................24

    	       II. Innovation and development of new offerings for consumers..................................26
    Chapter 4: towards greater operational efficiency............................................................30
                                                     .

    	       I. Switch to variable costs and reduce middle and back office costs. ..........................30
                                                                               .

    	       II. Managing debt collection to master the cost of credit risk......................................33

    	       III. Urbanising the information system and reducing the total cost of ownership............36

    About us......................................................................................................................40

    Acknowledgements.......................................................................................................42

    What the Think Tank members said.................................................................................43




2
Preface
Sopra Group and Efma are proud to present their analysis entitled “Consumer
credit: a rapidly changing landscape”. This analysis marks the end of the Think
Tank on “Consumer Finance” coordinated by Sopra Group in collaboration with
Efma conducted in may 2012. This analysis aims to examine changes in consumer
credit business models, which have been heavily impacted by the crisis, the recent
regulatory changes and the actions taken in response by specialist consumer credit
companies in order to continue to grow their business while restoring profits to pre-
2007 levels.

The contributions of the participants in the Think Tank organised in conjunction with
the Efma conferences have been integrated into the Sopra Group’s analysis.
The themes covered in this survey are:
  •   he impact on consumer credit of regulatory changes and changes in
     T
     consumer behaviour.
  •   he threats and opportunities for the consumer credit market.
     T
  •   he strategic and operational levers for optimising and reinventing the
     T
     business model in the framework of a renewed system of governance.
  •   he actions to increase customer value.
     T
  •   he ways of increasing operational efficiency.
     T

This latter theme has further been explored by Sopra Group during the
Brussels Efma conference of June 2012 in its intervention entitled: “Improving
operational efficiency: the next challenges facing consumer credit information
systems in Europe”.




Jean-Yves Bruna                                   Patrick Desmarès
Executive Director Strategic Development          Secretary General
Sopra Banking Software                            Efma

	




                                                                                        3
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




    Executive summary
    Consumer credit outstanding fell by 3% in Europe in 2010 and 2011. However, this average masks
    large differences between most Eastern European countries (where households still have relatively
    little debt) and the other more mature countries. This trend has led to the disappearance of local
    players, the withdrawal of international brands from certain countries and the emergence of new
    players from, for example, the telecoms and Internet sectors, some of which have developed a new
    approach to credit, such as direct peer-to-peer lending.

    In response to these challenges to their business model and to counter new entrants, specialist
    consumer finance companies have abandoned their “bigger is better approach” and are refocusing
    their activities on the markets where they have significant strategic positions. This shift in focus
    reflects two underlying trends: optimising the business model and breaking with the existing model,
    depending on each company’s specific situation.

    The Think Tank on consumer credit of May 2012 allowed Sopra Group to identify three levers used
    by specialist consumer finance companies to optimise their business model:
      1.  Value creation: acquiring new customers and developing new loyalty processes.
      2.   perational efficiency: rationalising activities by country, developing closer synergies with
           O
           retail banking when the parent company is a bank, and reducing information system costs and
           operating expenses.
      3.   ighter risks controls: developing default prevention processes and more efficient and better
           T
           segmented debt collection processes.

    However, given the extent to which the business model has deteriorated on some markets, these
    levers may be deemed insufficient, in which case the only viable alternative may be to break with the
    traditional model, by implementing change strategies, based on four areas:
      1.   iversifying towards a bancassurance model in order to increase the number of products .
           D
           per customer.
      2.   xiting certain markets/countries where the potential and the market position are .
           E
           considered unsatisfactory.
      3.   efocusing on the business of distributing credit by outsourcing back offices and IS or
           R
           alternatively constructing loan servicing platforms for third parties.
      4.  Moving into niche markets, such as P2P lending communities.

    Finally, whatever transformation approach is adopted the criteria for creating lasting value for the
    profession (other than the fundamental principles of risk management and operational efficiency)
    must include the following actions:
      •   onstructing a value proposition that is better suited to the needs of increasingly mobile
         C
         customers, in particular by integrating social media.
      •  Capitalising fully on the Internet, for the management of both partners and consumers.
      •   ontinuing to invest in innovation: for example, dematerialisation at the point of sale helps to
         C
         shorten considerably the loan origination and approval processes.
      •  ntegrating the corporate social responsibility expectations of consumers and the regulator, by
         I
         ensuring a duty of advice in terms of approval practices and customer services.




4
Chapter 1: trends, threats and opportunities
on the consumer credit market
I. Regulatory changes in Europe

1. Increased borrower protection

Since 2008, numerous regulatory changes have been introduced in Europe in order to increase
protection for borrowers.

The European Commission’s regulatory initiatives resulted in the Consumer Credit Directive, adopted
on 23 April 2008. This directive…
  •  egulates credit advertising, by requiring adequate explanations to be provided to consumers;
     r
  •   nhances the information to be provided by specialist consumer finance companies to
     e
     consumers, by proposing Standard European Consumer Credit Information and a representative
     example of pre-contractual information to be provided to customers;
  •  equires companies to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers via a database before validating
     r
     the offer and to link the sales contract to the credit agreement;
  •  equires companies to explain to customers why they have been refused credit;
     r
  •  equires companies to inform customers about the interest rate, costs, the method used to
     r
     calculate interest and any changes throughout the life of the agreement;
  •  einforces consumer protection by improving consumer rights (right of withdrawal, right of early
     r
     repayment, etc.) and by clearly formalising the obligations or each of the parties to the agreement;
  •   stablishes the need for transparency regarding intermediaries (costs, obligations, etc.).
     e

The transposition and implementation of this new directive in each European country via a series of
national laws have now been completed according to the specific characteristics of the countries.
In the United Kingdom, France, Turkey and Italy, the transposition of the European directive has
targeted in particular revolving credit.

The framework for granting credit with the assessment of the borrower’s creditworthiness has been
generally reinforced by the European directive, resulting even in regulations governing the credit
approval process (for example Regulation T in Poland). In France, the Lagarde law enshrines the
principle for lenders to set up and consult a central consumer credit database. A report on the
arrangements for the implementation of this register was drawn up by the Constans Commission and
published in August 2011, but it has not yet been transposed into law.

In some States, a law has been enacted on credit intermediaries in order to redefine and
supervise their role. Two major measures have been decided for credit intermediaries. First,
retailers and distributors have been given increased responsibility as regards training and point
of sale information with a view to enabling consumers to choose the type of consumer finance
that corresponds to their personal situation. Secondly, in order to underscore the liability of
intermediaries, lenders now have the possibility to take legal action against an intermediary that fails
to comply with its obligations.

For specialist consumer finance companies, these wide-ranging regulatory changes make the
management of both borrowers and retail partners more complicated.




                                                                                                            5
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




    2. Higher liquidity costs

    At the same time, a new regulatory framework was introduced in September 2010 on the basis of
    the work of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III imposes more challenging capital
    and liquidity ratios on financial institutions, by specifying both short-term (30 day, Liquidity Coverage
    Ratio) and long term (over one year, Net Stable Funding Ratio) liquidity ratios to be respected. As
    financial institutions have up to 2019 to implement Basel III, pressure on the consumer credit costs is
    likely to increase over the next seven years, while the supply of consumer credit is likely to fall at the
    same time. Moreover, budgetary tightening measures adopted to contain the risks of the sovereign
    debt crisis in Europe will also have a direct impact on consumer credit.

    In order to maintain their profitability, banks in certain European countries are prioritising among
    their business lines that consume the most liquidity. Specialist consumer finance companies are also
    choosing between their product lines and targeting the lowest risk consumers in a flight to quality,
    thereby increasing the possibility of a subsequent contraction of balance sheets.

    II. Changing consumer expectations

    For many years before 2008, consumer associations had denounced the dangers of revolving credit
    in several European countries. In particular consumers had the feeling that they were…
      •   adly informed about their projects and “forced” to opt for a revolving credit, in most cases linked to
         b
         a credit card, systematically proposed by specialist consumer finance companies at the point of sale;
      •   adly informed about the loan’s characteristics (total cost, interest rate, etc.).
         b

    The post-crisis period is likely to be characterised by a more cautious and better balanced use of
    credit according to a FICO/Efma survey carried out in May 2011.
      •   ustomers declared that they are less likely to borrow and are more interested in building up
         C
         their savings.
      •   onsumers are more cautious and want to reduce their use of credit although they are sensitive
         C
         to the efforts of specialist consumer finance companies to revitalize their offerings.
      •   ustomers have improved their credit management skills: consumers now prioritise their
         C
         payments and pay down credit card debt in the same way as other obligations, including
         mortgage payments.
      •   esponsible borrowing and lending expectations are increasingly important and transparency
         R
         requirements are higher as regards both lenders and borrowers.

    In conclusion, notwithstanding regulatory changes intended to promote more responsible lending
    and borrowing practices in an enlarged market (“fewer excesses, more access”), credit continues to
    be perceived negatively by consumers in general, with in particular a significant loss of interest in
    revolving credit.




6
III. Market changes and the impact on consumer credit

1. A fall in consumer credit outstanding

The gloomy economic environment, credit restrictions, tighter regulatory requirements and a lack of
liquidity have contributed to the fall in outstanding consumer loans in all European countries.



  GROWTH RATE OF CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING BETWEEN 2009 AND 2011


                                                                        Northern Europe
                                                                        56% of EU’s outstanding

                                                                        Southern Europe
                                                                        37% of EU’s outstanding


                                                                        Eastern Europe
                                                                        7% of EU’s outstanding




                       2010                           2011



       -5

  Source: ASF 2011




In 2011, for the second consecutive year, the European consumer credit market fell. Sofinco’s
annual consumer credit review published in March 2012 shows that consumer credit outstanding
fell by 2.9% in Europe between the end of 2010 and the end of 2011. This decline affected all
European regions: Southern Europe fell by 4.9%; Eastern Europe by 3.2% and Northern Europe by
1.5%. Some countries have even recorded stronger falls, such as Spain (-14%) and Ireland (-12%).
Overall, consumer credit levels fell in 20 out of 27 EU counties and there was therefore a very sharp
contraction in loan production.

2. A mixed situation on the consumer credit market

a. Significant geographical differences
The European Union represents almost a quarter of the world consumer credit market and total
consumer credit outstanding in the EU amounted to 1 071 billion euros in 2011. However, its
distribution is very uneven between European regions. There is a strong concentration of lending
in Northern Europe and Southern Europe, since these two regions account for 56% and 37%
respectively of total consumer credit outstanding, while they represent 41% and 39% respectively of
the European Union’s population. On the other hand, volumes are relatively low in Eastern Europe
since this region accounts for 7% of total consumer credit outstanding, whereas it represents 20% of




                                                                                                        7
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




    the European Union’s population. Five countries stand out in Northern Europe and Southern Europe:
    the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and Spain, since they account for 75% of total loans
    outstanding and represent 63% of the European Union’s population.

    b. Consumer credit growth potential is higher in Eastern European countries
    Despite significant geographical differences in total outstanding consumer loans, three indicators
    point to a higher consumer credit growth potential in Eastern European countries:
      •   he growth rate of household debt between 2009 and 2011 (see chart below) which reached
         T
         around 30% in Eastern European countries, such as Turkey, while it is very low (around 0%) in
         Northern and Southern European countries.
      •   he proportion of consumer credit in total household debt is still very low in Eastern European
         T
         countries, compared with 16% for the European Union as a whole.
      •   he “household debt ratio” which translates total consumer loans outstanding in relation to the
         T
         total household consumption of a country (see chart on page 9) is far lower in Eastern European
         countries compared with a European average of 14.6% in 2011.

    The consumer credit market therefore has significant growth potential in Eastern European countries in
    comparison with Northern European and Southern European countries where the markets are mature.



      INCREASE IN HOUSEHOLD DEBT OUTSTANDING

      90
                                                                       CAGR 2002-09 (Compound Annual Growth Rate)                                                                       CAGR 2009-11
      60


      30


      0


      -30
            Ukraine
                      Romania
                                Russia
                                         Turkey

                                                  Bulgaria
                                                             Hungary
                                                                        Czech Rep
                                                                                    Poland
                                                                                             Slovakia
                                                                                                        Greece
                                                                                                                 Slovenia
                                                                                                                            Spain

                                                                                                                                    Ireland
                                                                                                                                              Austria
                                                                                                                                                        Denmark
                                                                                                                                                                  France
                                                                                                                                                                           Italy

                                                                                                                                                                                   UK
                                                                                                                                                                                        Belgium

                                                                                                                                                                                                  Portugal
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Nettherlands
                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Germany




      Source: IHS Global Insight, based information from European central banks




8
RATIO OF HOUSEHOLD DEBT OUTSTANDING TO GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN 2011
  by type of loan


   160
                                                                           Mortgage Loans                                            Consumer Loans                                                Other Loans

   120


   80


   40


   0
         Romania
                   Poland
                            Czech Rep
                                        Hungary

                                                  Russia
                                                           Ukraine
                                                                     Bulgaria
                                                                                Turkey
                                                                                         UK
                                                                                              Denmark
                                                                                                        Austria
                                                                                                                  Belgium

                                                                                                                            France
                                                                                                                                     Germany
                                                                                                                                               Greece
                                                                                                                                                        Ireland
                                                                                                                                                                  Italy

                                                                                                                                                                          Netherlands
                                                                                                                                                                                        Portugal

                                                                                                                                                                                                   Slovakia
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Slovenia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Spain
  Source: IHS Global Insight, based on information from European central banks




3. Differences by type of product between European countries

a. A stagnation of outstandings and a fall in the production of revolving credit in certain regions
The development of revolving credit, which was previously heavily promoted by specialist consumer
finance companies because of its high returns and contribution to customer retention, is a model
which is gradually being called into question in all European countries. The production of revolving
credit decreased sharply between 2008 and 2009 and revolving credit outstanding has stabilised in
countries in groups 2 and 3 (see chart on page 10), especially in France and Italy.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 9
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




       EVOLUTION OF REVOLVING CREDIT OUTSTANDING BETWEEN 2008 AND 2011
       BY GROUP OF COUNTRIES

        200
                                                        Group 1                           Group 2                          Group 3

        150


        100


        50


        0
                          2008                          2009                           2010                           2011

       Group 1: UK, Netherlands, Turkey, Portugal; Group 2: Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia;
       Group 3: Belgium, Italy, Ireland, Slovenia, Spain, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Russia, Hungary, Poland, Romania


       Source: IHS Global Insight




     This slowdown can be attributed to several factors:
       •  From the customer’s point of view:
          – Worsening product perceptions.
          – A growing awareness of its cost.
          – The unstable economic environment.
       •  From the point of view of specialist consumer finance companies:
          –  ower returns: an increase in the cost of risk and regulatory changes in certain countries, .
            L
            such as France.
          – The implementation of responsible lending principles and practices which favour instalment loans.

     b. A core business of specialist consumer finance companies which is under attack
     In mature countries, the core business of specialist consumer finance companies, which differ from banks
     by their specific revolving credit know-how and distribution partnerships, is therefore under attack.
     Furthermore, the possibilities for these lenders to switch to other consumer credit products are limited:
       •   ecause instalment credit has a lower cost of risk than revolving credit, the former is increasingly
          B
          distributed by account managers in bank networks and, accordingly, the pressure on margins on
          this type of lending has increased since 2008.
       •   ebt consolidation requires significant customer knowledge and mortgage expertise. The
          D
          involvement of specialist consumer finance companies in this activity therefore remains marginal.
          This activity was previously the domain of specialised financial institutions that distributed their
          products via brokers. However, the major banking networks, which have the advantage of good
          overall customer knowledge, mortgage expertise and the possibility to monitor borrowers, whose
          salary is paid directly into their bank account, are increasingly moving into this market segment.
          Their risk perspectives are better than those of specialist consumer finance companies.




