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Marketing Response
Understanding the complete marketing ROI for Sony Australia



May 2011




                                                              Google Confidential and Proprietary
Sony	
  Australia	
  
Background	
  



   •  Sony	
  Australia	
  operates	
  through	
  mul3ple	
  online	
  and	
  offline	
  channels	
  	
  
                    •  Online:	
  products	
  are	
  distributed	
  directly	
  via	
  Sony	
  Style	
  (online	
  shop)	
  and	
  indirectly	
  
                       via	
  retailers/dealers	
  	
  
                    •  Offline:	
  full	
  product	
  informa3on	
  and	
  demonstra3ons	
  are	
  available	
  in	
  Sony	
  Centre	
  
                       showrooms	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  at	
  other	
  retailers/dealers	
  	
  

   •  Major	
  spor3ng	
  events	
  are	
  used	
  as	
  a	
  theme	
  for	
  promo3onal	
  campaigns:	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
      release	
  of	
  the	
  new	
  BRAVIA	
  3D	
  was	
  joint	
  with	
  FIFA	
  World	
  Cup	
  2010	
  

   •  Offline	
  Media	
  predominates	
  in	
  marke3ng	
  and	
  communica3ons	
  	
  
                    •  TV	
  and	
  Print	
  are	
  the	
  largest	
  propor3on	
  of	
  total	
  marke3ng	
  investment	
  



                                                                                                                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary             2




                                                                                                                                                                                           Google Confidential and Proprietary                       2
About	
  the	
  Project	
  
Research	
  Objec>ves	
  




   •  To	
  understand	
  and	
  quan3fy	
  the	
  effec3veness	
  of	
  Sony	
  Australia’s	
  marke3ng	
  
      and	
  media	
  spend	
  in	
  driving	
  Sony	
  TV	
  sales,	
  par3cularly:	
  
         •  To	
  evaluate	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  paid	
  search	
  in	
  Sony’s	
  marke3ng	
  ecosystem	
  
         •  To	
  understand	
  the	
  role	
  of	
  Sony’s	
  paid	
  and	
  owned	
  media	
  (e.g.	
  website)	
  in	
  driving	
  sales	
  

   •  To	
  op3mise	
  the	
  marke3ng	
  and	
  media	
  mix	
  to	
  generate	
  greater	
  revenue	
  from	
  
      the	
  same	
  level	
  of	
  investment	
  




                                                                                                                             Google Confidential and Proprietary   3




                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary
Methodology	
  
Econometric	
  Modelling	
  
                       World-­‐Class	
  Marke3ng	
  Science	
  +	
  Real-­‐World	
  Industry	
  Exper3se	
  

	
   All	
  data	
  analysis	
  was	
  conducted	
  by	
  MarketShare	
  in	
  December	
  2010	
  
• 
•  Using	
  Sony	
  Australia’s	
  internal	
  and	
  proprietary	
  data	
  (May	
  2007	
  –	
  Aug.	
  2010)	
  
	
  
       •    Sony	
  TV	
  sales	
  volumes	
  and	
  revenues	
  (split	
  by	
  TV	
  screen	
  size)	
  
       •    Pricing	
  
       •    Website	
  data	
  (visitors,	
  conversions)	
  
       •    Marke3ng	
  and	
  Media	
  costs	
  
       •    Search	
  volume	
  data	
  from	
  Google.com.au	
  
       •    MarketShare	
  proprietary	
  marke3ng	
  database	
  

•  Mul3ple	
  econometric	
  models	
  (mul3plica3ve	
  logarithmic	
  3me	
  series)	
  were	
  constructed	
  to	
  
   understand	
  total	
  Marke3ng	
  ROI	
  by	
  media	
  channel	
  and	
  inform	
  future	
  op3mal	
  media	
  
   resource	
  alloca3on	
  




                                                                                                                             Google Confidential and Proprietary   4




                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary
The	
  Offline	
  World	
  
What	
  are	
  the	
  drivers	
  of	
  Bravia	
  offline	
  sales?	
  




