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UK country report – Capitalising on 
the art & science in decision making: 
Exploring the agenda for big decisions in 
2014-15 and the process that UK business 
leaders will go through in making these 
decisions. 
Gut & 
gigabytes 
www.pwc.co.uk/data-analytics 
Written by 
Intelligence 
Unit
Gut & gigabytes 
PwC Foreword 
PwC Foreword: 
Intuition in the machine-to- 
machine age 
Tom Lewis 
PwC UK Data and Analytics Lead 
E: tom.e.lewis@uk.pwc.com 
Yann Bonduelle 
PwC Data and Analytics Consulting 
E: yann.bonduelle@uk.pwc.com 
Tom Lewis 
Upgrading the art and science of 
decision making 
Extracting insight from an organisation’s data and 
applying it to business decisions has long been a 
necessary business skill. But in the last few years, 
data analytics is appearing more and more as a top 
priority issue, perceived as critical to unlocking 
future growth, managing cost and decreasing risk. 
We know our clients were increasingly using 
data in operational decision making – often using 
automated processes that respond in real time 
without human interaction. But we were interested 
to understand better how data and analytics 
is being used in the boardroom, to make those 
bigger strategic decisions that determine the future 
of organisations. 
We wanted to understand what decisions were 
being made, how they were being made and 
how often – specifically including the relative 
importance of data and analytics, and business 
‘gut instinct’. 
We are excited to share our findings for the 
UK – placed in the context of our larger global 
survey results. 
Its interesting to observe that UK organisations 
rate their data and analytics’ capabilities highly in 
a global context, believing that quality, quantity 
and reliability of the data they have is good and 
improving. And yet, the UK senior stakeholders are 
less likely than their colleagues elsewhere to use 
data and analytics as the main driver of strategic 
decisions. More than half remembered a bad 
experience where reliance on data analytics had 
been detrimental to their businesses in the past. It 
seems we are investing in sound data and analytics, 
but still rely upon intuition and experience to 
determine the big bets in business. 
In many ways, this result is not a surprise. Good 
business is both art and science – rational and 
intuitive. The role of data and analytics is to 
improve decision making by making the rational 
element as well-informed and insightful as 
possible to reduce business risk. It works alongside 
experience and intuition, but not to replace it. 
Yann Bonduelle
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making
Gut & gigabytes
Contents 
About the report ....................................................................................1 
Executive summary ...............................................................................3 
Decision time – Big decisions are on business leaders’ agendas in 
the next 12 months ................................................................................5 
Augmented reality – Data and analysis can enhance 
experience and intuition ........................................................................9 
Conclusion.......................................................................................... 13 
PwC contacts....................................................................................... 14 
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making
About the report 
Gut & gigabytes: Capitalising on the art & science in decision making. 
Explores the agenda for big decisions in 2014 – 15 and the process that 
business leaders will go through in making these decisions. 
The report is published by PwC and written by The Economist 
Intelligence Unit (EIU), with the exception of the separately 
labelled boxes which are written by PwC. The views 
expressed by the EIU do not necessarily reflect those of PwC. 
Definitions 
We have used the following definitions for this report. 
Big decisions: the most significant decisions about the 
strategic direction of the business (ie not concerned with day-to- 
day operations). 
Big data: the recent wave of electronic information produced 
in greater volume by a growing number of sources (ie not just 
data collected by a particular organisation in the course of 
normal business). 
Data analysis: the use of analytical techniques to generate 
new insights from data. 
1 Gut & gigabytes 
A note on sample size 
In May 2014 the EIU surveyed 1,135 senior executives, 
over half (54%) of whom are C-level executives or 
board members. This sample also included 50 senior 
representatives from government and the public 
sector. Respondents came from across the world and 
represented 18 different industries. The majority of 
companies (74%) reported an annual revenue last year 
of at least US$1bn, and no company had annual revenue 
below US$250m. The ownership of companies in the 
sample is evenly split between publicly listed companies 
and private, family-owned or state-owned enterprises. 
In the context of our global survey, the sample size of 
UK respondents, at 75, is relatively small. There is, as 
a result, a greater qualitative influence in this report 
compared with the global insights, especially when 
examining correlations between survey questions.
44% 54% 
22% 22% 
18% 19% 
$ 52% $ 40% $ 43% 
49% 37% 
35% 
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 2 
Figure 1 
Demographics of the global survey 
UK Western Europe Global 
Sample size 75 289 1,135 
C-suite respondents 
Function Operations and production Marketing and sales General management 
Marketing and sales Strategy and business development Operations and production 
Finance Operations and production Strategy and business development 
Size of organisation 
(annual global revenue) 
US$1bn-5bn US$1bn-5bn US$1bn-5bn 
Geographical reach of 
organisation 
Multinational Global Global 
Global Multinational Multinational 
Publicly listed 
Location 
28% 
UK: 100% UK: 26% North America: 35% 
Germany: 26% Western Europe: 25% 
Netherlands: 11% Asia Pacific: 24% 
Spain: 11% Rest of world: 16% 
France: 10% 
Italy: 5% 
Rest of western Europe: 11% 
44% 
35% 
25% 20% 21% 
20% 
51% 
29% 
65% 62% 
49%
Executive summary 
This profile of big decision making in Britain looks at the changing nature of the typical big decision 
in the UK, what motivates it and how it is made. The key findings include: 
Growth is top of the agenda, 
but cost pressures drive UK 
businesses to collaborate with 
competitors. 
Growing the business is regarded 
by senior executives in the UK as 
the single most important area for 
big decisions in the year ahead. 