10
4. The competitive landscape of the consumer credit market

Since 2007, the competitive landscape has changed radically:
  •   cquisitions by banks of non-bank specialised credit providers, with a view to boosting liquidity
     A
     and capital.
  •   he increased influence of bank shareholders in joint ventures with distributors. The
     T
     disappearance or withdrawal of certain players and specialised subsidiaries (Internet pure
     players and direct credit subsidiaries) for liquidity and risk reasons.
  •   eturns have trended down for all consumer credit players, even if 2010 was marked by an
     R
     upturn in profits. Nonetheless, profits are still far below the pre-crisis levels. According to IHS,
     profitability levels should stabilise between 2012 and 2015 and outstanding consumer loans
     are likely to increase only moderately. Credit production is not expected to return to 2008 levels
     before 2015.
  •   he end of the race to achieve critical mass, with traditional players repositioning themselves and
     T
     refocusing on the markets where they have significant, profitable market shares, and in some cases
     withdrawing from countries where the cost of risk is too high or their market share is inadequate.
  •   he arrival of new entrants on the consumer credit market (P2P, Telco, Utilities).
     T



  EVOLUTION OF AGGREGATED LOANS OUTSTANDING (€BN) AND PROFITABILITY (%)
  on the basis of a panel selected by IHS

                                 Outstanding loans         After-tax result/shareholders’ equity
  16%                                                                                              €400


  12%                                                                                              €300


  8%                                                                                               €200


  4%                                                                                               €100


  0                                                                                                0
                2006           2007             2008              2009              2010


  Source: IHS Global Insight




This new competitive landscape is forcing traditional consumer credit providers to rethink their
business model.




                                                                                                            11
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     IV. The threats to the consumer credit business model

     There are three major threats hanging over the consumer credit business model: pressure on margins,
     pressure on overheads and pressure on the cost of risk.
     The pressure on net banking income (volume and margin) is linked to…
       •  the decrease in the consumption of capital goods;
       •  credit restrictions leading to a reduction in the customer base of eligible customers;
       •  increased competition between lenders competing for customers with the best risk profile;
       •  the arrival of new entrants on the market.

     In addition, certain countries may continue to reduce their usury rates in the coming years.
     The upward trend in overhead costs is due to…
       •  he radicalisation of local regulations, with increased protection for borrowers, resulting in more
          t
          comprehensive documentation and more preliminary credit controls;
       •   stabilisation or increase in commissions paid to distribution networks and business introducers
          a
          in a context of falling interest rates.

     Finally, it is more difficult to manage the cost of risk because of…
       •  he increase in overindebtedness in mature countries and in certain emerging countries such .
          t
          as Poland;
       •  he lasting effects of economic stagnation and the rise in unemployment undermine the
          t
          creditworthiness of borrowers during the life of the credit (prime to nearprime, near to subprime);
       •  he increased difficulties in recovering non-performing credits, leading to an increase in LGD
          t
          (Loss Given Defaults), with an adverse financial impact on provision calculation models.

     V. The opportunities for the consumer credit business model

     Faced with this bleak outlook, it would be a mistake for market participants to ignore the
     opportunities open to them if they can adapt to these new expectations and needs.
       •   ap into demand in emerging markets where a middle class is emerging:.
          T
          In 2012, 50% of the population in emerging countries belongs to the middle classes. According
          to INSEE’s projections, 80% of the population of emerging countries will belong to the middle
          classes in 2030. However, penetration rates for durable goods remain low.
       •   dapt products to changing demand:.
          A
          The challenge is to launch simpler and more practical products based on new means of payment that
          come from e-commerce and m-commerce. These new offers are developed for more mobile and often
          younger consumers, also targeted by the major Internet players and mobile telephone operators.
       •   inance new needs for new customers:.
          F
          Long-term societal changes are likely to lead to changes in the way credit is promoted, with
          specialist consumer finance companies placing the emphasis on projecting a strong image of
          corporate responsibility to their customers. Pensioners, whose numbers are increasingly strongly
          in the old Europe, could conceivably make greater use of credit to finance their projects, while
          young adults are increasingly employed under fixed-term contracts or on a part-time basis.

     In conclusion, the traditional consumer credit business model, based on the acquisition of new
     customers, in particular thanks to in-store distribution partnerships, and on customer retention via
     revolving credit card accounts, has been under threat since 2008. Specialist consumer finance
     companies are reacting by optimising or reinventing their business model.




12
Chapter 2: changes to the business model
of specialist consumer finance companies
I. The strategic levers for emerging from the crisis

Four major strategic levers have been identified in this survey to enable specialist consumer finance
companies to return to profitability. The actions to be taken as part of the implementation of these strategic
levers need to be coordinated with actions intended to renew the governance of these companies.



  DESCRIPTION OF FOUR STRATEGIC LEVERS TO EMERGE FROM THE CRISIS

     Optimisation                                                                       Change


     Lever 1 - Optimisation of the exisiting model                                      Lever 2 - New business models
     Adjust loyalty strategies                                                          Enlarge the offer of consumer credit
                                                                Transformation Levers




     Enlarge the number of customers eligible for                                       Diversify into peer-to-peer lending
     consumer credit                                                                    Capitalise on the Internet and mobile canal
     Redistribute activities between countries:                                         Explore opportunities to exit some
     focus on countries with high potential and proven                                  loss-making countries
     business models



     Lever 3 - Optimisation of the operational model                                    Lever 4 - New operational models
     Create European (nearshore) and international                                      Switch to variable costs through outsourcing and
     (offshore) industrial platforms                                                    Software as a service (SaaS)/Business process as
     Develop synergies between specialist consumer                                      a service (BpaaS) model
     finance companies and retail banks



                                 Upgrade governance
                                 Reinforce the control frameworks and the role of central (vs. local)
                                 Transpose social responsibility issue into responsible lending


  Source: SOPRA Group




II. Actions to optimise business models

1. Adjusting customer loyalty strategies

The business model currently in use in specialist consumer finance companies was based mainly on
customer acquisition. However, the gloomy economic outlook and recent regulatory changes have
increased customer acquisition costs. As these costs are increasingly high, it is becoming more cost-
effective for specialist consumer finance companies to deploy loyalty strategies (from mass marketing
to one-to-one market thanks to behavioural segmentation), especially as they are now less expensive
thanks to the development of new technologies and the Internet.




                                                                                                                                           13
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     Customer retention strategies mean that it is necessary to adapt the customer lifecycle, by…
       •  multiplying customer contract opportunities thanks to the sale of additional products;
       •  mproving prevention processes by detecting more rapidly potential customer defaults (silent risky);
          i
       •  calling customers in the case of late payment to propose solutions to prevent overindebtedness.

     2. Combating the downward trend in the customer base of eligible borrowers

     a. The downward trend in the pool of eligible borrowers
     At the current time, the customer base of eligible borrowers is declining in mature countries in
     Northern Europe and Southern Europe due to three major societal changes:
       1.   opulation ageing, which may be expected to encourage specialist consumer finance companies
            P
            to finance more projects for seniors: according to Eurostat’s forecasts, the percentage of people
            aged 60 or over in Europe will reach 29.5% in 2030, versus 17.4% at the current time.
       2.   he weakening of the family structure, which is likely to lead to lenders reconsidering the
            T
            growing importance of people living on their own and single-parent families: according to
            Eurostat data, the number of single-parent families in Europe in 2011 varies between 15% and
            20% depending on the country, and this number is increasing constantly.
       3.   rowing labour market instability which concerns all categories of the population. This should
            G
            in particular encourage specialist consumer finance companies to review the way they profile
            young people: according to Eurostat, fixed-term contracts represent 50% of all new employment
            contracts concluded in the European Union. This increase in fixed-term contracts has been
            accompanied by a reduction in job tenure and a fall in labour market entry ages. But the
            majority of young adults go from one fixed-term contract to another and some lenders have
            succeeded in characterising and segmenting this type of customer in order to grant them loans
            tailored to their specific professional situation.

     This decrease in the customer base of eligible borrowers linked to societal changes has been
     intensified by the introduction of more stringent customer selection criteria because of a fall in the
     profitability of consumer credit.

     b. The need to expand the customer base by adjusting population targeting criteria
     In order to halt the decline in the customer portfolios of specialist consumer finance companies,
     Sopra Group considers that the criteria for targeting eligible borrowers need to be revisited in the
     light of these societal changes and the new challenges facing the industry.



       PROPOSED NEW ADDITIONAL CUSTOMER TARGETING CRITERIA

       Prioritisation 	 Parameters used	            New parameters to	         Proposed change in 		
       		                                           take into account	         the customer selection rule
       1	 Job tenure of less than	 Sector in which the	                        The more the sector is dynamic in 	
       	  1 year	                  individual works	                           terms of job creation, the lower the 	
       			                                                                     job tenure risk
       2	 Single-parent families	 The familiy’s assets	                        The higher the assets, the lower the 	
       			                                                                     risk of overindebtedness


       Source: SOPRA Group




14
Some previously discriminating loan application criteria, such as job tenure and single-parent family
status, could be reconsidered on the basis of more in-depth customer knowledge and by introducing
offerings adapted to their situation in order to re-integrate previously ineligible profiles.

3. Redistributing the activities of specialist consumer finance companies between countries and creating
European industrial platforms

In order to optimise their profitability, specialist consumer finance companies are rethinking their
international investments by:
  •   ocusing their investments on high-potential countries and withdrawing from countries where they
     F
     generate insufficient profits or have not yet reached critical mass. For example, in the revolving
     credit segment, specialist consumer finance companies may be inclined to develop their activities
     on the booming Eastern European markets.
  •   eorganising, even pooling some activities between countries (creation of pan-European
     R
     industrial platforms).
  •   ooling certain components of the value chain (CRM, information systems, debt collection, etc.) with the
     P
     retail bank of the same country, which is often the parent company of the consumer credit provider



              UNICREDIT’S MULTICHANNEL, MULTI-COUNTRY STRATEGY
 MultiChannel readiness rnline banking usage




                                                                                                                                               Development of
                                                                                                         GPD growth 2015
                                                                                                                                             multichannel banking
                                               50

                                               40
                                                                                                                 Germany                              1
                                                                                                                           Austria              Multichannel
                                               30                                                                                               Champion
                                                      Turkey                              Slovenia

                                                                Czech Rep                            Poland
                                               20                                                                                                      2
                                                                                Hungary                                              Italy
                                                                                                                                                   Step-up
                                               10                                                                                                multichannel
                                                                                           Serbia
                                                                 Russia                               Bulgaira                                     offering
                                                                          Romania

                                                100        200                300           400             500                      600
                                                                          Branch density per million inhabitants

   Optimisation                                                      3                                           4
   of cost                                                     Reduction of                           Selective growth based
   structure                                                   cost-to-serve                         on mkt attractiveness and
                                                                                                       UniCredit postitioning


              Source: Unicredit – Driving a Pan-European Multichannel Strategy




                                                                                                                                                                    15
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     To develop its activities, Unicredit has taken account of the specific characteristics of each of the
     countries where it operates, by distinguishing countries with a multichannel development potential
     from countries where cost optimisation is possible.

     This analysis has enabled Unicredit to refine its overall strategy and redistribute its activities to take
     the specific characteristics of countries into account. For example, Unicredit has pooled its call
     centers in low-cost countries such as Turkey and has reinforced the weight of digital channels in those
     countries where the quality of the customer experience is essential, such as Germany.



       UNICREDIT’S MULTICHANNEL, MULTI-COUNTRY STRATEGY

                                Multichannel*        Example of strategy implementation
                            1     2    3    4

          Italy                                     “Branch network             •   Cashless spoke branches
                                                    transformation and          •   Call center boost/upgrade
                                                    sales increase”             •   Online banking sales enablement boost
                                                                                •   Best-in-class mobile offering

          Germany                                   “Shift to predominantly     • Smart banking services
                                                    multi-channel model”        • Remote video sales/advice, extended opening hours
                                                                                • Further enablement of direct sales in multi channels

          Turkey                                    “Fund growth from           • Expand distribution smartly, introduce remote unattended branches
                                                    cost savings”               • Leverage advanced call center
                                                                                • Step up Web/Online banking

          Czech Rep                                 “Focus on Multichannel      • Boost web, social media, e-payments, self service
                                                    exploiting the huge           as aquistion methods
                  = Focus                           internet users base”        • Smart network expansion



       * Multichannels: 1 Multichannel Champion; 2 Step-up multichannel offering; 3 Reduction of cost-to-service; 4 Selective physical network development
       Source: Unicredit – Driving a Pan-European Multichannel Strategy



     The redistribution of multi-country activities will inevitably lead specialist consumer finance companies
     to explore the benefits of creating international rather than simply European platforms (see chapter 4:
     Operational efficiency).




