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2013
2011

TZMI

Feedstock pressure on the
titanium sponge market

TZMI.COM

DAVID McCOY
About TZMI
TZMI provides operational and technical expert
advice on many areas including:

Mergers and acquisitions
Market assessments and industry analysis
Due diligence
TZMI is a global, independent
consulting
and
publishing
company
with
offices
in
Australia, the US, Europe,
Africa and China. The strength
of TZMI’s consulting services
stems from extensive practical
experience in the mineral
sands, titanium dioxide and
coatings industries and from a
comprehensive
database,
which has been built up over
many years.

having many years of direct
operating experience in the
industry in chief executive,
senior operational, analytical
and marketing roles.
TZMI’s publications and data
services support the consulting
activities and ensure up-todate,
high
quality
and
comprehensive data, analysis
and information across the
mineral sands, zircon and Ti02
pigment industries.

TZMI has proven expertise
gained from our consultants

Associated Companies
Allied Mineral Laboratories

Pre-feasibility studies incl. preliminary capital
and operating cost estimation
Competitive cost analysis and benchmarking
Technical reviews and audits
Resource assessments
Physical separation test work
Flowsheet development
Customised data analysis and reporting

Resource assessment and flowsheet development for mineral sands,
iron or and other heavy mineral deposits.

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

2
Value of mineral sands production: 1980 – 2012
Considerable value added over last two years.
+160.0%
Beneficiated feedstocks

Iron

Natural feedstocks

Zircon

+104.4%

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

2012

2010

2008

2006

2004

2002

2000

1998

1996

1992

1990

1988

1986

1984

1982

1980
Oct 2013

1994

+26.6%

+193.5%

3
World’s known TiO2 resources

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

4
Major international suppliers

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

5
New feedstock project activity
Reversal in industry activity from 2011
‘000 TiO2 units &
‘000 tonnes zircon
4,500

Number of
companies
45

4,000

40

3,500

35

3,000

30

© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

2,500

25

2,000

20

1,500

15

1,000

10

500

5

0

0
2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

'000 TiO2 units
Oct 2013

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

'000 tonnes zircon

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

6
Production of mineral by type in 2012

Rutile
Synthetic rutile

High TiO2 content
mineral is generally used
to make titanium sponge

Sulfate ilmenite

UGS
© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

Chloride slag
Chloride fines

Oct 2013

Sulfate slag

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

Chloride
ilmente/leucoxene

© 2013

7
Rutile – key to metal value chain

Forecast supply 2013
China
various
Ostchem

IRE
Iluka

Rio Tinto
Sierra Rutile dredge

CRL

© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

Sierra
Rutile

Tronox
Cristal

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

8
Rutile supply by country

Ukraine

© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

China

Sierra Leonne

India

South Africa
Others

Australia

‘000 tonnes
2012 2013f 2014f

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

9
Total titanium feedstock demand
Million tonnes

+11.1%
0.0%

6.4
7.3%
5.9%

6.4
7.5%
7.1%

86.8%

85.4%

7.1
6.9%
6.9%

Other

86.1%

Pigment

Ti metal

© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

2012

2013f

2014f

Static demand for feedstocks in 2013 compared to 2012
TZMI is forecasting a significant step up in offtake in 2014

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

10
Sponge production in 2012

Russia

US
Japan

Kazakhstan

© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

Ukraine
China

Does not include a small pilot plant in India
Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

12
TiCl4 production costs

+27.8%

Other
Utilities
Labour
Chlorine

CPC
© TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION

CIS

Oct 2013

US

China

Japan

Feedstock

Average

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

13
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13

TiCl4 prices in China

+121.4%

Oct 2013
-52.6%

High

Low

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET
© 2013
14
Take home messages

TiCl4 is the largest cost in the manufacture of sponge and feedstock is the
large contributor to TiCl4 cost.

The weighted average cost of feedstock per tonne of TiCl4 increased by 13%
in 2012. But some sponge producers may have been caught by new
contracts kicking in.
The cash cost of producing TiCl4 varies widely between producers.
TZMI believes we have seen a 20 year peak in rutile costs to sponge
producers.

