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• Export of Iraqi Crude Oil
• Contracting mechanisms, quantities, pricing
               and constraints
                       By
     The Marketing Board of Crude Oil and Gas
Mechanisms of
Crude Oil Sales
 Contracting
The oil marketing company approaches the companies
with contracts in force before a suitable period to
demonstrate the need for the quantities that they desire to
buy from the oil of Basra and Kirkuk for the coming
contractual period so that it gets studied in the light of the
standards adopted in this field (to be mentioned later) and to
be classified clearly and in detail, pointing towards the
updated principal information with regards to the continuous
matching of its current state with the standards mentioned
above, as well as to assess the implementation of existing
contracts and the inclusion of all the notes that are related to
them.
1. The issue of crude oil import and export does not fall under the
   jurisdiction of the Ministry of Planning and Developing
   Cooperation, and so the instructions of implementation of
   government contracts (1) for the year 2009 and before did not
   include the activity of Iraqi crude oil export since it was not
   considered one of the projects listed in the investment plan.

2. The fact that Iraqi crude oil, just like the rest of the crude oil
   produced and exported in the region, is not sold on the basis of
   a fixed price or a discount or a specific premium but within the
   pricing mechanism common to all buyers and each of the world
   markets, the auction procedures are practically useless and do
   not bring any benefits in finding new markets or selling on better
   terms or higher prices, in addition of course to the exposure of
   this activity to unexpected risks.
3. The oil marketing company, whenever necessary, and
   based on trade policy, approaches a number of equable
   international companies (and with whom it has no
   contracts) to purchase the available quantities of Iraqi
   crude oil with the goal of expanding markets for the sale of
   this oil and promoting its use in the world's major
   refineries, establishing Iraq as a demanded and
   guaranteed source.


4. Based on the foregoing, our company has resorted to
   producing and exporting countries in the region to adopt
   the style of direct invitation of the elite international oil
   companies that have already been dealt with in the
   marketing of Iraqi crude oil to their refineries
Requests of (New) Non-Contracting Firms:


Requests from many companies are received by the oil
marketing company and throughout the year for allocating
quantities of crude oil from Basra and Kirkuk. Their eligibility
are evaluated in the light of the implemented standards and
criteria as follows:
Evaluation of ineligible Firms:
1. Studying the activity of each company or institution and
   the extent of its conformity with the conditions and criteria
   (which will be mentioned later) to see how qualified those
   companies are to contract for the purchase of Iraqi crude
   oil through a number of officially approved websites and
   solid means specialized in this area, such as Oil & Gas
   Journal, Bloomberg, and Reuters.

2. Ineligible firms are provided an answer indicating the
   reasons that prevented the allocation of quantities of Iraqi
   crude oil to them, while nominating the new companies that
   prove their eligibility for the contractual allocation stage in
   the light of quantities that are available for export and the
   principles of allocation listed below.
Principles adopted in the allocation:
Is the adoption of a number of important principles that are
taken into consideration when allocating contractual
quantities to qualified companies (formerly contracting and
new), as follows:
1.   Marketing of all the quantities available for export of Iraqi
     crude oils in global markets and price formulas according
     to marketing foundations that achieve the goal of
     maximizing resources as possible.

2.   Give priority in the allocation of quantities to the
     companies with large refinement capacities, since they are
     able to withstand sudden price fluctuations and maintain
     their demand for Iraqi crude oils in the long term.

3.   Expansion of the Iraqi oils in three major global markets:
     American, European and Asian.
A/ Contracting Mechanism:
1.   The oil marketing company sends a direct call to the
     international oil companies, classed as having the main
     criteria for contracting and having contracts in force to
     fulfill its needs of Iraqi crude oil for the coming period.

2.   Requests sent directly from the companies willing to
     buy Iraqi crude oil are considered. The marketing
     company does not consider any application sent
     through brokers or agents, and the allocation to
     qualified companies is done according to the criteria
     adopted.
3.   After approval of the allocation by the Minister of Oil, the
     requesting firms are notified of the quantities of crude oil
     allocated to them. After approval of these companies on
     all of the contractual conditions adopted by the oil
     marketing company, the contracts are signed between
     the parties.
B/ Execution Method:

