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Validation of the
                  Step Theory


Witteveen+Bos                   E.C.M. Kroon
Rijkswaterstaat                  Master Thesis TIL
TU Delft




13/9/12                                              1
Index
n  Introduction to the Step Theory
n  Literature Study
n  Methods
n  Driving simulator Study
n  The challange of a literature study




13/9/12                                   2
INTRODUCTION TO THE STEP
   THEORY

13/9/12                       3
Step Theory
n    Design speed of successive
      road elements should                                           Q1
      decrease gradually                                                  Q2
      120 km/h - 100km/h - 80km/h - 50 km/h


n    Goal: facilitate a safe transition
      in operational speed, by road
      design only

                                              Figuur 1, Haarlemmermeeraansluiting




13/9/12                                                                         4
Step Theory in practice
n    Speed Q1 is multiple steps lower
      ¨    Krappe bocht door beperkt ruimtebeslag is geaccepteerd. Extra
            aandacht voor compenserende maatregelen

n    Speed between Q1 en Q2 differs multiple steps
n    Speed of Q2 does not connect with the underling road
      network
n    Q1 en Q2 are separated by a short road section, by
      which operational speeds at Q2 become too high
n    It is unclear whether the deceleration lane can be seen
      as a full step
13/9/12                                                                     5
Main goal
n  Validation       of the Step Theory
    To which extend does the step theory contribute to traffic safety at
    ramps and F-F connectors on Dutch motorways?




13/9/12                                                                    6
Subquestions
n    What is the underlying basis of the step theory and is there literary
      support for it?
n    Is there a difference in speed profiles for the degree in which the
      step theory is applied?
n    Is there a difference in traffic safety for the degree in which the
      step theory is applied?
n    Is there a difference found between road types in relation to the
      degree in which the step theory is applied, measured in speed and
      crash rate?
n    Is there a difference found between road configurations in relation
      to the degree in which the step theory is applied, measured in speed
      and crash rate?


13/9/12                                                                   7
Research setup




13/9/12          8
LITERATURE STUDY


13/9/12               9
Subquestions
n    What is the underlying basis of the step theory and is
      there literary support for it?
n    Which independent factors are of influence on
      operational speeds and traffic safety in motorway curves
      as well?
n    Which road configurations are of interest for this study?




13/9/12                                                       10
Conclusies [1]
n    Hardly any studies towards deceleration behaviour at
      motorways
n    Consistency theories on step size exist, though there is
      no hard validation




n    Consistency indicators, like:
      ¨  Variability in speed              Crash rate
      ¨  Workload, hart rate variability   Road position

13/9/12                                                          11
Conclusies [2]
n    Factors to take into account when analysing curves, like:
      ¨    Curve length
      ¨    Curve-tangent-curve
      ¨    Road signs
n    Deceleration behaviour on deceleration lanes is likely to
      be dependent on the first curve radius
n    No literature on differences between connector roads
      and ramps
n    Configurations
      ¨    No curve-tangent-curve



13/9/12                                                       12
METHODE


13/9/12      13
General setup




13/9/12         14
Variables
n  Stepsize
n  Configuration
n  Road   type




13/9/12             15
Indicators crashstudy
n  Crashes




13/9/12                 16
Indicators Driving simulator [1]




13/9/12                            17
Indicators Driving simulator [2]
n  Smoothness




13/9/12                            18
Indicators Driving simulator [3]
n  Calculating smoothness
    ¨  Standerdize over time – absolute difference over time
        step – summation to obtain one value




13/9/12                                                     19
DRIVING SIMULATOR STUDY


13/9/12                      20
Limitations driving simulator
n  No    hights
      ¨ No   interchange
n  No    superelevation



n  Difference  between ramp and connector
    road difficult to simulate

13/9/12                                      21
Setup




13/9/12   22
Map




13/9/12   23
Population
                                       n    45 participants                                                                           n                                  3 became motion sick
                                       n    71% man vs. 29%                                                                           n                                  4 other dropouts
                                             woman
                                                           Age	
  distribution                                                                                             Distribution	
  of	
  driving	
  experience
                                      16                                                                                                                              14
                                      15
                                      14                                                                                                                              12




                                                                                                                                Number	
  of	
  participants	
  [#]
Number	
  of	
  participants	
  [#]




                                      13
                                      12                                                                                                                              10
                                      11
                                      10
                                       9                                                                                                                               8
                                       8
                                       7                                                                                                                               6
                                       6
                                       5                                                                                                                               4
                                       4
                                       3
                                       2                                                                                                                               2
                                       1
                                       0                                                                                                                               0
                                           <25   26-­‐30   31-­‐35 36-­‐40    41-­‐45     46-­‐50 51-­‐55   56-­‐60   61-­‐65                                               0-­‐5   6-­‐10   11-­‐15 16-­‐20      21-­‐25    26-­‐30 31-­‐35      36-­‐40   41-­‐45
                                                                 Age	
  of	
  participants	
  [years]                                                                                         Possession	
  of	
  driving	
  license	
  [years]

                                       13/9/12                                                                                                                                                                                                          24
Results [1]
 n    Speed   n    Lateral position




13/9/12                                 25
Results [2]
n    Steering angle   n    Lateral speed




13/9/12                                      26
Results [3]




13/9/12       27
THE CHALLENGE OF A
   LITERATURE STUDY

13/9/12                 28
Where to start?
n  Quickly   gain a broad perspective on your
    topic
n  Set clear goals
n  Structure your literature study and think of
    how to present your output

n  Reassess    halfway!