However, because costs and margin 
pressure are identified as the 
main strategic motivations for big 
decisions, executives are looking for 
more creative ways to build their 
business without a large monetary 
investment. More than half of 
respondents (52%) expect to make big 
decisions in the next year that involve 
competitive collaboration, making 
this a much stronger trend in the UK 
than elsewhere. 
3 Gut & gigabytes 
The quality of big decision 
making is improving. 
British business leaders are more likely 
to report an improvement in the quality 
of decision making in the past two 
years than the global average, with 
83% reporting an improvement and a 
third (32%) a significant one. Highly 
data-driven companies are more likely 
to report improvements in big 
decision making. 
Experience and intuition are the 
main inputs into the big decision 
making process. 
Although all aspects of data and data 
analysis are rated highly in the UK, 
data and analysis are only the third 
most important input into the decision 
making process, after own experience/ 
intuition and advice/experience of 
others internally. 
Concerns about data quality and 
overload are the main barriers to 
the greater use of data. 
Despite the generally positive attitude 
towards data and analysis, many UK 
business leaders remain concerned 
about data quality, alongside data 
overload. Moreover, more than half 
of UK respondents (61%) feel that 
“relying on data analysis has been 
detrimental to our business in the 
past”. By contrast, there are few 
concerns about sufficient talent or 
skills to make the most of the data that 
organisations collect. 
More people are involved in 
big decision making at UK 
organisations than before. 
The rise in more democratic decision 
making is not unrelated to the rise 
in the availability of data, which has 
encouraged a kind of evidence-driven, 
and more democratic, approach to 
big decisions.
Big decision-making is changing 
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 4
Decision time 
Big decisions are on business leaders’ 
agendas in the next 12 months 
As the UK economy has accelerated into 2014, growth has returned to the top of the agenda. For the 
senior executives surveyed for this report, the most important big decision in the next 12 months 
will concern growing the business (see Figure 2). 
Yet, it is not a straightforward picture. 
Cost and margin pressure, as well 
as structure of industry, are the top 
strategic motivations for the most 
important big decisions by UK business 
leaders, well above profitability and 
revenue. Indeed, only 13% of UK 
respondents cite profit and revenue 
as the primary motivation for their 
most important big decision. This is 
a considerably smaller share than in 
western Europe (33%), the US (30%), 
China (37%) and Japan (38%). In 
addition to cost/margin pressure and 
structure of industry, UK respondents 
are more likely to be swayed by 
regulatory or legal issues. 
5 Gut & gigabytes 
PwC perspective 
A majority of the clients we spoke to about 
strategic decision-making were making decisions 
motivated by a balance of growth and cost and 
margin pressures. We spoke to manufacturers, for 
example, that were making decisions on where to 
focus sales and marketing efforts globally, driven 
by top-line revenue growth – but equally decisions 
on the location of production facilities were often 
influenced by cost factors, to ensure this growth 
was profitable.
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 6 
Figure 2 
The big decisions agenda: Most important decisions 
“In which of the following areas do you expect to make the most important big decision in the next year? 
Select the one most important decision you expect.” 
Growing 
existing 
business 
Entering new 
industry or 
starting new 
business 
Shrinking 
existing 
business 
Collaborating 
with competitors 
1 
2 
3 
4 
Major 
investment in 
the business 
££ 
5 
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 
Western UK 
Europe 
Global 
18% 21% 24% 
12% 13% 21% 
14% 9% 17% 
15% 11% 12% 
7% 10% 8%
When you can’t beat them… 
This ongoing commitment to cost 
discipline also explains the willingness 
of UK executives to seek partnerships 
with other companies as a way of 
sharing the expense of investing for 
growth. Growth may be the top priority 
over the next 12 months, but the 
most common big decision on the UK 
corporate agenda is to collaborate with 
competitors (see Figure 3). A bare 
majority (52%) of UK respondents 
expect to make a decision in this area, 
16 percentage points higher than the 
global average. 
As the global survey indicates, for the 
pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors 
– prominent industries in the UK – such 
collaboration is the top priority. Patrick 
Vallance, president of pharmaceutical 
R&D at GlaxoSmithKline, recognises 
this strategic trend. “Organisations 
must form new partnerships and new 
approaches with a new mind-set – one 
which is more innovative, flexible and 
willing to take risks,” says Mr Vallance. 
“In recent years this approach has 
become fundamental to the way we 
research and develop new medicines, 
and we have more collaborations now 
than ever before.” 
7 Gut & gigabytes 
Other industries are forming strategic 
partnerships, too. Sainsbury’s, one of 
the UK’s “big four” supermarkets, has 
fought back against the rise of discount 
stores such as Germany’s Aldi and Lidl, 
which are increasingly cutting into its 
business, with a collaborative effort. 
Unlike Morrisons and Tesco, which 
have responded with aggressive price-cutting 
to compete, Sainsbury’s has 
teamed up with Dansk Supermarked, 
Denmark’s largest retailer, taking a 
half-share in the low-cost Netto chain 
of supermarkets and opening 15 stores 
in the UK. Sainsbury’s can take a 
slice of the low-cost opportunity by 
leveraging its extensive distribution 
network without diluting its 
premium brand. 
However, working with competitors 
can be difficult, according to 
Martin Glenn, CEO of United 
Biscuits. “Every company needs an 
enemy,” he says, but collaboration 
can nonetheless be successful and 
lucrative for all. “It often works best 
when it is collaboration to benefit the 
overall industry.” Mr Glenn points to 
collaborative work on voluntary food 
labelling as a good example of such 
efforts in the food industry.
2 33% 42% 43% 
3 34% 41% 36% 
4 30% 35% 36% 
5 30% 25% 29% 
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 8 
Figure 3 
The big decisions agenda: Most common decisions 
“In which of the following areas do you expect to make big decisions in the next year? Select all that apply.” 