16
4. Developing synergies between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks

The distinction between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks is becoming increasingly
blurred. For several years, specialist consumer finance companies have also been providing banking
products and services while, vice versa, banks have been distributing consumer credit products.



  CHANGES IN THE ACTIVITIES OF SPECIALIST CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANIES

              Phase 1                           Phase 2                             Phase 3
     Specialist credit institutions         Service providers               Banking product providers

          Credit acceptance                     Servicing                           Savings

         Credit management                                                         Insurance
            (and customer care)


             Soft collection
     (call center, debt rescheduling,...)


     Hard and legal collection


  Source: SOPRA Group




Specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks are now facing the same challenges:
winning back consumer confidence, reducing the risk of overindebtedness among their customers
and protecting their profit margins despite increased constraints on volumes and costs.

Some specialist consumer finance companies have already multiplied synergies with their parent company.




                                                                                                          17
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




       ADVANTAGES OF DEVELOPING SYNERGIES BETWEEN SPECIALIST CONSUMER
       FINANCE COMPANIES AND RETAIL BANKS

       Advantages for specialist consumer finance companies
       Banks are in a position to provide liquidity to specialist consumer finance companies, including on local markets.
       Cross-selling credit and banking products makes it possible to expand the network of partners, increase the customer
       portfolio and enhance customer loyalty
       Banks have specific risk management expertise and specific knowledge of traditional banking products from which specialist
       consumer finance companies are increasingly benefiting


       Advantages for retail banks
       Consumer credit is a profitable business (the projected ROE of banks is between 10% and15% on average, compared with
       18% to 20% for specialist consumer finance companies).
       Specialist consumer finance companies have specific expertise in certain activities such as scoring, customer monitoring,
       collection, e-credit and have IT platforms which could be shared by retail banks
       Specialist consumer finance companies can be laboratories to test new practices, such as e-credit and dematerialisation
       Specialist consumer finance companies have developed extensive partnership networks and would enable banks to be
       present at points of sale


       Example of synergies within the Société Générale group
       In France, the personal loans of Société Générale’s retail bank are managed by the group specialist consumer credit arm
       Franfinance under the Sogefinancement brand.
       In Russia, Rusfinance and Rosbank have a joint system for contacting car dealers for car loans.
       In the Czech Republic, Komercni Banca and Essox share the same call centers for collection purposes.


       Source: SOPRA Group




     The development of synergies between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks helps to
     reduce the pressure on margins with a more streamlined organisation thanks to a better division of work,
     a focus on value added activities, a reinforcement of risk management procedures, the acquisition of new
     consumers, a better customer follow-up, a wider range of services, an access to more liquidity, an access
     to partnerships put in place (in particular at points of sale) and a reduction in overhead costs.

     The successful implementation of synergies between retail banks and specialist consumer finance
     companies presupposes that…
       •  he role of each party is clearly defined at central and local levels;
           t
       •  he independence of the specialist consumer finance company is guaranteed:
           t
          -    inancial autonomy which assumes that it has the necessary liquidity thanks to a diversified
           – F
                offering and the optimisation of its customer portfolio.
          -–  The possibility to develop synergies outside the group.
          –   he possibility for specialist consumer finance companies to offer banking services and take
          - T
               deposits.




18
III. Actions implemented as part of a change strategy

1. Diversifying the consumer credit offering

Specialist consumer finance companies can diversify their offerings in various ways:



  FIVE AREAS OF DIVERSIFICATION FOR CONSUMER CREDIT OFFERINGS
                                     Universe 2
                     1                                          Un
                 rse                              2                 ive
               e                                                        rse
         U niv               1                                                3

               Life Insurance                                Home
                                                                              3
                                        Payment
                         Savings                      Auto
                                                                                  Universes
                                                                                  1. Savings business diversification
                                       Credit
                                   consommation                                   2. Payment business diversification
                                                                                  3. Insurance business diversification
                                                  Debt                            4. Credit business diversification
                                            consolidation loan
                                                                                  5. Loan  mortgage debt
                         Micro Credit                                                consolidation diversification
           4
                                                   Mortgage

                   Uni                       5
                      vers                                          5
                          e4                                 erse
                                                      Univ

  Source: SOPRA Group




  1.   iversification by boosting balance sheet deposits (collecting deposits, savings accounts) as a
       D
       way of reducing the cost of liquidity and retaining customers when they have repaid a loan.
  2.   iversification into payment services as a way of developing into high-potential markets, such as
       D
       m-payments and e-payments, especially in emerging countries.
  3.   iversification into non-life insurance products, such as motor insurance and home insurance
       D
       would enable specialist consumer finance companies to engage in cross-selling and retain
       their customers via insurance products closely linked to car loans or loans to finance home
       improvement work.
  4.   iversification into the credit market consists for specialist consumer finance companies in extending
      D
      their activities to microcredit in emerging countries. Microcredit is not a traditional activity for
      specialist consumer finance companies since it targets a market of entrepreneurs and individuals,
      but it could be profitable given their expertise in project risk analysis and their networks in the
      field (distributors decentralised from micro-financing institutions). This diversification would enable
      specialist consumer finance companies to target specific customers in emerging countries, while
      participating in the fight against social exclusion and promoting responsible lending.
  5.   ebt consolidation (mortgages and other debt) is increasingly becoming the domain of banks
       D
       which use it as a signature product. In this regard, specialist consumer finance companies could
       adopt a distributor model (business introducer) for their parent company or banking partners.




                                                                                                                          19
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     2. Positioning on peer-to-peer lending communities

     Peer-to-peer lending communities bring together lenders and borrowers in P2P transactions via an
     Internet platform. The intermediary which operates the Internet platform does not bear the the risk
     (except for its own contribution) since the risk is assumed directly by the community of lenders.



        CREDIT APPROVAL PROCESS IN PEER-TO-PEER LENDING

                                                         Traditional activity              Activities relative to intermediary
       acceptance of funds
       from private lenders
       Management of the




                              The traditional value chain of credit institutions is doubled because of the management of lenders...

                               Lender              Acceptance           Validation
                               subscription

                               Borrower
                                                   Acceptance           Validation          Utilization           Recovery
                               subscription



                               Online              Assessing                                Customer
                               subscription        instantly the        Final decision      management            Return on debt
                                                   creditworthiness

                                                                                            Repayment
                               Creation of         Instant response     Funds collection    (private borrowers
                               customer file                            and provision       to private lenders)


                                                Management of the provision                            Management of customers
                                                of funds based on investment                           repayment based on a model
                                                          orders from lenders                          of risk sharing



        Source: SOPRA Group




     P2P lending communities can be an additional lever for traditional specialist consumer finance companies:
       •   irst, the offering is attractive. For lenders, P2P community lending offers a more attractive risk/
           F
           return trade-off than a market investment, while for borrowers the rate  of P2P loans is lower than
           the market rate.
       •   econdly, the model is cost-effective and relatively risk-free. The commission (or application fee)
           S
           charged by the intermediary is deducted directly from the amount disbursed to the borrower at the
           time of the transaction. The liquidity costs are lower because of the limited amount lent in its own
           name by the specialist consumer finance company: the total lent directly by the specialist consumer
           finance company on the platform is determined in advance. This amount may be low since it is
           intended above all to reassure customers about the quality of the loans. The risk cost for the specialist
           consumer finance company is low because the risk is directly borne by the lenders.
       •   inally, P2P lending communities can be set up rapidly by these companies because they are
           F
           very familiar with ALM regulations for lenders and the credit chain for borrowers (scoring, credit
           bureaus and eligibility criteria).




20
The marketing of P2P lending communities supposes, on the one hand, the creation of a new brand
(because of the difference in lending rates between a traditional credit offering and P2P lending
and to avoid confusion among consumers) and, on the other hand, an exclusively online distribution
model to keep costs low. For specialist consumer finance companies this involves, therefore, putting
in place multi-brand and multi-product management procedures and closely monitoring customer and
lender acquisition costs.

3. Capitalising on the opportunities created by Internet and mobile channels for traditional
credit providers

Unlike other industries, the consumer credit sector has not been marked by an influx of new entrants
with attractive pricing models offering little or no service. A pure player could cut its distribution and
management costs thanks to its Internet and mobile positioning. However, such a model is not really
feasible for new entrants since the credit management costs are low in comparison with the cost
of liquidity and risk: there is limited scope for making substantial cuts in the interest rates charged
to borrowers. Moreover, a low-cost (full web or full mobile) distribution model, without any human
interaction, would encounter problems because of the high risk cost (especially during the loan
approval and collection phases).

Nonetheless, specialist consumer finance companies could reinforce their multichannel strategy, in
particular on the Internet (e-credit, m-credit), and set up partnerships with new e-commerce players
and the retail sector which is undergoing a revolution (see Chapter 3).

4. Assessing whether it would be appropriate to withdraw from certain countries

When market conditions are unfavourable, the alternative to finding synergies with banks, reducing
costs or making a modest investment in low-potential countries is to exit the country in question.

The underlying principle behind this strategy is therefore for specialist consumer finance companies
to refocus on those activities where they are the most successful (“do more what you do best”) on
growth markets. These actions need to be carried out in consultation with the parent company
(retailer or bank) for which consumer credit is only part of its overall offering.

5. Switching to variable costs via outsourcing

In order to change their business model and cut their costs, specialist consumer finance companies
have the possibility to outsource or industrialise their back office and their information system.
Outsourcing enables specialist consumer finance companies to refocus on an activity of distributing
credit, while industrialisation enables them to remain producers and even become service providers
for third parties (see Chapter 4).




                                                                                                             21
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     IV. Renewed governance

     1. Reinforcing control frameworks and the role of central versus local

     The role of central versus local has been reinforced in recent years, with closer monitoring of
     acceptable credit risk levels and tighter controls on operational risk management and more generally
     on all profitability levers.



       ROLE OF CENTRAL (VS. LOCAL) BEFORE AND AFTER THE CRISIS


                              Pre-crisis                                        Post-crisis


                                                                     More synergies as a result of closer
                    Relative independence of
                                                                      integration between retail banks
            credit institutions owned by retail banks
                                                                     and consumer finance companies


                                                                 Operational control by the parent company of
           Strong local autonomy in terms of strategy,           the companies concerned: product and price
           target customers, information systems and             strategy; credit risks; costs cutting; operational
          organisation as long as the credit institutions        efficiency (internal platforms) and compliance
                         were profitable                             requirements (responsible lending, etc.).

       Source: SOPRA Group




     2. Transposing corporate social responsibility issues into responsible lending
     Responsible lending is a means of…

       •  mproving the reputation of consumer credit which has suffered as result of the subprime crisis;
           i
       •  mproving the pool of eligible consumer credit borrowers by changing segmentation criteria
           i
           (fixed-term contracts of employment and seniors);
       •   reating market opportunities by linking the financing of purchases of durable goods and
           c
           traditional credit offerings (bonuses for the purchase of low carbon-emission cars, etc.);
       •  nvesting in the quality of the long-term consumer relationships.
           i

     For specialist consumer finance companies, responsible lending means complying with the processes
     described below.




22
CHANGES TO THE CREDIT BUSINESS MODEL LINKED TO THE IMPLEMENTATION
   OF A RESPONSIBLE LENDING APPROACH


   Putting a responsible     Dialoguing with           Dialoguing with        Adapting processes        Training all the
   lending approach at       customers                 stakeholders                                     staff involved in
   the centre of the                                   (consumer                                        the value chain
   company’s project                                   associations)


   Being more                Spending time             To improve credit      To offer a high-quality
   transparent and           qualifying customers      offerings and market   experience to new
   providing indicators      Explaining to customers   acceptance             consumers
   such as rejection rates   why their loan request
                             has been rejected and
                             how they could
                             become eligible

                         Managing performance according to corporate social responsibility standards


   • Managing customers by identifying events which indicate a potential future problem
   • Adapting operational performance criteria



   Source: SOPRA Group




A responsible lending approach involves publishing completely transparent new indicators, such as
the monthly refusal rate, adopting new practices, such as explaining the reasons why consumer loan
applications are rejected, and defining wider eligibility rules.

In conclusion, responsible lending is not a revolution, but is part of the transformation of the business
model when it is linked to (or combined with) regulatory changes and societal changes.




                                                                                                                            23
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     Chapter 3: increasing customer value
     To grow NBI per customer it is necessary to increase customer and partner satisfaction via a renewed
     customer experience, better suited to the new media and new consumer behaviour patterns. The
     drivers of increased customer value are examined below:
       •  nnovation and the development of new offerings for retailers and business introducers;
           I
       •  nnovation and the development of new offerings for consumers, in particular multichannel
           I
           relations and a responsible credit offering, by improving the quality of the customer experience.

     I. Innovation and development of new offerings for retailers

     1. Dematerialisation at the point of sale helps to cut costs and save time

     Recent changes in the European regulatory framework have made credit processing and approval
     processes more burdensome. Paperless procedures, for example obtaining the customer’s signature
     on a tablet, would facilitate and accelerate part of the formalities and thereby reduce costs:
       •   etailers save on paper.
           R
       •   he company saves time and considerably reduces the costs involved in transmitting paper
           T
           documents, form-filling and archiving.