                                                                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary   5
                                                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary
Drivers	
  of	
  Bravia	
  offline	
  sales	
  
Offline	
  Sales	
  Volumes	
  
September	
  2009	
  –	
  August	
  2010	
  


                                                TV,	
  Print,	
  Outdoor	
  




                                                  Pricing	
  
                                                                                           Paid	
  Search	
  
                                                                                                 +3%	
  
                                                        Seasonality	
  




            Base	
  Sales	
  	
  33%	
  
  October     November           December   January       February         March   April   May             June            July              August
  2009                                      2010

                                                                                                                   Google Confidential and Proprietary   6




                                                                                                     Google Confidential and Proprietary
Drivers	
  of	
  Bravia	
  offline	
  sales	
  
          Offline	
  Sales	
  Volumes	
  
          September	
  2009	
  –	
  August	
  2010	
  

                                                                                                79%	
  of	
  offline	
  sales	
  are	
  
                                                                                                  non-­‐marke3ng	
  driven	
                                                                                                                                            3%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2%            2%
                                                                                                                                                                           7%                  1%                  1%
                                                                                                                                 35%                  2%
                Print, TV and
                Paid Search are
                the top 3 drivers
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 21%	
  of	
  offline	
  sales	
  are	
  
                of offline sales.                                                                                                                                                                                influenced	
  by	
  marke3ng	
  
                                                                                                              9%
                                                                                        33%




‘Other’	
  Category	
  includes	
  sponsorship	
  (incl.	
  FIFA	
  2010	
  World	
  Cup)	
  and	
  retailer	
  marke3ng	
  
Understanding	
  of	
  ROI	
  of	
  display	
  within	
  the	
  media	
  mix	
  was	
  compromised	
  by	
  a	
  lack	
  of	
  data	
  rela3ng	
  to	
  Display	
  investments	
  over	
  the	
  period	
  analysed.	
  
	
  Base sales volume includes influence from existing store network, employee workforce, existing infrastructure distribution, seasonality, underlying consumer demand, etc.                                                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary   7




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary
Marke3ng	
  ROI	
  
How	
  to	
  op3mise	
  media	
  spend	
  and	
  maximise	
  sales	
  




                                                                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   8
                                                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary
Understanding	
  the	
  effec>veness	
  of	
  marke>ng	
  spend	
  
Methodology	
  


  •  Econometric	
  models	
  take	
  advantage	
  of	
  natural	
  varia3on	
  in	
  both	
  marke3ng	
  spend	
  
     and	
  sales	
  levels	
  over	
  the	
  3me,	
  e.g.	
  during	
  the	
  analysis	
  period	
  (May	
  2007	
  –	
  Aug	
  2010)	
  	
  
  •  This	
  varia3on	
  makes	
  it	
  possible	
  to	
  plot	
  response	
  curves	
  for	
  each	
  marke3ng	
  channel,	
  
     which	
  in	
  turn	
  allows	
  the	
  measurement	
  of	
  ROI	
  


  Media	
  Response	
  Curve	
  
                                        Historical	
  
                                         Spend	
  
                                                                                         Once	
  the	
  responsiveness	
  of	
  each	
  
       Weekly	
  Sales	
  (units)	
  




                                                                                        media	
  in	
  driving	
  sales	
  is	
  known,	
  	
  it	
  is	
  
                                                                                          possible	
  to	
  define	
  an	
  op>mal	
  
                                                                                        marke>ng	
  mix	
  for	
  future	
  campaigns	
  
                                                                                          to	
  deliver	
  the	
  maximum	
  ROI.	
  




                                         Weekly	
  Media	
  Spend	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                      Google Confidential and Proprietary   9




                                                                                                                      Google Confidential and Proprietary
Marginal	
  ROI	
  –	
  Where	
  to	
  spend	
  the	
  next	
  dollar	
  to	
  
   get	
  maximum	
  return?	
  
     At	
  the	
  margin,	
  the	
  next	
  dollar	
  is	
  best	
  invested	
  in	
  Paid	
  Search,	
  Print,	
  and	
  Subscrip>on	
  TV	
  

                                                                                                    Subscrip>on	
  
                                                      5                     TV	
                        TV	
                                       Print	
                             Radio	
                             Outdoor	
          Paid	
  Search	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.3	
  
                                          Indexed Marginal ROI




                                                                                                                 2.6	
                                2.7	
  




                                                                                                                                                                                          -­‐0.5	
                           -­‐0.1	
  
                                                 -1
                                                                             -­‐1	
  

                            Return	
  on	
  marginal	
  investment	
  (ROMI)	
  quan3fies	
  the	
  $	
  return	
  on	
  the	
  next	
  $	
  invested.	
  	
