Indian aquaculture status and strategies for future development; p e vijay anand, ussec

FUTURE OF FRESHWATER
FISH INDUSTRY IN INDIA
Dr. P E Vijay Anand
Director
India – Feed / Meal Program, USSEC

1

Future of Freshwater
Fish Sector in India

ROAD MAP FOR
IMPROVING THE
FRESHWATER FISH
FARMING SECTOR
Reminding ourselves of today’s theme :
Sustaining Momentum and Spreading
Success
2
Vijay Anand; Aqua India 2014; 23-24 January, Vijayawada, India; Advocating a path forward for freshwater fish farming


MY DELIBERATIONS
The certainities
Strong possibilities
Dark horses
3


HALLMARKS
nd
2

in farmed fish
production after China
(FAO)

4th as a shrimp producing
th in Asian Shrimp
region; 5
production (FAO/GOAL)
4

SPOT LIGHT


Top five world aquaculture producers in 2010; FAO (2012)
Deduct shrimp
production to
arrive at farmed
fish

S.No Country
1
2
3
4
5

China
India
Vietnam
Indonesia
Bangladesh

Million
Tons
36.73
4.64
2.67
2.3
1.30

Percentage
61.35
7.76
4.46
3.85
2.19
5


THE CHANGE


Ice
boxes

No
modern
feed

Single
shrimp
species
Single
market
region for
fish

Single fish
group carps
No
processed
fish

Industry
Then

Low
Utilization
of pond
resources

Manure
based
system

Extruded feed used

Pellet feed used
Two fish species transforming to four

Markets getting diversified
Pond productivity better
Shift in shrimp species
Fish and shrimp being processed for
domestic markets

Thermocole box packing
6



DATA DEBATE
8.23 MMT (3.25 M;
4.98 F) DAHD 2011
8.72 MMT FAO 2010
Business Planning for Future?
7


DEDUCE?

8.23 MMT (3.25 M; 4.98 F) DAHD 2011

85% of 4.98 =4.23
Other schools of thought 3.83; 3.42

4.64 MMT – 155 TMT shrimp = 4.48
MMT Fish? FAO 2010
Determining farmed freshwater fish
8


ABILITY

2.88 MMT=Total installed capacity
1.25 MMT = Total feed sold in 2013
43.40 = Capacity utilization on above
2.16 MMT feed potential @ 75%
effeciency
2.32 MMT feed potential @ 85%
Difference 2.16-1.25=0.91 MMT
900 TMT as feed opportunity
9


ADDING 900 TMT

26 feed mills
STRAIGHT
MATHEMATICAL
34615 MT/annum/mill
ANALOGY
Translates to 2885
TOTAL
MT/month
AQUA FEED
Possibly in 2-3 years
IN INDIA
10

STRATEGIC
UTILIZATION SECTOR
APPROACH

By
2016

FOR TOTAL
AQUA FEED
IN INDIA

THE 900 TMT PLAN
New Markets

Processed fish (50k)

200,000 MT
175,000 MT
80,000 MT
45,000 MT
200,000 MT
150,000 MT

Juvenile fish (?)

50,000 MT (?)

More carp on feed
More Pangasius on feed

Two new species
Shrimp expansion

11


SHRIMP FEED
1.33 MMT total installed
572,500 MT sold in 2013
43% capacity utilization
1.13 MMT @ 85% mill
effeciency
558,000 opportunity
12


FISH FEED

1.55 MMT total installed
684,000 MT sold in 2013
44.12% capacity utilization
1.31 MMT @ 85% mill
effeciency
626,000 opportunity
13


THE 600 TMT PLAN
New Markets

More Carp on feed
By
2016

200,000 MT

175,000 MT

More Pangasius on feed

80,000 MT

Two new species

45,000 MT

Processed fish (25K)

75,000 MT

Juvenile fish (?)