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 
Western UK 
Europe 
Global 
Growing 
existing 
business 
Entering new 
industry or 
starting new 
business 
Shrinking 
existing 
business 
36% 43% 52% 
Collaborating 
with competitors 
1 
Corporate 
restructuring
Augmented reality 
Data and analysis can enhance 
experience and intuition 
Over the past two years a considerable majority of senior executives in the UK (83%) have noted 
an improvement in big decision making. More than the global average, the improvement has been 
“significant” for around a third. What has changed? 
For some, the nature of decision 
making in UK business is changing. 
“Decision making has been better 
enabled by recent improvements 
in technology that supports idea-sharing 
9 Gut & gigabytes 
and co-creation of innovative 
solutions,” says Mr Glenn. 
Another variable is the role of data. 
For 40% of UK respondents, the use of 
internal and external data is the aspect 
that has changed the most in the past 
two years. Moreover, highly data-driven 
UK companies are more likely 
to report a significant improvement in 
their decision making in that time – 
and more so than their counterparts in 
western Europe. 
Testing outcomes is one of the 
biggest benefits of big data, according 
to Richard Reeves, head of strategy 
at EE, the UK’s largest mobile 
network operator. “What we have 
now within industry is the ability to 
test hypotheses much more quickly, 
and validate the way forward much 
more quickly than we ever could 
before,” says Mr Reeves. The upshot 
is quicker decisions, better decisions, 
and typically more confidence in 
those decisions. 
All aspects of data and data analysis 
as far as their use as a tool for decision 
making is concerned are rated highly 
among UK respondents, with more 
than three-quarters giving a rating of 4 
or 5 on a 5-point scale (where 1 is poor 
and 5 is excellent) – well above the 
global and west European averages. 
Sentiment is similarly positive about 
the underlying quality – rating the 
sufficiency, timeliness and reliability 
of data used at their organisation 
relatively highly, as well as aspects of 
data analysis, including the ability to 
visualise the data and the quality of the 
insights derived. 
PwC perspective 
Of the clients interviewed by PwC, a 
majority were making an increasing use 
of data and analytics. “We are making 
considerable investments in planning and 
analytics tools, reflecting the importance of 
data – especially external market data – to 
planning in our business,” commented Ryan 
Mangold at Taylor-Wimpey. At Channel 4, 
analytics is being used increasingly to influence 
a range of decisions including “programme 
commissioning, scheduling and the optimisation 
of advertising revenues”.
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 10 
Figure 4 
The big decision making process 
Which of the following inputs did you place the most reliance on for your last big decision? 
% of respondents 
Own intuition or 
experience 
Advice or 
experience of 
others internally 
Data and 
analysis 
(internal or 
external) 
Financial 
indicators 
1 
2 
3 
4 
Other 
5 
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 
Western UK 
Europe 
Global 
30% 38% 41% 
28% 22% 31% 
30% 28% 23% 
9% 5% 5% 
4% 6% 
For now, though, this confidence in 
data and analysis among UK executives 
has not translated into them relying 
on these tools as primary inputs in 
the big decision making process. In 
fact, a combination of experience and 
intuition is the most important input in 
the decision making process (for 41% 
of respondents), ahead of the advice or 
experience of others internally (31%) 
and data and analysis (23%). This is 
more so than in the rest of western 
Europe and globally. 
PwC perspective 
The CEO of Xchanging, Ken Lever, characterised this balance 
between data and business judgement as an inverse relationship 
between risk and time. “Incremental data collection and analysis, 
in general, reduces risk, but with diminishing returns over time,” he 
explained. “Business judgement is needed to decide when the point of 
diminishing returns has been reached….when incremental analysis 
will slow down decision making and add to, rather than reduce risk.” 
Jeremy Vincent of Jaguar Land Rover agreed. “There is a threshold 
beyond which continuing to develop and optimise will achieve 
relatively little. There comes a point when a decision needs to be 
made and the business turns to implementation.”
A healthy dose of scepticism 
At first glance, this survey result 
appears contradictory. Data and 
analysis only come third as an input 
in the big decision making process 
at UK companies, although – as 
mentioned above – increased use of 
data and data analysis is associated 
with improvements in big decision 
making, and all aspects of data and 
analysis are rated relatively highly by 
UK business leaders. But our suvey also 
shows that a healthy dose of British 
scepticism remains with regard to the 
use of data and data analysis. Indeed, 
the share of British business executives 
agreeing with the statement that “data 
analysis is undermining the credibility 
of intuition or experience” (59%) is 
10 percentage points higher than the 
global average and 24 percentage 
points higher than the west European 
average. A similarly high percentage 
of UK respondents (61%) feel that 
“relying on data analysis has been 
detrimental to our business in the 
past”; again, a much higher share 
than in other west European countries 
(34%) and globally (46%). 
11 Gut & gigabytes 
Some of this scepticism may be rooted 
in remaining concerns about data 
quality – despite the above-mentioned 
generally positive attitude towards 
data and data analysis. The quality, 
accuracy and completeness of data 
are seen as one of the biggest barriers 
preventing UK companies from making 
greater use of data and data analysis 
when making big decisions (41% of 
respondents). Moreover, when asked 
about the aspects of the big decision 
making process that have changed the 
most in the last two years and those 
that need to change the most in the 
next two years, UK business leaders 
say that the quality of data analysis has 
changed little in the past, but a fifth 
(19%) feel it needs to. 
Another major barrier to using data 
for decision making in the UK is the 
difficulty of assessing which data are 
truly useful (the same percentage as 
those who mention data quality). There 
is a temptation with large amounts of 
data to dive in and look for patterns 
and let that dictate the agenda. But it is 
easy to get lost without, first, a guide, 
and second, a reason for diving in. 