1.   The execution of the contract begins when the Board of
     Crude Oil Shipment and the Commercial Financial Board
     are informed with the details of the contract to enable
     them for the execution and following which starts with
     the purchasing company issuing a demand within a
     reasonable period to the oil marketing company to
     specify a fixed date for receipt of a shipment of crude oil
     under the contract.
2.   The marketing company determines the time of loading
     the shipment. The purchasing company then nominates
     a carrier to load on time by formal notice sent to the oil
     marketing company, indicating as well the method of
     distribution of the required documents and their number
     in line with the conditions of the documentary
     credit, which will be opened by the purchasing company
     to cover the cost of the shipment. The choice remains to
     the oil marketing company to send its approval of the
     carrier nominated by the purchasing company in light of
     the technical specifications required for the carrier
     which corresponds to the specifications of the port of
     loading.
3.   Before the period of not less than seven days from the
     date of acceptance of the carrier, the purchasing company
     opens an irrevocable documentary credit in a bank
     recognized by the Central Bank of Iraq, and in an amount
     that is not in any way less than the estimated amount of
     the shipment. The marketing company instructs the oil
     port to load the agreed carrier accordingly, with emphasis
     on the prohibition of altering the destination of the
     shipment once the documentary credit is opened.


4.   After the loading of the carrier with the requested
     quantity is complete, the port shall issue the sailing
     documents that include carrying amount, the degree of
     density (API Gravity), the date of the bill of lading, in
     addition to the final destination of the crude oil and
     other documents related to the shipment.
5.   From the date of the bill of lading referred to
     above, and after the period contractually
     specified in the price by destination clause, the
     marketing company informs the purchasing
     company the final price of a barrel from that
     shipment to the purchasing company to pay
     the value of the shipment within 30 days from
     the date of bill of lading.
For the purpose of achieving its goals, the company has
adopted       a     set    of   clear   and    transparent
criteria, principles, and mechanisms as shown below:
First Criterion – Equable International Oil
Companies:

This includes the large, medium, independent, state-owned,
international oil companies that are vertically integrated
(integrated activities in the petroleum industry from
exploration and production to transportation and
distribution) and internationally-rated among the best and
the biggest international companies operating in the
petroleum industry and having refinement powers and
distribution networks in many countries.
Second Criterion – Refinement Companies:
This includes companies specializing in the refinement
industry and the distribution of petroleum products.


Third Criterion – Companies Classified as a
Commercial Branch for their Countries’ Refineries:

This includes national companies that are allowed by their
countries to sign contracts for the purchase of crude oil for
their national refineries, such as in Japan and China.
Requests to buy
Iraqi crude oil for
    the years
   2009-2011
America   Asia       Europe




st Half    nd Half
Europe




st Half        nd Half
Basra’s and
  Kirkuk’s
 Crude Oil
Total Export      Total Amount
      bbl                  $

64,216,784       7,345,670,236.82
  AVG. QTY           AVG. PRICE
 000 bbls/day          $/bbl

  2,141             114.40
Monthly Crude
   Oil Export Rates
From 2007 until March 2011
Kirkuk’s             Basra’s                              Year
 Daily                Daily                 Daily     Total
             Oil               Light Oil
Average              Average               Average   Amount
          Exports              Exports

                                                                  January
                                                                  February
                                                                   March
                                                                    April
                                                                    May
                                                                    June
                                                                    July
                                                                   August
                                                                 September
                                                                  October
                                                                 November
                                                                 December
                                                              Total for the Year
Kirkuk’s             Basra’s                              Year
 Daily                Daily                 Daily     Total
             Oil               Light Oil
Average              Average               Average   Amount
          Exports              Exports                                  8

                                                                  January
                                                                  February
                                                                   March
                                                                    April
                                                                    May
                                                                    June
                                                                    July
                                                                   August
                                                                 September
                                                                  October
                                                                 November
                                                                 December
                                                              Total for the Year
Kirkuk’s             Basra’s                               Year
 Daily                Daily                 Daily     Total
             Oil               Light Oil
Average              Average               Average   Amount
          Exports              Exports                                   9

