This document discusses reasons why new apple varieties succeed or fail in the market. It identifies three main reasons for failure: 1) poor field or post-harvest performance, 2) marketing issues, and 3) lack of consumer acceptance. For varieties to succeed, they need to perform well in the orchard and throughout the supply chain, appeal to target consumer segments, and be effectively marketed. The document also examines ways to improve the variety development process, such as designing breeding programs to select varieties suited for multiple production regions and leveraging genomics tools to better predict variety performance.
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30 why varieties fail-j. bonany
1. Why do new varieties (apple) fail or succeed ?
J. Bonany, IRTA
2. Varieties are in the core of the fruit bussiness
RETAIL
POST-
HARVEST
ORCHARD
VARIETY
3. The “ideal” variety
Friendly to the
grower
•Productive
•Well adapted to the area
of production
•Good fruit quality (pack-
out)
Friendly to the
value chain
(warehouse,
wholesaler, retailer
•Good storage
•Long shelf life
•High rotation
Friendly to the
consumer:
•Flavour
•Food safety
•Health
•Convenient
•Price
4. Of course not a single cause for failure
#1 Poor field or chain performance:
Pre-harvest problems
Post-harvest problems
Poor technical accompaniment
#2 Marketing issues
#3 Consumer acceptance
Insufficient taste/flavour/texture quality
Innapropiate consumer segment target
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5. # 1 Poor field and chain performance
Field performance
Productivity, internal and external fruit quality,
tree habit, …
Root of the problem: selection in different
environment of final production site
South:
Sunburn
Pre-harvest drop
Poor colour development
Fruit finish (russeting, cracking, scarf skin)
Pest and disesases
Powdery mildew
Codling moth
Northern production areas
Cold hardiness
Fruit size
Pest and diseases
Canker
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Photo: Ontario, Ministry of Industrial and Rural Affaires
6. #1 Poor field and chain performance
Postharvest performance
Scald
Bitter pit
Bruising
Lenticelosis
Internal browning
Other postharvest disorders
Some of the problems discovered only
after initial years of large scale production
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7. #1 Poor field and chain performance
Lack of technical guidance
Some of the problems can be managed
Need for a technical accompaniment by
breeder or developer of the variety
On site trials
Changes with managed varieties
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8. #2 Marketing issues
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GALA RED DELICIOUS GOLDEN FUJI GRANNY PINK LADY
APPLE VARIETIES or APPLE CATEGORIES
11. #2 Marketing issues
Quite rigid categories in the supermarket shelves
Industry succesful in changing within the apple categories
Clonal selection (ie GALAXY by BROOKFIELD)
Not so succesful in introducing new categories
In spite of >70 apple breeding programs
Improvement within the category beyond clonal selection almost nil
Breeding gains not moved rapidly enough into production
12. #2 Marketing issues
Development of new variety (category) is very costly
Promotional costs
Quality assurance systems associated also are capital demanding
Need for an scheme to secure investment
Club or managed varieties
Uniqueness (from the consumer perspective)
In the search for a variety that is so unique that creates a category by itself
However, until now uniqueness has been based either
Flavour
Appearance: skin color
Flesh color
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13. #3 Consumer acceptance
VARIETY SSC (ºBrix) ACIDITY (g/L) FIRMNESS (Kg)
GOLDEN 14,2 4,7 6,7
ROYAL GALA 13,1 3,2 7,5
STANDARD
VARIETIES
RED DELICIOUS 13,3 2,5 6,6
FUJI 15,6 3,7 7,0
GRANNY SMITH 12,1 8,7 7,8
AVERAGE 13,6 4,6 7,1
RUBENS 14,5 5,6 6,9
KANZI 14,7 7,0 7,5
NEW VARIETIES JAZZ 14,8 5,7 9,1
PACIFIC QUEEN 17,0 3,4 8,8
PINK LADY 15,8 5,8 8,1
AVERAGE 15,4 5,7 8,1
14. #3 Consumer acceptance
Consumer segmentation
Not all consumers like the same
Need to target each variety to each target group
Are target groups based on age, gender, country ?
17. SUMMARY OF CONSUMER SEGMENTS
POPULATION
MEGA
GROUP A
68%
+ Sweetness
- Sourness
>14,4 ºBrix
<3,6 g/L
C6
6%
+Sweetness
>15 º Brix
< 6 g/L
C1
21%
C2
38%
C5
3%
MEGA
GROUP B
32 %
+ Sourness
+ Crispness
>7,0 g/L
C3
10%
+Sourness
+ Crispness
>7,8 g/L
C4
22 %
GOLDCHIEF 8.0
RUBENS 7.9
FUJI 7.9
PINK LADY 7.8
GOLDEN D. 7.8
FUJI 7.7
GOLDEN D. 7.1
GOLDCHIEF 6.5
PINK LADY 6.4
RUBENS 6.2
GOLDCHIEF 7.0
FUJI 6.8
PINK LADY 6.7
RUBENS 6.6
GOLDEN D. 6.5
GOLDCHIEF 5.3
FUJI 5.1
PINK LADY 4.9
RUBENS 4.8
GOLDEN D. 4.7
KANZI 6.7
ARIANE 6.1
JUNAMI 5.9
RUBENS 5.7
GOLDCHIEF 5.7
KANZI 7.8
ARIANE 7.4
JUNAMI 7.4
RUBENS 7.0
LIGOL 7.0
18. Focus on field and postharvest performance
Field and
postharvest
performance
Consumer
acceptance
Marketing
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19. Avoiding failures
Need for a more efficient system
Breeding varieties
Evaluation varieties
20. Breeding programs around the world (+70)
P&F
R
WA
JAPA
N
SUD
AFIRCA
NFRUITEC
BRASIL
EPAGRI
EEUU
UCEEUU
WSU
EEUU
UM
EUROPE
>30
RUSSIA
CHINA
EEUU
PRI
JONAGOLDHONEY CRISP
FUJI
PINK LADY
ROYAL GALA JAZZ
ARIANE
RUBENS MODI
KANZI
PINOVA
DIWA
22. Could we do it differently ?
Should we design the breeding programs in a different way ?
Select once and test in multiple sites versus
Select in multiple sites at once
Could we predict the performance of a variety in a certain region ?
Could we do the testing of varieties in a different way ?
Now is very similar to the ‘spray and pray’
Can the genomics tools be of any use in this prediction ?
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