  Posi3ve	
  ROMI	
  indicates	
  current	
  
                            underspend	
  –	
  and	
  a	
  recommended	
  increase	
  –	
  whereas	
  a	
  nega3ve	
  value	
  indicates	
  overspend.	
  Op3mal	
  spend	
  (and	
  
                            therefore	
  overall	
  ROI)	
  occurs	
  when	
  all	
  ROMIs	
  are	
  driven	
  to	
  zero	
  –	
  this	
  explains	
  the	
  direc3onal	
  changes	
  illustrated	
  in	
  the	
  
                            next	
  slides.	
  
Understanding	
  of	
  ROI	
  of	
  display	
  within	
  the	
  media	
  mix	
  was	
  compromised	
  by	
  a	
  lack	
  of	
  data	
  rela3ng	
  to	
  Display	
  investments	
  over	
  the	
  period	
  analysed.	
                         Google Confidential and Proprietary   10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Google Confidential and Proprietary
Op>mising	
  Media	
  Budgets	
  
     TV	
  and	
  Subscrip>on	
  TV	
  
     To	
  maximise	
  ROI,	
  Sony	
  Australia	
  should	
  reduce	
  spending	
  on	
  TV	
  and	
  increase	
  spending	
  on	
  
     subscrip3on	
  TV	
  

                                                                  TV	
                                                             Subscrip>on	
  TV	
  




                                                                                                                                    Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  
         Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  




                                                                           Optimal
                                                                           spend


                                                                                                                                                                                                           Increase	
  spend	
  in	
  
                                                                                           Historical                                                                                                                                    Subscrip3on	
  TV	
  
                                                                                            spend

                                                                                                                                                                                                           Optimal
                                                                                                                                                                                             Historical    spend
                                                                                                                                                                                              spend
                                                                               Decrease	
  spend	
  in	
  

                                                                                                                      TV	
  




                                                                                     Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
                                                                                         Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
  


Absolute	
  values	
  for	
  average	
  weekly	
  revenue	
  and	
  spend	
  are	
  hidden	
  for	
  client	
  confiden3ality	
                                                                                                    Google Confidential and Proprietary   11




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Google Confidential and Proprietary
Op>mising	
  Media	
  Budgets	
  
     Print	
  and	
  Radio	
  
     To	
  maximise	
  ROI,	
  Sony	
  Australia	
  should	
  increasing	
  marke3ng	
  spend	
  on	
  Print	
  and	
  decrease	
  
     spend	
  on	
  Radio	
  

                             Print	
                                                                                                                                                        Radio	
  
          Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  




                                                                                                                                   Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  
                                                                                     Optimal                                                                                                                                           Decrease	
  spend	
  in	
  
                                                                                     spend
                                                                   Historical
                                                                    spend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Radio	
  

                                                                                                                                                                                                            Historical
                                                                                   Increase	
  spend	
  in	
                                                                                      Optimal    spend
                                                                                                                                                                                                  spend
                                                                                                                   Print	
  




                                                                                Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
                                                                                                    Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
  


Absolute	
  values	
  for	
  average	
  weekly	
  revenue	
  and	
  spend	
  are	
  hidden	
  for	
  client	
  confiden3ality	
                                                                                                           Google Confidential and Proprietary   12




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Google Confidential and Proprietary
Op>mising	
  Media	
  Budgets	
  
     Outdoor	
  and	
  Paid	
  Search	
  
     To	
  maximise	
  ROI,	
  Sony	
  Australia	
  should	
  reduce	
  spending	
  on	
  Outdoor	
  and	
  increase	
  
     spending	
  on	
  Paid	
  Search	
  
         Outdoor	
                                                                                                                   Paid	
  Search	
  
          Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  




                                                                                                                                       Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Increase	
  spend	
  in	
  
                                                                                          Historical
                                                                                           spend                                                                                                                                           Paid	
  Search	
  
                                                                   Optimal
                                                                   spend
                                                                                                                                                                                                Historical
                                                                                                                                                                                                 spend




                                                                                                       Decrease	
  spend	
  in	
                                                                                     Optimal
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     spend
                                                                                   Outdoor	
  


                                                                             Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
                                                                                                     Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend	
  


Absolute	
  values	
  for	
  average	
  weekly	
  revenue	
  and	
  spend	
  are	
  hidden	
  for	
  client	
  confiden3ality	
                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary   13