13/9/12                                          29
For what purpose?
Determining
n  Variables
n  Indicators
n  Scope
n  Methods
n  Oppertunities



13/9/12               30
Assess literature
n  Method   used in paper
n  Population
n  Experimental conditions
n  Significance


n  Be    critical!


13/9/12                       31
Perform your literature review properly and
 you will be one step ahead of your
 committee




13/9/12                                       32
QUESTIONS


13/9/12        33

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Validation of the step theory

  • 1. Validation of the Step Theory Witteveen+Bos E.C.M. Kroon Rijkswaterstaat Master Thesis TIL TU Delft 13/9/12 1
  • 2. Index n  Introduction to the Step Theory n  Literature Study n  Methods n  Driving simulator Study n  The challange of a literature study 13/9/12 2
  • 3. INTRODUCTION TO THE STEP THEORY 13/9/12 3
  • 4. Step Theory n  Design speed of successive road elements should Q1 decrease gradually Q2 120 km/h - 100km/h - 80km/h - 50 km/h n  Goal: facilitate a safe transition in operational speed, by road design only Figuur 1, Haarlemmermeeraansluiting 13/9/12 4
  • 5. Step Theory in practice n  Speed Q1 is multiple steps lower ¨  Krappe bocht door beperkt ruimtebeslag is geaccepteerd. Extra aandacht voor compenserende maatregelen n  Speed between Q1 en Q2 differs multiple steps n  Speed of Q2 does not connect with the underling road network n  Q1 en Q2 are separated by a short road section, by which operational speeds at Q2 become too high n  It is unclear whether the deceleration lane can be seen as a full step 13/9/12 5
  • 6. Main goal n  Validation of the Step Theory To which extend does the step theory contribute to traffic safety at ramps and F-F connectors on Dutch motorways? 13/9/12 6
  • 7. Subquestions n  What is the underlying basis of the step theory and is there literary support for it? n  Is there a difference in speed profiles for the degree in which the step theory is applied? n  Is there a difference in traffic safety for the degree in which the step theory is applied? n  Is there a difference found between road types in relation to the degree in which the step theory is applied, measured in speed and crash rate? n  Is there a difference found between road configurations in relation to the degree in which the step theory is applied, measured in speed and crash rate? 13/9/12 7
  • 10. Subquestions n  What is the underlying basis of the step theory and is there literary support for it? n  Which independent factors are of influence on operational speeds and traffic safety in motorway curves as well? n  Which road configurations are of interest for this study? 13/9/12 10
  • 11. Conclusies [1] n  Hardly any studies towards deceleration behaviour at motorways n  Consistency theories on step size exist, though there is no hard validation n  Consistency indicators, like: ¨  Variability in speed Crash rate ¨  Workload, hart rate variability Road position 13/9/12 11
  • 12. Conclusies [2] n  Factors to take into account when analysing curves, like: ¨  Curve length ¨  Curve-tangent-curve ¨  Road signs n  Deceleration behaviour on deceleration lanes is likely to be dependent on the first curve radius n  No literature on differences between connector roads and ramps n  Configurations ¨  No curve-tangent-curve 13/9/12 12
  • 18. Indicators Driving simulator [2] n  Smoothness 13/9/12 18
  • 19. Indicators Driving simulator [3] n  Calculating smoothness ¨  Standerdize over time – absolute difference over time step – summation to obtain one value 13/9/12 19
  • 21. Limitations driving simulator n  No hights ¨ No interchange n  No superelevation n  Difference between ramp and connector road difficult to simulate 13/9/12 21
  • 24. Population n  45 participants n  3 became motion sick n  71% man vs. 29% n  4 other dropouts woman Age  distribution Distribution  of  driving  experience 16 14 15 14 12 Number  of  participants  [#] Number  of  participants  [#] 13 12 10 11 10 9 8 8 7 6 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 1 0 0 <25 26-­‐30 31-­‐35 36-­‐40 41-­‐45 46-­‐50 51-­‐55 56-­‐60 61-­‐65 0-­‐5 6-­‐10 11-­‐15 16-­‐20 21-­‐25 26-­‐30 31-­‐35 36-­‐40 41-­‐45 Age  of  participants  [years] Possession  of  driving  license  [years] 13/9/12 24
  • 25. Results [1] n  Speed n  Lateral position 13/9/12 25
  • 26. Results [2] n  Steering angle n  Lateral speed 13/9/12 26
  • 28. THE CHALLENGE OF A LITERATURE STUDY 13/9/12 28
  • 29. Where to start? n  Quickly gain a broad perspective on your topic n  Set clear goals n  Structure your literature study and think of how to present your output n  Reassess halfway! 13/9/12 29
  • 30. For what purpose? Determining n  Variables n  Indicators n  Scope n  Methods n  Oppertunities 13/9/12 30
  • 31. Assess literature n  Method used in paper n  Population n  Experimental conditions n  Significance n  Be critical! 13/9/12 31
  • 32. Perform your literature review properly and you will be one step ahead of your committee 13/9/12 32