       DEMATERIALISATION OF THE CREDIT ORIGINATION AND APPROVAL PROCESS IN FRANCE


             Instruction process following new regulation          Simplified process after dematerialization

                     in
               ation
        Illustr nce           Personal information file                  A single document containing
             Fra
                                                                        customer’s agreement to have all
       3 documents to                                                     his/her files dematerialized
      be signed by the             Dialogue file
          customer
                                                                                       RESULTS
                                      Contract

                                                             Front Office Processing            Middle Office (Bank)
                                                               time nearly divided                 Transmission and
                                                                  by 2 at POS*                  archiving time divided
                                                                                                approximately by 4*

                                                            * Based upon a pilot of 400 retailers produced by a bank

       Source: SOPRA Group




     In France, several point-of-sale paperless initiatives have already been piloted and are likely to be
     rolled out on a wider scale in the international subsidiaries of the major players.




24
2. Capitalising on e-commerce and m-commerce to develop new offerings for retailers

Despite the buoyant growth of e-commerce between 2009 and 2011, with an increase of 18.2%
versus 2010, and a European e-commerce market valued at more than 200 billion euros in 2011
(according to the London-based Center For Retail Research), specialist consumer finance companies
have not fundamentally changed their value proposition next to their partners. E-retailers wanting
to install a mean of payment linked to a credit offering must contact the specialist consumer finance
company via a traditional approach (involving meetings with sales teams) and will be offered a
solution which consists in offering customers the possibility to pay in several times thanks to their
credit card. Specialist consumer finance companies therefore could maintain sales teams to market
their products to large and medium-sized retailers but it would not be cost-effective under these
conditions to target the vast number of small e-retailers.

However, in order not to miss out on the exceptional market opportunities created by e-commerce, some
companies have developed innovative solutions. Two types of solutions aimed at retailers are noteworthy:
  •   pecific solutions designed for large retail chains: for example, Crédit Agricole Consumer
     S
     Finance has supported La Redoute (leading French e-commerce operator which concludes the
     bulk of its sales online) by developing a digital wallet service, which simplifies and accelerates
     payments, and enables customers to benefit from credit terms when making payment. This wallet
     replaces the traditional physical credit card.
  •   ackaged solutions which are accessible to any retailer that wants to offer credit terms to its
     P
     online customers and thereby increase significantly its sales. These solutions do not require
     customers to have a physical credit card. The e-retailer submits its partnership application directly
     online and receives a reply from the specialist consumer finance company which then sends it the
     packaged solution to be downloaded and installed on the e-retailer’s website. This solution does
     not involve organising meetings with the specialist consumer finance company and therefore
     generates significant time savings.



  INTERNET PLATFORM (1EURO.COM) DESIGNED BY A FRENCH SPECIALIST CONSUMER
  FINANCE COMPANY (COFIDIS) TO OFFER AN E-CREDIT SOLUTION TO E-RETAILERS

                                     For the specialist consumer finance company
                                       An Internet credit platform enabling it to:
                                  • increase its visibility via e-commerce partnerships
                        • capture new customers, not captured via credit cards, at a lower cost
                          • reduce marketing costs and develop partnerships at a lower cost
                                        • target both large and small e-retailers



                    For e-consumers                                                For e-retailers
     Payment options in several instalments without the             Possibility to offer payment facilities and
          need to have a revolving credit card                    self-financing solutions which enable them to
                                                                             increase their online sales

  Source: SOPRA Group




                                                                                                                  25
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     II. Innovation and development of new offerings for consumers

     The economic crisis and new consumption patterns have impacted on consumer expectations.



       BORROWER EXPECTATIONS AND MEANS OF SATISFYING THESE EXPECTATIONS

                     Borrower expectations                                        Means


              A better quality customer experience              • Low prices
                                                                • Transparent and flexible offerings
                                                                • Simplified, secure access to services
                 More responsible consumption                   • A
                                                                   value proposition segmented by type
                                                                  of consumers, taking recent societal
                                                                  changes into account
            To interact with specialist consumer finance        •  dvice tailored to the customer’s needs
                                                                  A
          companies on their offerings and to contribute          and the coordination of communities
           to the development of products and services            via social networks
                                                                •  ore points of contact with customers
                                                                  M
                                                                  (via social networks, mobile devices,
             To have multi-channel access to services,            telephone, the Internet, etc.)
                 in particular via mobile channels


       Source: SOPRA Group




     1. Improving the quality of the customer experience

     Customers want to optimise their purchasing experience based on…
       •   ccess to information before purchasing that enables them to make the right choice;
           a
       •  he possibility to consult their online networks to obtain feedback on the products and services
           t
           that they are considering buying;
       •   ccess to the necessary means to make purchases wherever they are;
           a
       •  eceiving suitable advice either at the point of sale or via remote channels;
           r
       •   n enhanced check-out experience thanks to better designed and more welcoming physical
           a
           points of sale.

     Specialist consumer finance companies need to transform the traditional transactional model into
     a relationship-driven model, use digital channels to optimise and personalise the customer lifecycle
     (from customer acquisition to supporting customers in the management of their loans – see illustration
     13) and improve the physical structures distributing their products (see illustration on page 27).




26
OPTIMISED CUSTOMER ACQUISITION AND SUPPORT PLAN

            @ home with family/friends                       While moving                            @ the office

                                                                  I’m in the
                              I’m watching TV,                      public
                                listening to the               transportation
                              radio during my                   or in my car
                               breakfast while                                       I’m in the office and I’m
                             checking weather                                          surfing on the Internet
                                                                                       during my lunch time
                            forecasts and travel




                            I’m watching TV,               I’m in my                      I’m looking for my lunch at
                              surfing on the           convenience store                 the food corner ( lunch time)
                           Internet or calling
                                  friends
                                                        I’m in the public
                                                      transportation or in
                                                             my car
                                                                                                  When shopping

  Source: BNP PF - Efma Conference – Changing models in the credit sector




  THE CONCEPT-STORES DEVELOPED BY METRO BANK
  Mutichannel sales
  Maintaining a local presence via local branches while increasing access via digital channels
  Capitalising on all contact opportunities (emails, social networks, video, etc.)


  Innovative branches
  Rolling out innovative branch models as a way of changing customer perceptions of the banking sector: fun atmosphere, etc.
  Increasing value added interactions with branch staff by freeing up time for sales and advice
  Recruiting staff on the basis of their customer service skills rather than their knowledge of financial services skills

  An innovative customer vision
  Developing emotional ties between consumers and their bank by focusing on brand attachment
  Interconnecting all channels in order to trace the history of all customer interactions
  Automated intelligence for following up all channel/customer interactions

  Practical experience and services
  Introducing simple but convincing services

  Source: SOPRA Group




This is how Metro Bank illustrates the transformation to be implemented. Metro Bank’s analysis is based
on the conviction that consumers attach more importance to the quality of service than to the interest
rate. The pillars of Metro Bank’s strategy to develop a new customer experience are therefore…




                                                                                                                               27
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     Metro Bank’s growth model is based on a high level of customer satisfaction.

     Another innovative example is also based on a multichannel offering: the specialist consumer finance
     company Sberbank (ex Deniz Bank), based in Turkey, has focused on reactivity and undertakes to
     respond to a customer loan request within 5 or 10 minutes via an ATM, SMS or by telephone. This
     value proposition is based on a very high-quality central consumer credit database.

     2. Developing responsible credit offerings

     Wrongly or rightly, specialist consumer finance companies have been blamed for the excessive debt
     problems of part of their customers. This explains why consumer organisations and the public authorities
     have called for more responsible lending practices. In most sectors, corporate social responsibility is focused
     on key issues such as the environment, health and well-being. In the financial services sector, these issues
     also include the need to inform and educate customers and prevent problems of overindebtedness.

     Companies have undertaken numerous initiatives to demonstrate their responsible behaviour...
       •   dapting their offerings to make them less risky and easier to understand for customers;
           a
       •  ncreasing their efforts as regards information, financial education and raising customer
           i
           awareness about the financial impact of loans;
       •   upporting their customers throughout their lifecycle;
           s
       •   eveloping new offerings that respond to customer environmental concerns and responsible
           d
           consumption expectations.

     To educate their customers, several companies have launched variable rate credit cards which
     reward the repayment performance of their customers: consumers who meet the repayment schedule
     are rewarded by an interest rate reduction, which can even result in the last repayment instalments
     beings waived. On the other hand, in the event of a payment default, the interest rate is increased.

     In order to integrate corporate social responsibility criteria, ING has launched an environmentally
     responsible loan which enables consumers who take out a car loan to benefit from an advantageous
     rate if they buy a low-carbon emission car. The aim of this initiative is to stimulate the “green” car
     market, for both new and second-hand cars.

     3. Capitalising on the new distribution channels

     a. E-credit and m-credit
     Although e-commerce and m-commerce are growing rapidly at European level, the fact remains that
     penetration rates vary considerably from one country to another: for example, in Europe, online sales
     in Italy represent 2% of retail sales versus 11% in the United Kingdom.

     From e-commerce to e-credit, it is just a few easy steps… that consumers are reluctant to take. The
     first obstacle to e-credit is linked to consumer fears about online payment. That is why Compass,
     a specialist consumer finance company in Italy, has developed a physical credit card with an
     integrated mini-keyboard and screen. This system ensures maximal security for customers and
     enables the company to guarantee transactions even in the case of fraud. Financing requests are
     submitted directly online via the consumer’s personal space or via a dedicated smartphone app.
     A loan simulator enables consumers to view the financing plan corresponding to their online loan
     application. The second obstacle to e-credit is linked to the type of credit (for example, revolving
     credit) which calls for advice and high degree of expertise.




28
There are also stumbling blocks for finance companies, namely the high risk level of the customers
captured and questions regarding the validity of electronic signatures for credit offers.

Each country has responded in its own way to these obstacles: putting in place a central consumer
credit database, legislation recognising online electronic signatures and secure e-payments with
market standards.

Noteworthy specific company initiatives include...
  •  acilitating seamless access to transactional services (viewing account balances, transfers, etc.)
     f
     via mobile apps;
  •   roposing products specifically online;
     p
  •   eveloping partnerships with mobile virtual network operators (MVNO) in order to close the gap
     d
     between e-credit and m-credit and expand the brand territory. For example, Cofidis, a specialist
     consumer finance company in France, distributes straightforward, commitment-free, budget-
     priced mobile packages, adapted to its customers.

b. Social media
Today, almost 75% of teenagers and young adults (18-25 year olds) use social networks in Europe
(Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin, etc.). In this regard, it is preferable to use the wider concept of social
media, which includes not only social networks but also forums, blogs, collaborative platforms (such as
Wikipedia) and multimedia platforms (such as YouTube). According to Gartner’s projections, by 2015,
50% of Internet sales will be generated by a presence on social media. Social media have therefore
become not only a key challenge for specialist consumer finance companies, but also an opportunity to...
  •  nteract with customers constantly connected about the services offered and about prevention,
     i
     without the specialist consumer finance company intruding into the life of consumers;
  •   atisfy consumer demand for a multichannel experience;
     s
  •  mprove their online reputation provided that they really listen to consumers and that consumers
     i
     can obtain rapid and appropriate answers;
  •   nhance customer loyalty, since satisfied consumers will spontaneously defend their bank in
     e
     response to negative comments about it.

Specialist consumer finance companies are still in the initial stages of adopting this channel: they
monitor comments posted about them on social media in order to defend their e-reputation and
define their value creation strategy. The challenge is to improve their business performance via a
carefully considered and consistent presence on the various social media.
To move to the next level, specialist consumer finance companies should ideally respect several rules:
  •   dopt the same overall strategy on social media as on their other channels, while attempting to
      A
      maintain the same image and disseminating homogenous information.
  •   ommunicate with consumers by involving employees, who are the best spokespersons of their
      C
      company, and by training staff in the use of these new media.
  •   ffer new services to consumers (for example, warning them via Twitter about account movements).
      O
  •  nvolve consumers in the development of products and services.
      I

In conclusion, although specialist consumer finance companies are very much aware that they need
to become more involved on social networks, they are still undecided about the best way to social
media as a source of business in their own right.




                                                                                                           29
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     Chapter 4: towards greater operational efficiency
     I. Switch to variable costs and reduce middle and back office costs

     1. Switching to variable costs via outsourcing

     Specialist consumer finance companies are increasingly outsourcing or industrialising their back office and
     their information and operating systems, depending on the strategy adopted, in order to optimise their
     operational efficiency. Outsourcing enables financial institutions to refocus on an activity of distributing
     credit, while industrialisation enables them to remain producers and even become service providers for
     third parties (including for competitors), and to reduce the unit cost of their credit management.


       FRAMEWORK OF ACTIVITIES WHICH COULD BE INDUSTRIALISED OR OUTSOURCED
                                                                         Business activity           Support functions

                                          Industrialisation                        Internalisation

                                   Contract management                  Credit          Acceptance policy
        Business                     Credit servicing                underwriting       risk management
        Specific
         Assets
                                                                       Marketing             Debt collection


                                           Outsourcing                             Internalisation

                             Litigation      HR      Administration        Organisation          Finance
          Non
        Specific
         Assets              Information system       Accounting


                               Production  support activities                 Strategic activities
       Source: SOPRA Group




     Furthermore, some support functions, which are not business-specific or strategic, are ideally suited
     to outsourcing: notably, accounting, facilities management (property management, purchasing,
     mail, etc.), as well as human resources (industrialisation of payroll, etc.), provided that the specific
     regulatory constraints of the countries concerned are taken into account.

     2. Pooling back offices to enhance the quality of service by creating international industrial platforms

     a. Advantages of pooling activities for the consumer credit industry
     Consumer credit, which is one of the most industrial segments of the banking and parabanking sector,
     is structurally geared to capturing the advantages of pooling namely: economies of scale, thanks to the
     centralisation of the activity; improved productivity; and cost-sharing as regards the implementation of
     changes (regulatory, etc.). It also enables companies to deliver a standardised quality of service, by
     benchmarking best practices, achieving crucial mass for back offices and centralising expertise. Lastly,
     it enables companies to improve their operational risk controls by...
       •  mproving anomaly detection and processing (better qualification and capitalisation on other
           i
           experiences, etc.);
       •  acilitating the implementation of regulatory and product changes;
           f
       •  mplementing in-depth controls.
           i




30
b. Advantages of international pooling
International pooling involves grouping core business activities (middle and back-office), sharing
information systems via centralised platforms and, sometimes, constructing regional hubs to handle
support activities (HR, accounting, regulatory matters).