                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Google Confidential and Proprietary
Op>mising	
  Media	
  Budgets	
  –	
  Total	
  Campaign	
  
     With	
  the	
  same	
  budget,	
  an	
  op3mal	
  media	
  mix	
  delivers	
  an	
  addi>onal	
  3-­‐5%	
  in	
  revenue	
  


                                            Total	
  Media	
  Spend	
  
           Average	
  Weekly	
  Incremental	
  Revenue	
  (K)	
  




                                                                                       Opportunity	
  =	
  3-­‐5%	
  



                                                                                                                                   .	
  .	
  .	
  by	
  adjus3ng	
  spend	
  levels	
  on	
  individual	
  media	
  channels	
  




                                                                                 Average	
  Weekly	
  Spend:	
                                    Historical	
  	
        Op3mal	
  

Absolute	
  values	
  for	
  average	
  weekly	
  revenue	
  and	
  spend	
  are	
  hidden	
  for	
  client	
  confiden3ality	
                                                                            Google Confidential and Proprietary   14




                                                                                                                                                                                            Google Confidential and Proprietary
How	
  many	
  Sony	
  TV	
  sales	
  would	
  an	
  incremental	
  
   weekly	
  investment	
  of	
  $10k	
  drive?	
  
                                                                                                                        Assuming	
  all	
  other	
  media	
  investments	
  are	
  
           Weekly	
  Sales	
  (units)	
  




                                                                                                                        held	
  at	
  the	
  current	
  level,	
  it	
  is	
  possible	
  to	
  
                                                                                                                        understand	
  the	
  effec3veness	
  of	
  
                                                                                                                        incremental	
  media	
  spend	
  in	
  a	
  single	
  
                                                                                                                        channel	
  on	
  sales	
  


                                            Weekly	
  Media	
  Spend	
  	
  

                                                                                                                                +	
  $10k	
  weekly	
  investment	
                                             drives	
  incremental	
  TV	
  sales	
  .	
  .	
  .	
  

                                                                                                                                                              TV	
                                                                     +52	
  
         Increases	
  in	
  Paid	
  search	
                                                                                               Subscrip3on	
  TV	
                                                                         +68	
  
         investment	
  will	
  deliver	
                                                                                                                   Print	
                                                                     +70	
  
         the	
  greatest	
  return	
  based	
  
                                                                                                                                                          Radio	
                                                                      +32	
  
         on	
  number	
  of	
  addi3onal	
  
         Sony	
  TVs	
  sold	
                                                                                                                       Outdoor	
                                                                         +21	
  
                                                                                                                                                 Paid	
  Search	
                                                                      +72	
  


Understanding	
  of	
  ROI	
  of	
  display	
  within	
  the	
  media	
  mix	
  was	
  compromised	
  by	
  a	
  lack	
  of	
  data	
  rela3ng	
  to	
  Display	
  investments	
  over	
  the	
  period	
  analysed.	
                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   15




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Google Confidential and Proprietary
Project	
  Summary	
  	
  
Op3mum	
  Alloca3on	
  for	
  2011	
  




                                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   16
                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary
Move	
  towards	
  Digital	
  
     Recommenda>on	
  for	
  op>mising	
  budgets	
  in	
  2011	
  
       2010	
  Media	
  Mix	
                                                                                                                    Recommended	
  2011	
  Media	
  Mix	
  
                                                       Paid	
  Search	
                                                                                                              Paid	
  
                                                           4%	
                                                                                                                     Search	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                     12%	
                                     TV	
  
                                Outdoor	
                                                           TV	
                                                                                                                      25%	
  
                                 21%	
                                                             39%	
                                                              Outdoor	
  
                                                                                                                                                                       14%	
  


                                Radio	
                      Print	
                                                                                                   Radio	
                                                    Subscrip3on	
  TV	
  	
  
                                                                                                                                                                        6%	
                          Print	
  
                                 9%	
                        17%	
                                Subscrip3on	
  TV	
  	
                                                                                                              16%	
  
                                                                                                                                                                                                      27%	
  
                                                                                                       10%	
  

            Investment	
  by	
  Channel	
                                            Historical	
             Op3mal	
  



                                                  -37%                                                                                      +55%

                                                                                              +65%                                                                                                                             -30%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           +220%
                                                                                                                                                                                         -37%


                                             TV                              Subscription TV                                          Print                                       Radio                                    Outdoor                Paid Search