 0.510    15.811      1.381     42.810      1.891    58.621        January
 0.450    12.604      1.282     35.901      1.732    48.505        February
 0.422    13.083      1.393     43.172      1.815    56.255         March
 0.408    12.251      1.412     42.374      1.821    54.626          April
 0.521    16.159      1.385     42.926      1.906    59.085          May
 0.528    15.834      1.397     41.915      1.925    57.748          June
 0.545    16.895      1.492     46.251      2.037    63.145          July
 0.520    16.132      1.489     46.155      2.009    62.287         August
 0.497    14.909      1.461     43.825      1.958    58.734       September
 0.386    11.951      1.493     46.277      1.878    58.228        October
 0.404    12.122      1.497     44.902      1.901    57.024       November
 0.443    13.736      1.534     47.549      1.977    61.285       December
0.470     171.487    1.436     524.057     1.906     695.544   Total for the Year
Kirkuk’s             Basra’s                               Year
 Daily                Daily                 Daily     Total
             Oil               Light Oil
Average              Average               Average   Amount
          Exports              Exports                                 10
 0.475    14.730      1.451     44.977      1.926    59.707        January
 0.455    12.727      1.613     45.164      2.068    57.891        February
 0.422    13.073      1.419     43.996      1.841    57.069         March
 0.342    10.260      1.425     42.753      1.767    53.013          April
 0.440    13.637      1.453     45.046      1.893    58.682          May
 0.384    11.524      1.441     43.233      1.825    54.757          June
 0.384    11.904      1.433     44.421      1.817    56.325          July
 0.339    10.512      1.449     44.906      1.788    55.418         August
 0.513    15.387      1.508     45.228      2.021    60.615       September
 0.402    12.450      1.492     46.245      1.893    58.695        October
 0.378    11.340      1.534     46.017      1.912    57.357       November
 0.422    13.086      1.529     47.396      1.951    60.482       December

0.413     150.629    1.478     539.382     1.890     690.011   Total for the Year
Kirkuk's           Basra’s              Total
 Daily            Daily               Daily    Quantity
Average
           Oil
                 Average
                             Oil
                                     Average    (million
                                                              Year
        Exports            Exports              barrels)




 0.470   171.487   1.436   524.057    1.906    695.544


 0.413   150.629   1.478   539.382    1.890    690.011

                                                           Average for
         55.993    1.699   203.840   0.467                 end of April
                                                              2011
Evaluation of
    Qualitative
   Differences in
Crude Oils Exported
to the Three Major
  World Markets
1. Global Supply and Demand on Crude Oil and
   Petroleum Products

  A/ Movement of Crude Oil Prices and Differences
  Between Light & Medium Oil
   Pattern and trend of global demand for the light and sweet
   oil and medium and sour oil are studied and analyzed each
   month for the three major markets generally, and trends in
   the demand for Iraqi sour crude oil in particular. The supply
   and demand are key factors in determining the direction of
   the differences in the price of crude Iraqi oil, in light of the
   stability of the other factors.
B/ Crude Oil Supply and Demand

The demand on crude oil is studied and analyzed monthly
for the three major markets in general, and demand trends
in light or sour oil in particular. Supply and demand are key
factors in the price-per-barrel change, in the light of the
stability of other factors.

C/ Demand on Petroleum Products
The policy for the export of Iraqi crude oil being for the
companies that own refinement systems, it is necessary to
study and analyze the changes in the demand for petroleum
products with its three categories (light, medium and heavy)
to reflect the changing demand for crude oil produced for
them.
D/ Production of the OPEC Countries and
   Their Policies for Balancing the Oil Market

Given the influencing role that crude oil produced and
exported by the countries of the Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC) plays in the world oil
market, it is important to maintain a follow and analysis of
trends of this organization through rates of production and
export of the member states and their role in maintaining
balance in the oil market to maintain the market value of
crude oil in the world, especially oil from member states.
2. Global Economic Growth

The global economic growth, which has a direct impact on
the direction of the industrial and commercial demand rates
that include the demand for crude oil (and by the
geographical distribution of the energy markets including
crude oil) an important indicator for traders in the oil market.

3. Global Oil Reserves

The change in the index of global oil inventories, especially
for industrial countries of the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development and the rest of the world
affects directly and significantly on the demand for crude oil
and petroleum products, which in turn is reflected on the
price levels expected.
4. Relationship of Oil Prices with the EUR/USD
   Exchange Rate and S&P500’s Performance
Crude oil prices are affected by the value of the dollar
against the euro since crude oil is traded internationally in
U.S. dollars, a rise in the value of the dollar against the euro
would therefore increase the cost of buying a barrel of
crude oil in general and reduces the number of barrels
purchased for the same monetary amount. Additionally, the
S&P500 index reflects the activity of major U.S. industrial
companies and therefore is an indicator used to assess the
activity of the global economy and to determine the general
trend in the demand for crude oil.
5. Refining Margins

It is important to study and analyze the rates and margins
of realized refining that reflect the profitability of the
refineries from the refinement of one barrel of crude oil.
The results are researched based on the type of crude oil
used in the light of the level of complexity of the
refinement system and for each of the three major
markets.
6/ Geopolitical Factors and Variables

Following the latest developments affecting the different
regions of the world and their repercussions on the state of
supply and demand for crude oil and petroleum products
and the resulting changes to the absolute price of crude oil
and the amount of price differences between light, medium,
and heavy oil.

