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21ST-CENTURY
  LEARNERS DEMAND
  POST-INDUSTRIAL
  EDUCATION SYSTEMS
              Dirk Van Damme
Head of the Innovation and Measuring
      Progress division – OECD/EDU
SOME REFLECTIONS ON
     TIME AND CHANGE IN
         EDUCATION




1                         2
“Education is only the image and reflection
of society. It imitates and reproduces the
latter…it does not create it”
Emile Durkheim



            “Education is a social process. Education is
            growth. Education is not a preparation for
                             life; education is life itself”
                                            John Dewey



                                                               3
Time, continuity, change

• Durkheim – and „reproduction theories‟ after
  him – sees education as a kind of „condensation‟
  of a society‟s history, social structure etc., thus
  following social change

• John Dewey – and progressive educators in his
  footsteps – see education as driving social
  change by stressing the transformative capacities
  of education


                                                        4
Questions

• Designing 21st Century education systems:
  – Expansion: “more of the same”?
  – Regression: „taylorism‟, tightening control, raising
    productivity and efficiency by standardisation
  – Transformation: innovative learning systems
    approach to education
• How can best performing systems help us to
  identify challenges and solutions?


                                                           5
INDUSTRIAL AND
      POST-INDUSTRIAL
    EDUCATION SYSTEMS:
    SKILLS & PEDAGOGY



1                        6
Industrial and post-industrial education compared
     skills and pedagogy
             Industrial               Post-industrial
Cognitive skills                 Cognitive & non-cognitive skills
Discipline                                             Character
Routine skills                                Non-routine skills
Curriculum centred                                 Skills centred
Linear concepts of learning                        Non-linearity
„Learning to the test‟                          „Joy of learning‟
                                      Continuum from formal to
Formal education centred
                                              informal learning
Evidence-poor teaching and           Evidence-rich teaching and
learning environments                    learning environments
Pedagogy for selection of few          Pedagogy of success of all

                                                                    7
Cognitive skills matter for life
  (OECD/PIAAC data)
Odds ratios                                                            Has fair to poor health

2.6
                                                                       Does not volunteer for
2.4                                                                    charity or non-profit
                                                                       organizations
2.2                                                                    Poor understanding of
                                                                       political issues facing
2.0                                                                    country
1.8                                                                    Poor level of general trust

1.6
                                                                       Higher propensity of
1.4                                                                    believing people try to take
                                                                       of advantage of others
1.2                                                                    Lower propensity to
                                                                       reciprocate
1.0
        Level 5      Level 4       Level 3      Level 2      Level 1   Poor political efficacy



Odds are adjusted for age, gender, and immigration status.
                                                                                                     8
But non-cognitive skills matter as well
                          (OECD/ESP data)

                               Causal effects of skills on health
                          1
                         0.9
                         0.8
   ∆Standard deviation




                         0.7
                         0.6
                         0.5                                                    Alcohol dependency
                         0.4                                                    Obesity
                         0.3
                         0.2
                         0.1
                          0
                                 Cognitive skills        Non-cognitive skills
                                       ∆standard deviation in outcomes due to
                                       ∆standard deviation of skills                                 9
Source: ZEW 2012
Changing skill demand
                                                               Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US)
Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution




                                                                                                                       Routine manual
                                                               65

                                                               60                                                      Nonroutine manual

                                                               55
                                                                                                                       Routine cognitive
                                                               50

                                                               45                                                      Nonroutine analytic

                                                               40
                                                                1960          1970          1980      1990    2000     Nonroutine interactive



                                                                     Source: Levy and Murnane, 2005

                                                                                                                                             10
Critical skills for the most innovative jobs
                 Likelihood (odds ratios) of reporting the following job requirements: people
                             in the most innovative jobs vs. least innovative jobs
  come with news ideas/solutions                                                                         2.97
            acquire new knowledge                                                                 2.44
      willingness to question ideas                                                             2.34
         alertness to opportunities                                                       2.24
         present ideas in audience                                                       2.18
                  analytical thinking                                                2.15
           master of your own field                                                 2.11
                coordinate activities                                             2.05
write and speak a foreign language                                                2.02
       use computers and internet                                             2.00
          make your meaning clear                                             1.99
                 use time efficiently                                        1.98
       mobilize capacities of others                                         1.97
     work productively with others                                          1.95
       write reports or documents                                           1.94
            perform under pressure                                   1.81
         knowledge of other fields                                  1.76
                           negociate                                1.76
               assert your authority                         1.56