Understanding	
  of	
  ROI	
  of	
  display	
  within	
  the	
  media	
  mix	
  was	
  compromised	
  by	
  a	
  lack	
  of	
  data	
  rela3ng	
  to	
  Display	
  investments	
  over	
  the	
  period	
  analysed.	
                     Google Confidential and Proprietary   17




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Google Confidential and Proprietary
Summary	
  

         Sony	
  customers	
  are	
  almost	
  equally	
  responsive	
  to	
  TV	
  and	
  online	
  
    1    marke3ng	
  (these	
  factors	
  drive	
  5%	
  and	
  3%	
  of	
  sales	
  respec3vely);	
  
         however,	
  TV	
  represents	
  nearly	
  50%	
  of	
  Sony’s	
  total	
  marke3ng	
  budget	
  

         At	
  the	
  margin,	
  the	
  next	
  dollar	
  of	
  marke3ng	
  budget	
  is	
  best	
  invested	
  in	
  
    2    Paid	
  Search,	
  Print,	
  or	
  Subscrip3on	
  TV;	
  of	
  these,	
  Paid	
  Search	
  has	
  the	
  
         highest	
  ROMI	
  (addi3onal	
  $10k	
  investment	
  would	
  drive	
  +72	
  unit	
  sales)	
  

         To	
  reach	
  the	
  op3mum	
  media	
  mix,	
  Sony	
  Australia	
  should	
  increase	
  
    3    spending	
  on	
  Subscrip3on	
  TV,	
  Print	
  and	
  Paid	
  Search,	
  and	
  decrease	
  
         spending	
  on	
  TV,	
  Outdoor	
  and	
  Radio	
  

         By	
  shining	
  their	
  media	
  mix	
  toward	
  the	
  op3mum	
  balance,	
  Sony	
  
    4    Australia	
  could	
  increase	
  total	
  revenue	
  by	
  3-­‐5%	
  with	
  the	
  same	
  
         marke3ng	
  budget	
  

                                                                                                          Google Confidential and Proprietary   18




                                                                                            Google Confidential and Proprietary
Appendix	
  



                             Google Confidential and Proprietary   19
               Google Confidential and Proprietary
Bravia	
  TVs	
  
Situa>on	
  Analysis	
  



   •    Evolu3on	
  of	
  Bravia	
  from	
  LCD	
  to	
  3D	
  over	
  2009-­‐2010	
  coincided	
  with	
  the	
  cyclical	
  
        growth	
  of	
  base	
  sales.	
  Incremental	
  sales	
  had	
  declined	
  mostly	
  due	
  to	
  seasonal	
  
        factors	
  

   •    Price	
  was	
  the	
  major	
  driver	
  in	
  driving	
  Bravia	
  LCD	
  sales	
  due	
  to	
  a	
  series	
  of	
  promo3ons:	
  
        Bravia	
  +	
  PS3	
  (Oct-­‐Nov	
  2009)	
  	
  and	
  Christmas-­‐3me	
  offers/retailer	
  promo3ons	
  

   •    The	
  June	
  2010	
  release	
  of	
  Bravia	
  3D	
  was	
  driven	
  by	
  Media:	
  it	
  contributed	
  almost	
  30%	
  
        to	
  total	
  sales	
  as	
  opposed	
  to	
  only	
  10%	
  during	
  the	
  pre-­‐release	
  period.	
  Website	
  visits	
  
        almost	
  tripled	
  as	
  online	
  query	
  ac3vity	
  went	
  up	
  

   •    Sony	
  grew	
  its	
  media	
  presence	
  in	
  the	
  marketplace	
  over	
  the	
  three	
  year	
  3me	
  period	
  
        of	
  the	
  analysis:	
  they	
  increased	
  share	
  of	
  voice	
  from	
  12%	
  to	
  32%.	
  Sony	
  invests	
  
        heavily	
  in	
  offline	
  media,	
  where	
  TV	
  contributes	
  close	
  to	
  2/3	
  of	
  total	
  marke3ng	
  spend  	
  
                                                                                                                       Google Confidential and Proprietary   20




                                                                                                         Google Confidential and Proprietary
About	
  MarketShare	
  
World-­‐Class	
  Marke3ng	
  Science	
  +	
  Real-­‐World	
  Industry	
  Exper3se	
  