7/ The Transportation Market
Follow the movements in rental prices of crude oil tankers
(Dirty Tankers) of their various sizes and their negative and
positive impacts on the price of crude oil and the
demanded quantities from one market to another.
Oil Marketing Company (SOMO)   May, 2011
Export
Problems
The increase in production of Kirkuk and Basra’s light oil
is considered a first step toward seeking to increase oil
exports, allowing the allocation of greater amounts for
export. There are however problems being faced by crude
oil exports from ports in the north and south, the most
prominent of which are:
1.   Exposure of the loading ports to frequent bad weather
     days, which effects cannot be avoided due to the
     difficulty in having it under control.

2.   Frequent interruptions in electricity faced by the port and
     pipelines. Providing generators that provide electricity
     solely for crude oil loading ports avoids the occurrence of
     any halt in the export process.

3.   Repeated delays in inspections of tankers coming into
     the oil port of Basra by the international coalition forces.
     Coordination between the General Company for the
     Southern Oil and Iraq Ports Authority to provide an
     alternative duty during the inspection of vessels by the
     international coalition forces in a timely manner would
     avoid delay in inspections and contribute to reducing the
     impact of such delays.
4.   Maintenance operations that take varying periods lead
     to stopping the pumping until fixing the oil spill and the
     problems with the crude oil pipelines, especially that
     the current pipeline system (used to transfer the light
     oil of Kirkuk and Basra) has been obsolete and subject
     to many acts of vandalism during the last period.

5.   The oil storage capacity which, in the south, currently
     stands at less than 5 million barrels of Basra’s light
     crude oil (at the site of production), and will move now
     by the Oil Projects Company for direct execution to set
     up 16 new tanks and a capacity of 58 000 cubic meters
     for the tank. Contracting with a number of companies
     for providing the necessary materials has taken place
     and it is expected to be achieved during the coming
     period.
Sophisticated
Software and
 Analytical
  Reports
The Spiral Csi software: A program specialized in the
calculation of the returns for crude oils refinement, allowing
the user many options related to the refinement
industry, including:

1      - Enable our company to find the refinement returns
       (Netback) from Basra and Kirkuk, as well as for
       similar competing crude oils in each market for the
       purpose of reaching precision in determining the
       monthly qualitative differences of our exported oil
       and according to different markets.
2   - Building the required model to find the refinement
    returns for crude oil and according to changes in
    seasonal global demand in any of the global
    markets.

3   - Find the return on the refinement of crude oil in
    any refinery in the real world.
Provides a broad base of data and information and news and
reports in various fields of economic, political, and
particularly in various areas of the oil industry, including:

1 - a real-time feed of stock, energy and commodity markets
and their changes during the trading session.

2 – a database on supply and demand for crude oil and
petroleum products, according to different markets.

3 – a database on the oil companies and their refinement
capabilities in different markets and their quality.

4 - a database on various economic indicators for countries of
the world.
Provides a broad base of data and information and news and
reports in various fields of economic, political, and
particularly in various areas of the oil industry, including:

1 – a real-time feed of stock, energy and commodity markets
and their changes during the trading session.

2 – a database on supply and demand for crude oil and
petroleum products, according to different markets.

3 – a database on the oil companies and their refinement
capabilities in different markets and their quality.

4 – a database on various economic indicators for countries
of the world.
Specialized programs in the field of real-time tracking of
the movement of tankers in the world as well as providing
the possibility to know the path of each carrier.