                                        1.00                               2.00                                 4.00



                         Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data                                                11
Science scores and interest in science
                                    are not always fostered simultaneously
                            640
                                        LOW SCORE                                                                               HIGH SCORE
                                        HIGH INTEREST                                                                         HIGH INTEREST
                            620
                                                MEX
                                          IDN
                            600
                                         BRA                  CHL
                            580
Interest in science score




                                                                                  PRT
                            560
                                                                                GRC
                            540                         TUR               RUS         ESP                        HKG
                                                                      ITA                     MAC
                                                                                      FRA
                            520                                             SVK                      DEU
                                                                                     HUN
                                                                    ISR          LUX   AUT     SVN JPN
                            500                                                   POL BEL CHE      EST
                                                                                       CZE
                                                                                                 KOR
                            480                                                      USA    IRL
                                                                            NOR                      CAN
                                                                              ISL          GBR AUS
                            460                                                DNK                  NZL
                                        LOW SCORE                                                                      FIN       HIGH SCORE
                                                                                   SWE
                                        LOW INTEREST                                              NLD                          LOW INTEREST
                            440
                                  380    400     420      440       460         480     500         520    540         560   580   600    620
                                                                             PISA 2006 Science score
                                                                                                                                              12
Pedagogies matter...
        OECD/PISA 2006 data


              Science score                   Interest in Science score
  0.3                                 0.3

0.25
                                    0.25
                                                20
  0.2
                                      0.2
 0.15
                                     0.15
  0.1

                  8                   0.1
0.05      4
                         1                                                3
                                    0.05                                               6
   0
         -1      -2      -2
-0.05                                  0
                                                 0           -2          -1           -1
 -0.1                         -10
                                    -0.05
-0.15
                                     -0.1


                                    -0.15
                                            application   hands-on   interaction investigation



                                                                                                 13
Inadequate concepts

• Technology?
  – Innovative pedagogies will be technology-rich, but
    technology is a tool, not a goal in itself
  – Technology can also lead to regressive pedagogy
• From teaching to learning?
  – Also post-industrial education will need strong
    professionalised support
  – Autonomous learning can be very ineffective
• From schooling to learning?
  – De-institutionalisation of learning is not an option
  – 21st century learning needs strong institutional frameworks
                                                                  14
INDUSTRIAL AND
      POST-INDUSTRIAL
    EDUCATION SYSTEMS:
       ORGANISATION



2                        15
Industrial and post-industrial education compared
     organisation
           Industrial                 Post-industrial
Educational provision                       Supported learning
Standardisation and uniformity    Personalisation and flexibility
Focused on the median                       Fostering all talents
Confined in time and space         Time and space independent
Bureaucratic control               Devolved local responsibility
Vertical accountability               Horizontal accountability
Capacity at the top                 Capacity at point of delivery
Reform by prescription              Schools and teachers reform
Teachers as administrators            Teachers as professionals
Management                                           Leadership

                                                                    16
Accountability

                 Vertical


                  Regulatory
                 accountability



                     School
                  performance
                 accountability

                                  17
Accountability



                     Professional
                    accountability

Horizontal
                 Multiple stakeholder
                   accountability




                                        18
INDUSTRIAL AND
      POST-INDUSTRIAL
    EDUCATION SYSTEMS:
          SYSTEM



3                        19
Industrial and post-industrial education compared
     system
           Industrial                  Post-industrial
Weak research evidence base        Strong research evidence base
Weak innovation in education    Very innovative education sector
Low knowledge dynamics                High knowledge dynamics
Schools as services             Schools as learning organisations




                                                                    20
Research as engine of innovation




                                   21
Education is poor in innovating
 technology and tools
70     Sector innovation index for process, instruments and tools
60
50
                            41
40                                          35.6
30
20
10
0