This pooling is fully in line with the challenges facing specialist consumer finance companies which
want to reduce their costs and rationalise their international networks, which are based on a mixture
of acquisitions and specifically formed foreign entities. Nonetheless, there has been little pooling as
yet of back offices in the consumer credit industry in Europe and most of the initiatives in this area
have concerned intra-country back office mergers (for example the pooling of credit management
and collection implemented by BNP PF and Société Générale in the countries where retail banks and
specialist consumer finance companies co-exist).

c. International pooling: the obstacles and drivers
The current low level of pooling in Europe can be attributed to the importance of the obstacles which
companies face, since international pooling cannot be implemented across all activities in all countries:
  •   he lack of integration of credit legislation within the EU complicates matters. Although Brussels
     T
     wants to harmonise the practices of specialist consumer finance companies at European level,
     the fact remains that national regulators tend to change their laws according to their country’s
     specific issues.
  •   ot all activities can be pooled geographically because of very significant differences as
     N
     regards market research costs and IT development.



  INTERNATIONAL POOLING: DRIVERS AND OBSTACLES

                        Local level             National level                          National level

    Key drivers         • Physical proximity    •   High volumes                        •   High volumes
                        • Need for reactivity   •   High fixed costs                    •   High fixed costs
                                                •   High investments                    •   High investments
                                                •   Rare expertise                      •   Rare expertise
                                                •   Little need for customer physical   •   Little need for closeness to the customer,
                                                    proximity at B/Office level             the workforce and management

    Obstacles                                   • Complexity                            • Complexity
                                                  – Adaptation of the back-office         – Adaptation of the back-office to diverse
                                                    to diverse product offerings            product offerings
                                                  – Different IS to                       – Different IS
                                                • Low reactivity                          – National banking regulation
                                                                                          – Protection of customer data
                                                                                          – Different languages and cultures
                                                                                          – Different payroll costs
                                                                                        • Low reactivity

    Financial gains




  Source: SOPRA Group




                                                                                                                                         31
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE




     d. Activities which can be pooled internationally by specialist consumer finance companies
     The objective of pooling activities internationally is to industrialise them while respecting each
     country’s specific characteristics. Some activities lend themselves more readily to pooling than others:
       •   ore business activities: credit origination and management, soft collection via call centers
          C
          provided that this is not detrimental to the customer relationship (see chart below).
       •   upport functions: network assistance, accounting, facilities management and HR (see chart on page 33).
          S



       SPOTLIGHT ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE ACTIVITIES OF SPECIALIST
       CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANIES

       Activities	                Critical	 Industrialisation process	            Need for	      Customer	      Strategic 	 National
       	                          size		                                          expertise	     sensitivity	   importance	 constraint
       Credit acceptance	         +++	     High	                                  Average	       High	          High	         Average
       Credit management	         ++	      High	                                  Average	       Average	       Average	      Average
       Soft collection	           ++	      Strong industrialisation in process	 Average	         High	          High	         Average
       Hard and legal collection	 ++	      High	                                  Average	       Average	       Average	      High
       Savings	                   +	       High	                                  Average	       High	          Average	      Average


                                                                                   Driver of pooling     Neutral        Obstacle of pooling

       Activities	                 Possibility of international pooling
       Credit Acceptance	          Yes, while leaving activities under the country’s responsibility (scoring, etc.)
       Credit Management	          Yes
       Soft Collection	            Yes, but without undermining the customer relationship
       Hard and Legal Collection	 Not recommended because of the need for close contact with the parties involved (bailiffs, etc.)
       Savings	                    Not recommended because of the lack of critical size


       Source: SOPRA Group




32
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE
CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE

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CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE

