SlideShare una empresa de Scribd logo
1 de 3
Descargar para leer sin conexión
UNDER EMBARGO UNTIL 00:01 HRS FRIDAY 12TH OCTOBER 2012


      HOME LOANS FALL 7% IN SEPTEMBER AS FUNDING FOR LENDING FAILS TO BOOST MARKET


                House purchase loans fall to 47,603, 3rd worst September on record
                Tightening lending criteria drives fall in high LTV lending
                Average loan-to-value falls to lowest since January 2011
                Less than 5,000 purchase loans granted to buyers with a deposit of under 15%
                But lenders say FLS will boost lending significantly in Q4


House purchase loans in September fell 7% year-on-year to 47,603 – the third worst September since records
began in 1993 – as improved credit availability for lenders failed to translate into an improvement in lending,
according to research released this morning


The latest Mortgage Monitor, produced by e.surv chartered surveyors, found the fall in loans was steepest among
high LTV borrowers – typically first-time buyers. Loans for house purchase fell across all LTV bands and house
price brackets, suggesting the government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS) is yet to make a telling impact on
the mortgage market.
                                                                       The average LTV on a house purchase loan in September

                Loans for house purchase in September                  fell to 59%, its lowest since last January, reflecting the sharp
                         (seasonally adjusted)                         fall in loans to borrowers with small deposits. Just 1 in 10 of
 150000
                                                                       all house purchase loans went to borrowers with an LTV of
 100000                                                                85% or over, continuing a three month trend. The number of
                                                                       loans to borrowers with a deposit of less than 15% has now
  50000
                                                                       fallen below 5,000 for the last three months. The last time
      0
              2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                                       that happened was between May and July last year.


Richard Sexton, business development director of e.surv, explains: “September isn’t just a one off. The mortgage
market has been struggling since early June, and is considerably weaker than it was this time last year. The period
between August 2011 and May this year marked a real upturn in lending. But that fillip planted false hope. Since
then, the effects of the double dip recession have sapped the confidence lenders have in the economy. That,
combined with a squeeze on the funding lenders get from the money markets, has dragged down lending. Criteria
on high LTV mortgages have become more restrictive, and this has choked off first-time buyer lending.”
LTV RATIO (for home purchases)                                                                     Despite 18% more mortgages with an LTV of above 85% on offer since
     0.63
     0.61                                                                                                                        April 2011, and lenders reporting an improvement in mortgage credit
     0.59                                                                                                                        over Q3, fewer borrowers have been able to access high LTV loans
     0.57
     0.55
                                                                                                                                 because of toughening lending criteria. The apparent contradiction
     0.53                                                                                                                        between more LTV mortgage products on the market and a fall in
     0.51
                                                                                                                                 lending suggests lenders are not yet confident enough in the economy
     0.49
     0.47                                                                                                                        to increase lending to borrowers with low deposits and low incomes
     0.45
                                                                                                                                 significantly.
                              Jul-08
            Sep-07
                     Feb-08


                                       Dec-08
                                                May-09
                                                         Oct-09
                                                                  Mar-10
                                                                           Aug-10
                                                                                    Jan-11
                                                                                             Jun-11
                                                                                                      Nov-11
                                                                                                               Apr-12
                                                                                                                        Sep-12




                                                                                                                                 September marks the fourth consecutive month of a year-on-year fall
in house purchase lending, suggesting the market is significantly weaker than it was this time last year. Lending in
Q3 was 7% lower than the equivalent period last year, with 11,019 fewer house purchase loans. To illustrate the
extent of the decline, house purchase lending in September is 10% lower than September 2009 – when the market
was still in the grips of the financial crisis.


POSITIVE SIGNS AHEAD


The picture was brighter on a month-on-month basis, with house purchase loans in September falling by a marginal
0.1% compared to August.


Richard Sexton explains: “Analysts have been quick to criticise the Funding for Lending Scheme after an
inauspicious start in August, but it will prove to be a slow-burn. The Bank of England’s latest credit conditions
survey suggests an improvement in house purchase lending may be on the horizon. Lenders told the Bank the
availability of secured credit will increase ‘significantly’ over the fourth quarter, and specifically referenced the
Funding for Lending Scheme as a key driving the improvement. Lenders say it has helped increased their
mortgage funds by 36%, the biggest increase since records began. If it is a slow-burn, FLS will begin to translate
into higher mortgage lending in the fourth quarter, which will help more first time buyers get a foot on the ladder.”