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

15
If you squeeze hard enough ……

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

16
Have you got your reference material yet?

Oct 2013

ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET

© 2013

17
2013
2011

TZMI
Global delivery of insight and expert advice

TZMI.COM

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TZMI Presentation at International Titanium Association, Caesars Palace Las Vegas

  • 1. 2013 2011 TZMI Feedstock pressure on the titanium sponge market TZMI.COM DAVID McCOY
  • 2. About TZMI TZMI provides operational and technical expert advice on many areas including: Mergers and acquisitions Market assessments and industry analysis Due diligence TZMI is a global, independent consulting and publishing company with offices in Australia, the US, Europe, Africa and China. The strength of TZMI’s consulting services stems from extensive practical experience in the mineral sands, titanium dioxide and coatings industries and from a comprehensive database, which has been built up over many years. having many years of direct operating experience in the industry in chief executive, senior operational, analytical and marketing roles. TZMI’s publications and data services support the consulting activities and ensure up-todate, high quality and comprehensive data, analysis and information across the mineral sands, zircon and Ti02 pigment industries. TZMI has proven expertise gained from our consultants Associated Companies Allied Mineral Laboratories Pre-feasibility studies incl. preliminary capital and operating cost estimation Competitive cost analysis and benchmarking Technical reviews and audits Resource assessments Physical separation test work Flowsheet development Customised data analysis and reporting Resource assessment and flowsheet development for mineral sands, iron or and other heavy mineral deposits. Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 2
  • 3. Value of mineral sands production: 1980 – 2012 Considerable value added over last two years. +160.0% Beneficiated feedstocks Iron Natural feedstocks Zircon +104.4% ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 2012 2010 2008 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1992 1990 1988 1986 1984 1982 1980 Oct 2013 1994 +26.6% +193.5% 3
  • 4. World’s known TiO2 resources Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 4
  • 5. Major international suppliers Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 5
  • 6. New feedstock project activity Reversal in industry activity from 2011 ‘000 TiO2 units & ‘000 tonnes zircon 4,500 Number of companies 45 4,000 40 3,500 35 3,000 30 © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION 2,500 25 2,000 20 1,500 15 1,000 10 500 5 0 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 '000 TiO2 units Oct 2013 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 '000 tonnes zircon ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 6
  • 7. Production of mineral by type in 2012 Rutile Synthetic rutile High TiO2 content mineral is generally used to make titanium sponge Sulfate ilmenite UGS © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION Chloride slag Chloride fines Oct 2013 Sulfate slag ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET Chloride ilmente/leucoxene © 2013 7
  • 8. Rutile – key to metal value chain Forecast supply 2013 China various Ostchem IRE Iluka Rio Tinto Sierra Rutile dredge CRL © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION Sierra Rutile Tronox Cristal Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 8
  • 9. Rutile supply by country Ukraine © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION China Sierra Leonne India South Africa Others Australia ‘000 tonnes 2012 2013f 2014f Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 9
  • 10. Total titanium feedstock demand Million tonnes +11.1% 0.0% 6.4 7.3% 5.9% 6.4 7.5% 7.1% 86.8% 85.4% 7.1 6.9% 6.9% Other 86.1% Pigment Ti metal © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION 2012 2013f 2014f Static demand for feedstocks in 2013 compared to 2012 TZMI is forecasting a significant step up in offtake in 2014 Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 10
  • 11. Sponge production in 2012 Russia US Japan Kazakhstan © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION Ukraine China Does not include a small pilot plant in India Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 12
  • 12. TiCl4 production costs +27.8% Other Utilities Labour Chlorine CPC © TZMI 2013 NOT FOR REPRODUCTION CIS Oct 2013 US China Japan Feedstock Average ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 13
  • 14. Take home messages TiCl4 is the largest cost in the manufacture of sponge and feedstock is the large contributor to TiCl4 cost. The weighted average cost of feedstock per tonne of TiCl4 increased by 13% in 2012. But some sponge producers may have been caught by new contracts kicking in. The cash cost of producing TiCl4 varies widely between producers. TZMI believes we have seen a 20 year peak in rutile costs to sponge producers. Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 15
  • 15. If you squeeze hard enough …… Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 16
  • 16. Have you got your reference material yet? Oct 2013 ITA 2013 | FEEDSTOCK PRESSURE ON THE TITANIUM SPONGE MARKET © 2013 17
  • 17. 2013 2011 TZMI Global delivery of insight and expert advice TZMI.COM