  • 1. REPORT CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE September 2012
  • 2. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Contents Preface..........................................................................................................................3 Executive summary. ........................................................................................................4 . Chapter 1: trends, threats and opportunities on the consumer credit market...........................5 . I. Regulatory changes in Europe. .............................................................................5 . II. Changing consumer expectations.........................................................................6 III. Market changes and the impact on consumer credit...............................................7 IV. The threats to the consumer credit business model. ...............................................12 V. The opportunities of the consumer credit business model......................................12 . Chapter 2: changes to the business model of specialist consumer finance companies............13 I. The strategic levers for emerging from the crisis. ...................................................13 . II. Actions to optimise business models....................................................................13 III. Actions implemented as part of a change strategy...............................................19 IV. Renewed governance. .....................................................................................22 . Chapter 3: increasing customer value. ............................................................................24 . I. Innovation and development of new offerings for retailers......................................24 II. Innovation and development of new offerings for consumers..................................26 Chapter 4: towards greater operational efficiency............................................................30 . I. Switch to variable costs and reduce middle and back office costs. ..........................30 . II. Managing debt collection to master the cost of credit risk......................................33 III. Urbanising the information system and reducing the total cost of ownership............36 About us......................................................................................................................40 Acknowledgements.......................................................................................................42 What the Think Tank members said.................................................................................43 2
  • 3. Preface Sopra Group and Efma are proud to present their analysis entitled “Consumer credit: a rapidly changing landscape”. This analysis marks the end of the Think Tank on “Consumer Finance” coordinated by Sopra Group in collaboration with Efma conducted in may 2012. This analysis aims to examine changes in consumer credit business models, which have been heavily impacted by the crisis, the recent regulatory changes and the actions taken in response by specialist consumer credit companies in order to continue to grow their business while restoring profits to pre- 2007 levels. The contributions of the participants in the Think Tank organised in conjunction with the Efma conferences have been integrated into the Sopra Group’s analysis. The themes covered in this survey are: • he impact on consumer credit of regulatory changes and changes in T consumer behaviour. • he threats and opportunities for the consumer credit market. T • he strategic and operational levers for optimising and reinventing the T business model in the framework of a renewed system of governance. • he actions to increase customer value. T • he ways of increasing operational efficiency. T This latter theme has further been explored by Sopra Group during the Brussels Efma conference of June 2012 in its intervention entitled: “Improving operational efficiency: the next challenges facing consumer credit information systems in Europe”. Jean-Yves Bruna Patrick Desmarès Executive Director Strategic Development Secretary General Sopra Banking Software Efma 3
  • 4. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Executive summary Consumer credit outstanding fell by 3% in Europe in 2010 and 2011. However, this average masks large differences between most Eastern European countries (where households still have relatively little debt) and the other more mature countries. This trend has led to the disappearance of local players, the withdrawal of international brands from certain countries and the emergence of new players from, for example, the telecoms and Internet sectors, some of which have developed a new approach to credit, such as direct peer-to-peer lending. In response to these challenges to their business model and to counter new entrants, specialist consumer finance companies have abandoned their “bigger is better approach” and are refocusing their activities on the markets where they have significant strategic positions. This shift in focus reflects two underlying trends: optimising the business model and breaking with the existing model, depending on each company’s specific situation. The Think Tank on consumer credit of May 2012 allowed Sopra Group to identify three levers used by specialist consumer finance companies to optimise their business model: 1. Value creation: acquiring new customers and developing new loyalty processes. 2. perational efficiency: rationalising activities by country, developing closer synergies with O retail banking when the parent company is a bank, and reducing information system costs and operating expenses. 3. ighter risks controls: developing default prevention processes and more efficient and better T segmented debt collection processes. However, given the extent to which the business model has deteriorated on some markets, these levers may be deemed insufficient, in which case the only viable alternative may be to break with the traditional model, by implementing change strategies, based on four areas: 1. iversifying towards a bancassurance model in order to increase the number of products . D per customer. 2. xiting certain markets/countries where the potential and the market position are . E considered unsatisfactory. 3. efocusing on the business of distributing credit by outsourcing back offices and IS or R alternatively constructing loan servicing platforms for third parties. 4. Moving into niche markets, such as P2P lending communities. Finally, whatever transformation approach is adopted the criteria for creating lasting value for the profession (other than the fundamental principles of risk management and operational efficiency) must include the following actions: • onstructing a value proposition that is better suited to the needs of increasingly mobile C customers, in particular by integrating social media. • Capitalising fully on the Internet, for the management of both partners and consumers. • ontinuing to invest in innovation: for example, dematerialisation at the point of sale helps to C shorten considerably the loan origination and approval processes. • ntegrating the corporate social responsibility expectations of consumers and the regulator, by I ensuring a duty of advice in terms of approval practices and customer services. 4
  • 5. Chapter 1: trends, threats and opportunities on the consumer credit market I. Regulatory changes in Europe 1. Increased borrower protection Since 2008, numerous regulatory changes have been introduced in Europe in order to increase protection for borrowers. The European Commission’s regulatory initiatives resulted in the Consumer Credit Directive, adopted on 23 April 2008. This directive… • egulates credit advertising, by requiring adequate explanations to be provided to consumers; r • nhances the information to be provided by specialist consumer finance companies to e consumers, by proposing Standard European Consumer Credit Information and a representative example of pre-contractual information to be provided to customers; • equires companies to assess the creditworthiness of borrowers via a database before validating r the offer and to link the sales contract to the credit agreement; • equires companies to explain to customers why they have been refused credit; r • equires companies to inform customers about the interest rate, costs, the method used to r calculate interest and any changes throughout the life of the agreement; • einforces consumer protection by improving consumer rights (right of withdrawal, right of early r repayment, etc.) and by clearly formalising the obligations or each of the parties to the agreement; • stablishes the need for transparency regarding intermediaries (costs, obligations, etc.). e The transposition and implementation of this new directive in each European country via a series of national laws have now been completed according to the specific characteristics of the countries. In the United Kingdom, France, Turkey and Italy, the transposition of the European directive has targeted in particular revolving credit. The framework for granting credit with the assessment of the borrower’s creditworthiness has been generally reinforced by the European directive, resulting even in regulations governing the credit approval process (for example Regulation T in Poland). In France, the Lagarde law enshrines the principle for lenders to set up and consult a central consumer credit database. A report on the arrangements for the implementation of this register was drawn up by the Constans Commission and published in August 2011, but it has not yet been transposed into law. In some States, a law has been enacted on credit intermediaries in order to redefine and supervise their role. Two major measures have been decided for credit intermediaries. First, retailers and distributors have been given increased responsibility as regards training and point of sale information with a view to enabling consumers to choose the type of consumer finance that corresponds to their personal situation. Secondly, in order to underscore the liability of intermediaries, lenders now have the possibility to take legal action against an intermediary that fails to comply with its obligations. For specialist consumer finance companies, these wide-ranging regulatory changes make the management of both borrowers and retail partners more complicated. 5
  • 6. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE 2. Higher liquidity costs At the same time, a new regulatory framework was introduced in September 2010 on the basis of the work of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Basel III imposes more challenging capital and liquidity ratios on financial institutions, by specifying both short-term (30 day, Liquidity Coverage Ratio) and long term (over one year, Net Stable Funding Ratio) liquidity ratios to be respected. As financial institutions have up to 2019 to implement Basel III, pressure on the consumer credit costs is likely to increase over the next seven years, while the supply of consumer credit is likely to fall at the same time. Moreover, budgetary tightening measures adopted to contain the risks of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe will also have a direct impact on consumer credit. In order to maintain their profitability, banks in certain European countries are prioritising among their business lines that consume the most liquidity. Specialist consumer finance companies are also choosing between their product lines and targeting the lowest risk consumers in a flight to quality, thereby increasing the possibility of a subsequent contraction of balance sheets. II. Changing consumer expectations For many years before 2008, consumer associations had denounced the dangers of revolving credit in several European countries. In particular consumers had the feeling that they were… • adly informed about their projects and “forced” to opt for a revolving credit, in most cases linked to b a credit card, systematically proposed by specialist consumer finance companies at the point of sale; • adly informed about the loan’s characteristics (total cost, interest rate, etc.). b The post-crisis period is likely to be characterised by a more cautious and better balanced use of credit according to a FICO/Efma survey carried out in May 2011. • ustomers declared that they are less likely to borrow and are more interested in building up C their savings. • onsumers are more cautious and want to reduce their use of credit although they are sensitive C to the efforts of specialist consumer finance companies to revitalize their offerings. • ustomers have improved their credit management skills: consumers now prioritise their C payments and pay down credit card debt in the same way as other obligations, including mortgage payments. • esponsible borrowing and lending expectations are increasingly important and transparency R requirements are higher as regards both lenders and borrowers. In conclusion, notwithstanding regulatory changes intended to promote more responsible lending and borrowing practices in an enlarged market (“fewer excesses, more access”), credit continues to be perceived negatively by consumers in general, with in particular a significant loss of interest in revolving credit. 6
  • 7. III. Market changes and the impact on consumer credit 1. A fall in consumer credit outstanding The gloomy economic environment, credit restrictions, tighter regulatory requirements and a lack of liquidity have contributed to the fall in outstanding consumer loans in all European countries. GROWTH RATE OF CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING BETWEEN 2009 AND 2011 Northern Europe 56% of EU’s outstanding Southern Europe 37% of EU’s outstanding Eastern Europe 7% of EU’s outstanding 2010 2011 -5 Source: ASF 2011 In 2011, for the second consecutive year, the European consumer credit market fell. Sofinco’s annual consumer credit review published in March 2012 shows that consumer credit outstanding fell by 2.9% in Europe between the end of 2010 and the end of 2011. This decline affected all European regions: Southern Europe fell by 4.9%; Eastern Europe by 3.2% and Northern Europe by 1.5%. Some countries have even recorded stronger falls, such as Spain (-14%) and Ireland (-12%). Overall, consumer credit levels fell in 20 out of 27 EU counties and there was therefore a very sharp contraction in loan production. 2. A mixed situation on the consumer credit market a. Significant geographical differences The European Union represents almost a quarter of the world consumer credit market and total consumer credit outstanding in the EU amounted to 1 071 billion euros in 2011. However, its distribution is very uneven between European regions. There is a strong concentration of lending in Northern Europe and Southern Europe, since these two regions account for 56% and 37% respectively of total consumer credit outstanding, while they represent 41% and 39% respectively of the European Union’s population. On the other hand, volumes are relatively low in Eastern Europe since this region accounts for 7% of total consumer credit outstanding, whereas it represents 20% of 7
  • 8. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE the European Union’s population. Five countries stand out in Northern Europe and Southern Europe: the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy and Spain, since they account for 75% of total loans outstanding and represent 63% of the European Union’s population. b. Consumer credit growth potential is higher in Eastern European countries Despite significant geographical differences in total outstanding consumer loans, three indicators point to a higher consumer credit growth potential in Eastern European countries: • he growth rate of household debt between 2009 and 2011 (see chart below) which reached T around 30% in Eastern European countries, such as Turkey, while it is very low (around 0%) in Northern and Southern European countries. • he proportion of consumer credit in total household debt is still very low in Eastern European T countries, compared with 16% for the European Union as a whole. • he “household debt ratio” which translates total consumer loans outstanding in relation to the T total household consumption of a country (see chart on page 9) is far lower in Eastern European countries compared with a European average of 14.6% in 2011. The consumer credit market therefore has significant growth potential in Eastern European countries in comparison with Northern European and Southern European countries where the markets are mature. INCREASE IN HOUSEHOLD DEBT OUTSTANDING 90 CAGR 2002-09 (Compound Annual Growth Rate) CAGR 2009-11 60 30 0 -30 Ukraine Romania Russia Turkey Bulgaria Hungary Czech Rep Poland Slovakia Greece Slovenia Spain Ireland Austria Denmark France Italy UK Belgium Portugal Nettherlands Germany Source: IHS Global Insight, based information from European central banks 8
  • 9. RATIO OF HOUSEHOLD DEBT OUTSTANDING TO GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN 2011 by type of loan 160 Mortgage Loans Consumer Loans Other Loans 120 80 40 0 Romania Poland Czech Rep Hungary Russia Ukraine Bulgaria Turkey UK Denmark Austria Belgium France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Slovakia Slovenia Spain Source: IHS Global Insight, based on information from European central banks 3. Differences by type of product between European countries a. A stagnation of outstandings and a fall in the production of revolving credit in certain regions The development of revolving credit, which was previously heavily promoted by specialist consumer finance companies because of its high returns and contribution to customer retention, is a model which is gradually being called into question in all European countries. The production of revolving credit decreased sharply between 2008 and 2009 and revolving credit outstanding has stabilised in countries in groups 2 and 3 (see chart on page 10), especially in France and Italy. 9
  • 10. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE EVOLUTION OF REVOLVING CREDIT OUTSTANDING BETWEEN 2008 AND 2011 BY GROUP OF COUNTRIES 200 Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Group 1: UK, Netherlands, Turkey, Portugal; Group 2: Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia; Group 3: Belgium, Italy, Ireland, Slovenia, Spain, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Russia, Hungary, Poland, Romania Source: IHS Global Insight This slowdown can be attributed to several factors: • From the customer’s point of view: – Worsening product perceptions. – A growing awareness of its cost. – The unstable economic environment. • From the point of view of specialist consumer finance companies: – ower returns: an increase in the cost of risk and regulatory changes in certain countries, . L such as France. – The implementation of responsible lending principles and practices which favour instalment loans. b. A core business of specialist consumer finance companies which is under attack In mature countries, the core business of specialist consumer finance companies, which differ from banks by their specific revolving credit know-how and distribution partnerships, is therefore under attack. Furthermore, the possibilities for these lenders to switch to other consumer credit products are limited: • ecause instalment credit has a lower cost of risk than revolving credit, the former is increasingly B distributed by account managers in bank networks and, accordingly, the pressure on margins on this type of lending has increased since 2008. • ebt consolidation requires significant customer knowledge and mortgage expertise. The D involvement of specialist consumer finance companies in this activity therefore remains marginal. This activity was previously the domain of specialised financial institutions that distributed their products via brokers. However, the major banking networks, which have the advantage of good overall customer knowledge, mortgage expertise and the possibility to monitor borrowers, whose salary is paid directly into their bank account, are increasingly moving into this market segment. Their risk perspectives are better than those of specialist consumer finance companies. 10
  • 11. 4. The competitive landscape of the consumer credit market Since 2007, the competitive landscape has changed radically: • cquisitions by banks of non-bank specialised credit providers, with a view to boosting liquidity A and capital. • he increased influence of bank shareholders in joint ventures with distributors. The T disappearance or withdrawal of certain players and specialised subsidiaries (Internet pure players and direct credit subsidiaries) for liquidity and risk reasons. • eturns have trended down for all consumer credit players, even if 2010 was marked by an R upturn in profits. Nonetheless, profits are still far below the pre-crisis levels. According to IHS, profitability levels should stabilise between 2012 and 2015 and outstanding consumer loans are likely to increase only moderately. Credit production is not expected to return to 2008 levels before 2015. • he end of the race to achieve critical mass, with traditional players repositioning themselves and T refocusing on the markets where they have significant, profitable market shares, and in some cases withdrawing from countries where the cost of risk is too high or their market share is inadequate. • he arrival of new entrants on the consumer credit market (P2P, Telco, Utilities). T EVOLUTION OF AGGREGATED LOANS OUTSTANDING (€BN) AND PROFITABILITY (%) on the basis of a panel selected by IHS Outstanding loans After-tax result/shareholders’ equity 16% €400 12% €300 8% €200 4% €100 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: IHS Global Insight This new competitive landscape is forcing traditional consumer credit providers to rethink their business model. 11
  • 12. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE IV. The threats to the consumer credit business model There are three major threats hanging over the consumer credit business model: pressure on margins, pressure on overheads and pressure on the cost of risk. The pressure on net banking income (volume and margin) is linked to… • the decrease in the consumption of capital goods; • credit restrictions leading to a reduction in the customer base of eligible customers; • increased competition between lenders competing for customers with the best risk profile; • the arrival of new entrants on the market. In addition, certain countries may continue to reduce their usury rates in the coming years. The upward trend in overhead costs is due to… • he radicalisation of local regulations, with increased protection for borrowers, resulting in more t comprehensive documentation and more preliminary credit controls; • stabilisation or increase in commissions paid to distribution networks and business introducers a in a context of falling interest rates. Finally, it is more difficult to manage the cost of risk because of… • he increase in overindebtedness in mature countries and in certain emerging countries such . t as Poland; • he lasting effects of economic stagnation and the rise in unemployment undermine the t creditworthiness of borrowers during the life of the credit (prime to nearprime, near to subprime); • he increased difficulties in recovering non-performing credits, leading to an increase in LGD t (Loss Given Defaults), with an adverse financial impact on provision calculation models. V. The opportunities for the consumer credit business model Faced with this bleak outlook, it would be a mistake for market participants to ignore the opportunities open to them if they can adapt to these new expectations and needs. • ap into demand in emerging markets where a middle class is emerging:. T In 2012, 50% of the population in emerging countries belongs to the middle classes. According to INSEE’s projections, 80% of the population of emerging countries will belong to the middle classes in 2030. However, penetration rates for durable goods remain low. • dapt products to changing demand:. A The challenge is to launch simpler and more practical products based on new means of payment that come from e-commerce and m-commerce. These new offers are developed for more mobile and often younger consumers, also targeted by the major Internet players and mobile telephone operators. • inance new needs for new customers:. F Long-term societal changes are likely to lead to changes in the way credit is promoted, with specialist consumer finance companies placing the emphasis on projecting a strong image of corporate responsibility to their customers. Pensioners, whose numbers are increasingly strongly in the old Europe, could conceivably make greater use of credit to finance their projects, while young adults are increasingly employed under fixed-term contracts or on a part-time basis. In conclusion, the traditional consumer credit business model, based on the acquisition of new customers, in particular thanks to in-store distribution partnerships, and on customer retention via revolving credit card accounts, has been under threat since 2008. Specialist consumer finance companies are reacting by optimising or reinventing their business model. 12