Better, according to Mr Reeves, to start 
with a question and then use the data 
to answer it. “It’s got to be a solution-centric 
approach,” he says. “You 
can’t automatically just throw huge 
amounts of data at people, you have 
to understand what it is that you’re 
hoping to achieve.” And that takes 
experience, intuition and knowledge. 
Hence, the ability to use data in the 
decision making process has become 
an important factor in decision making 
at senior management level: 81% of 
UK respondents agree that familiarity 
with data-driven decision making is a 
prerequisite for senior management. 
PwC perspective 
PwC clients mention a range of factors holding 
back an even more widespread adoption of data 
and analytics in their businesses. Some cited 
structural factors in their industry – “House 
building is a traditional industry with reluctance 
in some areas for new ways of thinking,” 
commented Ryan Mangold of Taylor Wimpey. 
Other newer industries can be similarly bound by 
precedent and a realisation that analytics cannot 
answer all questions “Analytics of individual 
customer viewing behaviour is transforming our 
business – but the industry isn’t used to thinking 
in this way quite yet – and certain decisions in the 
TV industry must always be made using intuition 
and creative judgement,” commented Sanjeevan 
Bala of Channel 4.
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 12 
PwC perspective 
Some of our clients are finding ways to avoid 
skills’ shortages, “including partnering with 
local universities to attract and train talent,” 
commented Sanjeevan of Channel 4. Others are 
preparing themselves for these challenges to 
come. “We are not yet hitting skills constraints, 
but expect to do so as we develop more 
transformatory plans in data and analytics,” 
commented Chris Day of the Post Office. 
In PwC’s experience, while technical data science 
skills’ shortages can be overcome in the short-term, 
the more pressing constraint is finding 
senior business leaders that span commercial, 
analytics and technology, that can champion and 
drive major transformations in the use of data and 
analytics in driving C-suite decision making. 
However, lack of talent and skills 
does not seem to be a major barrier 
preventing UK companies from 
making greater use of data and data 
analysis when making big decisions. 
An overwhelming majority of UK 
corporate leaders (87%) believe that 
their organisation has a sufficient 
pipeline of talent to analyse the data 
it collects. 
A rise in more democratic 
decision making 
Increased use of data is not the only 
reason why business leaders surveyed 
cite improvements in decision making. 
More people are also involved in 
big decision making. This more 
democratic approach to decision 
making may reflect a growing need for 
breadth in experience and expertise 
among those involved in the decision 
making process, in an uncertain 
world characterised by the increasing 
interdependence of industries, 
disciplines and difficult-to-spot, fast-developing 
disruptive trends. 
The rise in more democratic decision 
making is also not unrelated to the rise 
of data. Indeed, data have encouraged 
a kind of evidence-driven, and more 
democratic, approach to big decisions. 
Big decisions at EE, says Mr Reeves, are 
made by “a few key decision makers”, 
but data does change the dynamic 
– allowing decisions to be open to 
challenge. “Some insights around 
analytics are available to a broad 
selection of the EE management team, 
and it allows them to come up with 
their own hypotheses and challenge 
the activity that’s being done.”
Conclusion 
This report on big decision making in the UK has highlighted a renewed 
sense of optimism among British companies. With the UK economy 
recovering, the most important big decision for UK senior executives in the 
next 12 months will concern growing the business. However, a renewed 
focus on growth does not mean UK business leaders are neglecting costs. 
Indeed, cost and margin pressures are the key strategic motivation behind 
big decisions in the UK, much more so than profitability and revenue. 
Cost pressures also drive the most common area of big decisions that UK 
senior executives expect to make over the next two years: collaborating 
with competitors. 
13 Gut & gigabytes 
We also looked at the big decision 
making process and noted that UK 
business leaders have seen major 
improvements in the quality of big 
decision making, especially among 
highly data-driven companies. 
However, data and analysis are only 
the third most important input into the 
decision making process for UK business 
leaders. Own experience and intuition, 
as well as the advice and experience 
of others internally, remain the main 
inputs into the decision making process 
at UK companies, and more so than in 
the rest of western Europe and globally. 
Despite the generally positive attitude 
towards data and analysis in the UK, 
many business leaders are concerned 
about data quality and overload. By 
contrast, lack of skills or talent to 
make use of data is not seen as a major 
problem. This is crucial, as the survey 
shows that familiarity with data-driven 
decision making is deemed a 
prerequisite for senior management. 
Finally, the rise of data has gone hand in 
hand with the rise in more democratic 
decision making in the UK and globally. 
A kind of evidence-driven, and more 
democratic, approach to big decisions 
has emerged, allowing decisions to be 
open to challenge. 
Making the most of data is becoming 
increasingly important to senior 
executives. It is often said that a rise 
in data-driven decision making puts 
a certain generation of experienced, 
go-by-the-gut decision makers under 
threat. Hence it is crucial, says Alan 
Gilchrist, a lecturer at Lancaster 
University Management School, that 
the C-suite responds to the demand 
for data-savvy managers, data 
scientists and statisticians at the top of 
the business.
PwC perspective: We have the tools to make the best decisions 
Businesses have often accepted “second best” because of lack of information, or believe that 
instinct and experience can step in and more than make up the difference. It’s time to challenge that 
thinking. Here are four steps to successfully applying data and analytics to strategic decisions. 
1 2 3 4 
Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 14 
Identify the decisions 
that matter 
Understand the most 
important decisions for your 
business success – and those 
you make most often (they 
are often different). Focus 
upon the data insights that 
can make a difference to 
these decisions. 
1 
Gain C-suite commitment 
Ensure all your senior 
stakeholders involved in 
making these decisions 
support and understand 
the role that data and 
analytics can play. 