                                       Source: Paul (2007)
                                                                    22
New teachers act not as innovators in
                        the profession (OECD/TALIS data)
                                   Constructivist beliefs - Experienced teachers                                                                                  Constructivist beliefs - New teachers
                                   Direct transmission beliefs - Experienced teachers                                                                             Direct transmission beliefs - New teachers
                 0.5
Ipsative means




                 0.0




                 -0.5




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Italy
                                                                                                       Denmark




                                                                                                                                                        Hungary
                                                                                     Estonia
                        Austria*




                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Spain



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Portugal
                                                                                                                 Norway




                                                                                                                                                                                               Poland*
                                              Turkey*




                                                                                                                                  Ireland*




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Brazil



                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Lithuania




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Malaysia
                                                                                               Malta




                                                                                                                                                                    Slovak Republic
                                    Iceland



                                                        Australia




                                                                                                                          Korea




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Bulgaria
                                                                                                                                             Slovenia




                                                                                                                                                                                      Mexico
                                                                    Belgium (Fl.)*




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               23
Thank you !

dirk.vandamme@oecd.org
 www.oecd.org/edu/ceri
twitter @VanDammeEDU




                         24

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21st century learners demand post industrial education systems

  • 1. 21ST-CENTURY LEARNERS DEMAND POST-INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION SYSTEMS Dirk Van Damme Head of the Innovation and Measuring Progress division – OECD/EDU
  • 2. SOME REFLECTIONS ON TIME AND CHANGE IN EDUCATION 1 2
  • 3. “Education is only the image and reflection of society. It imitates and reproduces the latter…it does not create it” Emile Durkheim “Education is a social process. Education is growth. Education is not a preparation for life; education is life itself” John Dewey 3
  • 4. Time, continuity, change • Durkheim – and „reproduction theories‟ after him – sees education as a kind of „condensation‟ of a society‟s history, social structure etc., thus following social change • John Dewey – and progressive educators in his footsteps – see education as driving social change by stressing the transformative capacities of education 4
  • 5. Questions • Designing 21st Century education systems: – Expansion: “more of the same”? – Regression: „taylorism‟, tightening control, raising productivity and efficiency by standardisation – Transformation: innovative learning systems approach to education • How can best performing systems help us to identify challenges and solutions? 5
  • 6. INDUSTRIAL AND POST-INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION SYSTEMS: SKILLS & PEDAGOGY 1 6
  • 7. Industrial and post-industrial education compared skills and pedagogy Industrial Post-industrial Cognitive skills Cognitive & non-cognitive skills Discipline Character Routine skills Non-routine skills Curriculum centred Skills centred Linear concepts of learning Non-linearity „Learning to the test‟ „Joy of learning‟ Continuum from formal to Formal education centred informal learning Evidence-poor teaching and Evidence-rich teaching and learning environments learning environments Pedagogy for selection of few Pedagogy of success of all 7