  • 13. Chapter 2: changes to the business model of specialist consumer finance companies I. The strategic levers for emerging from the crisis Four major strategic levers have been identified in this survey to enable specialist consumer finance companies to return to profitability. The actions to be taken as part of the implementation of these strategic levers need to be coordinated with actions intended to renew the governance of these companies. DESCRIPTION OF FOUR STRATEGIC LEVERS TO EMERGE FROM THE CRISIS Optimisation Change Lever 1 - Optimisation of the exisiting model Lever 2 - New business models Adjust loyalty strategies Enlarge the offer of consumer credit Transformation Levers Enlarge the number of customers eligible for Diversify into peer-to-peer lending consumer credit Capitalise on the Internet and mobile canal Redistribute activities between countries: Explore opportunities to exit some focus on countries with high potential and proven loss-making countries business models Lever 3 - Optimisation of the operational model Lever 4 - New operational models Create European (nearshore) and international Switch to variable costs through outsourcing and (offshore) industrial platforms Software as a service (SaaS)/Business process as Develop synergies between specialist consumer a service (BpaaS) model finance companies and retail banks Upgrade governance Reinforce the control frameworks and the role of central (vs. local) Transpose social responsibility issue into responsible lending Source: SOPRA Group II. Actions to optimise business models 1. Adjusting customer loyalty strategies The business model currently in use in specialist consumer finance companies was based mainly on customer acquisition. However, the gloomy economic outlook and recent regulatory changes have increased customer acquisition costs. As these costs are increasingly high, it is becoming more cost- effective for specialist consumer finance companies to deploy loyalty strategies (from mass marketing to one-to-one market thanks to behavioural segmentation), especially as they are now less expensive thanks to the development of new technologies and the Internet. 13
  • 14. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Customer retention strategies mean that it is necessary to adapt the customer lifecycle, by… • multiplying customer contract opportunities thanks to the sale of additional products; • mproving prevention processes by detecting more rapidly potential customer defaults (silent risky); i • calling customers in the case of late payment to propose solutions to prevent overindebtedness. 2. Combating the downward trend in the customer base of eligible borrowers a. The downward trend in the pool of eligible borrowers At the current time, the customer base of eligible borrowers is declining in mature countries in Northern Europe and Southern Europe due to three major societal changes: 1. opulation ageing, which may be expected to encourage specialist consumer finance companies P to finance more projects for seniors: according to Eurostat’s forecasts, the percentage of people aged 60 or over in Europe will reach 29.5% in 2030, versus 17.4% at the current time. 2. he weakening of the family structure, which is likely to lead to lenders reconsidering the T growing importance of people living on their own and single-parent families: according to Eurostat data, the number of single-parent families in Europe in 2011 varies between 15% and 20% depending on the country, and this number is increasing constantly. 3. rowing labour market instability which concerns all categories of the population. This should G in particular encourage specialist consumer finance companies to review the way they profile young people: according to Eurostat, fixed-term contracts represent 50% of all new employment contracts concluded in the European Union. This increase in fixed-term contracts has been accompanied by a reduction in job tenure and a fall in labour market entry ages. But the majority of young adults go from one fixed-term contract to another and some lenders have succeeded in characterising and segmenting this type of customer in order to grant them loans tailored to their specific professional situation. This decrease in the customer base of eligible borrowers linked to societal changes has been intensified by the introduction of more stringent customer selection criteria because of a fall in the profitability of consumer credit. b. The need to expand the customer base by adjusting population targeting criteria In order to halt the decline in the customer portfolios of specialist consumer finance companies, Sopra Group considers that the criteria for targeting eligible borrowers need to be revisited in the light of these societal changes and the new challenges facing the industry. PROPOSED NEW ADDITIONAL CUSTOMER TARGETING CRITERIA Prioritisation Parameters used New parameters to Proposed change in take into account the customer selection rule 1 Job tenure of less than Sector in which the The more the sector is dynamic in 1 year individual works terms of job creation, the lower the job tenure risk 2 Single-parent families The familiy’s assets The higher the assets, the lower the risk of overindebtedness Source: SOPRA Group 14
  • 15. Some previously discriminating loan application criteria, such as job tenure and single-parent family status, could be reconsidered on the basis of more in-depth customer knowledge and by introducing offerings adapted to their situation in order to re-integrate previously ineligible profiles. 3. Redistributing the activities of specialist consumer finance companies between countries and creating European industrial platforms In order to optimise their profitability, specialist consumer finance companies are rethinking their international investments by: • ocusing their investments on high-potential countries and withdrawing from countries where they F generate insufficient profits or have not yet reached critical mass. For example, in the revolving credit segment, specialist consumer finance companies may be inclined to develop their activities on the booming Eastern European markets. • eorganising, even pooling some activities between countries (creation of pan-European R industrial platforms). • ooling certain components of the value chain (CRM, information systems, debt collection, etc.) with the P retail bank of the same country, which is often the parent company of the consumer credit provider UNICREDIT’S MULTICHANNEL, MULTI-COUNTRY STRATEGY MultiChannel readiness rnline banking usage Development of GPD growth 2015 multichannel banking 50 40 Germany 1 Austria Multichannel 30 Champion Turkey Slovenia Czech Rep Poland 20 2 Hungary Italy Step-up 10 multichannel Serbia Russia Bulgaira offering Romania 100 200 300 400 500 600 Branch density per million inhabitants Optimisation 3 4 of cost Reduction of Selective growth based structure cost-to-serve on mkt attractiveness and UniCredit postitioning Source: Unicredit – Driving a Pan-European Multichannel Strategy 15
  • 16. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE To develop its activities, Unicredit has taken account of the specific characteristics of each of the countries where it operates, by distinguishing countries with a multichannel development potential from countries where cost optimisation is possible. This analysis has enabled Unicredit to refine its overall strategy and redistribute its activities to take the specific characteristics of countries into account. For example, Unicredit has pooled its call centers in low-cost countries such as Turkey and has reinforced the weight of digital channels in those countries where the quality of the customer experience is essential, such as Germany. UNICREDIT’S MULTICHANNEL, MULTI-COUNTRY STRATEGY Multichannel* Example of strategy implementation 1 2 3 4 Italy “Branch network • Cashless spoke branches transformation and • Call center boost/upgrade sales increase” • Online banking sales enablement boost • Best-in-class mobile offering Germany “Shift to predominantly • Smart banking services multi-channel model” • Remote video sales/advice, extended opening hours • Further enablement of direct sales in multi channels Turkey “Fund growth from • Expand distribution smartly, introduce remote unattended branches cost savings” • Leverage advanced call center • Step up Web/Online banking Czech Rep “Focus on Multichannel • Boost web, social media, e-payments, self service exploiting the huge as aquistion methods = Focus internet users base” • Smart network expansion * Multichannels: 1 Multichannel Champion; 2 Step-up multichannel offering; 3 Reduction of cost-to-service; 4 Selective physical network development Source: Unicredit – Driving a Pan-European Multichannel Strategy The redistribution of multi-country activities will inevitably lead specialist consumer finance companies to explore the benefits of creating international rather than simply European platforms (see chapter 4: Operational efficiency). 16
  • 17. 4. Developing synergies between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks The distinction between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks is becoming increasingly blurred. For several years, specialist consumer finance companies have also been providing banking products and services while, vice versa, banks have been distributing consumer credit products. CHANGES IN THE ACTIVITIES OF SPECIALIST CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANIES Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Specialist credit institutions Service providers Banking product providers Credit acceptance Servicing Savings Credit management Insurance (and customer care) Soft collection (call center, debt rescheduling,...) Hard and legal collection Source: SOPRA Group Specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks are now facing the same challenges: winning back consumer confidence, reducing the risk of overindebtedness among their customers and protecting their profit margins despite increased constraints on volumes and costs. Some specialist consumer finance companies have already multiplied synergies with their parent company. 17
  • 18. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE ADVANTAGES OF DEVELOPING SYNERGIES BETWEEN SPECIALIST CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANIES AND RETAIL BANKS Advantages for specialist consumer finance companies Banks are in a position to provide liquidity to specialist consumer finance companies, including on local markets. Cross-selling credit and banking products makes it possible to expand the network of partners, increase the customer portfolio and enhance customer loyalty Banks have specific risk management expertise and specific knowledge of traditional banking products from which specialist consumer finance companies are increasingly benefiting Advantages for retail banks Consumer credit is a profitable business (the projected ROE of banks is between 10% and15% on average, compared with 18% to 20% for specialist consumer finance companies). Specialist consumer finance companies have specific expertise in certain activities such as scoring, customer monitoring, collection, e-credit and have IT platforms which could be shared by retail banks Specialist consumer finance companies can be laboratories to test new practices, such as e-credit and dematerialisation Specialist consumer finance companies have developed extensive partnership networks and would enable banks to be present at points of sale Example of synergies within the Société Générale group In France, the personal loans of Société Générale’s retail bank are managed by the group specialist consumer credit arm Franfinance under the Sogefinancement brand. In Russia, Rusfinance and Rosbank have a joint system for contacting car dealers for car loans. In the Czech Republic, Komercni Banca and Essox share the same call centers for collection purposes. Source: SOPRA Group The development of synergies between specialist consumer finance companies and retail banks helps to reduce the pressure on margins with a more streamlined organisation thanks to a better division of work, a focus on value added activities, a reinforcement of risk management procedures, the acquisition of new consumers, a better customer follow-up, a wider range of services, an access to more liquidity, an access to partnerships put in place (in particular at points of sale) and a reduction in overhead costs. The successful implementation of synergies between retail banks and specialist consumer finance companies presupposes that… • he role of each party is clearly defined at central and local levels; t • he independence of the specialist consumer finance company is guaranteed: t - inancial autonomy which assumes that it has the necessary liquidity thanks to a diversified – F offering and the optimisation of its customer portfolio. -– The possibility to develop synergies outside the group. – he possibility for specialist consumer finance companies to offer banking services and take - T deposits. 18
  • 19. III. Actions implemented as part of a change strategy 1. Diversifying the consumer credit offering Specialist consumer finance companies can diversify their offerings in various ways: FIVE AREAS OF DIVERSIFICATION FOR CONSUMER CREDIT OFFERINGS Universe 2 1 Un rse 2 ive e rse U niv 1 3 Life Insurance Home 3 Payment Savings Auto Universes 1. Savings business diversification Credit consommation 2. Payment business diversification 3. Insurance business diversification Debt 4. Credit business diversification consolidation loan 5. Loan mortgage debt Micro Credit consolidation diversification 4 Mortgage Uni 5 vers 5 e4 erse Univ Source: SOPRA Group 1. iversification by boosting balance sheet deposits (collecting deposits, savings accounts) as a D way of reducing the cost of liquidity and retaining customers when they have repaid a loan. 2. iversification into payment services as a way of developing into high-potential markets, such as D m-payments and e-payments, especially in emerging countries. 3. iversification into non-life insurance products, such as motor insurance and home insurance D would enable specialist consumer finance companies to engage in cross-selling and retain their customers via insurance products closely linked to car loans or loans to finance home improvement work. 4. iversification into the credit market consists for specialist consumer finance companies in extending D their activities to microcredit in emerging countries. Microcredit is not a traditional activity for specialist consumer finance companies since it targets a market of entrepreneurs and individuals, but it could be profitable given their expertise in project risk analysis and their networks in the field (distributors decentralised from micro-financing institutions). This diversification would enable specialist consumer finance companies to target specific customers in emerging countries, while participating in the fight against social exclusion and promoting responsible lending. 5. ebt consolidation (mortgages and other debt) is increasingly becoming the domain of banks D which use it as a signature product. In this regard, specialist consumer finance companies could adopt a distributor model (business introducer) for their parent company or banking partners. 19
  • 20. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE 2. Positioning on peer-to-peer lending communities Peer-to-peer lending communities bring together lenders and borrowers in P2P transactions via an Internet platform. The intermediary which operates the Internet platform does not bear the the risk (except for its own contribution) since the risk is assumed directly by the community of lenders. CREDIT APPROVAL PROCESS IN PEER-TO-PEER LENDING Traditional activity Activities relative to intermediary acceptance of funds from private lenders Management of the The traditional value chain of credit institutions is doubled because of the management of lenders... Lender Acceptance Validation subscription Borrower Acceptance Validation Utilization Recovery subscription Online Assessing Customer subscription instantly the Final decision management Return on debt creditworthiness Repayment Creation of Instant response Funds collection (private borrowers customer file and provision to private lenders) Management of the provision Management of customers of funds based on investment repayment based on a model orders from lenders of risk sharing Source: SOPRA Group P2P lending communities can be an additional lever for traditional specialist consumer finance companies: • irst, the offering is attractive. For lenders, P2P community lending offers a more attractive risk/ F return trade-off than a market investment, while for borrowers the rate of P2P loans is lower than the market rate. • econdly, the model is cost-effective and relatively risk-free. The commission (or application fee) S charged by the intermediary is deducted directly from the amount disbursed to the borrower at the time of the transaction. The liquidity costs are lower because of the limited amount lent in its own name by the specialist consumer finance company: the total lent directly by the specialist consumer finance company on the platform is determined in advance. This amount may be low since it is intended above all to reassure customers about the quality of the loans. The risk cost for the specialist consumer finance company is low because the risk is directly borne by the lenders. • inally, P2P lending communities can be set up rapidly by these companies because they are F very familiar with ALM regulations for lenders and the credit chain for borrowers (scoring, credit bureaus and eligibility criteria). 20
  • 21. The marketing of P2P lending communities supposes, on the one hand, the creation of a new brand (because of the difference in lending rates between a traditional credit offering and P2P lending and to avoid confusion among consumers) and, on the other hand, an exclusively online distribution model to keep costs low. For specialist consumer finance companies this involves, therefore, putting in place multi-brand and multi-product management procedures and closely monitoring customer and lender acquisition costs. 3. Capitalising on the opportunities created by Internet and mobile channels for traditional credit providers Unlike other industries, the consumer credit sector has not been marked by an influx of new entrants with attractive pricing models offering little or no service. A pure player could cut its distribution and management costs thanks to its Internet and mobile positioning. However, such a model is not really feasible for new entrants since the credit management costs are low in comparison with the cost of liquidity and risk: there is limited scope for making substantial cuts in the interest rates charged to borrowers. Moreover, a low-cost (full web or full mobile) distribution model, without any human interaction, would encounter problems because of the high risk cost (especially during the loan approval and collection phases). Nonetheless, specialist consumer finance companies could reinforce their multichannel strategy, in particular on the Internet (e-credit, m-credit), and set up partnerships with new e-commerce players and the retail sector which is undergoing a revolution (see Chapter 3). 4. Assessing whether it would be appropriate to withdraw from certain countries When market conditions are unfavourable, the alternative to finding synergies with banks, reducing costs or making a modest investment in low-potential countries is to exit the country in question. The underlying principle behind this strategy is therefore for specialist consumer finance companies to refocus on those activities where they are the most successful (“do more what you do best”) on growth markets. These actions need to be carried out in consultation with the parent company (retailer or bank) for which consumer credit is only part of its overall offering. 5. Switching to variable costs via outsourcing In order to change their business model and cut their costs, specialist consumer finance companies have the possibility to outsource or industrialise their back office and their information system. Outsourcing enables specialist consumer finance companies to refocus on an activity of distributing credit, while industrialisation enables them to remain producers and even become service providers for third parties (see Chapter 4). 21
  • 22. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE IV. Renewed governance 1. Reinforcing control frameworks and the role of central versus local The role of central versus local has been reinforced in recent years, with closer monitoring of acceptable credit risk levels and tighter controls on operational risk management and more generally on all profitability levers. ROLE OF CENTRAL (VS. LOCAL) BEFORE AND AFTER THE CRISIS Pre-crisis Post-crisis More synergies as a result of closer Relative independence of integration between retail banks credit institutions owned by retail banks and consumer finance companies Operational control by the parent company of Strong local autonomy in terms of strategy, the companies concerned: product and price target customers, information systems and strategy; credit risks; costs cutting; operational organisation as long as the credit institutions efficiency (internal platforms) and compliance were profitable requirements (responsible lending, etc.). Source: SOPRA Group 2. Transposing corporate social responsibility issues into responsible lending Responsible lending is a means of… • mproving the reputation of consumer credit which has suffered as result of the subprime crisis; i • mproving the pool of eligible consumer credit borrowers by changing segmentation criteria i (fixed-term contracts of employment and seniors); • reating market opportunities by linking the financing of purchases of durable goods and c traditional credit offerings (bonuses for the purchase of low carbon-emission cars, etc.); • nvesting in the quality of the long-term consumer relationships. i For specialist consumer finance companies, responsible lending means complying with the processes described below. 22