This enabled the oil marketing company to track the
movement of tankers loaded with Iraqi crude oil, from the
date of loading to the date of discharge in any of the
international ports with a capability in a number of cases
to determine periods of time it takes carriers to cross the
waterways down to the final destination along with the
extent of conformity to what is established in the
documentary credit for the shipment.
A consulting firm for research and study of the world oil
market. Of the most important research and joint
publications are:

1      - Energy Market Report.
2      - Market Watch (Special Oil Market Analysis and
         Outlook).
3      - US Inventory Report.
4      - Refining Outlook (Quarterly Report).
5      - Global Refinery Margins (Weekly Report).
6      - Energy Market Report.
7      - Asian Oil Markets.
8      - Med Oil Markets.
9      - Crude Markets (Monthly Reports).
Clarkson is considered a consultancy program for the
field of transportation and developments in the
transportation market through online news and
information, as well as daily, weekly and monthly reports
covering various activities of the tankers market, most
importantly oil tankers.
Iraqi crude export mechanisms
Iraqi crude export mechanisms

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Iraqi crude export mechanisms

  • 1. • Export of Iraqi Crude Oil • Contracting mechanisms, quantities, pricing and constraints By The Marketing Board of Crude Oil and Gas
  • 2. Mechanisms of Crude Oil Sales Contracting
  • 3.
  • 4. The oil marketing company approaches the companies with contracts in force before a suitable period to demonstrate the need for the quantities that they desire to buy from the oil of Basra and Kirkuk for the coming contractual period so that it gets studied in the light of the standards adopted in this field (to be mentioned later) and to be classified clearly and in detail, pointing towards the updated principal information with regards to the continuous matching of its current state with the standards mentioned above, as well as to assess the implementation of existing contracts and the inclusion of all the notes that are related to them.
  • 5. 1. The issue of crude oil import and export does not fall under the jurisdiction of the Ministry of Planning and Developing Cooperation, and so the instructions of implementation of government contracts (1) for the year 2009 and before did not include the activity of Iraqi crude oil export since it was not considered one of the projects listed in the investment plan. 2. The fact that Iraqi crude oil, just like the rest of the crude oil produced and exported in the region, is not sold on the basis of a fixed price or a discount or a specific premium but within the pricing mechanism common to all buyers and each of the world markets, the auction procedures are practically useless and do not bring any benefits in finding new markets or selling on better terms or higher prices, in addition of course to the exposure of this activity to unexpected risks.
  • 6. 3. The oil marketing company, whenever necessary, and based on trade policy, approaches a number of equable international companies (and with whom it has no contracts) to purchase the available quantities of Iraqi crude oil with the goal of expanding markets for the sale of this oil and promoting its use in the world's major refineries, establishing Iraq as a demanded and guaranteed source. 4. Based on the foregoing, our company has resorted to producing and exporting countries in the region to adopt the style of direct invitation of the elite international oil companies that have already been dealt with in the marketing of Iraqi crude oil to their refineries
  • 7. Requests of (New) Non-Contracting Firms: Requests from many companies are received by the oil marketing company and throughout the year for allocating quantities of crude oil from Basra and Kirkuk. Their eligibility are evaluated in the light of the implemented standards and criteria as follows:
  • 8. Evaluation of ineligible Firms: 1. Studying the activity of each company or institution and the extent of its conformity with the conditions and criteria (which will be mentioned later) to see how qualified those companies are to contract for the purchase of Iraqi crude oil through a number of officially approved websites and solid means specialized in this area, such as Oil & Gas Journal, Bloomberg, and Reuters. 2. Ineligible firms are provided an answer indicating the reasons that prevented the allocation of quantities of Iraqi crude oil to them, while nominating the new companies that prove their eligibility for the contractual allocation stage in the light of quantities that are available for export and the principles of allocation listed below.
  • 9. Principles adopted in the allocation: Is the adoption of a number of important principles that are taken into consideration when allocating contractual quantities to qualified companies (formerly contracting and new), as follows: 1. Marketing of all the quantities available for export of Iraqi crude oils in global markets and price formulas according to marketing foundations that achieve the goal of maximizing resources as possible. 2. Give priority in the allocation of quantities to the companies with large refinement capacities, since they are able to withstand sudden price fluctuations and maintain their demand for Iraqi crude oils in the long term. 3. Expansion of the Iraqi oils in three major global markets: American, European and Asian.