  •  Strategic	
  analy3cs	
  firm	
  deploying	
  industry’s	
  most	
  advanced	
  analy3c	
  models	
  
     for	
  marke3ng	
  effec3veness,	
  ROI	
  and	
  alloca3on	
  
  •  Reputa3on	
  for	
  being	
  the	
  most	
  innova3ve	
  firm	
  in	
  the	
  category,	
  with	
  focus	
  on	
  
     advanced	
  math,	
  thought	
  leadership	
  and	
  ac3on	
  
  •  Significant	
  experience	
  with	
  new	
  media,	
  including	
  search,	
  social	
  networks	
  
     and	
  display	
  
  •  Heavy	
  emphasis	
  on	
  applica3on	
  of	
  analy3cs	
  to	
  make	
  berer	
  decisions	
  going	
  
     forward	
  
  •  An	
  independently	
  owned	
  company	
  delivering	
  100%	
  objec3vity	
  in	
  assessing	
  
     marke3ng	
  effec3veness.	
  


                                                                                                      Google Confidential and Proprietary   21




                                                                                        Google Confidential and Proprietary

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Sony australia understanding complete marketing roi

  • 1. Marketing Response Understanding the complete marketing ROI for Sony Australia May 2011 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 2. Sony  Australia   Background   •  Sony  Australia  operates  through  mul3ple  online  and  offline  channels     •  Online:  products  are  distributed  directly  via  Sony  Style  (online  shop)  and  indirectly   via  retailers/dealers     •  Offline:  full  product  informa3on  and  demonstra3ons  are  available  in  Sony  Centre   showrooms  as  well  as  at  other  retailers/dealers     •  Major  spor3ng  events  are  used  as  a  theme  for  promo3onal  campaigns:                                                                                             release  of  the  new  BRAVIA  3D  was  joint  with  FIFA  World  Cup  2010   •  Offline  Media  predominates  in  marke3ng  and  communica3ons     •  TV  and  Print  are  the  largest  propor3on  of  total  marke3ng  investment   Google Confidential and Proprietary 2 Google Confidential and Proprietary 2
  • 3. About  the  Project   Research  Objec>ves   •  To  understand  and  quan3fy  the  effec3veness  of  Sony  Australia’s  marke3ng   and  media  spend  in  driving  Sony  TV  sales,  par3cularly:   •  To  evaluate  the  role  of  paid  search  in  Sony’s  marke3ng  ecosystem   •  To  understand  the  role  of  Sony’s  paid  and  owned  media  (e.g.  website)  in  driving  sales   •  To  op3mise  the  marke3ng  and  media  mix  to  generate  greater  revenue  from   the  same  level  of  investment   Google Confidential and Proprietary 3 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 4. Methodology   Econometric  Modelling   World-­‐Class  Marke3ng  Science  +  Real-­‐World  Industry  Exper3se     All  data  analysis  was  conducted  by  MarketShare  in  December  2010   •  •  Using  Sony  Australia’s  internal  and  proprietary  data  (May  2007  –  Aug.  2010)     •  Sony  TV  sales  volumes  and  revenues  (split  by  TV  screen  size)   •  Pricing   •  Website  data  (visitors,  conversions)   •  Marke3ng  and  Media  costs   •  Search  volume  data  from  Google.com.au   •  MarketShare  proprietary  marke3ng  database   •  Mul3ple  econometric  models  (mul3plica3ve  logarithmic  3me  series)  were  constructed  to   understand  total  Marke3ng  ROI  by  media  channel  and  inform  future  op3mal  media   resource  alloca3on   Google Confidential and Proprietary 4 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 5. The  Offline  World   What  are  the  drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales?   Google Confidential and Proprietary 5 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 6. Drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales   Offline  Sales  Volumes   September  2009  –  August  2010   TV,  Print,  Outdoor   Pricing   Paid  Search   +3%   Seasonality   Base  Sales    33%   October November December January February March April May June July August 2009 2010 Google Confidential and Proprietary 6 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 7. Drivers  of  Bravia  offline  sales   Offline  Sales  Volumes   September  2009  –  August  2010   79%  of  offline  sales  are   non-­‐marke3ng  driven   3% 5% 2% 2% 7% 1% 1% 35% 2% Print, TV and Paid Search are the top 3 drivers 21%  of  offline  sales  are   of offline sales. influenced  by  marke3ng   9% 33% ‘Other’  Category  includes  sponsorship  (incl.  