  • 23. CHANGES TO THE CREDIT BUSINESS MODEL LINKED TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF A RESPONSIBLE LENDING APPROACH Putting a responsible Dialoguing with Dialoguing with Adapting processes Training all the lending approach at customers stakeholders staff involved in the centre of the (consumer the value chain company’s project associations) Being more Spending time To improve credit To offer a high-quality transparent and qualifying customers offerings and market experience to new providing indicators Explaining to customers acceptance consumers such as rejection rates why their loan request has been rejected and how they could become eligible Managing performance according to corporate social responsibility standards • Managing customers by identifying events which indicate a potential future problem • Adapting operational performance criteria Source: SOPRA Group A responsible lending approach involves publishing completely transparent new indicators, such as the monthly refusal rate, adopting new practices, such as explaining the reasons why consumer loan applications are rejected, and defining wider eligibility rules. In conclusion, responsible lending is not a revolution, but is part of the transformation of the business model when it is linked to (or combined with) regulatory changes and societal changes. 23
  • 24. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Chapter 3: increasing customer value To grow NBI per customer it is necessary to increase customer and partner satisfaction via a renewed customer experience, better suited to the new media and new consumer behaviour patterns. The drivers of increased customer value are examined below: • nnovation and the development of new offerings for retailers and business introducers; I • nnovation and the development of new offerings for consumers, in particular multichannel I relations and a responsible credit offering, by improving the quality of the customer experience. I. Innovation and development of new offerings for retailers 1. Dematerialisation at the point of sale helps to cut costs and save time Recent changes in the European regulatory framework have made credit processing and approval processes more burdensome. Paperless procedures, for example obtaining the customer’s signature on a tablet, would facilitate and accelerate part of the formalities and thereby reduce costs: • etailers save on paper. R • he company saves time and considerably reduces the costs involved in transmitting paper T documents, form-filling and archiving. DEMATERIALISATION OF THE CREDIT ORIGINATION AND APPROVAL PROCESS IN FRANCE Instruction process following new regulation Simplified process after dematerialization in ation Illustr nce Personal information file A single document containing Fra customer’s agreement to have all 3 documents to his/her files dematerialized be signed by the Dialogue file customer RESULTS Contract Front Office Processing Middle Office (Bank) time nearly divided Transmission and by 2 at POS* archiving time divided approximately by 4* * Based upon a pilot of 400 retailers produced by a bank Source: SOPRA Group In France, several point-of-sale paperless initiatives have already been piloted and are likely to be rolled out on a wider scale in the international subsidiaries of the major players. 24
  • 25. 2. Capitalising on e-commerce and m-commerce to develop new offerings for retailers Despite the buoyant growth of e-commerce between 2009 and 2011, with an increase of 18.2% versus 2010, and a European e-commerce market valued at more than 200 billion euros in 2011 (according to the London-based Center For Retail Research), specialist consumer finance companies have not fundamentally changed their value proposition next to their partners. E-retailers wanting to install a mean of payment linked to a credit offering must contact the specialist consumer finance company via a traditional approach (involving meetings with sales teams) and will be offered a solution which consists in offering customers the possibility to pay in several times thanks to their credit card. Specialist consumer finance companies therefore could maintain sales teams to market their products to large and medium-sized retailers but it would not be cost-effective under these conditions to target the vast number of small e-retailers. However, in order not to miss out on the exceptional market opportunities created by e-commerce, some companies have developed innovative solutions. Two types of solutions aimed at retailers are noteworthy: • pecific solutions designed for large retail chains: for example, Crédit Agricole Consumer S Finance has supported La Redoute (leading French e-commerce operator which concludes the bulk of its sales online) by developing a digital wallet service, which simplifies and accelerates payments, and enables customers to benefit from credit terms when making payment. This wallet replaces the traditional physical credit card. • ackaged solutions which are accessible to any retailer that wants to offer credit terms to its P online customers and thereby increase significantly its sales. These solutions do not require customers to have a physical credit card. The e-retailer submits its partnership application directly online and receives a reply from the specialist consumer finance company which then sends it the packaged solution to be downloaded and installed on the e-retailer’s website. This solution does not involve organising meetings with the specialist consumer finance company and therefore generates significant time savings. INTERNET PLATFORM (1EURO.COM) DESIGNED BY A FRENCH SPECIALIST CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANY (COFIDIS) TO OFFER AN E-CREDIT SOLUTION TO E-RETAILERS For the specialist consumer finance company An Internet credit platform enabling it to: • increase its visibility via e-commerce partnerships • capture new customers, not captured via credit cards, at a lower cost • reduce marketing costs and develop partnerships at a lower cost • target both large and small e-retailers For e-consumers For e-retailers Payment options in several instalments without the Possibility to offer payment facilities and need to have a revolving credit card self-financing solutions which enable them to increase their online sales Source: SOPRA Group 25
  • 26. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE II. Innovation and development of new offerings for consumers The economic crisis and new consumption patterns have impacted on consumer expectations. BORROWER EXPECTATIONS AND MEANS OF SATISFYING THESE EXPECTATIONS Borrower expectations Means A better quality customer experience • Low prices • Transparent and flexible offerings • Simplified, secure access to services More responsible consumption • A value proposition segmented by type of consumers, taking recent societal changes into account To interact with specialist consumer finance • dvice tailored to the customer’s needs A companies on their offerings and to contribute and the coordination of communities to the development of products and services via social networks • ore points of contact with customers M (via social networks, mobile devices, To have multi-channel access to services, telephone, the Internet, etc.) in particular via mobile channels Source: SOPRA Group 1. Improving the quality of the customer experience Customers want to optimise their purchasing experience based on… • ccess to information before purchasing that enables them to make the right choice; a • he possibility to consult their online networks to obtain feedback on the products and services t that they are considering buying; • ccess to the necessary means to make purchases wherever they are; a • eceiving suitable advice either at the point of sale or via remote channels; r • n enhanced check-out experience thanks to better designed and more welcoming physical a points of sale. Specialist consumer finance companies need to transform the traditional transactional model into a relationship-driven model, use digital channels to optimise and personalise the customer lifecycle (from customer acquisition to supporting customers in the management of their loans – see illustration 13) and improve the physical structures distributing their products (see illustration on page 27). 26
  • 27. OPTIMISED CUSTOMER ACQUISITION AND SUPPORT PLAN @ home with family/friends While moving @ the office I’m in the I’m watching TV, public listening to the transportation radio during my or in my car breakfast while I’m in the office and I’m checking weather surfing on the Internet during my lunch time forecasts and travel I’m watching TV, I’m in my I’m looking for my lunch at surfing on the convenience store the food corner ( lunch time) Internet or calling friends I’m in the public transportation or in my car When shopping Source: BNP PF - Efma Conference – Changing models in the credit sector THE CONCEPT-STORES DEVELOPED BY METRO BANK Mutichannel sales Maintaining a local presence via local branches while increasing access via digital channels Capitalising on all contact opportunities (emails, social networks, video, etc.) Innovative branches Rolling out innovative branch models as a way of changing customer perceptions of the banking sector: fun atmosphere, etc. Increasing value added interactions with branch staff by freeing up time for sales and advice Recruiting staff on the basis of their customer service skills rather than their knowledge of financial services skills An innovative customer vision Developing emotional ties between consumers and their bank by focusing on brand attachment Interconnecting all channels in order to trace the history of all customer interactions Automated intelligence for following up all channel/customer interactions Practical experience and services Introducing simple but convincing services Source: SOPRA Group This is how Metro Bank illustrates the transformation to be implemented. Metro Bank’s analysis is based on the conviction that consumers attach more importance to the quality of service than to the interest rate. The pillars of Metro Bank’s strategy to develop a new customer experience are therefore… 27
  • 28. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Metro Bank’s growth model is based on a high level of customer satisfaction. Another innovative example is also based on a multichannel offering: the specialist consumer finance company Sberbank (ex Deniz Bank), based in Turkey, has focused on reactivity and undertakes to respond to a customer loan request within 5 or 10 minutes via an ATM, SMS or by telephone. This value proposition is based on a very high-quality central consumer credit database. 2. Developing responsible credit offerings Wrongly or rightly, specialist consumer finance companies have been blamed for the excessive debt problems of part of their customers. This explains why consumer organisations and the public authorities have called for more responsible lending practices. In most sectors, corporate social responsibility is focused on key issues such as the environment, health and well-being. In the financial services sector, these issues also include the need to inform and educate customers and prevent problems of overindebtedness. Companies have undertaken numerous initiatives to demonstrate their responsible behaviour... • dapting their offerings to make them less risky and easier to understand for customers; a • ncreasing their efforts as regards information, financial education and raising customer i awareness about the financial impact of loans; • upporting their customers throughout their lifecycle; s • eveloping new offerings that respond to customer environmental concerns and responsible d consumption expectations. To educate their customers, several companies have launched variable rate credit cards which reward the repayment performance of their customers: consumers who meet the repayment schedule are rewarded by an interest rate reduction, which can even result in the last repayment instalments beings waived. On the other hand, in the event of a payment default, the interest rate is increased. In order to integrate corporate social responsibility criteria, ING has launched an environmentally responsible loan which enables consumers who take out a car loan to benefit from an advantageous rate if they buy a low-carbon emission car. The aim of this initiative is to stimulate the “green” car market, for both new and second-hand cars. 3. Capitalising on the new distribution channels a. E-credit and m-credit Although e-commerce and m-commerce are growing rapidly at European level, the fact remains that penetration rates vary considerably from one country to another: for example, in Europe, online sales in Italy represent 2% of retail sales versus 11% in the United Kingdom. From e-commerce to e-credit, it is just a few easy steps… that consumers are reluctant to take. The first obstacle to e-credit is linked to consumer fears about online payment. That is why Compass, a specialist consumer finance company in Italy, has developed a physical credit card with an integrated mini-keyboard and screen. This system ensures maximal security for customers and enables the company to guarantee transactions even in the case of fraud. Financing requests are submitted directly online via the consumer’s personal space or via a dedicated smartphone app. A loan simulator enables consumers to view the financing plan corresponding to their online loan application. The second obstacle to e-credit is linked to the type of credit (for example, revolving credit) which calls for advice and high degree of expertise. 28
  • 29. There are also stumbling blocks for finance companies, namely the high risk level of the customers captured and questions regarding the validity of electronic signatures for credit offers. Each country has responded in its own way to these obstacles: putting in place a central consumer credit database, legislation recognising online electronic signatures and secure e-payments with market standards. Noteworthy specific company initiatives include... • acilitating seamless access to transactional services (viewing account balances, transfers, etc.) f via mobile apps; • roposing products specifically online; p • eveloping partnerships with mobile virtual network operators (MVNO) in order to close the gap d between e-credit and m-credit and expand the brand territory. For example, Cofidis, a specialist consumer finance company in France, distributes straightforward, commitment-free, budget- priced mobile packages, adapted to its customers. b. Social media Today, almost 75% of teenagers and young adults (18-25 year olds) use social networks in Europe (Facebook, Twitter, Linkedin, etc.). In this regard, it is preferable to use the wider concept of social media, which includes not only social networks but also forums, blogs, collaborative platforms (such as Wikipedia) and multimedia platforms (such as YouTube). According to Gartner’s projections, by 2015, 50% of Internet sales will be generated by a presence on social media. Social media have therefore become not only a key challenge for specialist consumer finance companies, but also an opportunity to... • nteract with customers constantly connected about the services offered and about prevention, i without the specialist consumer finance company intruding into the life of consumers; • atisfy consumer demand for a multichannel experience; s • mprove their online reputation provided that they really listen to consumers and that consumers i can obtain rapid and appropriate answers; • nhance customer loyalty, since satisfied consumers will spontaneously defend their bank in e response to negative comments about it. Specialist consumer finance companies are still in the initial stages of adopting this channel: they monitor comments posted about them on social media in order to defend their e-reputation and define their value creation strategy. The challenge is to improve their business performance via a carefully considered and consistent presence on the various social media. To move to the next level, specialist consumer finance companies should ideally respect several rules: • dopt the same overall strategy on social media as on their other channels, while attempting to A maintain the same image and disseminating homogenous information. • ommunicate with consumers by involving employees, who are the best spokespersons of their C company, and by training staff in the use of these new media. • ffer new services to consumers (for example, warning them via Twitter about account movements). O • nvolve consumers in the development of products and services. I In conclusion, although specialist consumer finance companies are very much aware that they need to become more involved on social networks, they are still undecided about the best way to social media as a source of business in their own right. 29
  • 30. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE Chapter 4: towards greater operational efficiency I. Switch to variable costs and reduce middle and back office costs 1. Switching to variable costs via outsourcing Specialist consumer finance companies are increasingly outsourcing or industrialising their back office and their information and operating systems, depending on the strategy adopted, in order to optimise their operational efficiency. Outsourcing enables financial institutions to refocus on an activity of distributing credit, while industrialisation enables them to remain producers and even become service providers for third parties (including for competitors), and to reduce the unit cost of their credit management. FRAMEWORK OF ACTIVITIES WHICH COULD BE INDUSTRIALISED OR OUTSOURCED Business activity Support functions Industrialisation Internalisation Contract management Credit Acceptance policy Business Credit servicing underwriting risk management Specific Assets Marketing Debt collection Outsourcing Internalisation Litigation HR Administration Organisation Finance Non Specific Assets Information system Accounting Production support activities Strategic activities Source: SOPRA Group Furthermore, some support functions, which are not business-specific or strategic, are ideally suited to outsourcing: notably, accounting, facilities management (property management, purchasing, mail, etc.), as well as human resources (industrialisation of payroll, etc.), provided that the specific regulatory constraints of the countries concerned are taken into account. 2. Pooling back offices to enhance the quality of service by creating international industrial platforms a. Advantages of pooling activities for the consumer credit industry Consumer credit, which is one of the most industrial segments of the banking and parabanking sector, is structurally geared to capturing the advantages of pooling namely: economies of scale, thanks to the centralisation of the activity; improved productivity; and cost-sharing as regards the implementation of changes (regulatory, etc.). It also enables companies to deliver a standardised quality of service, by benchmarking best practices, achieving crucial mass for back offices and centralising expertise. Lastly, it enables companies to improve their operational risk controls by... • mproving anomaly detection and processing (better qualification and capitalisation on other i experiences, etc.); • acilitating the implementation of regulatory and product changes; f • mplementing in-depth controls. i 30
  • 31. b. Advantages of international pooling International pooling involves grouping core business activities (middle and back-office), sharing information systems via centralised platforms and, sometimes, constructing regional hubs to handle support activities (HR, accounting, regulatory matters). This pooling is fully in line with the challenges facing specialist consumer finance companies which want to reduce their costs and rationalise their international networks, which are based on a mixture of acquisitions and specifically formed foreign entities. Nonetheless, there has been little pooling as yet of back offices in the consumer credit industry in Europe and most of the initiatives in this area have concerned intra-country back office mergers (for example the pooling of credit management and collection implemented by BNP PF and Société Générale in the countries where retail banks and specialist consumer finance companies co-exist). c. International pooling: the obstacles and drivers The current low level of pooling in Europe can be attributed to the importance of the obstacles which companies face, since international pooling cannot be implemented across all activities in all countries: • he lack of integration of credit legislation within the EU complicates matters. Although Brussels T wants to harmonise the practices of specialist consumer finance companies at European level, the fact remains that national regulators tend to change their laws according to their country’s specific issues. • ot all activities can be pooled geographically because of very significant differences as N regards market research costs and IT development. INTERNATIONAL POOLING: DRIVERS AND OBSTACLES Local level National level National level Key drivers • Physical proximity • High volumes • High volumes • Need for reactivity • High fixed costs • High fixed costs • High investments • High investments • Rare expertise • Rare expertise • Little need for customer physical • Little need for closeness to the customer, proximity at B/Office level the workforce and management Obstacles • Complexity • Complexity – Adaptation of the back-office – Adaptation of the back-office to diverse to diverse product offerings product offerings – Different IS to – Different IS • Low reactivity – National banking regulation – Protection of customer data – Different languages and cultures – Different payroll costs • Low reactivity Financial gains Source: SOPRA Group 31
  • 32. CONSUMER CREDIT: A RAPIDLY CHANGING LANDSCAPE d. Activities which can be pooled internationally by specialist consumer finance companies The objective of pooling activities internationally is to industrialise them while respecting each country’s specific characteristics. Some activities lend themselves more readily to pooling than others: • ore business activities: credit origination and management, soft collection via call centers C provided that this is not detrimental to the customer relationship (see chart below). • upport functions: network assistance, accounting, facilities management and HR (see chart on page 33). S SPOTLIGHT ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE ACTIVITIES OF SPECIALIST CONSUMER FINANCE COMPANIES Activities Critical Industrialisation process Need for Customer Strategic National size expertise sensitivity importance constraint Credit acceptance +++ High Average High High Average Credit management ++ High Average Average Average Average Soft collection ++ Strong industrialisation in process Average High High Average Hard and legal collection ++ High Average Average Average High Savings + High Average High Average Average Driver of pooling Neutral Obstacle of pooling Activities Possibility of international pooling Credit Acceptance Yes, while leaving activities under the country’s responsibility (scoring, etc.) Credit Management Yes Soft Collection Yes, but without undermining the customer relationship Hard and Legal Collection Not recommended because of the need for close contact with the parties involved (bailiffs, etc.) Savings Not recommended because of the lack of critical size Source: SOPRA Group 32