  • 8. Cognitive skills matter for life (OECD/PIAAC data) Odds ratios Has fair to poor health 2.6 Does not volunteer for 2.4 charity or non-profit organizations 2.2 Poor understanding of political issues facing 2.0 country 1.8 Poor level of general trust 1.6 Higher propensity of 1.4 believing people try to take of advantage of others 1.2 Lower propensity to reciprocate 1.0 Level 5 Level 4 Level 3 Level 2 Level 1 Poor political efficacy Odds are adjusted for age, gender, and immigration status. 8
  • 9. But non-cognitive skills matter as well (OECD/ESP data) Causal effects of skills on health 1 0.9 0.8 ∆Standard deviation 0.7 0.6 0.5 Alcohol dependency 0.4 Obesity 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 Cognitive skills Non-cognitive skills ∆standard deviation in outcomes due to ∆standard deviation of skills 9 Source: ZEW 2012
  • 10. Changing skill demand Economy-wide measures of routine and non-routine task input (US) Mean task input as percentiles of the 1960 task distribution Routine manual 65 60 Nonroutine manual 55 Routine cognitive 50 45 Nonroutine analytic 40 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Nonroutine interactive Source: Levy and Murnane, 2005 10
  • 11. Critical skills for the most innovative jobs Likelihood (odds ratios) of reporting the following job requirements: people in the most innovative jobs vs. least innovative jobs come with news ideas/solutions 2.97 acquire new knowledge 2.44 willingness to question ideas 2.34 alertness to opportunities 2.24 present ideas in audience 2.18 analytical thinking 2.15 master of your own field 2.11 coordinate activities 2.05 write and speak a foreign language 2.02 use computers and internet 2.00 make your meaning clear 1.99 use time efficiently 1.98 mobilize capacities of others 1.97 work productively with others 1.95 write reports or documents 1.94 perform under pressure 1.81 knowledge of other fields 1.76 negociate 1.76 assert your authority 1.56 1.00 2.00 4.00 Source: OECD, based on REFLEX and HEGESCO data 11
  • 12. Science scores and interest in science are not always fostered simultaneously 640 LOW SCORE HIGH SCORE HIGH INTEREST HIGH INTEREST 620 MEX IDN 600 BRA CHL 580 Interest in science score PRT 560 GRC 540 TUR RUS ESP HKG ITA MAC FRA 520 SVK DEU HUN ISR LUX AUT SVN JPN 500 POL BEL CHE EST CZE KOR 480 USA IRL NOR CAN ISL GBR AUS 460 DNK NZL LOW SCORE FIN HIGH SCORE SWE LOW INTEREST NLD LOW INTEREST 440 380 400 420 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 580 600 620 PISA 2006 Science score 12
  • 13. Pedagogies matter... OECD/PISA 2006 data Science score Interest in Science score 0.3 0.3 0.25 0.25 20 0.2 0.2 0.15 0.15 0.1 8 0.1 0.05 4 1 3 0.05 6 0 -1 -2 -2 -0.05 0 0 -2 -1 -1 -0.1 -10 -0.05 -0.15 -0.1 -0.15 application hands-on interaction investigation 13
  • 14. Inadequate concepts • Technology? – Innovative pedagogies will be technology-rich, but technology is a tool, not a goal in itself – Technology can also lead to regressive pedagogy • From teaching to learning? – Also post-industrial education will need strong professionalised support – Autonomous learning can be very ineffective • From schooling to learning? – De-institutionalisation of learning is not an option – 21st century learning needs strong institutional frameworks 14
  • 15. INDUSTRIAL AND POST-INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION SYSTEMS: ORGANISATION 2 15
  • 16. Industrial and post-industrial education compared organisation Industrial Post-industrial Educational provision Supported learning Standardisation and uniformity Personalisation and flexibility Focused on the median Fostering all talents Confined in time and space Time and space independent Bureaucratic control Devolved local responsibility Vertical accountability Horizontal accountability Capacity at the top Capacity at point of delivery Reform by prescription Schools and teachers reform Teachers as administrators Teachers as professionals Management Leadership 16
  • 17. Accountability Vertical Regulatory accountability School performance accountability 17
  • 18. Accountability Professional accountability Horizontal Multiple stakeholder accountability 18
  • 19. INDUSTRIAL AND POST-INDUSTRIAL EDUCATION SYSTEMS: SYSTEM 3 19
  • 20. Industrial and post-industrial education compared system Industrial Post-industrial Weak research evidence base Strong research evidence base Weak innovation in education Very innovative education sector Low knowledge dynamics High knowledge dynamics Schools as services Schools as learning organisations 20
  • 21. Research as engine of innovation 21
  • 22. Education is poor in innovating technology and tools 70 Sector innovation index for process, instruments and tools 60 50 41 40 35.6 30 20 10 0 Source: Paul (2007) 22
  • 23. New teachers act not as innovators in the profession (OECD/TALIS data) Constructivist beliefs - Experienced teachers Constructivist beliefs - New teachers Direct transmission beliefs - Experienced teachers Direct transmission beliefs - New teachers 0.5 Ipsative means 0.0 -0.5 Italy Denmark Hungary Estonia Austria* Spain Portugal Norway Poland* Turkey* Ireland* Brazil Lithuania Malaysia Malta Slovak Republic Iceland Australia Korea Bulgaria Slovenia Mexico Belgium (Fl.)* 23
  • 24. Thank you ! dirk.vandamme@oecd.org www.oecd.org/edu/ceri twitter @VanDammeEDU 24