FIFA  2010  World  Cup)  and  retailer  marke3ng   Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.    Base sales volume includes influence from existing store network, employee workforce, existing infrastructure distribution, seasonality, underlying consumer demand, etc. Google Confidential and Proprietary 7 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 8. Marke3ng  ROI   How  to  op3mise  media  spend  and  maximise  sales   Google Confidential and Proprietary 8 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 9. Understanding  the  effec>veness  of  marke>ng  spend   Methodology   •  Econometric  models  take  advantage  of  natural  varia3on  in  both  marke3ng  spend   and  sales  levels  over  the  3me,  e.g.  during  the  analysis  period  (May  2007  –  Aug  2010)     •  This  varia3on  makes  it  possible  to  plot  response  curves  for  each  marke3ng  channel,   which  in  turn  allows  the  measurement  of  ROI   Media  Response  Curve   Historical   Spend   Once  the  responsiveness  of  each   Weekly  Sales  (units)   media  in  driving  sales  is  known,    it  is   possible  to  define  an  op>mal   marke>ng  mix  for  future  campaigns   to  deliver  the  maximum  ROI.   Weekly  Media  Spend     Google Confidential and Proprietary 9 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 10. Marginal  ROI  –  Where  to  spend  the  next  dollar  to   get  maximum  return?   At  the  margin,  the  next  dollar  is  best  invested  in  Paid  Search,  Print,  and  Subscrip>on  TV   Subscrip>on   5 TV   TV   Print   Radio   Outdoor   Paid  Search   4.3   Indexed Marginal ROI 2.6   2.7   -­‐0.5   -­‐0.1   -1 -­‐1   Return  on  marginal  investment  (ROMI)  quan3fies  the  $  return  on  the  next  $  invested.    Posi3ve  ROMI  indicates  current   underspend  –  and  a  recommended  increase  –  whereas  a  nega3ve  value  indicates  overspend.  Op3mal  spend  (and   therefore  overall  ROI)  occurs  when  all  ROMIs  are  driven  to  zero  –  this  explains  the  direc3onal  changes  illustrated  in  the   next  slides.   Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.   Google Confidential and Proprietary 10 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 11. Op>mising  Media  Budgets   TV  and  Subscrip>on  TV   To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  reduce  spending  on  TV  and  increase  spending  on   subscrip3on  TV   TV   Subscrip>on  TV   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Optimal spend Increase  spend  in   Historical Subscrip3on  TV   spend Optimal Historical spend spend Decrease  spend  in   TV   Average  Weekly  Spend   Average  Weekly  Spend   Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality   Google Confidential and Proprietary 11 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 12. Op>mising  Media  Budgets   Print  and  Radio   To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  increasing  marke3ng  spend  on  Print  and  decrease   spend  on  Radio   Print   Radio   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Optimal Decrease  spend  in   spend Historical spend Radio   Historical Increase  spend  in   Optimal spend spend Print   Average  Weekly  Spend   Average  Weekly  Spend   Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality   Google Confidential and Proprietary 12 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 13. Op>mising  Media  Budgets   Outdoor  and  Paid  Search   To  maximise  ROI,  Sony  Australia  should  reduce  spending  on  Outdoor  and  increase   spending  on  Paid  Search   Outdoor   Paid  Search   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Increase  spend  in   Historical spend Paid  Search   Optimal spend Historical spend Decrease  spend  in   Optimal spend Outdoor   Average  Weekly  Spend   Average  Weekly  Spend   Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality   Google Confidential and Proprietary 13 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 14. Op>mising  Media  Budgets  –  Total  Campaign   With  the  same  budget,  an  op3mal  media  mix  delivers  an  addi>onal  3-­‐5%  in  revenue   Total  Media  Spend   Average  Weekly  Incremental  Revenue  (K)   Opportunity  =  3-­‐5%   .  .  .  by  adjus3ng  spend  levels  on  individual  media  channels   Average  Weekly  Spend:   Historical     Op3mal   Absolute  values  for  average  weekly  revenue  and  spend  are  hidden  for  client  confiden3ality   Google Confidential and Proprietary 14 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 15. How  many  Sony  TV  sales  would  an  incremental   weekly  investment  of  $10k  drive?   