I deconstructed Horace Dediu / Asymco's amazing technology adoption & lifespans chart for a Digital Strategy & Operations all-staff meeting where we commemorated the 20th anniversary of AARP.org. I encouraged the staff to draw their own lifespan or their grandparents or children on the chart to reflect on where we've come from and where we might go in the digital realm. Source of the chart with notes and caveats: http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/18/seeing-whats-next-2/ http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/19/a-way-to-measure-ones-life/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqgvpitlWJs A life expectancy calculator: http://time.com/3485579/when-will-i-die-life-expectancy-calculator/

1. Perspective on AARP.org
20th Anniversary
By Mike Lee
DSO All-Staff Meeting
January 22, 2015

2. Adoption rates of consumer technologies in the U.S.
9 - 91% penetration vertical, years 1900-2074 horizontal, 2015 in red

3. Last 20 years of AARP.org in orange

4. Growth of internet added

5. Lifespan to date of AARP in yellow

6. S-curve of technology adoption

7. Adoption phases
Innovators
Early Adopters
Early Majority
Late Majority
Laggards

8. Stove, 1900-1958, 58 years

9. Phone, 1903-1976, 73 years

10. Electricity, 1908-1950, 42 years

11. Car, 1915-1990, 75 years

12. Radio, 1925-1948, 23 years

13. TV, 1951-1964, 13 years

14. Microwave, 1979-2006, 27 years

15. VCR, 1983-2003, 30 years

16. PC, 1985-2015, 30 years

17. Cellphone, 1993-2006, 13 years

18. Internet, 1993-2015, 22 years

19. Smartphone, 2007-2015, 8 years

20. Tablet, 2011-2015, 4 years

21. All examples

22. Human life expectancy overlay

23. Baby boomers (AARP grew to serve them)

24. Traced from my boomer birth year…

25. Mike’s expected lifespan based on 1961 birth: ~71 years

26. 25% chance of making it past age 96 in 2056

27. Technology and human lifespans. What’s next?

28. The full Asymco chart.

29. Will send PowerPoint with your own editable lifespan.
Source of the chart:
http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/18/seeing-whats-next-2/
http://www.asymco.com/2013/11/19/a-way-to-measure-ones-life/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oqgvpitlWJs
A life expectancy calculator:
http://time.com/3485579/when-will-i-die-life-expectancy-calculator/