  • 10.
  • 11. A/ Contracting Mechanism: 1. The oil marketing company sends a direct call to the international oil companies, classed as having the main criteria for contracting and having contracts in force to fulfill its needs of Iraqi crude oil for the coming period. 2. Requests sent directly from the companies willing to buy Iraqi crude oil are considered. The marketing company does not consider any application sent through brokers or agents, and the allocation to qualified companies is done according to the criteria adopted.
  • 12. 3. After approval of the allocation by the Minister of Oil, the requesting firms are notified of the quantities of crude oil allocated to them. After approval of these companies on all of the contractual conditions adopted by the oil marketing company, the contracts are signed between the parties.
  • 13. B/ Execution Method: 1. The execution of the contract begins when the Board of Crude Oil Shipment and the Commercial Financial Board are informed with the details of the contract to enable them for the execution and following which starts with the purchasing company issuing a demand within a reasonable period to the oil marketing company to specify a fixed date for receipt of a shipment of crude oil under the contract.
  • 14. 2. The marketing company determines the time of loading the shipment. The purchasing company then nominates a carrier to load on time by formal notice sent to the oil marketing company, indicating as well the method of distribution of the required documents and their number in line with the conditions of the documentary credit, which will be opened by the purchasing company to cover the cost of the shipment. The choice remains to the oil marketing company to send its approval of the carrier nominated by the purchasing company in light of the technical specifications required for the carrier which corresponds to the specifications of the port of loading.
  • 15. 3. Before the period of not less than seven days from the date of acceptance of the carrier, the purchasing company opens an irrevocable documentary credit in a bank recognized by the Central Bank of Iraq, and in an amount that is not in any way less than the estimated amount of the shipment. The marketing company instructs the oil port to load the agreed carrier accordingly, with emphasis on the prohibition of altering the destination of the shipment once the documentary credit is opened. 4. After the loading of the carrier with the requested quantity is complete, the port shall issue the sailing documents that include carrying amount, the degree of density (API Gravity), the date of the bill of lading, in addition to the final destination of the crude oil and other documents related to the shipment.
  • 16. 5. From the date of the bill of lading referred to above, and after the period contractually specified in the price by destination clause, the marketing company informs the purchasing company the final price of a barrel from that shipment to the purchasing company to pay the value of the shipment within 30 days from the date of bill of lading.
  • 17. For the purpose of achieving its goals, the company has adopted a set of clear and transparent criteria, principles, and mechanisms as shown below:
  • 18. First Criterion – Equable International Oil Companies: This includes the large, medium, independent, state-owned, international oil companies that are vertically integrated (integrated activities in the petroleum industry from exploration and production to transportation and distribution) and internationally-rated among the best and the biggest international companies operating in the petroleum industry and having refinement powers and distribution networks in many countries.
  • 19. Second Criterion – Refinement Companies: This includes companies specializing in the refinement industry and the distribution of petroleum products. Third Criterion – Companies Classified as a Commercial Branch for their Countries’ Refineries: This includes national companies that are allowed by their countries to sign contracts for the purchase of crude oil for their national refineries, such as in Japan and China.
  • 20. Requests to buy Iraqi crude oil for the years 2009-2011
  • 21. America Asia Europe st Half nd Half
  • 22. Europe st Half nd Half
  • 23. Basra’s and Kirkuk’s Crude Oil
  • 24. Total Export Total Amount bbl $ 64,216,784 7,345,670,236.82 AVG. QTY AVG. PRICE 000 bbls/day $/bbl 2,141 114.40
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Monthly Crude Oil Export Rates From 2007 until March 2011
  • 30. Kirkuk’s Basra’s Year Daily Daily Daily Total Oil Light Oil Average Average Average Amount Exports Exports January February March April May June July August September October November December Total for the Year
  • 31. Kirkuk’s Basra’s Year Daily Daily Daily Total Oil Light Oil Average Average Average Amount Exports Exports 8 January February March April May June July August September October November December Total for the Year