Underlying resistance 
can undermine good 
work elsewhere in the 
organisation. 
Begin small and learn 
by doing 
Application of data and 
analytics can begin with 
small examples of new 
insight, gained via a 
test and learn approach. 
Technology is flexible and 
modular – using data no 
longer requires a 24-month 
investment in building an 
enterprise data warehouse. 
Build confidence 
over time 
Organisations will use 
more data and analytics 
once some initial success 
has been seen – and 
decision making is 
perceived to be improving. 
Building a case study in 
one business unit can 
help inspire the wider 
organisation. 
PwC contacts 
Tom Lewis 
Uk Data and Analytics Leader 
T: +44 (0) 20 7213 5911 
E: tom.e.lewis@uk.pwc.com 
Yann Bonduelle 
Consulting Data and Analytics 
T: +44 (0) 20 7804 5935 
E: yann.bonduelle@uk.pwc.com
www.pwc.co.uk/data-analytics 
While every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, The Economist Intelligence Unit cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this 
report or any information, opinions or conclusions set out in this report. 
PwC helps organisations and individuals create the value they’re looking for. We’re a network of firms in 157 countries with more than 184,000 people who are committed to delivering quality 
in assurance, tax and advisory services. Tell us what matters to you and find out more by visiting us at www.pwc.com. 
This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this 
publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this 
publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PwC does not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to 
act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. 
© 2014 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for 
further details. 
Design Services 28773 (09/14).

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Gut & gigabytes. UK country report - capitalising on the art & science in decision making

  • 1. UK country report – Capitalising on the art & science in decision making: Exploring the agenda for big decisions in 2014-15 and the process that UK business leaders will go through in making these decisions. Gut & gigabytes www.pwc.co.uk/data-analytics Written by Intelligence Unit
  • 2. Gut & gigabytes PwC Foreword PwC Foreword: Intuition in the machine-to- machine age Tom Lewis PwC UK Data and Analytics Lead E: tom.e.lewis@uk.pwc.com Yann Bonduelle PwC Data and Analytics Consulting E: yann.bonduelle@uk.pwc.com Tom Lewis Upgrading the art and science of decision making Extracting insight from an organisation’s data and applying it to business decisions has long been a necessary business skill. But in the last few years, data analytics is appearing more and more as a top priority issue, perceived as critical to unlocking future growth, managing cost and decreasing risk. We know our clients were increasingly using data in operational decision making – often using automated processes that respond in real time without human interaction. But we were interested to understand better how data and analytics is being used in the boardroom, to make those bigger strategic decisions that determine the future of organisations. We wanted to understand what decisions were being made, how they were being made and how often – specifically including the relative importance of data and analytics, and business ‘gut instinct’. We are excited to share our findings for the UK – placed in the context of our larger global survey results. Its interesting to observe that UK organisations rate their data and analytics’ capabilities highly in a global context, believing that quality, quantity and reliability of the data they have is good and improving. And yet, the UK senior stakeholders are less likely than their colleagues elsewhere to use data and analytics as the main driver of strategic decisions. More than half remembered a bad experience where reliance on data analytics had been detrimental to their businesses in the past. It seems we are investing in sound data and analytics, but still rely upon intuition and experience to determine the big bets in business. In many ways, this result is not a surprise. Good business is both art and science – rational and intuitive. The role of data and analytics is to improve decision making by making the rational element as well-informed and insightful as possible to reduce business risk. It works alongside experience and intuition, but not to replace it. Yann Bonduelle
  • 3. Capitalising on the art & science in decision making
  • 5. Contents About the report ....................................................................................1 Executive summary ...............................................................................3 Decision time – Big decisions are on business leaders’ agendas in the next 12 months ................................................................................5 Augmented reality – Data and analysis can enhance experience and intuition ........................................................................9 Conclusion.......................................................................................... 13 PwC contacts....................................................................................... 14 Capitalising on the art & science in decision making
  • 6. About the report Gut & gigabytes: Capitalising on the art & science in decision making. Explores the agenda for big decisions in 2014 – 15 and the process that business leaders will go through in making these decisions. The report is published by PwC and written by The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), with the exception of the separately labelled boxes which are written by PwC. The views expressed by the EIU do not necessarily reflect those of PwC. Definitions We have used the following definitions for this report. Big decisions: the most significant decisions about the strategic direction of the business (ie not concerned with day-to- day operations). Big data: the recent wave of electronic information produced in greater volume by a growing number of sources (ie not just data collected by a particular organisation in the course of normal business). Data analysis: the use of analytical techniques to generate new insights from data. 1 Gut & gigabytes A note on sample size In May 2014 the EIU surveyed 1,135 senior executives, over half (54%) of whom are C-level executives or board members. This sample also included 50 senior representatives from government and the public sector. Respondents came from across the world and represented 18 different industries. The majority of companies (74%) reported an annual revenue last year of at least US$1bn, and no company had annual revenue below US$250m. The ownership of companies in the sample is evenly split between publicly listed companies and private, family-owned or state-owned enterprises. In the context of our global survey, the sample size of UK respondents, at 75, is relatively small. There is, as a result, a greater qualitative influence in this report compared with the global insights, especially when examining correlations between survey questions.