LOANS FOR HOUSE PURCHASE (seasonally adjusted)
    Month                                                             Number                                                      Monthly change           Annual change
    April                                                                                                               51,823                     2.0%                    12.0%
    May                                                                                                                 51,098                     -1.0%                   9.8%
    June                                                                                                                44,192                    -12.6%                   -9.5%
    July                                                                                                                49,561                     12.1%                   -1.0%
    August                                                                                                              47,665                     0.2%                    -9.9%
    September                                                                                                           47,609                     -0.1%                   -6.8%



.
                                                                                                                                           - Ends -
Methodology
e.surv analyses detailed data on over one million mortgage valuations the firm carried out between August 2006
and today.    Each month, the researchers analyse tens of thousands of valuations and use these trends to
extrapolate from the Bank of England’s mortgage data to publish mortgage approval numbers for the whole of the
UK, weeks before the BBA, CML and Bank of England. The average margin of error over the last six months is
1.2% compared to the Bank of England final purchase approval data.




Notes to Editors


About e.surv
e.surv is a firm of chartered surveyors, directly employing over 350 chartered surveyors and a similar number of
consultants. The business is the largest distributor and manager of valuation instructions in the UK and is
appointed as panel manager for more than 25 mortgage lenders and other entities with interests in residential
property. The business also provides a number of private survey products direct to the home-buying public. e.surv
is owned by LSL Property Services plc. For further information, see www.lslps.co.uk



Press contacts

Adam Jones, The Wriglesworth Consultancy
a.jones@wriglesworth.com, 020 7427 1403
Monica Daniel, marketing manager, Surveying and Corporate Services
monica.daniel@lslps.com 01392 355555


The Mortgage Monitor is prepared by The Wriglesworth Consultancy for e.surv.           The copyright and all other
intellectual property rights in the Mortgage Monitor belong to e.surv. Reproduction in whole or part is not permitted
unless an acknowledgement to e.surv as the source is included. No modification is permitted without e.surv’s prior
written consent.


Whilst care is taken in the compilation of the Report no representation or assurances are made as to its accuracy
or completeness. e.surv reserves the right to vary the methodology and to edit or discontinue the Report in whole
or in part at anytime.

Más contenido relacionado

La actualidad más candente

NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'s
NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'sNAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'s
NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'sCarolyn Musselman
 
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To Z
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To ZPractical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To Z
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To ZDan Green
 
Liquidity preference theory
Liquidity preference theoryLiquidity preference theory
Liquidity preference theoryKirtana Dasa
 
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)Leveraged Commentary & Data
 
Kw November Newsletter
Kw November NewsletterKw November Newsletter
Kw November Newsletterhomehunters
 
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani Sanjiv Chainani
 
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And Sellers
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And SellersNar 2009 Home Buyers And Sellers
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And SellersWant More Leads
 
Medical Office Market
Medical Office MarketMedical Office Market
Medical Office MarketJon Weininger
 

La actualidad más candente (12)

Alhuda CIBE - Housing Finance through Diminishing Musharkah
Alhuda CIBE - Housing Finance through Diminishing MusharkahAlhuda CIBE - Housing Finance through Diminishing Musharkah
Alhuda CIBE - Housing Finance through Diminishing Musharkah
 
NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'s
NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'sNAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'s
NAHB - Opportunity Knocks for Home Buyer\'s
 
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To Z
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To ZPractical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To Z
Practical Mortgage : An Intermediate Class From Amortization To Z
 
Liquidity preference theory
Liquidity preference theoryLiquidity preference theory
Liquidity preference theory
 
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)
Leveraged Loans: Volume, Trends, Analysis (Europe - September 2011)
 
Kw November Newsletter
Kw November NewsletterKw November Newsletter
Kw November Newsletter
 
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani
Shining streak - By Sanjiv Chainani
 
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And Sellers
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And SellersNar 2009 Home Buyers And Sellers
Nar 2009 Home Buyers And Sellers
 
Medical Office Market
Medical Office MarketMedical Office Market
Medical Office Market
 
Joe's march presentation
Joe's march presentationJoe's march presentation
Joe's march presentation
 
Dalal Times
Dalal TimesDalal Times
Dalal Times
 
Metcalfe feb
Metcalfe febMetcalfe feb
Metcalfe feb
 

Similar a House Purchase Loans Fall 7% in September

10 tmire oct_us_2011
10 tmire oct_us_201110 tmire oct_us_2011
10 tmire oct_us_2011leejohan
 
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011Keller Williams Careers
 
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012Residential property market overview 2Q 2012
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012Surabhi Arora, MRICS
 
