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Social Media RoI: Stop. Don't Run Away! (Debjani Deb speaks at IIR Measure Up Conference, 6-8 Jun 11, Boston)
1. www.empowerresearch.com
Social Media ROI: Stop. Don’t Run Away!
Debjani Deb
Managing Partner
EmPower Research LLC. 2011 Listen. Learn. EmPower Listen. Learn. EmPower
1
Tuesday, June 07, All Rights Reserved.
2. Your Consumers are Online Today
14% 21% 31%
66%
Of online 14% either publish 21% post ratings 31% update
Americans now a blog/ web page or comments in social
use social media or upload video online forums networking sites
HOW MANY TURN TO SOCIAL MEDIA WHEN MAKING PURCHASES
Travel Apparels Personal Care Food/Beverages Groceries
28% 26% 18% 26% 17%
Sources: www.sanfranciscosentinel.com, www.blogs.forrester.com, Knowledge Networks – May 2010
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3. CONSUMERS ARE EXPRESSING
OPINIONS ON
BRANDS/PRODUCTS/SERVICES
AND LEARNING ABOUT THEM
Paths to success
not yet laid out
THIS RESULTS IN SEVERAL
OPTIONS FOR INVESTMENT/
SPEND
ROI is still murky
THEREBY INCREASING THE
PRESSURE TO EMBRACE THIS
NEW MEDIUM
Cause and effect
is not well
thought out
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4. IN NEXT
MINUTES WE WILL DISCUSS
DISCUSS…
CURRENT ISSUES OF SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT
THE PURCHASE FUNNEL AND HOW IT RELATES TO SM
BLUEPRINT TO EFFECTIVE MEASUREMENT USING SM
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5. The Marketing Spend Scenario Today
$$$$
Most marketing
$$$$ dollars are spent
today on the first
2 steps of the
purchase funnel
Loyalty
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6. But measuring awareness and interest does not
g
help. The core measurement issue today…
Relevance CFOs are not convinced by absolute
measure such as these.
Leadership will not be DASHBOARDS
content when results are
conveyed as re-tweets, fans
re tweets,
or number of followers
Metrics need to reflect SITE STATISTICS
impact on purchase intent,
purchase and loyalty
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8. Fact 1: External and Internal Stimuli Shaping Brand Perceptions
are Captured in Social Media
Advertisements
Advocacy
Engagement
Online Outreach
Changing brand
perceptions reflected in
ti fl t d i
social media by voice of
the consumer
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9. Fact 2: Investments Made at the Top of Purchase Funnel are
Reflected at the Bottom of Purchase Funnel
$$$$
$$$$ 1
Higher
Purchase
Intent
2
Loyalty
Higher Sales
and Loyalty
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10. So How Can We Use Social Media Data To Measure
BYTES + BRAINS
Aggregate
at Large
Harness Identify
Online Influencers
Opinion
1 2
Aggregation of Insights Understanding Opinion
Universe Leaders
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11. How Does One Aggregate at Large?
Stage -1
Aggregation of unqualified chatter using
tools
Stage -2
Filter by using semantic rules as such as
proximity, NLP or sentiments etc.
Stage -3
Filter by using stratified random sampling
for sub-populations that vary considerably
Stage -4
Analysts led tagging for themes, tonality,
demographic profile etc.
Analysis
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12. Nuts and Bolts of Purchase Intention
+ve
Price
-ve Neutral
Image
I Utility
Utilit
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13. Case in Point: Patient Consideration in Real Time
Hi
The launch of
Product A lost some
its sheen owing to Product B
negative chatter on
areness
its price even when
it was highly
recommended by
opinion leaders.
Awa
Product
A
This resulted in
higher purchase
intent/consideration Lo
for competitor that
was still in pipeline. -Ve Interest +Ve
Size of the bubble indicative of intent
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14. An Example of How Purchase Intent Metrics Impact Returns
Share of Voice
50
40
For a particular 30
cereal brand, it 20
was found that 10
while moms had 0
high awareness, Brand A Brand B Brand C Brand D Brand E
it did not result
in
i actual
t l Actual Purchase Intention
purchase intent 60
owing to poor 50
p
perceived 40
nutritional value 30
20
10
0
Brand A
Brand A Brand B
Brand B Brand C
Brand C Brand D
Brand D Brand E
Brand E
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15. An Example of How Loyalty Metrics Impact Returns
Increase in Awareness Sentiment
The Greenpeace
movement
against Leading Negative
Chocolate Brand
Ch l t B d Sentiment
created a lot of
interest for the
brand.
Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Interestingly,
many more first Loyalist First timers
time customers
bought the brand.
Switchers
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16. Social Media can Provide a Lead Indicator for Sales
Lag Data Marketing Data 1 Promo Data Integrated
Sales Data
g
Insights
3
Social Media Lead Data
Purchase
Awareness Interest Intent
2
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17. Case in Point: Reasoning for Sales Fluctuations
The above result explains that negative
p g
sentiments in the previous months had
Social media some effect on sales performance.
sentiment can be
SALES
used as a lead
indicator for the
point of sale data.
Social media can
explain the drivers
and the ‘why’ of the
peaks and troughs
for sales data
Mon 1 Mon 2 Mon 3 Mon 4 Mon 5 Mon 6 Mon 7
Brand’s Negative Sentiments
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18. Statistical Analysis Reveals Competitor’s Promotion Efforts and
Its Negative Conversation Influences Brand Sales
Competitor promotion spend
affected sales performance in
Competitor’s negative
a negative way
tonality increased sales
SALES
SALES
Mon 1 Mon 2 Mon 3 Mon 4 Mon 5 Mon 6 Mon 7
Competitor Promotion Spend Competitor Negative Tonality
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19. The Mom’s Index a Way to Understand Intent at the Segment Level
Millennials Moms Teens
Understand Mom’s Purchase Intent
outlook towards a Sales
category including
purchase intent of
brands within the
category relative to
each other
Understand teens
perception of a
brand. This index
also lends itself to
understanding
segment based
drivers for sales Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6
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20. In Conclusion
Social Media lends itself well towards learning about marketing impact
But focus on pure awareness as a measure is not enough to justify spending
True impact/ROI can be measured if purchase intent loyalty and sales can
intent, loyalty,
be measured
The voice of the stakeholder is a powerful
learning tool that brands should use to
empower and tweak marketing strategies
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