  • 7. 44% 54% 22% 22% 18% 19% $ 52% $ 40% $ 43% 49% 37% 35% Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 2 Figure 1 Demographics of the global survey UK Western Europe Global Sample size 75 289 1,135 C-suite respondents Function Operations and production Marketing and sales General management Marketing and sales Strategy and business development Operations and production Finance Operations and production Strategy and business development Size of organisation (annual global revenue) US$1bn-5bn US$1bn-5bn US$1bn-5bn Geographical reach of organisation Multinational Global Global Global Multinational Multinational Publicly listed Location 28% UK: 100% UK: 26% North America: 35% Germany: 26% Western Europe: 25% Netherlands: 11% Asia Pacific: 24% Spain: 11% Rest of world: 16% France: 10% Italy: 5% Rest of western Europe: 11% 44% 35% 25% 20% 21% 20% 51% 29% 65% 62% 49%
  • 8. Executive summary This profile of big decision making in Britain looks at the changing nature of the typical big decision in the UK, what motivates it and how it is made. The key findings include: Growth is top of the agenda, but cost pressures drive UK businesses to collaborate with competitors. Growing the business is regarded by senior executives in the UK as the single most important area for big decisions in the year ahead. However, because costs and margin pressure are identified as the main strategic motivations for big decisions, executives are looking for more creative ways to build their business without a large monetary investment. More than half of respondents (52%) expect to make big decisions in the next year that involve competitive collaboration, making this a much stronger trend in the UK than elsewhere. 3 Gut & gigabytes The quality of big decision making is improving. British business leaders are more likely to report an improvement in the quality of decision making in the past two years than the global average, with 83% reporting an improvement and a third (32%) a significant one. Highly data-driven companies are more likely to report improvements in big decision making. Experience and intuition are the main inputs into the big decision making process. Although all aspects of data and data analysis are rated highly in the UK, data and analysis are only the third most important input into the decision making process, after own experience/ intuition and advice/experience of others internally. Concerns about data quality and overload are the main barriers to the greater use of data. Despite the generally positive attitude towards data and analysis, many UK business leaders remain concerned about data quality, alongside data overload. Moreover, more than half of UK respondents (61%) feel that “relying on data analysis has been detrimental to our business in the past”. By contrast, there are few concerns about sufficient talent or skills to make the most of the data that organisations collect. More people are involved in big decision making at UK organisations than before. The rise in more democratic decision making is not unrelated to the rise in the availability of data, which has encouraged a kind of evidence-driven, and more democratic, approach to big decisions.
  • 9. Big decision-making is changing Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 4
  • 10. Decision time Big decisions are on business leaders’ agendas in the next 12 months As the UK economy has accelerated into 2014, growth has returned to the top of the agenda. For the senior executives surveyed for this report, the most important big decision in the next 12 months will concern growing the business (see Figure 2). Yet, it is not a straightforward picture. Cost and margin pressure, as well as structure of industry, are the top strategic motivations for the most important big decisions by UK business leaders, well above profitability and revenue. Indeed, only 13% of UK respondents cite profit and revenue as the primary motivation for their most important big decision. This is a considerably smaller share than in western Europe (33%), the US (30%), China (37%) and Japan (38%). In addition to cost/margin pressure and structure of industry, UK respondents are more likely to be swayed by regulatory or legal issues. 5 Gut & gigabytes PwC perspective A majority of the clients we spoke to about strategic decision-making were making decisions motivated by a balance of growth and cost and margin pressures. We spoke to manufacturers, for example, that were making decisions on where to focus sales and marketing efforts globally, driven by top-line revenue growth – but equally decisions on the location of production facilities were often influenced by cost factors, to ensure this growth was profitable.
  • 11. Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 6 Figure 2 The big decisions agenda: Most important decisions “In which of the following areas do you expect to make the most important big decision in the next year? Select the one most important decision you expect.” Growing existing business Entering new industry or starting new business Shrinking existing business Collaborating with competitors 1 2 3 4 Major investment in the business ££ 5 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 Western UK Europe Global 18% 21% 24% 12% 13% 21% 14% 9% 17% 15% 11% 12% 7% 10% 8%
  • 12. When you can’t beat them… This ongoing commitment to cost discipline also explains the willingness of UK executives to seek partnerships with other companies as a way of sharing the expense of investing for growth. Growth may be the top priority over the next 12 months, but the most common big decision on the UK corporate agenda is to collaborate with competitors (see Figure 3). A bare majority (52%) of UK respondents expect to make a decision in this area, 16 percentage points higher than the global average. As the global survey indicates, for the pharmaceutical and healthcare sectors – prominent industries in the UK – such collaboration is the top priority. Patrick Vallance, president of pharmaceutical R&D at GlaxoSmithKline, recognises this strategic trend. “Organisations must form new partnerships and new approaches with a new mind-set – one which is more innovative, flexible and willing to take risks,” says Mr Vallance. “In recent years this approach has become fundamental to the way we research and develop new medicines, and we have more collaborations now than ever before.” 7 Gut & gigabytes Other industries are forming strategic partnerships, too. Sainsbury’s, one of the UK’s “big four” supermarkets, has fought back against the rise of discount stores such as Germany’s Aldi and Lidl, which are increasingly cutting into its business, with a collaborative effort. Unlike Morrisons and Tesco, which have responded with aggressive price-cutting to compete, Sainsbury’s has teamed up with Dansk Supermarked, Denmark’s largest retailer, taking a half-share in the low-cost Netto chain of supermarkets and opening 15 stores in the UK. Sainsbury’s can take a slice of the low-cost opportunity by leveraging its extensive distribution network without diluting its premium brand. However, working with competitors can be difficult, according to Martin Glenn, CEO of United Biscuits. “Every company needs an enemy,” he says, but collaboration can nonetheless be successful and lucrative for all. “It often works best when it is collaboration to benefit the overall industry.” Mr Glenn points to collaborative work on voluntary food labelling as a good example of such efforts in the food industry.
