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DATA
SCIENCE
POP UP
AUSTIN
Applied Machine Learning for IoT
Hank Roark
Data Scientist & Hacker, H20.ai
hankroark
DATA
SCIENCE
POP UP
AUSTIN
#datapopupaustin
April 13, 2016
Galvanize, Austin Campus
Applied	Machine	Learning	for	IoT
Hank	Roark	
13-April-2016	
Data	Science	Pop-up	Austin
WHO	AMI	I
Lead,	Customer	Data	Science	@	H2O.ai	
John	Deere:	Research,	Software	Product	Development,	High	Tech	Ventures	
Lots	of	time	dealing	with	data	off	of	machines,	equipment,	satellites,	weather,	
radar,	hand	sampled,	and	on.	
Geospatial,	temporal	/	time	series	data	almost	all	from	sensors.	
Systems	Design	and	Management:	MIT

Physics:	Georgia	Tech	
hank@h2o.ai

@hankroark

https://www.linkedin.com/in/hankroark
WHY	IOT?
Because it’s trending (so it must be promising)!
Internet of Things
Deep Learning
IF	YOU	ARE	INTO	DATA,	THE	IOT	HAS	IT
LOTS	OF	DATA
LOTS	OF	DATA
GET	READY	FOR	BRONTOBYTES!!
WOW,	HOW	BIG	IS	A	BRONTOBYTE?
Image courtesy http://www.telecom-cloud.net/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/Screen-Shot-2015-05-27-at-3.51.47-PM.png
IOT 	 ARC HIT EC T URE	 IS	 SET UP 	 FO R

RE IN FORCING,	EXPONENTIAL	GROWTH
MY	PARTICULAR	CURIOSITY
EXAMPLE	FROM	THE	IOT
Domain:	Prognostics	and	Health	Management	
Machine:	Turbofan	Jet	Engines	
Data	Set:	A.	Saxena	and	K.	Goebel	(2008).	"Turbofan	
Engine	Degradation	Simulation	Data	Set",	NASA	Ames	
Prognostics	Data	Repository	
Predict	Remaining	Useful	Life	from	Partial	Life	Runs	
Six	operating	modes,	two	failure	modes,	manufacturing	
variability	
Training:	249	jet	engines	run	to	failure	
Test:	248	jet	engines
SENSORS	SHOW	TRENDS	OVERTIME
Time
We also know remaining useful life

decreases by at least one (1) cycle
each operation.
How can one take advantage of
this knowledge?
INCORPORATING	PRIOR	STATE
Disentangling the dynamic core: a research program for 

a neurodynamics at the large-scale
MICHEL LE VAN QUYEN
Biol. Res. v.36 n.1 Santiago 2003
http://dx.doi.org/10.4067/S0716-97602003000100006
One option:
Phase Space Embedding
Drawbacks:
Incorporates knowledge from only

small number of prior states
Curse of dimensionality
Another parameter (tau)
KALMAN	FILTER
FINAL	PIPELINE
Feature	
engineering	
• Signal	
processing,

feature	
creation,

feature	
Regression

Models	
• Supervised	
Machine	
Learning	(H2O)
Post	
Processing	
• Kalman	
filter	
(pykalman,

in	this	case)
Not really that much
different than typical
machine learning
pipeline
BEFORE	AND	AFTER	POST-PROCESSING
CYCLE NUMBER CYCLE NUMBER
PREDICTEDRUL
UNIT #2UNIT #2
This presentation, data, and associated Jupyter notebooks 

(look in 2016_04_13_AppliedMachineLearningForIoT):

https://github.com/h2oai/h2o-meetups/ 

WHY	H2O
FLEET	TELEMATICS:	PREVENTIVE	MAINTENANCE
PROBLEM
• H2O	support	for	customer’s	Kerberos	
authentication	mechanism	for	Hadoop
• Support	for	MapReduce,	YARN,	R,	Python	and	
Spark	in	Hadoop
• In-memory,	distributed	architecture
• Rapid	deployment	to	production	with	POJO
• Quick	prototyping	with	H2O	Flow
• Fleet	telematics—analyze	maintenance	records	and	
vehicle	performance	to	make	predictions	on	when	to	
do	preventive	maintenance
• Couldn’t	scale	by	sampling	data
• Took	days	to	create	models
IMPACT
“Annual	Savings	are	$7M”
–	Anonymized,	Member	Technical	Staff
• When	you	look	at	the	cost	of	towing	a	
stranded	vehicle,	technician	loss	of	
productivity,	and	the	customer	lifetime	value,	
the	annual	savings	is	$7M.”																		–	
Anonymized,	Lead	Member	Technical	Staff	
Leading Mobile Telecom Operator
Telecommunications
TAKE-AWAYS
• Know	your	“physics”	
o ”Physics”	is	will	be	like	a	fish	finder	in	this	sea	of	
Brontobytes	
o Linear	dynamic	systems,	Queues,	Signals,	etc.	
• Big	data	and	Big	models	and	Small	models	
• Keeping	and	eye	on	promising	new	methods	(e.g.,	
Convolution	Neural	Nets	and	LSTM-RNN)

H2O	RESOURCES
• Download	and	go:	http://www.h2o.ai/download	
• Documentation:	http://docs.h2o.ai/	
• Booklets,	Datasheet:	http://www.h2o.ai/resources/	
• Github:	http://github.com/h2oai/	
• Training:	http://learn.h2o.ai/
THANK	YOU
DATA
SCIENCE
POP UP
AUSTIN
@datapopup
#datapopupaustin

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