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environment
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environmentTop Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environment
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environmentDhuraivel Gunasekaran
 
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011pdrury
 
This Month In Real Estate June 2010
This Month In Real Estate June 2010This Month In Real Estate June 2010
This Month In Real Estate June 2010pdrury
 
Real Estate Update
Real Estate UpdateReal Estate Update
Real Estate Updatecquarantello
 
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Edition
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us EditionT Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Edition
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Editionpdrury
 
This Month in Real Estate July 2011
This Month in Real Estate July 2011This Month in Real Estate July 2011
This Month in Real Estate July 2011pdrury
 
The Brief Archives - Issue 07
The Brief Archives - Issue 07The Brief Archives - Issue 07
The Brief Archives - Issue 07IPIN Global
 
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010Keller Williams Careers
 
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010pdrury
 
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010Keller Williams Careers
 
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010Keller Williams Careers
 

Similar a House Purchase Loans Fall 7% in September (20)

Esurv mortgage monitor for July 2012
Esurv mortgage monitor for July 2012Esurv mortgage monitor for July 2012
Esurv mortgage monitor for July 2012
 
10 tmire oct_us_2011
10 tmire oct_us_201110 tmire oct_us_2011
10 tmire oct_us_2011
 
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. Market - December 2011
 
2015 07-13--property-pulse-article
2015 07-13--property-pulse-article2015 07-13--property-pulse-article
2015 07-13--property-pulse-article
 
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012Residential property market overview 2Q 2012
Residential property market overview 2Q 2012
 
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environment
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environmentTop Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environment
Top Debt fund schemes to participate in falling interest rates environment
 
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011
This Month in Real Estate Feb 2011
 
This Month In Real Estate June 2010
This Month In Real Estate June 2010This Month In Real Estate June 2010
This Month In Real Estate June 2010
 
Real Estate Update
Real Estate UpdateReal Estate Update
Real Estate Update
 
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Edition
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us EditionT Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Edition
T Mi Re Feb 2010 Us Edition
 
BRADENTON REAL ESTATE, REPORTS, STATISTICS
BRADENTON REAL ESTATE, REPORTS, STATISTICSBRADENTON REAL ESTATE, REPORTS, STATISTICS
BRADENTON REAL ESTATE, REPORTS, STATISTICS
 
This Month in Real Estate July 2011
This Month in Real Estate July 2011This Month in Real Estate July 2011
This Month in Real Estate July 2011
 
The Brief Archives - Issue 07
The Brief Archives - Issue 07The Brief Archives - Issue 07
The Brief Archives - Issue 07
 
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010
This Month in Real Estate PowerPoint for U.S. Market - September 2010
 
September 2010 market update
September 2010 market updateSeptember 2010 market update
September 2010 market update
 
Sept2010marketupdate
Sept2010marketupdateSept2010marketupdate
Sept2010marketupdate
 
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010
This Month in Real Estate for Dec 2010
 
August 2010 market update
August 2010 market updateAugust 2010 market update
August 2010 market update
 
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010
This Month in Real Estate for U.S. - October 2010
 
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010
This Month in Real Estate U.S. Market October 2010
 