  • 13. 2 33% 42% 43% 3 34% 41% 36% 4 30% 35% 36% 5 30% 25% 29% Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 8 Figure 3 The big decisions agenda: Most common decisions “In which of the following areas do you expect to make big decisions in the next year? Select all that apply.” Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 Western UK Europe Global Growing existing business Entering new industry or starting new business Shrinking existing business 36% 43% 52% Collaborating with competitors 1 Corporate restructuring
  • 14. Augmented reality Data and analysis can enhance experience and intuition Over the past two years a considerable majority of senior executives in the UK (83%) have noted an improvement in big decision making. More than the global average, the improvement has been “significant” for around a third. What has changed? For some, the nature of decision making in UK business is changing. “Decision making has been better enabled by recent improvements in technology that supports idea-sharing 9 Gut & gigabytes and co-creation of innovative solutions,” says Mr Glenn. Another variable is the role of data. For 40% of UK respondents, the use of internal and external data is the aspect that has changed the most in the past two years. Moreover, highly data-driven UK companies are more likely to report a significant improvement in their decision making in that time – and more so than their counterparts in western Europe. Testing outcomes is one of the biggest benefits of big data, according to Richard Reeves, head of strategy at EE, the UK’s largest mobile network operator. “What we have now within industry is the ability to test hypotheses much more quickly, and validate the way forward much more quickly than we ever could before,” says Mr Reeves. The upshot is quicker decisions, better decisions, and typically more confidence in those decisions. All aspects of data and data analysis as far as their use as a tool for decision making is concerned are rated highly among UK respondents, with more than three-quarters giving a rating of 4 or 5 on a 5-point scale (where 1 is poor and 5 is excellent) – well above the global and west European averages. Sentiment is similarly positive about the underlying quality – rating the sufficiency, timeliness and reliability of data used at their organisation relatively highly, as well as aspects of data analysis, including the ability to visualise the data and the quality of the insights derived. PwC perspective Of the clients interviewed by PwC, a majority were making an increasing use of data and analytics. “We are making considerable investments in planning and analytics tools, reflecting the importance of data – especially external market data – to planning in our business,” commented Ryan Mangold at Taylor-Wimpey. At Channel 4, analytics is being used increasingly to influence a range of decisions including “programme commissioning, scheduling and the optimisation of advertising revenues”.
  • 15. Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 10 Figure 4 The big decision making process Which of the following inputs did you place the most reliance on for your last big decision? % of respondents Own intuition or experience Advice or experience of others internally Data and analysis (internal or external) Financial indicators 1 2 3 4 Other 5 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit survey, May 2014 Western UK Europe Global 30% 38% 41% 28% 22% 31% 30% 28% 23% 9% 5% 5% 4% 6% For now, though, this confidence in data and analysis among UK executives has not translated into them relying on these tools as primary inputs in the big decision making process. In fact, a combination of experience and intuition is the most important input in the decision making process (for 41% of respondents), ahead of the advice or experience of others internally (31%) and data and analysis (23%). This is more so than in the rest of western Europe and globally. PwC perspective The CEO of Xchanging, Ken Lever, characterised this balance between data and business judgement as an inverse relationship between risk and time. “Incremental data collection and analysis, in general, reduces risk, but with diminishing returns over time,” he explained. “Business judgement is needed to decide when the point of diminishing returns has been reached….when incremental analysis will slow down decision making and add to, rather than reduce risk.” Jeremy Vincent of Jaguar Land Rover agreed. “There is a threshold beyond which continuing to develop and optimise will achieve relatively little. There comes a point when a decision needs to be made and the business turns to implementation.”
  • 16. A healthy dose of scepticism At first glance, this survey result appears contradictory. Data and analysis only come third as an input in the big decision making process at UK companies, although – as mentioned above – increased use of data and data analysis is associated with improvements in big decision making, and all aspects of data and analysis are rated relatively highly by UK business leaders. But our suvey also shows that a healthy dose of British scepticism remains with regard to the use of data and data analysis. Indeed, the share of British business executives agreeing with the statement that “data analysis is undermining the credibility of intuition or experience” (59%) is 10 percentage points higher than the global average and 24 percentage points higher than the west European average. A similarly high percentage of UK respondents (61%) feel that “relying on data analysis has been detrimental to our business in the past”; again, a much higher share than in other west European countries (34%) and globally (46%). 11 Gut & gigabytes Some of this scepticism may be rooted in remaining concerns about data quality – despite the above-mentioned generally positive attitude towards data and data analysis. The quality, accuracy and completeness of data are seen as one of the biggest barriers preventing UK companies from making greater use of data and data analysis when making big decisions (41% of respondents). Moreover, when asked about the aspects of the big decision making process that have changed the most in the last two years and those that need to change the most in the next two years, UK business leaders say that the quality of data analysis has changed little in the past, but a fifth (19%) feel it needs to. Another major barrier to using data for decision making in the UK is the difficulty of assessing which data are truly useful (the same percentage as those who mention data quality). There is a temptation with large amounts of data to dive in and look for patterns and let that dictate the agenda. But it is easy to get lost without, first, a guide, and second, a reason for diving in. Better, according to Mr Reeves, to start with a question and then use the data to answer it. “It’s got to be a solution-centric approach,” he says. “You can’t automatically just throw huge amounts of data at people, you have to understand what it is that you’re hoping to achieve.” And that takes experience, intuition and knowledge. Hence, the ability to use data in the decision making process has become an important factor in decision making at senior management level: 81% of UK respondents agree that familiarity with data-driven decision making is a prerequisite for senior management. PwC perspective PwC clients mention a range of factors holding back an even more widespread adoption of data and analytics in their businesses. Some cited structural factors in their industry – “House building is a traditional industry with reluctance in some areas for new ways of thinking,” commented Ryan Mangold of Taylor Wimpey. Other newer industries can be similarly bound by precedent and a realisation that analytics cannot answer all questions “Analytics of individual customer viewing behaviour is transforming our business – but the industry isn’t used to thinking in this way quite yet – and certain decisions in the TV industry must always be made using intuition and creative judgement,” commented Sanjeevan Bala of Channel 4.