Assuming  all  other  media  investments  are   Weekly  Sales  (units)   held  at  the  current  level,  it  is  possible  to   understand  the  effec3veness  of   incremental  media  spend  in  a  single   channel  on  sales   Weekly  Media  Spend     +  $10k  weekly  investment   drives  incremental  TV  sales  .  .  .   TV   +52   Increases  in  Paid  search   Subscrip3on  TV   +68   investment  will  deliver   Print   +70   the  greatest  return  based   Radio   +32   on  number  of  addi3onal   Sony  TVs  sold   Outdoor   +21   Paid  Search   +72   Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.   Google Confidential and Proprietary 15 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 16. Project  Summary     Op3mum  Alloca3on  for  2011   Google Confidential and Proprietary 16 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 17. Move  towards  Digital   Recommenda>on  for  op>mising  budgets  in  2011   2010  Media  Mix   Recommended  2011  Media  Mix   Paid  Search   Paid   4%   Search   12%   TV   Outdoor   TV   25%   21%   39%   Outdoor   14%   Radio   Print   Radio   Subscrip3on  TV     6%   Print   9%   17%   Subscrip3on  TV     16%   27%   10%   Investment  by  Channel   Historical   Op3mal   -37% +55% +65% -30% +220% -37% TV Subscription TV Print Radio Outdoor Paid Search Understanding  of  ROI  of  display  within  the  media  mix  was  compromised  by  a  lack  of  data  rela3ng  to  Display  investments  over  the  period  analysed.   Google Confidential and Proprietary 17 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 18. Summary   Sony  customers  are  almost  equally  responsive  to  TV  and  online   1 marke3ng  (these  factors  drive  5%  and  3%  of  sales  respec3vely);   however,  TV  represents  nearly  50%  of  Sony’s  total  marke3ng  budget   At  the  margin,  the  next  dollar  of  marke3ng  budget  is  best  invested  in   2 Paid  Search,  Print,  or  Subscrip3on  TV;  of  these,  Paid  Search  has  the   highest  ROMI  (addi3onal  $10k  investment  would  drive  +72  unit  sales)   To  reach  the  op3mum  media  mix,  Sony  Australia  should  increase   3 spending  on  Subscrip3on  TV,  Print  and  Paid  Search,  and  decrease   spending  on  TV,  Outdoor  and  Radio   By  shining  their  media  mix  toward  the  op3mum  balance,  Sony   4 Australia  could  increase  total  revenue  by  3-­‐5%  with  the  same   marke3ng  budget   Google Confidential and Proprietary 18 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 19. Appendix   Google Confidential and Proprietary 19 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 20. Bravia  TVs   Situa>on  Analysis   •  Evolu3on  of  Bravia  from  LCD  to  3D  over  2009-­‐2010  coincided  with  the  cyclical   growth  of  base  sales.  Incremental  sales  had  declined  mostly  due  to  seasonal   factors   •  Price  was  the  major  driver  in  driving  Bravia  LCD  sales  due  to  a  series  of  promo3ons:   Bravia  +  PS3  (Oct-­‐Nov  2009)    and  Christmas-­‐3me  offers/retailer  promo3ons   •  The  June  2010  release  of  Bravia  3D  was  driven  by  Media:  it  contributed  almost  30%   to  total  sales  as  opposed  to  only  10%  during  the  pre-­‐release  period.  Website  visits   almost  tripled  as  online  query  ac3vity  went  up   •  Sony  grew  its  media  presence  in  the  marketplace  over  the  three  year  3me  period   of  the  analysis:  they  increased  share  of  voice  from  12%  to  32%.  Sony  invests   heavily  in  offline  media,  where  TV  contributes  close  to  2/3  of  total  marke3ng  spend   Google Confidential and Proprietary 20 Google Confidential and Proprietary
  • 21. About  MarketShare   World-­‐Class  Marke3ng  Science  +  Real-­‐World  Industry  Exper3se   •  Strategic  analy3cs  firm  deploying  industry’s  most  advanced  analy3c  models   for  marke3ng  effec3veness,  ROI  and  alloca3on   •  Reputa3on  for  being  the  most  innova3ve  firm  in  the  category,  with  focus  on   advanced  math,  thought  leadership  and  ac3on   •  Significant  experience  with  new  media,  including  search,  social  networks   and  display   •  Heavy  emphasis  on  applica3on  of  analy3cs  to  make  berer  decisions  going   forward   •  An  independently  owned  company  delivering  100%  objec3vity  in  assessing   marke3ng  effec3veness.   Google Confidential and Proprietary 21 Google Confidential and Proprietary