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Thinking
   m29
What are they?

How do you know?
What is the most
dog-like dog that
 you can imagine?
Concepts
Concept: a mental grouping of similar objects,
events, ideas, or people

Prototype: a best example of a concept
Analogous to
schemas and
 hierarchies
Solving Problems
!?
Algorithm   0-0-0, 0-0-1, 0-0-2, etc


Heuristic   21-0-0, 21-0-1, 21-0-2, etc


 Insight    I remember now!
try it . . .
So, let’s
         Find a partner for a bit of fun
Obstacles to Problem Solving
                               Confirmation bias

                               Fixation

                                Mental set

                                Functional fixedness
Confirmation Bias

After committing to a college, students will
  seek others who have made the same
 decision — rather than find others who
     chose not to attend that college
Fixation
Mental set

Assume that you’re an engineer of a
passenger train, and you like to count
things...
1. How many stations were there?

2. How many passengers are left on the
   train?

3. How old is in the engineer?
Mental set

  There are six eggs in a basket. Six people
take one of the eggs each. How is it that one
      egg can still be left in the basket?
Functional fixedness
Decisions &
Judgments
Heuristic: a rule of thumb, based on
experience, that enables quicker problem solving



        List all the English words that start
                   with the letter Q
Three dangers of heuristics:
   Representativeness heuristic
       Availability heuristic
         Overconfidence
        Framed decisions
Representativeness
 Judging the likelihood of things in terms of how
           well they fit your prototype


Meeting people in players fromyou might assume
 You meet three your dorm, the University’s
   that the laid-back, long-haired guy is from
Quidditch team, and they are all really nice; you
California, whereas all Quidditch players are that
might assume that the fast-talking, clean-cut guy
                is fromway. York
                         New
Availability
 Judging the likelihood of things based on how
           easily they come to mind


After hearing about several couples who have
After news of a school shooting in Omaha, you
 recently broken up because of infidelity, you
might think the possibility of a similar attack is
might be more suspicious of your own partner
            higher than it really is
Overconfidence: tendency to overestimate
the accuracy of our own knowledge and judgments




       Vacation time vs assignments to do
Overconfidence:
Why you shouldn’t show off
Framing: the way an issue is posed can
significantly affect decisions and judgments




       Condoms are 98% effective
          85% lean ground beef
                    vs
      Condoms have a 2% failure rate
           15% fat ground beef
Belief Bias
Belief bias: the tendency for our beliefs
to distort our ability to reason clearly




       Beliefs are stronger than logic
Belief perseverance: clinging to
one’s initial beliefs despite contrary
evidence

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M29 thinking slides

  • 1. Thinking m29
  • 2.
  • 3. What are they? How do you know?
  • 4. What is the most dog-like dog that you can imagine?
  • 6. Concept: a mental grouping of similar objects, events, ideas, or people Prototype: a best example of a concept
  • 9. !?
  • 10. Algorithm 0-0-0, 0-0-1, 0-0-2, etc Heuristic 21-0-0, 21-0-1, 21-0-2, etc Insight I remember now!
  • 11. try it . . . So, let’s Find a partner for a bit of fun
  • 12. Obstacles to Problem Solving Confirmation bias Fixation Mental set Functional fixedness
  • 13. Confirmation Bias After committing to a college, students will seek others who have made the same decision — rather than find others who chose not to attend that college
  • 15. Mental set Assume that you’re an engineer of a passenger train, and you like to count things...
  • 16. 1. How many stations were there? 2. How many passengers are left on the train? 3. How old is in the engineer?
  • 17. Mental set There are six eggs in a basket. Six people take one of the eggs each. How is it that one egg can still be left in the basket?
  • 20. Heuristic: a rule of thumb, based on experience, that enables quicker problem solving List all the English words that start with the letter Q
  • 21.
  • 22. Three dangers of heuristics: Representativeness heuristic Availability heuristic Overconfidence Framed decisions
  • 23. Representativeness Judging the likelihood of things in terms of how well they fit your prototype Meeting people in players fromyou might assume You meet three your dorm, the University’s that the laid-back, long-haired guy is from Quidditch team, and they are all really nice; you California, whereas all Quidditch players are that might assume that the fast-talking, clean-cut guy is fromway. York New
  • 24. Availability Judging the likelihood of things based on how easily they come to mind After hearing about several couples who have After news of a school shooting in Omaha, you recently broken up because of infidelity, you might think the possibility of a similar attack is might be more suspicious of your own partner higher than it really is
  • 25. Overconfidence: tendency to overestimate the accuracy of our own knowledge and judgments Vacation time vs assignments to do
  • 26.
  • 28. Framing: the way an issue is posed can significantly affect decisions and judgments Condoms are 98% effective 85% lean ground beef vs Condoms have a 2% failure rate 15% fat ground beef
  • 30. Belief bias: the tendency for our beliefs to distort our ability to reason clearly Beliefs are stronger than logic
  • 31. Belief perseverance: clinging to one’s initial beliefs despite contrary evidence