  • 32. Kirkuk’s Basra’s Year Daily Daily Daily Total Oil Light Oil Average Average Average Amount Exports Exports 9 0.510 15.811 1.381 42.810 1.891 58.621 January 0.450 12.604 1.282 35.901 1.732 48.505 February 0.422 13.083 1.393 43.172 1.815 56.255 March 0.408 12.251 1.412 42.374 1.821 54.626 April 0.521 16.159 1.385 42.926 1.906 59.085 May 0.528 15.834 1.397 41.915 1.925 57.748 June 0.545 16.895 1.492 46.251 2.037 63.145 July 0.520 16.132 1.489 46.155 2.009 62.287 August 0.497 14.909 1.461 43.825 1.958 58.734 September 0.386 11.951 1.493 46.277 1.878 58.228 October 0.404 12.122 1.497 44.902 1.901 57.024 November 0.443 13.736 1.534 47.549 1.977 61.285 December 0.470 171.487 1.436 524.057 1.906 695.544 Total for the Year
  • 33. Kirkuk’s Basra’s Year Daily Daily Daily Total Oil Light Oil Average Average Average Amount Exports Exports 10 0.475 14.730 1.451 44.977 1.926 59.707 January 0.455 12.727 1.613 45.164 2.068 57.891 February 0.422 13.073 1.419 43.996 1.841 57.069 March 0.342 10.260 1.425 42.753 1.767 53.013 April 0.440 13.637 1.453 45.046 1.893 58.682 May 0.384 11.524 1.441 43.233 1.825 54.757 June 0.384 11.904 1.433 44.421 1.817 56.325 July 0.339 10.512 1.449 44.906 1.788 55.418 August 0.513 15.387 1.508 45.228 2.021 60.615 September 0.402 12.450 1.492 46.245 1.893 58.695 October 0.378 11.340 1.534 46.017 1.912 57.357 November 0.422 13.086 1.529 47.396 1.951 60.482 December 0.413 150.629 1.478 539.382 1.890 690.011 Total for the Year
  • 34. Kirkuk's Basra’s Total Daily Daily Daily Quantity Average Oil Average Oil Average (million Year Exports Exports barrels) 0.470 171.487 1.436 524.057 1.906 695.544 0.413 150.629 1.478 539.382 1.890 690.011 Average for 55.993 1.699 203.840 0.467 end of April 2011
  • 35. Evaluation of Qualitative Differences in Crude Oils Exported to the Three Major World Markets
  • 36. 1. Global Supply and Demand on Crude Oil and Petroleum Products A/ Movement of Crude Oil Prices and Differences Between Light & Medium Oil Pattern and trend of global demand for the light and sweet oil and medium and sour oil are studied and analyzed each month for the three major markets generally, and trends in the demand for Iraqi sour crude oil in particular. The supply and demand are key factors in determining the direction of the differences in the price of crude Iraqi oil, in light of the stability of the other factors.
  • 37. B/ Crude Oil Supply and Demand The demand on crude oil is studied and analyzed monthly for the three major markets in general, and demand trends in light or sour oil in particular. Supply and demand are key factors in the price-per-barrel change, in the light of the stability of other factors. C/ Demand on Petroleum Products The policy for the export of Iraqi crude oil being for the companies that own refinement systems, it is necessary to study and analyze the changes in the demand for petroleum products with its three categories (light, medium and heavy) to reflect the changing demand for crude oil produced for them.
  • 38. D/ Production of the OPEC Countries and Their Policies for Balancing the Oil Market Given the influencing role that crude oil produced and exported by the countries of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) plays in the world oil market, it is important to maintain a follow and analysis of trends of this organization through rates of production and export of the member states and their role in maintaining balance in the oil market to maintain the market value of crude oil in the world, especially oil from member states.
  • 39. 2. Global Economic Growth The global economic growth, which has a direct impact on the direction of the industrial and commercial demand rates that include the demand for crude oil (and by the geographical distribution of the energy markets including crude oil) an important indicator for traders in the oil market. 3. Global Oil Reserves The change in the index of global oil inventories, especially for industrial countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and the rest of the world affects directly and significantly on the demand for crude oil and petroleum products, which in turn is reflected on the price levels expected.
  • 40. 4. Relationship of Oil Prices with the EUR/USD Exchange Rate and S&P500’s Performance Crude oil prices are affected by the value of the dollar against the euro since crude oil is traded internationally in U.S. dollars, a rise in the value of the dollar against the euro would therefore increase the cost of buying a barrel of crude oil in general and reduces the number of barrels purchased for the same monetary amount. Additionally, the S&P500 index reflects the activity of major U.S. industrial companies and therefore is an indicator used to assess the activity of the global economy and to determine the general trend in the demand for crude oil.
  • 41. 5. Refining Margins It is important to study and analyze the rates and margins of realized refining that reflect the profitability of the refineries from the refinement of one barrel of crude oil. The results are researched based on the type of crude oil used in the light of the level of complexity of the refinement system and for each of the three major markets.
  • 42. 6/ Geopolitical Factors and Variables Following the latest developments affecting the different regions of the world and their repercussions on the state of supply and demand for crude oil and petroleum products and the resulting changes to the absolute price of crude oil and the amount of price differences between light, medium, and heavy oil. 7/ The Transportation Market Follow the movements in rental prices of crude oil tankers (Dirty Tankers) of their various sizes and their negative and positive impacts on the price of crude oil and the demanded quantities from one market to another.