House Purchase Loans Fall 7% in September

  • 1. UNDER EMBARGO UNTIL 00:01 HRS FRIDAY 12TH OCTOBER 2012 HOME LOANS FALL 7% IN SEPTEMBER AS FUNDING FOR LENDING FAILS TO BOOST MARKET  House purchase loans fall to 47,603, 3rd worst September on record  Tightening lending criteria drives fall in high LTV lending  Average loan-to-value falls to lowest since January 2011  Less than 5,000 purchase loans granted to buyers with a deposit of under 15%  But lenders say FLS will boost lending significantly in Q4 House purchase loans in September fell 7% year-on-year to 47,603 – the third worst September since records began in 1993 – as improved credit availability for lenders failed to translate into an improvement in lending, according to research released this morning The latest Mortgage Monitor, produced by e.surv chartered surveyors, found the fall in loans was steepest among high LTV borrowers – typically first-time buyers. Loans for house purchase fell across all LTV bands and house price brackets, suggesting the government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS) is yet to make a telling impact on the mortgage market. The average LTV on a house purchase loan in September Loans for house purchase in September   fell to 59%, its lowest since last January, reflecting the sharp (seasonally adjusted) fall in loans to borrowers with small deposits. Just 1 in 10 of 150000 all house purchase loans went to borrowers with an LTV of 100000 85% or over, continuing a three month trend. The number of loans to borrowers with a deposit of less than 15% has now 50000 fallen below 5,000 for the last three months. The last time 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 that happened was between May and July last year. Richard Sexton, business development director of e.surv, explains: “September isn’t just a one off. The mortgage market has been struggling since early June, and is considerably weaker than it was this time last year. The period between August 2011 and May this year marked a real upturn in lending. But that fillip planted false hope. Since then, the effects of the double dip recession have sapped the confidence lenders have in the economy. That, combined with a squeeze on the funding lenders get from the money markets, has dragged down lending. Criteria on high LTV mortgages have become more restrictive, and this has choked off first-time buyer lending.”
  • 2. LTV RATIO (for home purchases) Despite 18% more mortgages with an LTV of above 85% on offer since 0.63 0.61 April 2011, and lenders reporting an improvement in mortgage credit 0.59 over Q3, fewer borrowers have been able to access high LTV loans 0.57 0.55 because of toughening lending criteria. The apparent contradiction 0.53 between more LTV mortgage products on the market and a fall in 0.51 lending suggests lenders are not yet confident enough in the economy 0.49 0.47 to increase lending to borrowers with low deposits and low incomes 0.45 significantly. Jul-08 Sep-07 Feb-08 Dec-08 May-09 Oct-09 Mar-10 Aug-10 Jan-11 Jun-11 Nov-11 Apr-12 Sep-12 September marks the fourth consecutive month of a year-on-year fall in house purchase lending, suggesting the market is significantly weaker than it was this time last year. Lending in Q3 was 7% lower than the equivalent period last year, with 11,019 fewer house purchase loans. To illustrate the extent of the decline, house purchase lending in September is 10% lower than September 2009 – when the market was still in the grips of the financial crisis. POSITIVE SIGNS AHEAD The picture was brighter on a month-on-month basis, with house purchase loans in September falling by a marginal 0.1% compared to August. Richard Sexton explains: “Analysts have been quick to criticise the Funding for Lending Scheme after an inauspicious start in August, but it will prove to be a slow-burn. The Bank of England’s latest credit conditions survey suggests an improvement in house purchase lending may be on the horizon. Lenders told the Bank the availability of secured credit will increase ‘significantly’ over the fourth quarter, and specifically referenced the Funding for Lending Scheme as a key driving the improvement. Lenders say it has helped increased their mortgage funds by 36%, the biggest increase since records began. If it is a slow-burn, FLS will begin to translate into higher mortgage lending in the fourth quarter, which will help more first time buyers get a foot on the ladder.” LOANS FOR HOUSE PURCHASE (seasonally adjusted) Month Number Monthly change Annual change April 51,823 2.0% 12.0% May 51,098 -1.0% 9.8% June 44,192 -12.6% -9.5% July 49,561 12.1% -1.0% August 47,665 0.2% -9.9% September 47,609 -0.1% -6.8% . - Ends -
  • 3. Methodology e.surv analyses detailed data on over one million mortgage valuations the firm carried out between August 2006 and today. Each month, the researchers analyse tens of thousands of valuations and use these trends to extrapolate from the Bank of England’s mortgage data to publish mortgage approval numbers for the whole of the UK, weeks before the BBA, CML and Bank of England. The average margin of error over the last six months is 1.2% compared to the Bank of England final purchase approval data. Notes to Editors About e.surv e.surv is a firm of chartered surveyors, directly employing over 350 chartered surveyors and a similar number of consultants. The business is the largest distributor and manager of valuation instructions in the UK and is appointed as panel manager for more than 25 mortgage lenders and other entities with interests in residential property. The business also provides a number of private survey products direct to the home-buying public. e.surv is owned by LSL Property Services plc. For further information, see www.lslps.co.uk Press contacts Adam Jones, The Wriglesworth Consultancy a.jones@wriglesworth.com, 020 7427 1403 Monica Daniel, marketing manager, Surveying and Corporate Services monica.daniel@lslps.com 01392 355555 The Mortgage Monitor is prepared by The Wriglesworth Consultancy for e.surv. The copyright and all other intellectual property rights in the Mortgage Monitor belong to e.surv. Reproduction in whole or part is not permitted unless an acknowledgement to e.surv as the source is included. No modification is permitted without e.surv’s prior written consent. Whilst care is taken in the compilation of the Report no representation or assurances are made as to its accuracy or completeness. e.surv reserves the right to vary the methodology and to edit or discontinue the Report in whole or in part at anytime.