  • 17. Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 12 PwC perspective Some of our clients are finding ways to avoid skills’ shortages, “including partnering with local universities to attract and train talent,” commented Sanjeevan of Channel 4. Others are preparing themselves for these challenges to come. “We are not yet hitting skills constraints, but expect to do so as we develop more transformatory plans in data and analytics,” commented Chris Day of the Post Office. In PwC’s experience, while technical data science skills’ shortages can be overcome in the short-term, the more pressing constraint is finding senior business leaders that span commercial, analytics and technology, that can champion and drive major transformations in the use of data and analytics in driving C-suite decision making. However, lack of talent and skills does not seem to be a major barrier preventing UK companies from making greater use of data and data analysis when making big decisions. An overwhelming majority of UK corporate leaders (87%) believe that their organisation has a sufficient pipeline of talent to analyse the data it collects. A rise in more democratic decision making Increased use of data is not the only reason why business leaders surveyed cite improvements in decision making. More people are also involved in big decision making. This more democratic approach to decision making may reflect a growing need for breadth in experience and expertise among those involved in the decision making process, in an uncertain world characterised by the increasing interdependence of industries, disciplines and difficult-to-spot, fast-developing disruptive trends. The rise in more democratic decision making is also not unrelated to the rise of data. Indeed, data have encouraged a kind of evidence-driven, and more democratic, approach to big decisions. Big decisions at EE, says Mr Reeves, are made by “a few key decision makers”, but data does change the dynamic – allowing decisions to be open to challenge. “Some insights around analytics are available to a broad selection of the EE management team, and it allows them to come up with their own hypotheses and challenge the activity that’s being done.”
  • 18. Conclusion This report on big decision making in the UK has highlighted a renewed sense of optimism among British companies. With the UK economy recovering, the most important big decision for UK senior executives in the next 12 months will concern growing the business. However, a renewed focus on growth does not mean UK business leaders are neglecting costs. Indeed, cost and margin pressures are the key strategic motivation behind big decisions in the UK, much more so than profitability and revenue. Cost pressures also drive the most common area of big decisions that UK senior executives expect to make over the next two years: collaborating with competitors. 13 Gut & gigabytes We also looked at the big decision making process and noted that UK business leaders have seen major improvements in the quality of big decision making, especially among highly data-driven companies. However, data and analysis are only the third most important input into the decision making process for UK business leaders. Own experience and intuition, as well as the advice and experience of others internally, remain the main inputs into the decision making process at UK companies, and more so than in the rest of western Europe and globally. Despite the generally positive attitude towards data and analysis in the UK, many business leaders are concerned about data quality and overload. By contrast, lack of skills or talent to make use of data is not seen as a major problem. This is crucial, as the survey shows that familiarity with data-driven decision making is deemed a prerequisite for senior management. Finally, the rise of data has gone hand in hand with the rise in more democratic decision making in the UK and globally. A kind of evidence-driven, and more democratic, approach to big decisions has emerged, allowing decisions to be open to challenge. Making the most of data is becoming increasingly important to senior executives. It is often said that a rise in data-driven decision making puts a certain generation of experienced, go-by-the-gut decision makers under threat. Hence it is crucial, says Alan Gilchrist, a lecturer at Lancaster University Management School, that the C-suite responds to the demand for data-savvy managers, data scientists and statisticians at the top of the business.
  • 19. PwC perspective: We have the tools to make the best decisions Businesses have often accepted “second best” because of lack of information, or believe that instinct and experience can step in and more than make up the difference. It’s time to challenge that thinking. Here are four steps to successfully applying data and analytics to strategic decisions. 1 2 3 4 Capitalising on the art & science in decision making 14 Identify the decisions that matter Understand the most important decisions for your business success – and those you make most often (they are often different). Focus upon the data insights that can make a difference to these decisions. 1 Gain C-suite commitment Ensure all your senior stakeholders involved in making these decisions support and understand the role that data and analytics can play. Underlying resistance can undermine good work elsewhere in the organisation. Begin small and learn by doing Application of data and analytics can begin with small examples of new insight, gained via a test and learn approach. Technology is flexible and modular – using data no longer requires a 24-month investment in building an enterprise data warehouse. Build confidence over time Organisations will use more data and analytics once some initial success has been seen – and decision making is perceived to be improving. Building a case study in one business unit can help inspire the wider organisation. PwC contacts Tom Lewis Uk Data and Analytics Leader T: +44 (0) 20 7213 5911 E: tom.e.lewis@uk.pwc.com Yann Bonduelle Consulting Data and Analytics T: +44 (0) 20 7804 5935 E: yann.bonduelle@uk.pwc.com
  • 20. www.pwc.co.uk/data-analytics While every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, The Economist Intelligence Unit cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this report or any information, opinions or conclusions set out in this report. PwC helps organisations and individuals create the value they’re looking for. We’re a network of firms in 157 countries with more than 184,000 people who are committed to delivering quality in assurance, tax and advisory services. Tell us what matters to you and find out more by visiting us at www.pwc.com. This publication has been prepared for general guidance on matters of interest only, and does not constitute professional advice. You should not act upon the information contained in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication, and, to the extent permitted by law, PwC does not accept or assume any liability, responsibility or duty of care for any consequences of you or anyone else acting, or refraining to act, in reliance on the information contained in this publication or for any decision based on it. © 2014 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details. Design Services 28773 (09/14).