25,000 MT (?)
14


REVOLUTION


Aspect

2010

2013/14

Change

Shrimp seed
Shrimp production
Shrimp feed
Shrimp feed installed
Shrimp process
Shrimp revenue
Fish feed production
Fish feed installed

7 billion
160,000 MT
272,000 MT
390,000 MT
87022 MT
735 M $
430,000 MT
507,000 MT

20 billion
325,000 MT
572,000 MT
1.33 MMT
228,620 MT
1830 M $
684,000 MT
1.55 MMT

186%
87%
110%
241%
162%
148%
59%
306%
15


Opportunity


FEEDING SEED
Seed for fed/farmed fish
757 million before stocking
Feeding 5-50g juveniles
Weight gain = 30,000 MT
Feed opportunity = 55,000
MT @ 1.8 FCR
Untapped feed use avenue in freshwater fish
16

LOGISTICS


1248 km distance
25-35 hours
Iced condition
2500 MT fish /day
300 Trucks/day
Are we
doing it
right?

Production
Centre

Consumption
Centre

AN ASPECT FOR
IMPROVEMENT

17


NON-FED CLASS

1980 50.00%
2010 33.30%
Pertinent issue for India
Because of our low farmed fish
species diversity
Lessons we have to learn?

Non-Fed
(world; FAO
2012)

World farmed fish comprises
of 71.90% carps among
which 27.70% are non-fed
because they are filter
feeders; rest are fed with low
protein feeds (FAO,2012)
18



AN OUNCE NOW
– A TON LATER
5730 MT of processed fish
By two poineers
2012 to 2014 test marketing
19


3200 MT
10600 MT
17000 MT

GAINING GROUND
VIETNAM - Vietnam's Tra (catfish) exports to
India are rising as the fish becomes more popular.
According the General Department of Customs,
Vietnam's Tra fish exports to India hit US$7.69
million in 2012, up 32 per cent.
Over the past eight months, the figure reached $7.67
million, compared to $5.903 million in the same
period last year. Vietnam Association of Seafood
Exporters and Processors (VASEP) said. (FISHSITE)
20


Stretch your
hand you get
chicken; not
fish

THE REACH
Availability of fish 5.5 MMT
After fish meal, exports and
low value fish (2.5 MMT)
Actual fish meat consumption;
dressed = 2.75 kg
This is almost equal to chicken
= 2.80 kg
21


FISH SUPPLY

2.75 mine
5-10 FAO
9.80 ICAR
3.6 CMFRI
5.8 Agrieco
4.7 Unknown

22


BLEAK ON PROTEIN

2nd in farmed
fish production
in the world and
do we need to
be here?

23


RUNNIN’ AWAY
Fish smells
Too cumbersome to prepare
and cook
Markets are dirty
Fish has poky bones
Absolute lack of knowledge
24

MARKETS


Young Adults
15-34 age band
Next 5 years
= 22 million
50% < 25 Years

Its not just about the product but
the modern generation likes to
combine it with a pleasant
shopping experience
25


POPULARIZING FISH

26


CAMPAIGN

27


POPULARIZING FISH

Who will bell the cat?
28


NEW SPECIES

SOUND HATCHERIES
A country like Bangladesh farms
more fish species than India
4 MMT

29


RESOURCES
We have
overcome the
feed constraint
for cage farming
systems

We have been talking of cage systems and reservoir potential
since long. Progress?
Dont we think cage systems can add to the 4.23 MMT farmed fish
production if they can produce 150-200 kg/m3 ?
30


THE PULL
If we succeed marketing 100,000
MT of processed fish, we need to
produce 200,000 MT fish
If we don’t process, then we need
only 100,000 MT to market
100,000 MT
Additional=300,000 MT feed
31


AP uses
52,000 MT
fish feed
per month

CONTRASTS
WB uses
3500 MT
feed per
month

Markets

Other
markets
1500 MT
32

Bengal Blessings
Aquaculture

THE MATH
Percentage
of 13.40 LT
as farmed ?

Farmed fish Feed @
assumption 1.5 FCR
? (LT)

80
50
40
30
20

10.72
6.70
5.36
4.02
2.68

4.02 ?
33



All
attention

RM
Prices,
quality
and Availability

INPUT
Volatile not
in millers
hands

Feed
Prices

34

WATER


Farm methods

Unutilized resource

Production
Production

INDIA

Better species

Genetics
2.40% worlds land mass
16% population
4% freshwater resource

Feed
Water management
35



WILL LEAVE
YOU HERE
WITH SOME
THOUGHTS
36

Indian aquaculture status and strategies for future development; p e vijay anand, ussec

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