  • 43.
  • 44. Oil Marketing Company (SOMO) May, 2011
  • 45.
  • 47. The increase in production of Kirkuk and Basra’s light oil is considered a first step toward seeking to increase oil exports, allowing the allocation of greater amounts for export. There are however problems being faced by crude oil exports from ports in the north and south, the most prominent of which are:
  • 48. 1. Exposure of the loading ports to frequent bad weather days, which effects cannot be avoided due to the difficulty in having it under control. 2. Frequent interruptions in electricity faced by the port and pipelines. Providing generators that provide electricity solely for crude oil loading ports avoids the occurrence of any halt in the export process. 3. Repeated delays in inspections of tankers coming into the oil port of Basra by the international coalition forces. Coordination between the General Company for the Southern Oil and Iraq Ports Authority to provide an alternative duty during the inspection of vessels by the international coalition forces in a timely manner would avoid delay in inspections and contribute to reducing the impact of such delays.
  • 49. 4. Maintenance operations that take varying periods lead to stopping the pumping until fixing the oil spill and the problems with the crude oil pipelines, especially that the current pipeline system (used to transfer the light oil of Kirkuk and Basra) has been obsolete and subject to many acts of vandalism during the last period. 5. The oil storage capacity which, in the south, currently stands at less than 5 million barrels of Basra’s light crude oil (at the site of production), and will move now by the Oil Projects Company for direct execution to set up 16 new tanks and a capacity of 58 000 cubic meters for the tank. Contracting with a number of companies for providing the necessary materials has taken place and it is expected to be achieved during the coming period.
  • 51. The Spiral Csi software: A program specialized in the calculation of the returns for crude oils refinement, allowing the user many options related to the refinement industry, including: 1 - Enable our company to find the refinement returns (Netback) from Basra and Kirkuk, as well as for similar competing crude oils in each market for the purpose of reaching precision in determining the monthly qualitative differences of our exported oil and according to different markets.
  • 52. 2 - Building the required model to find the refinement returns for crude oil and according to changes in seasonal global demand in any of the global markets. 3 - Find the return on the refinement of crude oil in any refinery in the real world.
  • 53. Provides a broad base of data and information and news and reports in various fields of economic, political, and particularly in various areas of the oil industry, including: 1 - a real-time feed of stock, energy and commodity markets and their changes during the trading session. 2 – a database on supply and demand for crude oil and petroleum products, according to different markets. 3 – a database on the oil companies and their refinement capabilities in different markets and their quality. 4 - a database on various economic indicators for countries of the world.
  • 54. Provides a broad base of data and information and news and reports in various fields of economic, political, and particularly in various areas of the oil industry, including: 1 – a real-time feed of stock, energy and commodity markets and their changes during the trading session. 2 – a database on supply and demand for crude oil and petroleum products, according to different markets. 3 – a database on the oil companies and their refinement capabilities in different markets and their quality. 4 – a database on various economic indicators for countries of the world.
  • 55. Specialized programs in the field of real-time tracking of the movement of tankers in the world as well as providing the possibility to know the path of each carrier. This enabled the oil marketing company to track the movement of tankers loaded with Iraqi crude oil, from the date of loading to the date of discharge in any of the international ports with a capability in a number of cases to determine periods of time it takes carriers to cross the waterways down to the final destination along with the extent of conformity to what is established in the documentary credit for the shipment.
  • 56. A consulting firm for research and study of the world oil market. Of the most important research and joint publications are: 1 - Energy Market Report. 2 - Market Watch (Special Oil Market Analysis and Outlook). 3 - US Inventory Report. 4 - Refining Outlook (Quarterly Report). 5 - Global Refinery Margins (Weekly Report). 6 - Energy Market Report. 7 - Asian Oil Markets. 8 - Med Oil Markets. 9 - Crude Markets (Monthly Reports).
  • 57. Clarkson is considered a consultancy program for the field of transportation and developments in the transportation market through online news and information, as well as daily, weekly and monthly reports covering various activities of the tankers market, most importantly oil tankers.